Market cap $31.61M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 47.5% of 12,192 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 731 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%−20%0%+20%+54% in 30 days↑ 34% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±2.5% over 1 day)
Bold: AGT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 731 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AGT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0218−11%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0244−0.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0278+13%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.5%
Likely range
−11% to +13%$0.0218 – $0.0278
803 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 50.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AGT price prediction for this week
56%chance AGT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $31.61M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 44% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.1% of 38,104 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 731 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+54% in 30 days↑ 34% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±9.7% over 7 days)
Bold: AGT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 731 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AGT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0178−27%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0239−2.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0352+44%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.5%
Likely range
−27% to +44%$0.0178 – $0.0352
789 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AGT price prediction for the next 30 days
64%chance AGT is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $31.61M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 36% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 731 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%−100%0%+100%+200%+300%+54% in 30 days↑ 34% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±17% over 30 days)
Bold: AGT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 731 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AGT's volatility.
Bad case$0.0119−52%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0213−13.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0427+74%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−13.3%
Likely range
−52% to +74%$0.0119 – $0.0427
731 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.9% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AGT prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for AGT was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=731).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 371 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 731 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AGT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AGT · by share of the last day's volume
AGT$0.022652% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
AGT$0.022656% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
AGT$0.022664% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AGT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (803 cases) into 48% higher.
Up 38% over 7 days
Up 38% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (38,795 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
28% below its high
28% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (40,932 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (174,983 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($31.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (94,305 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AGT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (789 cases) into 44% higher.
Up 38% over 7 days
Up 38% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (38,441 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
28% below its high
28% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 41% of the time (40,691 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (40,654 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (92,118 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 36% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AGT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (731 cases) into 36% higher.
28% below its high
28% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 31% of the time (39,909 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 31% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (84,631 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (36,874 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($31.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 37% of the time (87,264 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 37% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
What moves AGT
LIKELYWhen a US CPI release came, AGT ended higher a week later 7% of the time, against 51% on any daynext Oct 14, 2026 · 15 cases · on average -13.7% against +1.7% · last Sep 11, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against AGT's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on AGT
Our last 6 calls on AGT over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 5 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on AGT: 26.1% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 73% down · ended +6.0%✗ wrongAug 9 said 67% down · ended +14.7%✗ wrongAug 16 said 68% down · ended +1.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended +20.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 70% down · ended +21.2%✗ wrongSep 6 said 67% down · ended +54.4%✗ wrong
white: AGT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 3
typical 30-day move
−58.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AGT: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
all-time high AGT all-time high: $0.0343
—
+99.0%
−11.1%
−13.6%
−60.7%
−63.3%
−40.9%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jun 20, 2026AGT set an all-time high; it fell 11.1% by day 1 and was 60.7% lower 30 days later, 63 points behind BTC; it had moved +99.0% in the 7 days before.
AGTUSDT perpetual trading. On May 20, 2025Binance opened perpetual futures for AGT; it was not measured by day 1 and was 57.3% lower 30 days later, 56 points behind BTC.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How AGT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
AGT median day 30
AGT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−60.7%
1
−40.6%
455
5.7%
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
−58.8%
1
−20.6%
242
31.8%
below
Binance · perpetual listing
−57.3%
1
−19.3%
248
33.9%
below
Venue · kind
AGT median day 7
AGT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−13.6%
1
−17.7%
—
—
above
Bybit · perpetual listing
−7.3%
1
−11.0%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+1.8%
1
−8.4%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
AGT median day 1
AGT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−11.1%
1
−3.7%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
−4.8%
1
−2.5%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where AGT is listedON RECORD1 venues
Where AGT is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 1 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AGT · questions · sources
AGT in short
Alaya Governance Token (AGT), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #526 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 34.2% below its Jun 20, 2026 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0226 (−4.0% over 24 hours), market cap $31.6M, fully diluted value $112.9M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AGT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the record for Alaya Governance Token runs to 3 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 2 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 3 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −58.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Alaya Governance Token (AGT), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #526 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 34.2% under its Jun 20, 2026 high.
Its 2 measured listings show a median day-30 move of −58.0%, 0 of them above the venue median.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #493 to #526.
0 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for AGT as of Oct 6, 2026, starting with Binance on May 20, 2025.
2 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −58.0%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 2 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for AGT as of Oct 6, 2026.
AGT is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Alaya Governance Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
Alaya Governance Token lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Alaya Governance Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Alaya Governance Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 455 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −40.6% by day 30; 5.7% were still up after 30 days; AGT's one sits below that median at −60.7%.
