PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Category · 3 tokens · our calls and their record

DeFi tokens (3)

3 DeFi tokens are on record with a combined market cap of $5.09B as of Oct 6, 2026; the median sits −90.8% from its all-time high, 100.0% of the checked ones still let their issuer mint more. No token here was newly listed on an exchange in 2026.

Tokens

3

with a page · Oct 6, 2026

Combined market cap

$5.09B

sum of the tokens

Median 30 days

0.0%

price change across the tokens

Median from ATH

−90.8%

distance from the all-time high

Unlocks, 30 days

1

scheduled releases

Combined TVL

$11.63B

DefiLlama · Oct 6, 2026

Our calls on DeFi tokens

30-day calls, clearest first

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. · how often are we right? →

The data

every DeFi token, with issuer powers, unlocks and listings

All 3 recordsON RECORD

All 3 DeFi tokens

as of · tokens · daily snapshots · issuer power checksread it →

ranked by market cap · the powers strip shows the twelve issuer powers (filled = held, hollow = revoked, hatched = not checked) · the sparkline is the token's rank over 90 days

RankTokenChainMarket cap30 dFrom ATHTVLUnlockedHoldersPowersRank, 90 dNext unlockEvents
#49 Ethena (ENA) 5 listingsEthereum$2.6B0.0%−83.5%$5.4B—101,479mint more tokens: unknown; freeze accounts: unknown; upgrade the contract: unknown; change balances: unknown; hidden owner: unknown; blacklist addresses: unknown; whitelist addresses: unknown; pause transfers: unknown; buy tax: unknown; sell tax: unknown; honeypot: unknown; source code: unknownrank, 90 d2026-11-0638
#59 Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI) 6 listingsSolana$1.76B0.0%−90.8%——29,557mint more tokens: held; freeze accounts: held; upgrade the contract: revoked; change balances: unknown; hidden owner: unknown; blacklist addresses: unknown; whitelist addresses: unknown; pause transfers: unknown; buy tax: unknown; sell tax: unknown; honeypot: unknown; source code: unknownrank, 90 d—15
#100 Ether.fi (ETHFI) 6 listingsArbitrum$737.12M0.0%−91.1%$6.22B—23,611mint more tokens: unknown; freeze accounts: unknown; upgrade the contract: held; change balances: unknown; hidden owner: unknown; blacklist addresses: unknown; whitelist addresses: unknown; pause transfers: unknown; buy tax: unknown; sell tax: unknown; honeypot: unknown; source code: revokedrank, 90 d2026-10-1730

Source: CoinPaprika tickers · GoPlus / Jupiter powers · PatternPlus snapshots · fetched

