TODAY'S BEST CRYPTO PLAYS: LONG OR SHORT, THE LEVERAGE, THE TARGET AND YOUR ODDS OF GETTING LIQUIDATED

TRADE PATTERNS, NOT VIBES.

Every night we replay every past time a coin's chart looked like today's and hand you the play: long or short, how much leverage, where to take profit and how often it got liquidated. New here? Read a play in 2 minutes →

74–89% of retail traders lose money on leverage. 85% of our posted plays made money.

74–89% of retail CFD accounts lose money (ESMA, 2018) · 97% of 300-day futures day traders lost money (FGV study, Brazil) · ours: 66 of 78 posts, each at the leverage and target it named →

Best plays we posted: +9.8% on the money staked · vibe trading: +0.3% · +$6,437 on $1,000 a play, $2,000 on the strong ones since Oct 7, 2026 · every play, scored →

The day's plays, free, the moment they go out: Telegram · X → · Ask our bot about any coin, in any chat: open it or add it to your group

Best plays on patterns firing now

Biggest typical win · more wins than losses · ≤1 in 20 liquidated · ✓ proven on data it never saw

None today▲no long call earned itHOT▼+8.4%60% chance · price +4.2%1D · 2× · close +2.7%✓ right 62% vs 53%Why: up 27% over the last day · Binance funding of -9.57% over the last 7 days · up 56% over the last 3 days OSMO▼+11%61% chance · price +3.5%1D · 3× · close +2.7%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: up 4.6% over the last day · swinging 11% a day over the last 30 days · 68% above its 90-day low RUNE▼+9.0%61% chance · price +3.0%1D · 3× · close +2.7%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: up 13% over the last day · volume 4.5× its 30-day median · 56% above its 90-day low PIVX▼+7.7%60% chance · price +3.9%1D · 2× · close +2.2%✓ right 62% vs 53%Why: up 20% over the last day · 361% above its 90-day low · up 16% over the last 3 days GTC▼+10%60% chance · price +3.5%1D · 3× · close +2.1%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: Binance funding of -4.89% over the last 7 days · 193% above its 90-day low · swinging 15% a day over the last 30 days

24 plays on earned calls today, the best 5 shown · the other 5 won more often than they lost but lost money on average

🎲 Degen plays · riskier, bigger upside

RUNE▼+22%57% chance · price +2.7%1D · 8× · close +6.4%liquidated 10% · best 1 in 10 +59%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: up 13% over the last day · volume 4.5× its 30-day median · 56% above its 90-day low NIGHT▼+24%57% chance · price +2.7%1D · 9× · close +5.4%liquidated 6.2% · best 1 in 10 +59%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: 150% above its 90-day low · up 5.2% over the last day · up 4.8% over the last 3 days PUMP▼+18%57% chance · price +2.5%1D · 7× · close +2.1%liquidated 5.9% · best 1 in 10 +47%✓ right 58% vs 52%Why: up 8.9% over the last day · 91% above its 90-day low · up 2.9% over the last 3 days

pattern firing now · HOT

After a 57% run this week · Bitcoin trending down

Bitcoin below its 50-day averagevolume spikeup 57% over 7 days+5 more

all our data combined · right 62% of 50,484 calls ▼255 past setups like this

next 1 day

−40%−20%0%−20%0%+20%+40%liq at 2×+57% in 7 days↑ more than 60% below its all-time high✕✕

−30dnow+1d

Bold: HOT's last 30 days · lines: 30 past setups like this, what they did next ·

best play · HOT

▼ SHORT · 1 DAY · 2×

+8.4%60% chance it gets there along the way · price +4.2%?40% chance: +15%

+2.7%typical result on your margin?: +$27.30 on $1,000

average per trade +1.5% · 383 past cases
liquidated? 2%
best 1 in 10: +24%
worst 1 in 10: −19%

HOT's typical case moved −1.37% in 1 day. Short at 2× your $1,000 is a $2,000 position, so that move is +⁠$27.30.