Across 242 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −2.5% on day 1 and −20.6% by day 30;
31.8% were still up after 30 days;
AGT's one sits below that median at −58.8%.
Across 248 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.7% on day 1 and −19.3% by day 30;
33.9% were still up after 30 days;
AGT's one sits below that median at −57.3%.
AGT sits above the venue median in 0 of 3 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 0 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 13 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on BNB Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
3 events since May 20, 2025; 3 of the 3 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance lists AGT perpetual on May 20, 2025 (−57.3%), worst AGT all-time high: $0.0343 on Jun 20, 2026 (−60.7%).
502 daily closes from May 23, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.0343 on Jun 20, 2026, 108 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The change log holds 6 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 6, 2026; the newest reads: noindexed at export: unique_text_ratio 0.586 below 0.6 (LAW 2 index rule).
Changed since Oct 5, 2026: index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 6) · index index,follow → noindex,follow (Oct 6) · event futures_listing → 26,090 (Oct 5) · event futures_listing → 27,453 (Oct 5).
The fields that changed most often were event (2), index (2) and powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 6 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
AGT is on 0 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was Binance (perp) on May 20, 2025 and the latest Binance (perp) on May 20, 2025; the first perpetual opened on Binance on May 20, 2025.
0 delistings are on record for AGT as of Oct 6, 2026.
1086 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no AGT listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, Bitget, OKX and WEEX, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Alaya Governance Token trades 34.2% below its all-time high of $0.0343, set on Jun 20, 2026, 108 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.35).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, −4.0% over 24 hours, +24.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $31.6M market cap against $112.9M fully diluted, 72.0% of AGT's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 6, 2026.
24-hour volume of $1.1M is 3.6% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.4B of 5B total (28.0%) and a maximum of 5B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1541 tokens, so AGT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Alaya Governance Token on bnb; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol AGT as of Oct 6, 2026.
Alaya Governance Token shares its ticker with AGT (AGRITECH), AGT (AGT), AGT (AI GPT4), AGT (Agalta Token) and AGT (Argon Protocol) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Jun 10, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id agt-alaya-governance-token, DefiLlama slug alaya-ai, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Alaya Governance Token as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Set against 1541 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 6, 2026, Alaya Governance Token ranks at the 66th percentile for market cap, the 91st for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.7M, the median distance from ATH −94.7% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Irys (#525), Canopy (#527), Pundi X (#524), KGeN (#523) and Ethereum PoW (#529).
Market cap: $31.6M (P66 of 1541; peer median $13.7M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 3.58% (P57 of 1541; peer median 2.49%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1541; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −34.2% (P91 of 1541; peer median −94.7%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1541 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
483 of our coins trade as Binance perpetuals; the 200 biggest read: 197 tonight (open interest, accounts long, top traders, takers), funding caught up on 196 (93889 readings); 75341 coin-days stored; 774 funding extremes as events; the rest comes over the next nights
45,323 coin-driver tests; 23 proven on 20 coins, 1840 likely
2026-10-06 04:21 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for cpi, fees_jump, funding_low, down for delisting, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing
2026-10-06 05:12 UTC
none
—
effects
11829 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
521 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 512 read tonight, 88377 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 23 read up to now tonight (122 pages), 9278 coin-days stored; 153 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
819 of 1541 coins have a logo (coingecko 709, trustwallet 105, jupiter 4, website 1). Tonight 0 asked. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), funding_low after (1d), pump after (1d), pump after (7d), unlock after (1d), vol_spike after (1d); 29 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 04:38 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 0 events new, 0 removed
167 rules tested; 4 survived discovery and the holdout (4 new tonight): max_30:low:1d:q20:all, skew_30:low:14d:q10:all, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:all; 4 in the book
57 of 260 coins due fetched (4 from CoinGecko, 53 from CoinPaprika; 29 with schedule files, 350 of the top 400); no CoinGecko id for 2: STABLE, WTRX; CoinGecko stopped: HTTP 429
10 of 169 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 03:35 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 42 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
2 of 5 feeds read, 2 series kept, 158 points written tonight; failed: gdelt:ethereum: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traf; gdelt:regulation: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-tr; gdelt:hack: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traffic
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 03:31 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:31:11+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0xabd4c), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:35:01+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_coinpaprika_g last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T04:11:08+00:00 coinpaprika_g:global: HTTP 402: { "type":"payment_requ), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,400 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.