Best and worst recordsMEASURED

Best and worst records in DeFi

as of · events and the price moves afterread it →

Top 5 events by 30-day move
DateEventToken7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
fee surge Fees up 2.6x: ENA's protocol took $9.6M in a week 2.6% of circ. Ethena (ENA) +8.2% +3.3% +24.6% +120.6% +104.1% −9.6% defillama_fees
Users paid ENA's protocol $9.6M in fees in the week to 2024-11-14 (DefiLlama), 2.6 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-11-16: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Nov 16, 2024 ENA saw a fee surge; it rose 3.3% by day 1 and was 120.6% higher 30 days later, 104 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +8.2% in the 7 days before.
unlock ENA unlock: 267.19M tokens (2.79% of circulating), seen in the supply Ethena (ENA) +18.3% −1.1% −6.9% +86.0% +62.6% in 29 days supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 267,187,500 ENA on this day (CoinGecko), one of 11 such steps a month apart. On Aug 6, 2026 ENA unlocked supply; it fell 1.1% by day 1 and was 86.0% higher 30 days later, 63 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +18.3% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 2.0x: ENA's protocol took $7.6M in a week 2.0% of circ. Ethena (ENA) +15.4% +26.0% +58.6% +73.6% +75.0% +11.7% defillama_fees
Users paid ENA's protocol $7.6M in fees in the week to 2025-07-17 (DefiLlama), 2.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2025-07-19: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jul 19, 2025 ENA saw a fee surge; it rose 26.0% by day 1 and was 73.6% higher 30 days later, 75 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +15.4% in the 7 days before.
governance vote #6 - ETHFI DAO Proposal: Incentives on Centralized Exchanges Ether.fi (ETHFI) −19.0% +6.5% +0.4% +69.1% +29.6% +27.0% snapshot
ether.fi on Snapshot: 423 voters, closed 2024-10-26. On Oct 26, 2024 ETHFI saw a governance vote; it rose 6.5% by day 1 and was 69.1% higher 30 days later, 30 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −19.0% in the 7 days before.
funding extreme high Funding +59% a year: longs paying shorts Ethena (ENA) +67.8% +13.7% +12.3% +49.7% +39.1% in 45 days hyperliquid
Hyperliquid's ENA perpetual: funding on 2026-08-21 averaged +0.0067% an hour (+59% a year), above 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Aug 22, 2026 ENA saw a funding extreme high; it rose 13.7% by day 1 and was 49.7% higher 30 days later, 39 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +67.8% in the 7 days before.
Bottom 5 events by 30-day move
DateEventToken7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
governance vote #10 - ETHFI DAO Proposal: Season 5 Ether.fi (ETHFI) −2.5% −28.4% −30.9% −48.1% −32.3% −64.3% snapshot
ether.fi on Snapshot: 370 voters, closed 2025-02-01. On Feb 1, 2025 ETHFI saw a governance vote; it fell 28.4% by day 1 and was 48.1% lower 30 days later, 32 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.5% in the 7 days before.
unlock ENA unlock: 267.19M tokens (3.47% of circulating), seen in the supply Ethena (ENA) +20.5% +2.5% −14.6% −46.6% −26.6% −67.9% supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 267,187,500 ENA on this day (CoinGecko), one of 11 such steps a month apart. On Jan 5, 2026 ENA unlocked supply; it rose 2.5% by day 1 and was 46.6% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved +20.5% in the 7 days before.
fee surge Fees up 3.0x: ETHFI's protocol took $50k in a week 3.0% of circ. Ether.fi (ETHFI) −22.0% +1.1% −8.1% −43.6% −29.6% −63.5% defillama_fees
Users paid ETHFI's protocol $50k in fees in the week to 2024-06-10 (DefiLlama), 3.0 times its weekly average over the 4 weeks before. DefiLlama fills a day in after it ends, so the event is dated 2024-06-12: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after that week. On Jun 12, 2024 ETHFI saw a fee surge; it rose 1.1% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC; it had moved −22.0% in the 7 days before.
all-time high ENA all-time high: $1.52 Ethena (ENA) +28.8% −12.5% −37.5% −42.4% −28.5% −71.6% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Apr 11, 2024 ENA set an all-time high; it fell 12.5% by day 1 and was 42.4% lower 30 days later, 28 points behind BTC; it had moved +28.8% in the 7 days before.
governance vote Proposal: Use 100% of WLFI Treasury Liquidity Fees for Buyback & Burn Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI) +9.2% +1.3% −12.8% −40.8% −32.9% −41.3% snapshot
World Liberty Financial on Snapshot: 6,855 voters, closed 2025-09-18. On Sep 18, 2025 WLFI saw a governance vote; it rose 1.3% by day 1 and was 40.8% lower 30 days later, 33 points behind BTC; it had moved +9.2% in the 7 days before.
Hacks recorded on these tokens (1)
DateTokenAmountTechniqueClassReturned
Ether.fi (ETHFI)$43.26KArbitrary External CallAccess Control—

Issuer powers

Issuer powers across DeFi

as of · security checks of each tokenread it →

PowerHeldRevokedCheckedShare held
Mint more tokens101 100.0%
Freeze accounts101 100.0%
Upgrade the contract112 50.0%
Change balances000not checked on any token here
Hidden owner000not checked on any token here
Blacklist addresses000not checked on any token here
Whitelist addresses000not checked on any token here
Pause transfers000not checked on any token here
Buy tax000not checked on any token here
Sell tax000not checked on any token here
Honeypot000not checked on any token here
Source code011 0.0%

A power counts as held or revoked only when a checker returned an answer; native coins whose supply follows protocol rules are left out of the count.