▲ Longprofit if HOT rises▼ Shortprofit if HOT falls

Leverage?2×

best

Play it in the calculator → Track this play free →

Trade HOT onBinance ↗

best of 20 plays replayed on these past cases · past cases, not a promise

Our record · since Oct 7, 2026 Every play we posted on X, in at the signal, out at the target it named. Best plays: +9.8% on the money staked · +$6,437 ($1,000 a play, $2,000 on the 26 strong ones) · best +44% USELESS 🎲 Degen plays: +10% on the money staked · +$6,445 ($1,000 a play, $2,000 on the 26 strong ones) · best +50% CAKE See every post →

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How today's best plays were chosen

From every source we read to the plays above, in the numbers of the last nightly build

Last night · Nov 4103 sources164,795 tests253 proven5 best plays

Since Oct 6, 2026: 4,519,141 tests over 30 nights · 167,258 different ideas tried · 353 ever proven · every night →

01 Sources

103 sources read

Every night we read 103 free sources; 95 answered on their last read and 7 failed.
- Exchanges and prices 10
- Event feeds 12
- Vesting and unlocks 8
- Token facts 5
- Our own files 5
- Collected for the lab 63
Every source
02 Raw material

22,106 events on record

Everything they give us is kept, dated and day by day.
- Events on record 22,106
- Daily closes 1,105,010 of 1,200 coins
- Outside series 900 1,100,165 values
Which events moved price
03 Tests run

164,795 tests

Last night every idea was tested on that history.
- What moves each coin 154,802 coin by coin, driver by driver
- Collected series 6,047 360 series with enough history
- Whole trading rules 3,680
- Kinds of event against our own chances 146
- Kinds of event against ordinary days 120 at 1, 7 and 30 days
- Tested for the first time 248 never tried on an earlier night
What moves each coin
04 Filters

253 proven

253 of 164,795 survive. A finding stays only if it clears a 10% false-discovery cut over every test that night (5% for the trading rules) and both halves of its history agree; a trading rule must also earn on the newest 40% of the history, which the search never saw.
- Coin drivers proven 218 on 136 coins · 3,643 more likely
- Collected series proven 1 271 more likely
- Trading rules kept 17 paper-traded from the night each was found
- Kinds of event that move a chance 7
- Kinds of event with a clear edge 10 of 40 against ordinary days
The cut: 10% for the coin drivers, the series and the kinds of event (each horizon's tests together); 5% for the trading rules; a proven driver or series finding also rests on 12 cases or more; a kind of event's clear edge needs its 95% range clear of its coins' ordinary days.
What failed and what held
05 Predictions

1,009 coins predicted

Every coin gets the range 8 in 10 of its past cases ended inside over 1, 7 and 30 days; a direction only where a call held up out of sample: 239 for tomorrow, 3 over 7 days, 0 over 30 days today.
- Coins with an expected swing 1,009 for 1, 7 and 30 days
- Earned calls for tomorrow 239 held up out of sample
- Earned calls over 7 days 3 held up out of sample
- Earned calls over 30 days 0 held up out of sample
- No clear edge over 7 days 1,006 no direction shown
Every prediction
06 Best plays

5 best plays

Each coin with a call that earned it out of sample, its play on that call's side replayed on its own past cases at every leverage up to 10×: 24 of 972 coins cleared the bar (more wins than losses, at most 1 in 20 liquidated). The best shorts (no long cleared it), held 1 day:
How often we're right

HOT ▼ shortavg +1.5% per trade+8.4% 1D · 2× OSMO ▼ shortavg +1.3% per trade+11% 1D · 3× RUNE ▼ shortavg +1.4% per trade+9.0% 1D · 3× PIVX ▼ shortavg +0.4% per trade+7.7% 1D · 2× GTC ▼ shortavg +1.2% per trade+10% 1D · 3×

Biggest expected swings

Widest likely range first 1009 coins · 3 earned calls · next 7 days

IRONIron Fish −58% to +97% typical−4.8% liq. 10×87% NO EDGE 2

AINAI Network −54% to +60% typical−10.7% liq. 10×82% NO EDGE 3

AGTAlaya Governance Token −48% to +66% typical−12.8% liq. 10×86% NO EDGE 4

UMXMManadia −48% to +66% typical−3.6% liq. 10×88% NO EDGE 5 ECHOEcho Protocol −46% to +62% typical−3.4% liq. 10×85% NO EDGE 6

IDOLMEET48 −45% to +62% typical−8.5% liq. 10×80% NO EDGE

likely range: where 8 in 10 similar past setups ended · liq.: liquidated at 10× in similar past setups, the worse of long and short · a direction only where a call earned it out of sample, else no clear edge · Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. · every prediction →

Beat the pattern

today's puzzle #9 · 5 charts →full game · 10 rounds →

Mystery coin · the last 60 dayswhich way next?

This game runs in your browser: turn on JavaScript to play.

You 0 Model 0 Streak 0 Best 0 Round 1/10 Pattern record 61%

A real chart. In 7 days: higher or lower?

200 real charts from 200 coins · our model got 61% of its calls right on them; betting each chart keeps its 60-day trend got 54%. Can you beat it?

