PATTERN+TERMINAL ENGINE ONLINE 3,046cases replayed 147,453tests last night1,251,912tests since Oct 6, 2026935coins scanned 2026-10-14UTC DAILY CLOSE IN --:--:-- NEXT BUILD 03:23 UTC --:--:-- PLAYS FROM THE OCT 13, 2026 CLOSE

BTC 83,169 ~~+1.6%~~ETH 2,498 ~~+2.1%~~SOL 106.83 ~~+1.0%~~XRP 1.37 ~~+1.8%~~DOGE 0.0844 ~~+2.6%~~ADA 0.2360 ~~+1.2%~~AVAX 10.23 ~~+0.8%~~LINK 12.88 ~~+2.1%~~SUI 1.05 ~~+1.9%~~LTC 61.19 ~~+0.2%~~DOT 1.16 ~~−0.8%~~UNI 7.54 ~~+8.2%~~NEAR 5.04 ~~−1.0%~~AAVE 160.42 ~~+2.2%~~▲ QNT LONG 7D 2× · MADE MONEY IN 51% OF 370 CASES▼ FF SHORT 7D 2× · MADE MONEY IN 61% OF 394 CASES▼ FF SHORT 7D 5× · MADE MONEY IN 58% OF 394 CASES · DEGEN▲ DRV LONG 30D 1× · MADE MONEY IN 53% OF 360 CASES▼ WIF SHORT 30D 1× · MADE MONEY IN 70% OF 389 CASES▼ AAVE SHORT 30D 3× · MADE MONEY IN 63% OF 396 CASES · DEGEN▲ BLAST LONG 1D 3× · MADE MONEY IN 51% OF 358 CASES▼ AZTEC SHORT 1D 2× · MADE MONEY IN 57% OF 385 CASESCALL AIN 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL AKE 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL ALEO 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL AMP 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL AZTEC 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL BAT 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL BLUAI 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL BTW 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL BULLA 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL CC 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL CWEB 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL DEEP 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL ELIZAOS 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL FLUID 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL FUEL 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL GNS 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL GWEI 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL HTR 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL ICNT 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL IMU 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL JCT 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL JELLYJELLY 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL MAGIC 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSCALL MAGMA 1D DOWN · RIGHT 62% OF PAST CALLSFEES_JUMP OSMO · USAGE UP 2.2X: OSMO'S PROTOCOL TOOK $76K IN A WEEK · OCT 15, 2026PPI BTC · US PPI RELEASE · OCT 15, 2026RETAIL BTC · US RETAIL SALES RELEASE · OCT 15, 2026UNLOCK LMTS · 2.2% OF SUPPLY UNLOCKS · OCT 15, 2026DIFFICULTY BTC · BITCOIN DIFFICULTY ADJUSTMENT (ESTIMATED +5.6%) · OCT 16, 2026FEES_DROP MET · USAGE DOWN 0.5X: MET'S PROTOCOL TOOK $7.0M IN A WEEK · OCT 16, 2026FEES_DROP MUSD · USAGE DOWN 0.5X: MUSD'S PROTOCOL TOOK $518K IN A WEEK · OCT 16, 2026VOTE GTC · [PROPOSAL] UPDATE SNAPSHOT QUORUM FROM 2.5M TO 1.5M GTC · OCT 16, 2026LAUNCHES RECORDED 3,146 · 1,800 DEAD WITHIN 24H

The terminal every past case behind today's plays, replayed in front of you

Each of today's best plays, replayed on every past case it stands on: 3,046 real price paths, each ending as a win, a loss or a liquidation for that exact trade. Nothing here is simulated: every number comes from our database, the prices on top live from Coinbase's public feed and the spot panel from Kraken's.

SOURCESreading

reads every feed, every night

103 sources read

100 answering

ARCHIVEstoring

keeps every event, dated

17,599 events on record

LABtesting

tests every idea on its own past

147,111 tests

1,251,912 since Oct 6, 2026

FILTERcutting

kills what doesn't hold

237 proven

0.16% of tonight's tests survive

SCANscanning

every coin, every night

935 coins predicted

coins · as of Oct 13

CALLScalling

only what cleared the bar

6 earned calls

earned calls · 7 days

ENGINEreplaying

replays every past case

3,046 cases

8 plays today

CRAWLERcrawling

records launches from birth

3,146 launches

1,800 dead within 24 hours

RECORDscoring

scores every post we made

40 posts

14 settled, 6 made money

THE LABwe test, we don't guess

1,251,912

tests run over 9 nights since Oct 6, 2026, each one kept, misses included

IDEAS: 149,260
HOLDING: 226
EVER PROVEN: 314
STOPPED HOLDING: 71

RECORDevery play we posted · scored

−$92

$100 on each of the 14 plays whose hold is over: 6 made money, median −12% on the margin, 2 liquidated.

