No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 51% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next day
−15%−10%−5%0%−2%0%+2%+4%+4.4% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 4 fell · ◆ 14 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$83,048−2%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$84,964+0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$86,684+2%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.1%
Likely range
−2% to +2%$83,048 – $86,684
108 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
BTC price prediction for this week
54%chance BTC is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
?next 7 days
−15%−10%−5%0%−10%0%+10%+20%+30%+4.4% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$79,178−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$84,425−0.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$91,331+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.5%
Likely range
−7% to +8%$79,178 – $91,331
104 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
BTC price prediction for the next 30 days
58%chance BTC is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 102 matched past setups
?next 30 days
−15%−10%−5%0%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+4.4% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±10% over 30 days)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 102 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$69,859−18%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$83,002−2.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$101,080+19%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.2%
Likely range
−18% to +19%$69,859 – $101,080
102 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on BTC
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this BTC prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for BTC in setups like this: short, hold 14 days, 6× — profitable 57.4% of the time, typical +7.6%, liquidated 9.4% of the time (n=102).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±3.7% over 14 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 302 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 102 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own BTC trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade BTC · by share of the last day's volume
AzbitSpot18% of BTC volumetrading · listing date not recorded
PionexSpot10% of BTC volumetrading · listing date not recorded
BTC$84.94K51% ▲ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
BTC$84.94K54% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 8× → +4.8%open calculator
BTC$84.94K58% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (108 cases) into 51% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a day later 50% of the time (1,465 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 50% · normal 47% higher a day later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 49% of the time (5,977 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+4%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (33,081 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 46% of the time (23,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (104 cases) into 46% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a week later 50% of the time (1,455 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 50% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 46% of the time (5,940 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (23,119 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (102 cases) into 42% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher 30 days later 47% of the time (1,416 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (5,811 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (22,845 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+4%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (32,080 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on BTC
Our last 6 calls on BTC over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on BTC: 47.9% hit rate, 66.7% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 61% down · ended +20.1%✗ wrongAug 2 said 61% down · ended +21.8%✗ wrongAug 9 said 61% down · ended +20.9%✗ wrongAug 16 said 60% down · ended +20.3%✗ wrongAug 23 said 61% down · ended +10.9%✗ wrongAug 30 said 64% down · ended +7.7%✗ wrong
white: BTC's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
8
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−15.9%
next up
in 486 days· recorded event
Every eventMEASURED8 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
BTC: 8 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
scheduled · in 486 days · measured from 2028-02-01
coinpaprika
2025
all-time high BTC all-time high: $126.17k
—
+10.1%
−1.7%
−6.7%
−15.9%
0.0%
−25.9%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Oct 6, 2025BTC set an all-time high; it fell 1.7% by day 1 and was 15.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +10.1% in the 7 days before.
BTC-USDT spot trading (quotes: PLN, AUD, AED, BRL, EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed BTC on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
BTC-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for BTC on Aug 28, 2018; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on BTC · questions · sources
BTC in short
Bitcoin (BTC), an L1 token on Bitcoin on the record since Jan 3, 2009, stands at rank #1 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 32.7% below its Oct 6, 2025 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $84,943 (+0.9% over 24 hours), market cap $1.71T, fully diluted value $1.71T, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: Segwit, Cryptocurrency, Proof Of Work, Payments, Sha256, Mining, Lightning Network, Layer 1 (L1), FTX Holdings.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; BTC is the native coin of Bitcoin, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
This site has 7 past events for Bitcoin: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −15.9%.
From the latest data refresh
Bitcoin (BTC) is an L1 token on Bitcoin, rank #1 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 32.7% below its Oct 6, 2025 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −15.9%.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for BTC as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
BTC is on 137 spot and 12 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Aug 28, 2018.
No listing of BTC has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 3, 2026.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for BTC as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for BTC as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Bitcoin as of Oct 3, 2026.
Bitcoin lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
4 people appear on this record (Jonas Schnelli, Marco Falke, Satoshi Nakamoto and Wladimir J. van der Laan); none appears on another record.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026.
The largest audience count is 5,958,815 reddit subscribers, read on Oct 3, 2026.
Development: 500 commits in 90 days on bitcoin/bitcoin, last commit Oct 3, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The record for BTC holds 7 events up to Oct 3, 2026: 1 carry a day-30 measurement, 0 are pending and 6 predate the price series, with 1 more scheduled ahead.
Best day-30 outcome: BTC all-time high: $126.17k on Oct 6, 2025 (−15.9%); worst: BTC all-time high: $126.17k on Oct 6, 2025 (−15.9%).
Median day-30 move by kind: all-time high −15.9% (n=1).
0 of the 1 measured events were followed by a higher price after 30 days (0.0%).
Events by year: 2025: 1, 2021: 4, 2018: 2.
events joined to effects (close before the event to close N days after, UTC); as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30; 5.9% were still up after 30 days; BTC's one sits above that median at −15.9%.