Coming up

What past events like each one did next: the share that rose and the typical move

Full calendar

8 events in the next 72 hoursafter 5 of them, past cases fell the next day 50–59% of the timenext up OSMO Usage down 0.5x: OSMO's protocol took $24k in a week tomorrow

76 events in the next 30 days:55% or more of past cases rose the next day55% or more fellin betweentoo few past casesthe calendar →

tomorrowNov 5, 2026

OSMOOsmosis

OSMO: Usage down 0.5x: OSMO's protocol took $24k in a week tomorrow.

next day41% up−1.1%

7 days39% up−3.0%

30 days33% up−10.3%

After events like this, the price fell the next day 59% of the time (234 past cases).

OSMO prediction

tomorrowNov 5, 2026

RENDERRender

RENDER: Usage down 0.2x: RENDER's protocol took $50k in a week tomorrow.

next day43% up−1.2%

7 days47% up−0.8%

30 days33% up−13.4%

After events like this, the price fell the next day 57% of the time (75 past cases).

RENDER prediction

tomorrowNov 5, 2026flipped

RUNETHORChain

RUNE: Usage up 2.0x: RUNE's protocol took $738k in a week tomorrow.

next day51% up+0.3%

7 days45% up−1.2%

30 days52% up+1.8%

After events like this, the price was higher the next day 51% of the time (158 past cases).

RUNE prediction

tomorrowNov 5, 2026flipped

XAUTTether Gold

XAUT: Usage up 3.8x: XAUT's protocol took $195k in a week tomorrow.

next day50% up−0.2%

7 days55% up+1.2%

30 days58% up+2.5%

After events like this, the price fell the next day 50% of the time (101 past cases).

XAUT prediction

tomorrowNov 5, 2026

ENAEthena

ENA unlocks 2.0% of its supply tomorrow.

$45.21M at today's price · Projected quarterly release

next day45% up−0.4%

7 days48% up−0.5%

30 days42% up−3.0%

After unlocks like this, the price fell the next day 55% of the time (53 past cases).

ENA prediction

tomorrowNov 5, 2026

ARBArbitrum

ARB: [Constitutional] AIP: Stylus Activation Contract tomorrow.

next day51% up+0.2%

7 days47% up−0.8%

30 days45% up−2.6%

After events like this, the price was higher the next day 51% of the time (548 past cases).

ARB prediction

Setups firing today

Rules from past patterns that fired on the latest close, and how they played out before

Every setup

Weak and bleeding

firing onRAIN M UB B JTO H 2Z DEXE B3 WEMIX KAITO CFG AB XPR ZANO BAN COAI ULTIMA XNO JELLYJELLY NEX MMT ARC BDCA BAS ZIL ALLO UAI RAVE SKYAI CCD NXPC TROLL ZEREBRO SQD KTA RVN BLUR APR EUL DEGEN UP BSB OPEN COTI CYS RIVER QANX BLESS ANSEM DAG TUT WMTX MANTRA XP BICO BUSY LBC ZBT PRL KGEN COLLECT SAPIEN BILL CORE BASED BANK ROBO PRIME ENSO BLUAI ROLL SLX SERV CHEEL GNS INX HMSTR ROG WOJAK IXS SPACE WELL HEI UDS TLOS TLM KISHU SUPRA RSC AEON PSG BRISE REDO LMTS APU XAVA DADDY HDN FLY WXT MANYU WILD NIM DEUS ATM BGSC SOPH BB ATS CWEB TOWNS CITY GROK AZERO BCCOIN XEP CRE DINGO BUBBLE BABYSHARK ML READY PX EVER TAI GOOGLX MITO AIDOGE GMEE ARW MYRO NODL HOLD NUX GUN CXT SHIDO TT LIME BENJI KCT REACT TRADE KONET PIPE PIB SUNDOG REEF WHITEWHALE D2T UOS NAP DMC A47 HELLO UMXM VINU SOEX NODE NEON OKLOON PINGO IR LMWR ANOME IRON TRCL RSS3 CRWDX LOA XCX DTEC FOREX ECHO GHUB DESO POP RDDTON

61.3%lagged Bitcoin

typical vs BTC: −2.9%
average vs BTC: −0.1%
cases: 22,285
hold: 10 days

Held up on newer cases (61% → 61%)

Big unlock this week

firing onMOVE

36.7%were higher

typical: −3.7%
average: −0.5%
cases: 294
hold: 7 days

Held up on newer cases (35% → 40%)

