Market cap $4.88M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 47.5% of 12,192 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 3970 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
0%+20%+40%+60%−20%−10%0%+10%−14% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.4% over 1 day)
Bold: XRD's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3970 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to XRD's volatility. 28 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.000324−8%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0003510%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000376+7%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
0.0%
Likely range
−8% to +7%$0.000324 – $0.000376
4,619 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 50.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XRD price prediction for this week
57%chance XRD is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $4.88M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.1% of 38,104 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 3970 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
0%+20%+40%+60%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%−14% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±4.7% over 7 days)
Bold: XRD's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3970 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to XRD's volatility. 29 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.000276−21%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.000344−1.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000436+24%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.9%
Likely range
−21% to +24%$0.000276 – $0.000436
4,486 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XRD price prediction for the next 30 days
54%chance XRD is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $4.88M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 3970 matched past setups
next 30 days
0%+20%+40%+60%0%+200%+400%−14% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±9.2% over 30 days)
Bold: XRD's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3970 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to XRD's volatility.
Bad case$0.000195−44%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.000339−3.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000618+76%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.4%
Likely range
−44% to +76%$0.000195 – $0.000618
3,970 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.9% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this XRD prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for XRD was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=3970).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 378 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 3,970 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own XRD trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
XRD$0.00036150% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
XRD$0.00036157% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
XRD$0.00036154% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XRD's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,619 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 14% over 7 days
Down 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (54,930 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Down 27% over 30 days
Down 27% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (82,108 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
96% below its high
96% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (138,098 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (174,983 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XRD's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,486 cases) into 43% higher.
Down 14% over 7 days
Down 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (54,476 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Down 27% over 30 days
Down 27% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 41% of the time (81,716 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
96% below its high
96% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (136,394 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (92,118 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 36% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XRD's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,970 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (84,631 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Down 14% over 7 days
Down 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (52,765 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
96% below its high
96% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (129,463 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Down 27% over 30 days
Down 27% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (80,116 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
What moves XRD
LIKELYWhen a Bitcoin options expiry came, XRD ended higher a week later 6% of the time, against 33% on any daynext Oct 30, 2026 · 17 cases · on average -12.6% against -2.9% · last Sep 25, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against XRD's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on XRD
Our last 6 calls on XRD over 30 days: right on 6 of 6 · 5 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on XRD: 69.6% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 73% down · ended −39.9%✓ rightAug 9 said 66% down · ended −47.8%✓ rightAug 16 said 64% down · ended −40.0%✓ rightAug 23 said 61% down · ended −40.5%✓ rightAug 30 said 59% down · ended −50.8%✓ rightSep 6 said 55% down · ended −27.4%✓ right
white: XRD's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #1,099on record since 2023-02-03$1.25M lost to hacks
$0.000361
24H−1.9%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−99.8%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−46.9%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
XRD: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
hack Radix exploited for $1.25M NEW CASE RECORDED · 2026-10-06
—
−6.1%
−28.7%
−47.7%
−54.3%
−61.9%
in 54 days
defillama
Improper Access Control On Aug 31, 2026 XRD was hacked; it fell 28.7% by day 1 and was 54.3% lower 30 days later, 62 points behind BTC; it had moved −6.1% in the 7 days before.
On Jul 8, 2025Bybit removed the perpetual for XRD; it fell 3.2% by day 1 and was 39.5% lower 30 days later, 48 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.1% in the 7 days before.
2023
all-time high XRD all-time high: $0.1522
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XRD set an all-time high on Apr 18, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How XRD's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
XRD median day 30
XRD n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−54.3%
1
−13.8%
80
32.5%
below
Bybit · perpetual delisting
−39.5%
1
−13.6%
84
31.0%
below
Venue · kind
XRD median day 7
XRD n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−47.7%
1
−7.5%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual delisting
+23.9%
1
−5.9%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
XRD median day 1
XRD n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−28.7%
1
−5.7%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual delisting
−3.2%
1
−2.6%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on XRD · questions · sources
XRD in short
Radix (XRD) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #1,099 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 99.8% below its Apr 18, 2023 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.000361 (−1.9% over 24 hours), market cap $4.9M, fully diluted value $4.7M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; XRD is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the record for Radix runs to 3 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −46.9%.
From the latest data refresh
Radix (XRD) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #1,099 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 99.8% below its Apr 18, 2023 high.
The record's largest loss is a $1.2M hack on Aug 31, 2026 (access control).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #1,086 to #1,099.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for XRD as of Oct 6, 2026.
No listing of XRD has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for XRD as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for XRD as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026.