Upcoming unlocksMEASURED

Upcoming unlocks in DeFi

as of · On-chain vesting (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock)read it →

DateTokenCategoryAmount% of circ.USD at today's priceType
Ether.fi (ETHFI)Projected quarterly release44.7M4.6%$34.13Mcliff
Ethena (ENA)Projected monthly release267.19M2.6%$66.94Mcliff
Ethena (ENA)Projected monthly release267.19M2.6%$66.94Mcliff

Recent listings

Recent listings in DeFi

as of · events and the price moves afterread it →

DateEventTokenVenue7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
2025
spot listing OKX will launch ENA/USD and PAXG/USD for spot trading Ethena (ENA)OKX −27.2% +3.8% +8.5% −34.3% −20.7% −43.4% announcement
On Oct 16, 2025 OKX listed ENA; it rose 3.8% by day 1 and was 34.3% lower 30 days later, 21 points behind BTC; it had moved −27.2% in the 7 days before.
spot listing OKX lists ENA Ethena (ENA)OKX −13.5% +0.0% −14.9% −37.6% −28.7% −68.7% instruments
ENA-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Sep 17, 2025 OKX listed ENA; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 37.6% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.5% in the 7 days before.
perpetual listing OKX lists ENA perpetual Ethena (ENA)OKX −13.5% +0.0% −14.9% −37.6% −28.7% −68.7% instruments
ENA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Sep 17, 2025 OKX opened perpetual futures for ENA; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 37.6% lower 30 days later, 29 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.5% in the 7 days before.
spot listing Bybit to List World Liberty Financial (WLFI) on Spot Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Bybit — −2.7% −9.6% −11.9% −21.5% −31.8% announcement
On Sep 1, 2025 Bybit listed WLFI; it fell 2.7% by day 1 and was 11.9% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC.
spot listing Binance Will List World Liberty Financial (WLFI) with Seed Tag Applied Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Binance — −2.7% −9.6% −11.9% −21.5% −31.8% announcement
On Sep 1, 2025 Binance listed WLFI; it fell 2.7% by day 1 and was 11.9% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC.
spot listing OKX lists WLFI Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)OKX — −2.7% −9.6% −11.9% −21.5% −31.8% instruments
WLFI-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Sep 1, 2025 OKX listed WLFI; it fell 2.7% by day 1 and was 11.9% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC.
perpetual listing Bybit lists WLFI perpetual Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Bybit — — — — — — instruments
WLFIUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDC, USDT). Bybit opened perpetual futures for WLFI on Aug 23, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing Binance lists WLFI perpetual Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Binance — — — — — — instruments
WLFIUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDT, USDC). Binance opened perpetual futures for WLFI on Aug 23, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists WLFI perpetual Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)OKX — — — — — — instruments
WLFI-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for WLFI on Aug 23, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2024
spot listing Token Celebration: ETHFI/USDT — Grab Your Share of the 140,000 ETHFI Prize Pool Ether.fi (ETHFI)Bybit −39.6% −8.5% −1.1% −16.4% −19.3% −38.8% announcement
On Apr 16, 2024 Bybit listed ETHFI; it fell 8.5% by day 1 and was 16.4% lower 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −39.6% in the 7 days before.
perpetual listing Bybit lists ENA perpetual Ethena (ENA)Bybit — +46.3% +60.1% +3.0% +18.2% −34.8% instruments
ENAUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDC, USDT). On Apr 2, 2024 Bybit opened perpetual futures for ENA; it rose 46.3% by day 1 and was 3.0% higher 30 days later, 18 points ahead of BTC.
perpetual listing Binance lists ENA perpetual Ethena (ENA)Binance — +46.3% +60.1% +3.0% +18.2% −34.8% instruments
ENAUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDT, USDC). On Apr 2, 2024 Binance opened perpetual futures for ENA; it rose 46.3% by day 1 and was 3.0% higher 30 days later, 18 points ahead of BTC.
spot listing New Listing: ETHFI/USDT — Grab a Share of the 100,000 ETHFI Prize Pool Ether.fi (ETHFI)Bybit — −3.2% +42.9% +13.4% +23.8% +27.6% announcement
On Mar 18, 2024 Bybit listed ETHFI; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC.
perpetual listing Bybit lists ETHFI perpetual Ether.fi (ETHFI)Bybit — −3.2% +42.9% +13.4% +23.8% +27.6% instruments
ETHFIUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDC, USDT). On Mar 18, 2024 Bybit opened perpetual futures for ETHFI; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC.
perpetual listing Binance lists ETHFI perpetual Ether.fi (ETHFI)Binance — −3.2% +42.9% +13.4% +23.8% +27.6% instruments
ETHFIUSDT perpetual trading (quotes: USDT, USDC). On Mar 18, 2024 Binance opened perpetual futures for ETHFI; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC.
spot listing OKX lists ETHFI Ether.fi (ETHFI)OKX — −3.2% +42.9% +13.4% +23.8% +27.6% instruments
ETHFI-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Mar 18, 2024 OKX listed ETHFI; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists ETHFI perpetual Ether.fi (ETHFI)OKX — −3.2% +42.9% +13.4% +23.8% +27.6% instruments
ETHFI-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Mar 18, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for ETHFI; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 24 points ahead of BTC.