Replay a pattern

Real setups replayed as trades on every past case: open one and replay it

Pick any pattern

50/200 crossShort death crosses · hold 14d · 1×66%profitable in 66% of 591 past casestypical result +5.1% on margin✕ 3% liquidatedReplay it ListingsShort listings · micro caps · hold 3d · 1×71%profitable in 71% of 270 past casestypical result +8.2% on margin✕ 3% liquidatedReplay it DelistingsShort delistings · micro caps · hold 3d · 3×97%profitable in 97% of 34 past casestypical result +31.5% on marginnever liquidatedReplay it Rubber bandLong coins below their 30d avg · hold 3d · 3×64%profitable in 64% of 349 past casestypical result +4.2% on margin✕ 3% liquidatedReplay it

Replayed on past cases, not a promise · Beat the pattern: call a real chart →

What our plays made

Every play we posted on X, in at the signal and out at the target it named, $1,000 a play, $2,000 on the strong ones, misses included

Every post

Best plays · since Oct 7, 2026

+9.8% on the money staked

$1,000 a play, $2,000 on the 26 strong ones: +$6,437 · vibe trading the same coins, same stakes: +0.3%

average win +14%
best +44% USELESS ▼ 5×
made money 35 of 40
hit the target 29
average loss −18%
liquidated 0

🎲 Degen plays · since Oct 8, 2026

+10% on the money staked

$1,000 a play, $2,000 on the 26 strong ones: +$6,445

average win +24%
best +50% CAKE ▼ 7×
made money 31 of 38
hit the target 28
average loss −70%
liquidated 4

What we said vs what happened 7-day calls · live

Each dot is a band of predictions: across, the chance we gave; up, how often the price really ended higher. On the dashed line the two agree; a bigger dot holds more predictions.

We said under 30%: it happened 22% of the time (83 predictions)
We said 30–40%: it happened 19% of the time (3,832 predictions)
We said 40–50%: it happened 22% of the time (16,866 predictions)
We said 50–60%: it happened 21% of the time (1,040 predictions)

Live record: 21,821 7-day predictions published from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026 and scored since · every table →

Live since Oct 3, 2026: 86,034 calls published, 50,579 scored so farfirst results Oct 4 (1 day) · Oct 10 (7 days) · Nov 2 (30 days)every hit rate printed to one decimal, not rounded up

Market record

What the price did after recent events, listings and unlocks: measured, not guessed

+31 cases measured todaylast case measured yesterday

Recorded in the last 48 hours

45 events in the last 48 hours · a move that can't be measured yet shows the day it lands

Nov 42026delistingOKX delists VELODROMEnewVELODROME · OKX · VELODROME left the spot instrument list; detected on rebuild.7d before—next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026perpetual listingOKX lists SMR perpetualnewSMR · OKX · source ↗ · SMR-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading.7d before—next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026perpetual listingOKX lists OXY perpetualnewOXY · OKX · source ↗ · OXY-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading.7d before—next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026perpetual listingOKX lists MURATA perpetualnewMURATA · OKX · source ↗ · MURATA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading.7d before—next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme highFunding +84% a year: longs paying shortsnewBitlight · source ↗ · Binance's LIGHTUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 added up to +0.2296% over the day (+84% a year), above 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−19.1%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme lowFunding -948% a year: shorts paying longsnewCaldera · source ↗ · Binance's ERAUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 added up to -2.5967% over the day (-948% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−21.1%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme lowFunding -48% a year: shorts paying longsnewMonad · source ↗ · Binance's MONUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 added up to -0.1323% over the day (-48% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−15.7%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme lowFunding -2% a year: shorts paying longsnewPlasma · source ↗ · Hyperliquid's XPL perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 averaged -0.0003% an hour (-2% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−14.6%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme lowFunding -10% a year: shorts paying longsnewGram (prev. Toncoin) · source ↗ · Hyperliquid's GRAM perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 averaged -0.0011% an hour (-10% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−4.4%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026funding extreme lowFunding -27% a year: shorts paying longsnewEthereum Classic · source ↗ · Hyperliquid's ETC perpetual: funding on 2026-11-03 averaged -0.0030% an hour (-27% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−8.0%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026usage surgeUsage up 3.5x: STREAM's protocol took $113k in a weeknewStreamflow · source ↗ · Users paid STREAM's protocol $113k in the week to 2026-11-02 (DefiLlama), 3.5 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-11-04: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week.7d before−1.6%next daytomorrow7 daysin 7 days30 daysin 30 days