Radix lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $1.2M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 80 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −13.8% by day 30; 32.5% were still up after 30 days; XRD's one sits below that median at −54.3%.
Across 84 perpetual delistings on Bybit, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −13.6% by day 30;
31.0% were still up after 30 days;
XRD's one sits below that median at −39.5%.
XRD sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for XRD on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade XRD; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Apr 18, 2023; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Delisting of XRDUSDT Perpetual Contract on Jul 8, 2025 (−39.5%), worst Radix exploited for $1.25M on Aug 31, 2026 (−54.3%).
502 daily closes from May 23, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.1522 on Apr 18, 2023, 1,267 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
1 change is logged for this page since Oct 5, 2026; the latest, on Oct 5, 2026, is: New record entry (futures delisting, Jul 8, 2025): Delisting of XRDUSDT Perpetual Contract.
Changed since Oct 5, 2026: event futures_delisting → 28,225 (Oct 5).
The fields that changed most often were event (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Radix is $0.1522 on Apr 18, 2023, 1,267 days ago as of Oct 6, 2026; the price is 99.8% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.62).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.9% over 1 hour, −1.9% over 24 hours, −14.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 103.3% of fully diluted value ($4.9M of $4.7M), so −3.3% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $76,392 is 1.6% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 13.54B of 13.11B total (103.3%) and a maximum of 24B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1541 tokens, so XRD sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol XRD as of Oct 6, 2026.
Radix shares its ticker with XRD (Raven Dark) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 3, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id radix-dlt, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1541 all tokens on record tokens, Radix is at the 28th percentile by market cap, 6th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.7M, the median distance from ATH −94.7% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are DAO Maker Token (#1,098), MonaCoin (#1,100), Renzo (#1,100), Dock (#1,097) and Iron Fish (#1,101).
Market cap: $4.9M (P28 of 1541; peer median $13.7M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.56% (P41 of 1541; peer median 2.49%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1541; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −99.8% (P6 of 1541; peer median −94.7%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1541 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 50% chance XRD is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move 0.0%, likely range −7.6% to +7.3%, from 4,619 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Radix price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 57% chance XRD is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −1.9%, likely range −21.4% to +24.2%, from 4,486 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the XRD price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance XRD is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −3.4%, likely range −44.4% to +76.1%, from 3,970 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these XRD predictions?
Across 46 backtested 30-day calls on XRD, the call was right 69.6% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 75.0% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 6 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Radix?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Radix as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next XRD unlock?
No future unlock is on record for XRD as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is XRD listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 6, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for XRD; it is listed on 0 other exchanges.
How far is XRD from its all-time high?
99.8% below the $0.1522 high of Apr 18, 2023, 1,267 days ago, at $0.000361 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has Radix been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on Aug 31, 2026 for $1.2M (access control).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below as of Oct 6, 2026.
483 of our coins trade as Binance perpetuals; the 200 biggest read: 197 tonight (open interest, accounts long, top traders, takers), funding caught up on 196 (93889 readings); 75341 coin-days stored; 774 funding extremes as events; the rest comes over the next nights
45,323 coin-driver tests; 23 proven on 20 coins, 1840 likely
2026-10-06 04:21 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for cpi, fees_jump, funding_low, down for delisting, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing
2026-10-06 05:12 UTC
none
—
effects
11829 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
521 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 512 read tonight, 88377 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 23 read up to now tonight (122 pages), 9278 coin-days stored; 153 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
819 of 1541 coins have a logo (coingecko 709, trustwallet 105, jupiter 4, website 1). Tonight 0 asked. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), funding_low after (1d), pump after (1d), pump after (7d), unlock after (1d), vol_spike after (1d); 29 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 04:38 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 0 events new, 0 removed
167 rules tested; 4 survived discovery and the holdout (4 new tonight): max_30:low:1d:q20:all, skew_30:low:14d:q10:all, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:all; 4 in the book
57 of 260 coins due fetched (4 from CoinGecko, 53 from CoinPaprika; 29 with schedule files, 350 of the top 400); no CoinGecko id for 2: STABLE, WTRX; CoinGecko stopped: HTTP 429
10 of 169 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 03:35 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 42 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
2 of 5 feeds read, 2 series kept, 158 points written tonight; failed: gdelt:ethereum: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traf; gdelt:regulation: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-tr; gdelt:hack: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traffic
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 03:31 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:31:11+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0xabd4c), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:35:01+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_coinpaprika_g last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T04:11:08+00:00 coinpaprika_g:global: HTTP 402: { "type":"payment_requ), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,387 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 5, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.