BTC sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for BTC on Bitcoin as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade BTC; the check is retried at every rebuild.
7 events since Jul 10, 2018; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best BTC all-time high: $126.17k on Oct 6, 2025 (−15.9%), worst BTC all-time high: $126.17k on Oct 6, 2025 (−15.9%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $126,173 on Oct 6, 2025, 362 days before Oct 3, 2026.
1 scheduled event beyond Oct 3, 2026 are drawn hollow until their effects can be measured.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The change log holds 1 entry between Oct 3, 2026 and Oct 3, 2026; the newest reads: Scheduled entry (paprika event, Feb 1, 2028): Bitcoin (BTC) Block Reward Halving 2028.
Changed since Oct 3, 2026: event paprika_event → 6 (Oct 3).
The fields that changed most often were event (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026.
As of Oct 3, 2026BTC trades on 137 spot venues and 12 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Aug 28, 2018 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 28, 2018, 885 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for BTC as of Oct 3, 2026.
940 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no BTC listing on record as of Oct 3, 2026 (Maker DAO PSM, Pancakeswap V3 (BSC), Phemex, Uniswap V4 (Ethereum), Aerodrome SlipStream 3 and Uniswap V3 (Ethereum), among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 3, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Bitcoin is $126,173 on Oct 6, 2025, 362 days ago as of Oct 3, 2026; the price is 32.7% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.03).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +0.9% over 24 hours, +1.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($1.71T of $1.71T), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $13.97B is 0.8% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 20.1M of 20.1M total (100.0%) and a maximum of 21M.
The L1 median 30-day change is 0.0% across 5 tokens, so BTC sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Bitcoin has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (bitcoin); it is the native coin of Bitcoin.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Bitcoin (BTC) is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries, using blockchain technology to ensure security and transparency. It was created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. Source: CoinPaprika.com
No other token on record uses the symbol BTC as of Oct 3, 2026.
Bitcoin shares its ticker with BTC (Bitcoin AI), BTC (Bitcoin Base), BTC (Bitcoin Seconde Chance), BTC (Bobby The Cat) and BTC (Buy The Cat) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: started Jan 3, 2009, first market data Jul 17, 2010, proof type Proof of Work, organisation Decentralized, whitepaper https://static.coinpaprika.com/storage/cdn/whitepapers/215.pdf.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id btc-bitcoin, DefiLlama slug bitcoin, GitHub bitcoin/bitcoin.
When the links were last read on Oct 3, 2026 the counts were 5,958,815 reddit subscribers and 161,310 twitter followers.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
The main repository bitcoin/bitcoin had 500 commits in the last 90 days and its last commit on Oct 3, 2026 (0 days before Oct 3, 2026); 90,306 stars, 1,366 contributors, MIT licence.
The repository was created on Dec 19, 2010, is written mainly in C++ and has 39,423 forks and 767 open issues.
Set against 5 L1 tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Bitcoin ranks at the 80th percentile for market cap, the 60th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $94.01B, the median distance from ATH −45.7% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Ethereum (#2), XRP (#5), Zcash (#10) and Monero (#14).
Market cap: $1.71T (P80 of 5; peer median $94.01B).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.82% (P0 of 5; peer median 1.23%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P40 of 5; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −32.7% (P60 of 5; peer median −45.7%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (too few peers (1) for a percentile).
Commits in 90 days: 500 (P70 of 5; peer median 360).
As of Oct 3, 2026: 51% chance BTC is higher tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move +0.1%, likely range −2.1% to +2.1%, from 108 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Bitcoin price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 54% chance BTC is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.5%, likely range −6.7% to +7.6%, from 104 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the BTC price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 3, 2026: 58% chance BTC is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −2.2%, likely range −17.7% to +19.1%, from 102 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these BTC predictions?
Across 48 backtested 30-day calls on BTC, the call was right 47.9% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 66.7% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Bitcoin?
Jonas Schnelli (Blockchain Developer), Marco Falke (Blockchain Developer), Satoshi Nakamoto (Founder) and Wladimir J. van der Laan (Blockchain Developer) appear on CoinPaprika's team list for Bitcoin as of Oct 3, 2026;
each has a career record on this site.
When is the next BTC unlock?
No future unlock is scheduled on DefiLlama for BTC as of Oct 3, 2026.
Is BTC listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed BTC.
How far is BTC from its all-time high?
32.7% below the $126,173 high of Oct 6, 2025, 362 days ago, at $84,943 on Oct 3, 2026.
Has Bitcoin been hacked?
No hack is recorded on DefiLlama for Bitcoin as of Oct 3, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 147 exchanges (ATAIX, AltQuick.com, Aster DEX, Azbit, BCEX and BIT.TEAM), 4 people (Jonas Schnelli, Marco Falke, Satoshi Nakamoto and Wladimir J. van der Laan) as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 3,558 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