Nov 32026Wikipedia attention spikeAttention spike: 1,186 read STABLE's Wikipedia article, 3.1x usualnewStable · source ↗ · 1,186 people read the Wikipedia article 'Stablecoin' on 2026-11-01, 3.1 times the median day of the 28 days before. Wikimedia publishes a day's count within a day of its end, so the event is dated 2026-11-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after the day it counts.7d before+1.4%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026perpetual listingBybit lists USDBRL perpetualnewUSDBRL · Bybit · source ↗ · USDBRLUSDT perpetual trading.7d before—next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026perpetual listingBybit lists PFE perpetualnewPFE · Bybit · source ↗ · PFEUSDT perpetual trading.7d before—next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026perpetual listingBybit lists CEG perpetualnewCEG · Bybit · source ↗ · CEGUSDT perpetual trading.7d before—next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026perpetual listingBybit lists AKAM perpetualnewAKAM · Bybit · source ↗ · AKAMUSDT perpetual trading.7d before—next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026funding extreme lowFunding -1063% a year: shorts paying longsnewSimon's Cat · source ↗ · Binance's 1000CATUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-02 added up to -2.9127% over the day (-1063% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before+4.0%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026funding extreme lowFunding -17% a year: shorts paying longsnewMantle · source ↗ · Hyperliquid's MNT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-02 averaged -0.0020% an hour (-17% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−7.9%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026funding extreme lowFunding -2% a year: shorts paying longsnewAave · source ↗ · Hyperliquid's AAVE perpetual: funding on 2026-11-02 averaged -0.0002% an hour (-2% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−6.8%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026usage surgeUsage up 2.1x: API3's protocol took $56k in a weeknewAPI3 · source ↗ · Users paid API3's protocol $56k in the week to 2026-11-01 (DefiLlama), 2.1 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-11-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week.7d before−7.5%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026usage slumpUsage down 0.4x: 2Z's protocol took $27k in a weeknewDoubleZero · source ↗ · Users paid 2Z's protocol $27k in the week to 2026-11-01 (DefiLlama), 0.4 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2026-11-03: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week.7d before−16.8%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026TVL surgeTVL rose 64% in a daynewNexo · source ↗ · NEXO's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 64% during 2026-11-01, from $16M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-11-03, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before.7d before−8.6%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026all-time highSNAKT all-time high: $0.001868686641newSna-King Trump · Highest daily close in our price history.7d before—next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026all-time highXUSD all-time high: $1.09newStraitsX USD · Highest daily close in our price history.7d before−0.1%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026delistingCoinbase delists VELOnewVelo · Coinbase · VELO left the spot instrument list; detected on rebuild.7d before−13.6%next day—7 daysin 6 days30 daysin 29 days

Nov 22026Korean premium spikeKorean premium: TFUEL +2.7% on UpbitnewTheta Fuel · source ↗ · TFUEL closed 2026-11-01 2.7% dearer on Upbit (KRW-TFUEL, in won) than elsewhere, both measured in Bitcoin, above 99% of its past year: Korean buyers chasing it. The move is the coin's, from that day's close.7d before−6.9%next day−1.8%7 daysin 5 days30 daysin 28 days

Nov 22026Korean premium spikeKorean premium: STEEM +2.4% on UpbitnewSteem · source ↗ · STEEM closed 2026-11-01 2.4% dearer on Upbit (KRW-STEEM, in won) than elsewhere, both measured in Bitcoin, above 100% of its past year: Korean buyers chasing it. The move is the coin's, from that day's close.7d before−1.4%next day−4.7%7 daysin 5 days30 daysin 28 days

Nov 22026Korean premium spikeKorean premium: G +2.8% on UpbitnewGravity · source ↗ · G closed 2026-11-01 2.8% dearer on Upbit (KRW-G, in won) than elsewhere, both measured in Bitcoin, above 99% of its past year: Korean buyers chasing it. The move is the coin's, from that day's close.7d before−0.3%next day−11.4%7 daysin 5 days30 daysin 28 days

Nov 22026funding extreme lowFunding -1925% a year: shorts paying longsnewPower Ledger · source ↗ · Binance's POWRUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-01 added up to -5.2736% over the day (-1925% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before+11.5%next day−8.1%7 daysin 5 days30 daysin 28 days

Nov 22026funding extreme lowFunding -317% a year: shorts paying longsnewGravity · source ↗ · Binance's GUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-11-01 added up to -0.8676% over the day (-317% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known.7d before−0.3%next day−11.4%7 daysin 5 days30 daysin 28 days

Every event in February 2028 →How a move is measured →

New listings

The this week exchange listings and what the price did next

Nov 42026OKXOKX lists SMRperpsSMRnext daytomorrow30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026OKXOKX lists OXYperpsOXYnext daytomorrow30 daysin 30 days

Nov 42026OKXOKX lists MURATAperpsMURATAnext daytomorrow30 daysin 30 days

Nov 32026BybitBybit lists USDBRLperpsUSDBRLnext day—30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026BybitBybit lists PFEperpsPFEnext day—30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026BybitBybit lists CEGperpsCEGnext day—30 daysin 29 days

