The month in shortON RECORD
The month in short
as of · generated from the events of March 2018
- Best day-30 outcome: Bitcoin Extreme fear: Fear & Greed Index at 12 (+32.8%); worst: Bitcoin S&P 500 fell 2.5% in a day (+0.7%).
- The previous month (February 2018) held 6 events, the same number than March 2018.
- Also recorded: 2 Wikipedia attention spikes, 1 big S&P 500 down day, 1 VIX spike, 1 big S&P 500 up day and 1 extreme fear reading.
Every eventMEASURED
Every event in March 2018
as of · events with effects
6 events grouped by day; 5 carry a measured day-30 outcome and each row links to the event's row on the token page.
| Date | Event | Token | 7d before | Next day | 7 days | 30 days | vs BTC | 90 days | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wikipedia attention spike Attention spike: 2,022 read EOS's Wikipedia article, 21.1x usual 21.1% of circ. | EOS (EOS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | wikipedia | |
2,022 people read the Wikipedia article 'EOS.IO' on 2018-03-12, 21.1 times the median day of the 28 days before. Wikimedia publishes a day's count within a day of its end, so the event is dated 2018-03-14: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after the day it counts. EOS saw a Wikipedia attention spike on Mar 14, 2018; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured. | |||||||||
| Wikipedia attention spike Attention spike: 26,233 read ETH's Wikipedia article, 7.1x usual 7.1% of circ. | Ethereum (ETH) | −19.3% | −3.1% | −19.8% | +10.8% | +11.4% | −3.4% | wikipedia | |
26,233 people read the Wikipedia article 'Ethereum' on 2018-03-19, 7.1 times the median day of the 28 days before. Wikimedia publishes a day's count within a day of its end, so the event is dated 2018-03-21: the move is the coin's from the close a full day after the day it counts. On Mar 21, 2018 ETH saw a Wikipedia attention spike; it fell 3.1% by day 1 and was 10.8% higher 30 days later, 11 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −19.3% in the 7 days before. | |||||||||
| big S&P 500 down day S&P 500 fell 2.5% in a day | Bitcoin (BTC) | +5.8% | −2.0% | −21.6% | +0.7% | 0.0% | −23.0% | macro | |
The S&P 500 closed 2.5% lower on Thursday, March 22, 2018 than the session before (FRED). The move is Bitcoin's from its close that night (00:00 UTC), after the US session had ended. On Mar 23, 2018 BTC saw a big S&P 500 down day; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 0.7% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.8% in the 7 days before. | |||||||||
| VIX spike VIX jumped 31% in a day, to 23 | Bitcoin (BTC) | +5.8% | −2.0% | −21.6% | +0.7% | 0.0% | −23.0% | macro | |
The VIX, Wall Street's fear gauge, closed 31% higher on Thursday, March 22, 2018 than the session before, at 23.3 (FRED). The move is Bitcoin's from its close that night (00:00 UTC), after the US session had ended. On Mar 23, 2018 BTC saw a VIX spike; it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 0.7% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.8% in the 7 days before. | |||||||||
| big S&P 500 up day S&P 500 rose 2.7% in a day | Bitcoin (BTC) | −5.4% | −2.3% | −9.0% | +13.9% | 0.0% | −23.1% | macro | |
The S&P 500 closed 2.7% higher on Monday, March 26, 2018 than the session before (FRED). The move is Bitcoin's from its close that night (00:00 UTC), after the US session had ended. On Mar 27, 2018 BTC saw a big S&P 500 up day; it fell 2.3% by day 1 and was 13.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before. | |||||||||
| extreme fear reading Extreme fear: Fear & Greed Index at 12 | Bitcoin (BTC) | −18.7% | −2.3% | −6.9% | +32.8% | 0.0% | −17.4% | macro | |
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index (alternative.me) read 12 of 100, the first reading at or below 15 in over 14 days. It is published at 00:00 UTC; the move is Bitcoin's, from that moment's close. On Mar 30, 2018 BTC saw an extreme fear reading; it fell 2.3% by day 1 and was 32.8% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −18.7% in the 7 days before. | |||||||||
Source: CoinPaprika, DefiLlama, exchange announcements and instrument APIs; effects by PatternPlus · fetched
- On Mar 30, 2018 BTC saw an extreme fear reading (Extreme fear: Fear & Greed Index at 12);
- it fell 2.3% by day 1 and was 32.8% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 17.4% lower (it had moved −18.7% in the 7 days before).
- On Mar 27, 2018 BTC saw a big S&P 500 up day (S&P 500 rose 2.7% in a day);
- it fell 2.3% by day 1 and was 13.9% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 23.1% lower (it had moved −5.4% in the 7 days before).
- On Mar 21, 2018 ETH saw a Wikipedia attention spike (Attention spike: 26,233 read ETH's Wikipedia article, 7.1x usual);
- it fell 3.1% by day 1 and was 10.8% higher 30 days later, 11 points ahead of BTC;
- by day 90 it was 3.4% lower (it had moved −19.3% in the 7 days before).
- On Mar 23, 2018 BTC saw a big S&P 500 down day (S&P 500 fell 2.5% in a day);
- it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 0.7% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 23.0% lower (it had moved +5.8% in the 7 days before).
- On Mar 23, 2018 BTC saw a VIX spike (VIX jumped 31% in a day, to 23);
- it fell 2.0% by day 1 and was 0.7% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
- by day 90 it was 23.0% lower (it had moved +5.8% in the 7 days before).
Month statisticsMEASURED
Month statistics against the all-time medians
as of · event_stats
5 exchange-and-kind pairs had a measured event in March 2018; the all-time median is printed beside the month's own.
| Venue | Kind | This month n | This month median 30 days | All-time n | All-time median 30 days | All-time up after 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| all venues | extreme fear reading | 1 | +32.8% | 20 | −2.6% | 40.0% |
| all venues | big S&P 500 down day | 1 | +0.7% | 55 | +4.0% | 63.6% |
| all venues | big S&P 500 up day | 1 | +13.9% | 46 | −0.5% | 50.0% |
| all venues | VIX spike | 1 | +0.7% | 21 | +0.7% | 57.1% |
| all venues | Wikipedia attention spike | 1 | +10.8% | 154 | +0.0% | 50.0% |
- A month median over fewer than five events is printed but carries less weight than the all-time column.