PeopleON RECORD

People most connected to DeFi

as of · team listsread it →

The full write-up

every sentence on DeFi tokens · related hubs

DeFi tokens in short

  • The median 30-day price change across them is 0.0%; their combined TVL on DefiLlama is $11.63B.
  • 1 unlock falls in the next 30 days; 1 hack is recorded on them, and no person is linked to them.
  • The best-ranked member is Ethena (ENA) at #49 with $2.6B market cap.
  • Every DeFi token on this site; as of Oct 6, 2026.

see the numbers →

All 3 records

Every DeFi token ranked by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, with its 30-day move, its distance from the high, its issuer powers and its next unlock.

see the numbers →

Best and worst records

Best measured event among DeFi tokens: Ethena Fees up 2.6x: ENA's protocol took $9.6M in a week (+120.6% by day 30); weakest: Ether.fi #10 - ETHFI DAO Proposal: Season 5 (−48.1%).

  • 1 hack is recorded among members, the largest $43,260 at ether.fi Liquid.
  • On Nov 16, 2024 ENA saw a fee surge (Fees up 2.6x: ENA's protocol took $9.6M in a week);
  • it rose 3.3% by day 1 and was 120.6% higher 30 days later, 104 points ahead of BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 9.6% lower (it had moved +8.2% in the 7 days before).
  • On Aug 6, 2026 ENA unlocked 2.8% of circulating supply;
  • it fell 1.1% by day 1 and was 86.0% higher 30 days later, 63 points ahead of BTC (it had moved +18.3% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jul 19, 2025 ENA saw a fee surge (Fees up 2.0x: ENA's protocol took $7.6M in a week);
  • it rose 26.0% by day 1 and was 73.6% higher 30 days later, 75 points ahead of BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 11.7% higher (it had moved +15.4% in the 7 days before).
  • On Feb 1, 2025 ETHFI saw a governance vote (#10 - ETHFI DAO Proposal: Season 5);
  • it fell 28.4% by day 1 and was 48.1% lower 30 days later, 32 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 64.3% lower (it had moved −2.5% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jan 5, 2026 ENA unlocked 3.5% of circulating supply;
  • it rose 2.5% by day 1 and was 46.6% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 67.9% lower (it had moved +20.5% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jun 12, 2024 ETHFI saw a fee surge (Fees up 3.0x: ETHFI's protocol took $50k in a week);
  • it rose 1.1% by day 1 and was 43.6% lower 30 days later, 30 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 63.5% lower (it had moved −22.0% in the 7 days before).

see the numbers →

Issuer powers

Share of DeFi members holding each issuer power, from the members with a power check, as of Oct 6, 2026.

  • Mint more tokens: held by 1 of 1 checked members (100.0%).
  • Freeze accounts: held by 1 of 1 checked members (100.0%).
  • Upgrade the contract: held by 1 of 2 checked members (50.0%).
  • No checked member holds any of these: source code unverified.

see the numbers →

Upcoming unlocks

3 scheduled unlocks fall in the next 90 days across DeFi tokens, worth $168M at today's prices; the nearest is ETHFI on Oct 17, 2026.

see the numbers →

Recent listings

The last 17 listing events among members, 14 with a measured day-30 outcome (median −4.5%).

see the numbers →