Nov 32026BybitBybit lists AKAMperpsAKAMnext day—30 daysin 29 days

Nov 22026BybitBybit lists KORKORnext day—30 daysin 28 days

Every listing and what followed →Exchanges by listing effect →

Next 30 days of unlocks

67 unlocks scheduled, sized in dollars at today's price · each row carries what the token's past unlocks did over 30 days

Nov 5tomorrowEthena (ENA)267.19M tokens · Projected quarterly release · $45.21M2.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−13.4%n=4last 53: 45% higher next day

Nov 9in 5 daysVelvet (VELVET)5M tokens · Sablier vesting · $247.57K4.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−1.1%n=15last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 10in 6 daysFalcon Finance (FF)1.43M tokens · Sablier vesting · $125.76K0.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+7.3%n=7

Nov 10in 6 daysMovement (MOVE)164.58M tokens · Projected monthly release · $979.88K3.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−9.4%n=8last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 13in 9 daysCentrifuge (CFG)25K tokens · Sablier vesting · $2.26K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 13in 9 daysEspresso (ESP)19.95M tokens · Projected monthly release · $1.51M3.8%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+15.2%n=3last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 14in 10 daysCentrifuge (CFG)16.67K tokens · Sablier vesting · $1.51K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 14in 10 daysMoonwell (WELL)370.5K tokens · Sablier vesting · $6590.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 14in 10 daysAptos (APT)11.36M tokens · Projected monthly release · $7M1.3%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−5.2%n=11last 34: 56% higher next day ⚠

Nov 15in 11 daysMoonwell (WELL)82.65K tokens · Sablier vesting · $1470.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 15in 11 daysLimitless (LMTS)2.92M tokens · Sablier vesting · $87.56K2.2%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−29.0%n=4last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 18in 14 daysCentrifuge (CFG)5.56K tokens · Sablier vesting · $5020.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 18in 14 daysRaydium (RAY)271.88K tokens · Streamflow vesting · $410.66K0.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 18in 14 daysCronos (CRO)1.17B tokens · Projected monthly release · $58.58M2.3%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−4.6%n=9last 18: 50% higher next day

Nov 19in 15 daysHeyElsa (ELSA)17.7M tokens · Sablier vesting · $1.15M7.7%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−5.0%n=8last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 19in 15 daysPump.fun (PUMP)4.98B tokens · Streamflow vesting · $19.58M1.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+40.3%n=2last 53: 45% higher next day

Nov 20in 16 daysMoonwell (WELL)170.53K tokens · Sablier vesting · $3030.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 22in 18 daysCentrifuge (CFG)7.64K tokens · Sablier vesting · $6910.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 22in 18 daysLimitless (LMTS)6.94M tokens · Sablier vesting · $208.47K5.3%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−29.0%n=4last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 22in 18 daysSeeker (SKR)100M tokens · Projected monthly release · $1.21M1.8%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−7.0%n=7last 33: 36% higher next day

Nov 24in 20 daysCentrifuge (CFG)11.11K tokens · Sablier vesting · $1K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 25in 21 daysTermMax (TMX)4.17M tokens · Sablier vesting · $15.1K2.7%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Nov 25in 21 daysMoonwell (WELL)31.79K tokens · Sablier vesting · $56.540.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Nov 29in 25 daysGRASS (GRASS)22.47M tokens · Projected monthly release · $12.38M3.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+15.4%n=7last 30: 33% higher next day

Nov 30in 26 daysSafe (SAFE)7.79M tokens · Projected monthly release · $622.52K1.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−7.3%n=12last 33: 36% higher next day

Dec 1in 27 daysVerse World (VERSE)134.92M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $2.43M134.9%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysNEURALAI (NEURAL)221 tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $1330.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysVirtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL)12.76K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $7.36K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysLedgity Yield (LDY)502.67K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $1.16K2.7%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysBadger (BADGER)22.56K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $7.69K0.3%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysWOO (WOO)636.41K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $7.29K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysShuffle (SHFL)2.04M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $746.68K0.4%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysFluid (FLUID)81.53K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $148.25K0.2%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysStake DAO (SDT)8.49K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $8280.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysTurtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE)8.09M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $289.73K5.2%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysKleros (PNK)84.82K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $6960.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysEthereum Name Service (ENS)2.5K tokens · Hedgey vesting, linear · $11.85K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysCheelee (CHEEL)13.31K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $2.09K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysVelvet (VELVET)1.02M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $50.4K0.9%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−1.1%n=15