40 posts on record since Oct 7, 2026 · every one, scored

the ledger, night by night

CALL GRID214 earned · 935 coins scanned

▲/▼ a call that held up out of sample, with how often its kind was right · grey: the swing 8 in 10 cases stayed within, no side taken · each tile's line: its coin's last 30 closes · all predictions

PATTERN ENGINE370 cases · replaying

pattern engine

QNT long for 7 days at 2×, replayed on every one of the 370 past cases it stands on, each from today's price.

CASES: 370
EFFECTIVE: 370
HOLD: 7d

HOW A PLAY IS BORN

similar past cases370
side · holdLONG · 7D
leverage · liquidation2× · 49.3%
made money50.7%
typical result1.0%

# best_play.rules · every number this desk believes
won_more_than_half > 0.50  0.5073 ✓
max_liquidated <= 0.05  0.0243 ✓
min_effective_cases >= 30  369.9 ✓
typical_result > 0  0.0104 ✓
average_result > 0  0.0848 ✓

QNT long for 7 days at 2×: the bold line is QNT's own last 30 days; each thin line is one of the 370 past cases it stands on, from today's price - green made money, red lost, a red cross was liquidated. Why this play: Bitcoin above its 50-day average; 47% below its high.

FILLSour X posts · 40 on record

10-13 17:56▼ ARSHORT 30D 2× · DGNOPEN−10%
10-13 15:56▼ VIRTUALSHORT 30D 1×OPEN−2.6%
10-13 13:56▼ EDGESHORT 7D 5× · DGNOPEN+4.2%
10-13 11:56▼ EDGESHORT 7D 2×OPEN+1.7%
10-13 06:16▼ AKESHORT 1D 7× · DGNCLOSED−35%
10-13 06:16▼ AKESHORT 1D 3×CLOSED−15%
10-12 17:56▼ SANDSHORT 30D 2× · DGNOPEN+19%
10-12 15:56▼ UNISHORT 30D 1×OPEN+2.9%
10-12 13:56▼ SPXSHORT 7D 5× · DGNOPEN+21%
10-12 11:56▼ FFSHORT 7D 2×OPEN+4.1%
10-12 06:20▼ BSVSHORT 1D 10× · DGNCLOSED+59%
10-12 06:20▼ CHIPSHORT 1D 3×CLOSED+46%
10-11 17:56▼ ICPSHORT 30D 3× · DGNOPEN−7.0%
10-11 15:56▼ ICPSHORT 30D 1×OPEN−2.3%
10-11 13:56▼ MSHORT 7D 6× · DGNOPEN+73%
10-11 11:56▼ ETHSHORT 7D 5×OPEN+0.3%
10-11 06:11▼ USELESSSHORT 1D 4× · DGNCLOSED+23%
10-11 06:10▼ USELESSSHORT 1D 3×CLOSED+17%
10-10 17:56▼ UNISHORT 30D 3× · DGNOPEN−6.2%
10-10 15:56▼ UNISHORT 30D 1×OPEN−2.1%
10-10 13:56▼ HSHORT 7D 5× · DGNOPEN+35%
10-10 11:56▼ USELESSSHORT 7D 2×OPEN+13%
10-10 06:38▼ USELESSSHORT 1D 6× · DGNLIQUIDATED−100%
10-10 06:38▼ VVVSHORT 1D 3×CLOSED−30%
10-09 18:00▼ BONKSHORT 30D 3× · DGNOPEN+8.1%
10-09 15:56▼ FETSHORT 30D 1×OPEN+2.9%
10-09 13:56▼ STABLESHORT 7D 6× · DGNOPEN−18%
10-09 11:56▲ NIGHTLONG 7D 3×OPEN−5.6%
10-09 05:41▼ NEARSHORT 1D 9× · DGNLIQUIDATED−100%
10-09 05:41▼ STABLESHORT 1D 3×CLOSED−16%
10-08 17:56▼ INJSHORT 30D 3× · DGNOPEN−30%
10-08 15:56▼ XCNSHORT 30D 2×OPEN0.0%
10-08 13:56▼ FORMSHORT 7D 7× · DGNOPEN−22%
10-08 11:56▼ MSHORT 7D 4×OPEN+77%
10-08 05:43▼ PIEVERSESHORT 1D 10× · DGNCLOSED−14%
10-08 05:42▼ USELESSSHORT 1D 5×CLOSED+41%
10-07 18:12▼ RUNESHORT 30D 3× · DGNOPEN+38%
10-07 12:23▼ CAKESHORT 30D 2×OPEN+7.3%
10-07 08:25▼ USELESSSHORT 1D 5×CLOSED+44%
10-07 00:55▼ RAISHORT 7D 7×CLOSED−11%