Dec 1in 27 daysVenice Token (VVV)413.62K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $8.86M0.8%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysKeeta (KTA)16.52M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $926.37K4.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−33.7%n=2

Dec 1in 27 daysMoonwell (WELL)1.7M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $3.03K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysLimitless (LMTS)16.4M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $492.22K12.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−29.0%n=4

Dec 1in 27 daysMyShell (SHELL)65.72K tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $1.5K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 dayskeyTango (TANGO)6.52M tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $21.17K65.7%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysRain Protocol (RAIN)24.38B tokens · Sablier vesting, linear · $161.11M3.4%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−0.5%n=1

Dec 1in 27 daysDerive (DRV)159.87K tokens · Hedgey vesting, linear · $48.1K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysMemeCore (M)695.61K tokens · Streamflow vesting, linear · $585.15K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysPump.fun (PUMP)13.89M tokens · Streamflow vesting, linear · $54.57K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+40.3%n=2

Dec 1in 27 daysMeteora (MET)2.78M tokens · Jupiter Lock vesting, linear · $759.65K0.6%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−42.7%n=1

Dec 1in 27 daysBitlight (LIGHT)24.55M tokens · Streamflow vesting, linear · $5.94M57.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysZeus Network (ZEUS)70.71K tokens · Streamflow vesting, linear · $4760.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysStreamflow (STREAM)9.16M tokens · Streamflow vesting, linear · $85.04K6.8%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 1in 27 daysSui (SUI)20.6M tokens · Planned schedule (all allocations) · $17.86M0.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−2.8%n=41

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)13.13M tokens · Core Contributors · $457.81K5.6%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)5.25M tokens · Ecosystem Growth Fund · $183.12K2.2%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)1.09M tokens · Liquidity Incentives · $38.15K0.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)12.83M tokens · Protocol Treasury · $447.64K5.4%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)9.33M tokens · Purchasers and Advisors · $325.55K3.9%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32

Dec 1in 27 daysZetaChain (ZETA)2.62M tokens · User Growth Pool · $91.56K1.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−12.0%n=32

Dec 1in 27 daysio.net (IO)12.79M tokens · Projected monthly release · $1.57M3.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−9.9%n=12last 30: 33% higher next day

Dec 2in 28 daysWalrus (WAL)53.54M tokens · Projected monthly release · $1.5M4.3%of supplypast unlocks, 30d−14.3%n=7last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Dec 3in 29 daysJupiter Perpetuals Liquidity Provider Token (JLP)2.08K tokens · Jupiter Lock vesting · $8.88K0.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 3in 29 daysMagic Eden (ME)3.75M tokens · Projected monthly release · $187.16K2.8%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+6.2%n=4last 105: 50% higher next day ⚠

Dec 3in 29 daysOnyxcoin (XCN)200.45M tokens · Projected monthly release · $704.91K0.5%of supplypast unlocks, 30d+2.7%n=5last 33: 36% higher next day

Dec 4in 30 daysMoonwell (WELL)101.15K tokens · Sablier vesting · $1800.0%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

Dec 4in 30 daysRaydium (RAY)258.14K tokens · Streamflow vesting · $389.91K0.1%of supplypast unlocks, 30d—n=0

The 90-day unlock calendar and what past unlocks did →

Biggest moves after events

The largest measured 30-day moves on record, two per token at most

Sep 252025Binance lists COAI perpetualChainOpera AI · perpetual listing+3236.6%

Jul 82026Funding +123% a year: longs paying shortsAkedo · funding extreme high+1920.8%

Dec 252025TVL fell 29% in a dayRiver · TVL crash+1679.2%

Apr 72026Funding +98% a year: longs paying shortsLAB · funding extreme high+1419.4%

Sep 262026Funding +139% a year: longs paying shortsQuack AI · funding extreme high+725.4%

Jan 292021OKX lists RVNRavencoin · spot listing+699.5%

Mar 32021OKX lists CHZChiliz · spot listing+658.4%

Apr 122026Funding +128% a year: longs paying shortsUnibase · funding extreme high+643.1%

The pattern: after halvings the price rose 3 of 5 times (+12.0% typical after 30 days), after all-time highs it fell 686 of 742 times (−37.6%) · measured across 10,462 events

Every pattern with odds →Every token →

What changed since yesterday

The 30 latest page changes, newest first · 7,043 since yesterday

Nov 4OKXnew listing: SMR:perp:on
Nov 4OKXnew listing: OXY:perp:on
Nov 4OKXnew listing: MURATA:perp:on
Nov 4OKXnew listing: VELODROME:spot:off
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event fees_jump → 380.03K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event fees_drop → 380.03K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event fees_drop → 380.03K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event fees_jump → 380.03K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_low → 384.81K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_low → 384.58K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.58K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.59K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.59K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.59K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.59K
Nov 4LayerZero (ZRO)event funding_high → 384.59K
Nov 4Zora (ZORA)event funding_low → 386.04K
Nov 4Zora (ZORA)event funding_low → 386.05K
Nov 4Boundless (ZKC)event funding_low → 385.42K
Nov 4Boundless (ZKC)event funding_low → 385.42K
Nov 4Boundless (ZKC)event funding_low → 385.42K
Nov 4Boundless (ZKC)event funding_low → 385.42K
Nov 4Boundless (ZKC)event funding_low → 385.42K
Nov 4zkSync (ZK)event funding_low → 385.22K
Nov 4zkSync (ZK)event funding_low → 384.58K
Nov 4zkSync (ZK)event funding_low → 384.58K
Nov 4zkSync (ZK)event funding_low → 384.58K
Nov 4Zilliqa (ZIL)event funding_low → 385.19K
Nov 4Zilliqa (ZIL)event funding_low → 385.19K
Nov 4Zilliqa (ZIL)event funding_low → 385.19K

Memecoin graveyard

Solana launches tracked from birth: how many die, how fast, and who launched them

The full graveyard

6,103of 6,748 launches dead

were dead within 24 hours: 60.6%
died today: 0
born this week are dead: 0 of 0
launches recorded in the last 24h: 0

How the dead ones died

liquidity pulled 5162unknown 479sold down 451bled out 11

the last 500 launches in order of birth:alive 172liquidity pulledsold downbled out

Died todaylast recorded 11 days ago

urmomlived 0.4h · liquidity was pulledpeak0.0%24h−100.0% YMBlived 0.2h · unknownpeak—24h−100.0% Adamlived 0.2h · unknownpeak—24h−100.0% CATElived 0.4h · liquidity was pulledpeak+10.7%24h−100.0% Fielderlived 0.4h · liquidity was pulledpeak+4.3%24h−100.0%

6,748 launches recorded from birth →

Creator wallets with the most dead tokensshare of launches dead · min 3 launches

19xktsf…kZyg139 launches · 139 dead · last seen Oct 21100.0%
2B4dG1P…N81f12 launches · 12 dead · last seen Sep 30100.0%
3HskGGS…jzMH9 launches · 9 dead · last seen Oct 11100.0%
45q7Scr…99998 launches · 8 dead · last seen Oct 17100.0%
5CezbWK…o7A17 launches · 7 dead · last seen Oct 17100.0%
6B2LiCh…BXg95 launches · 5 dead · last seen Oct 14100.0%
7A8rgwW…56Vq5 launches · 5 dead · last seen Oct 20100.0%
8E1Ze74…adyy5 launches · 5 dead · last seen Oct 22100.0%

Top funder BrGihg…vZP9G funded 2 creators: 10 tokens, 10 dead · 100.0% dead

Every creator wallet →

Deadliest launch venuesshare of launches dead within 24h

1meteora-damm-v22,018 launches · 1,822 dead within 24h90.3%
2pumpswap3,361 launches · 1,972 dead within 24h58.7%
3orca179 launches · 52 dead within 24h29.1%
4fluxbeam186 launches · 52 dead within 24h28.0%
5raydium70 launches · 14 dead within 24h20.0%
6raydium-clmm72 launches · 14 dead within 24h19.4%

Most active creatorsby launches

19xktsf…kZyg139 launches · 139 dead100.0%
2WLHv2U…JVVh103 launches · 64 dead90.3%
32cVYpa…af4a21 launches · 13 dead61.9%

Rankings

Whose listings moved price and which tokens are most diluted: counted, not voted

Every exchange

Exchanges whose listings moved pricetypical 30-day move after a spot listing · min 5 measured

1OKXn=254 · 40.9% still up after 30 days−7.4%
2Binancen=278 · 32.4% still up after 30 days−19.5%
3Bybitn=190 · 27.9% still up after 30 days−23.4%

Exchanges by listing effect →

Most dilutedshare of total supply already unlocked

1ZetaChain (ZETA)next unlock Dec 1, 202674.0%
2Sui (SUI)next unlock Dec 1, 202641.4%

The unlock calendar →

Explore the record

PatternPlus tracks 2,381 tokens, 878 people, 1,088 exchanges and 37 auditors: 22,106 events on record, 10,462 with a measured 30-day move. Rebuilt daily.

All tokens A–Z