LANDING CURVEwhere the 370 cases ended

On your margin at 2×: typical 1.0%, 1 in 10 below -50.5%, 1 in 10 above 68.2%.

HORIZON SPECTRUM7 days · 370 cases

Each ridge is one day of the hold: how far the past cases had moved by then. The spread is the risk, widening day by day. Point at a ridge for its numbers.

LAUNCH RADARnewest 120 launches

3,146 launches recorded from birth; 1,800 were dead within 24 hours. Red died, green still trades, gold graduated.

newest 2026-10-11 01:29 UTC · the graveyard · rug check a token

CATALYSTSnext on the calendar

FEES_JUMPOSMO Usage up 2.2x: OSMO's protocol took $76k in a weekOct 15, 2026
PPIBTC US PPI releaseOct 15, 2026
RETAILBTC US retail sales releaseOct 15, 2026
UNLOCKLMTS 2.2% of supply unlocksOct 15, 2026
DIFFICULTYBTC Bitcoin difficulty adjustment (estimated +5.6%)Oct 16, 2026
FEES_DROPMET Usage down 0.5x: MET's protocol took $7.0M in a weekOct 16, 2026
FEES_DROPMUSD Usage down 0.5x: MUSD's protocol took $518k in a weekOct 16, 2026
VOTEGTC [PROPOSAL] Update Snapshot Quorum from 2.5M to 1.5M GTCOct 16, 2026

the full calendar

MARKET REGIMEeach reading against its own history

Bitcoin vs 200-day average+15.2% above it higher than on 65% of days since Mar 4, 2018
Bitcoin vs 50-day average+2.5% above it higher than on 55% of days since Oct 5, 2017
Bitcoin's 30-day volatility39% a year lower than on 79% of days since Sep 16, 2017
Perp funding, typical coin+4.7% a year lower than on 77% of days since Sep 1, 2025
Fear & Greed index62 of 100 last at an extreme: extreme fear at 11 on Jun 3, 2026
Bitcoin implied volatility38 a year last low: 35 on Sep 26, 2026
Coinbase premium+0.011% on Coinbase last premium spike: +0.02% on Jul 29, 2026
Korean premium, typical coin−0.0% on Upbit lower than on 80% of days since Sep 1, 2025
Stablecoins, 7-day change−$1.8B −0.6% in a week lower than on 97% of days since Dec 6, 2017
Spot ETF flows2 in · 3 out big days latest: Bitcoin ETFs: $487M out in a day (Oct 8, 2026)

what moves each coin

How to read the terminal

The engine is the heart of the site. For each of today's best plays it takes every past case the play stands on, the same days with the same setup on this coin and on similar ones, and draws what price did next, starting from today's price. A case turns green if the trade made money on it, red if it lost, and ends in a red cross where it would have been liquidated. The counters keep score case by case with the same weights the site uses, so when the last case lands they show the play's own numbers. The rules beside it are the bar every play has to clear before the site shows it, with this play's own numbers.

The landing curve stacks where those cases ended on your margin. The horizon spectrum shows how far they had moved after each day of the hold: the spread you would sit through. The call grid is every call that has held up out of sample today, and the expected swing of the coins where no side has. The record is every play our X account posted, scored on our own closes, misses included. The desk on top is the machine part by part, each with last night's own number.

Past patterns, not financial advice. A play can lose: the red lines are real cases where it did.