$3.5−0.7%24hmcap $88.55K · its own chain · rank #836
Next 7 days for KSMNov 5–11: nothing on the calendar this week; a likely 7-day range of −12% to +10%; the pattern's best play: a 1× short, not proven yet (no clear edge on direction).
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −2% to +2% · typical move −0.2%
Liquidated within 1 day in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
0%
<1%
1%
8%
32%
Short
0%
<1%
1%
6%
32%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over a day in 47% of every past case · our 1-day direction calls: right 51% of 42,632 calls since 2019, against 52% for that side on any day
Market cap $88.55K · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 53.0% of 10,374 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 16283 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
0%+20%+40%+60%−10%0%+10%−12% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 15 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.1% over 1 day)
Bold: KSM's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 16283 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to KSM's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$3.24−4%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$3.36−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.50+4%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$3.24 – $3.50−4% to +4%
Middle half, in price
$3.30 – $3.42−2% to +2%
17,446 similar setups · our 1-day ranges held 80.3% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
typical close +0.6% · liquidated in 0.0% of past cases?
◇ Not proven yet. No clear edge today: no call behind this play has held up on unseen data?
Coins ended higher over 7 days in 43% of every past case · our 7-day direction calls: right 55% of 74,110 calls since 2019, against 57% for that side on any day
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −6% to +4% · typical move −0.7%
Liquidated within 7 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
<1%
2%
12%
40%
75%
Short
3%
8%
18%
48%
73%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
Market cap $88.55K · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.6% of 35,034 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (61%) so far · drawn from the 16283 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
0%+20%+40%+60%−20%0%+20%+40%−12% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±2.8% over 7 days)
Bold: KSM's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 16283 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to KSM's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$2.97−12%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$3.35−0.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.72+10%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$2.97 – $3.72−12% to +10%
Middle half, in price
$3.16 – $3.51−6% to +4%
16,895 similar setups · our 7-day ranges held 79.1% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
typical close +6.2% · liquidated in 1.8% of past cases?
◇ Not proven yet. No clear edge today: no call behind this play has held up on unseen data?
Coins ended higher over 30 days in 39% of every past case · our 30-day direction calls: right 58% of 94,388 calls since 2019, against 61% for that side on any day
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −16% to +6% · typical move −6.1%
Liquidated within 30 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
3%
10%
41%
71%
90%
Short
15%
26%
46%
78%
92%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
Market cap $88.55K · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 30 days · drawn from its 16283 matched past setups
next 30 days
0%+20%+40%+60%−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%−12% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 4 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: KSM's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 16283 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to KSM's volatility.
Bad case$2.52−25%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$3.16−6.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$4.08+21%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$2.52 – $4.08−25% to +21%
Middle half, in price
$2.83 – $3.56−16% to +6%
16,283 similar setups · our 30-day ranges held 79.1% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this KSM prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for KSM in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 64.5% of the time, typical +6.2% (n=16283).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 402 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 16,283 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 20★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 20 liquidated, more than half the cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own KSM trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
KSM's likely range for the next 30 days, to Dec 3, is $2.61 to $4.23 (−25% to +21%), from 16,283 similar past setups.
We don't call December itself. Its record in December: up in 0 of 2 (a median −19.8%; best −19.6% in 2025, worst −19.9% in 2024). Bitcoin rose in 3 of 9 Decembers since 2017. Past patterns, not a promise.
December
KSM
2025
−19.6%
2024
−19.9%
KSM$3.5−4% to +4% 1Dno call cleared the bar at 1D· liquidated at 10×: 8%open calculator
KSM$3.5−12% to +10% 7Dno call cleared the bar at 7D· liquidated at 10×: 48%open calculator
KSM$3.5−25% to +21% 30Dno call cleared the bar at 30D· liquidated at 10×: 78%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 17,446 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week.
90,638 past cases with this fact
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($88.5k market cap).
132,510 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
147,420 past cases with this fact
Down 35% over 30 days
Down 35% over the last 30 days.
134,089 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 16,895 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week.
89,674 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
145,286 past cases with this fact
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($88.5k market cap).
130,781 past cases with this fact
Down 35% over 30 days
Down 35% over the last 30 days.
132,531 past cases with this fact
A Coinbase discount in the last week
When Bitcoin sold at a discount on Coinbase in the week before, coins ended higher a week later 26% of the time against 42% our patterns gave them (8,676 past predictions on 9 dates).
8,676 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 16,283 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
142,855 past cases with this fact
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week.
86,621 past cases with this fact
Down 35% over 30 days
Down 35% over the last 30 days.
129,603 past cases with this fact
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups.
267,800 past cases with this fact
What moves KSM
LIKELYWhen a big spot ETF outflow day came, KSM ended lower the next day more often than on any day (17 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Oct 31, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against KSM's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, walked apart · out of sample: each quarter called with only the drivers found before it, and a kind of driver earns a call only when its side was right more often than that side won on any day, on 100+ scored calls over 60+ separate days, with an average move its way above 0% · what moves every coin
KSM, tested on its own history
Every time each of these happened on KSM's daily closes since 2024, and what KSM did next: the tests our studies run on the top 100 coins, here on KSM alone.
When
Times
KSM after, on average
Higher after
From any day
Golden cross · its 50-day average crossed over its 200-day
2
−28.0% over 30 days
0 of 2
−3.6%
Oct 4, 2026: −35.3% · Dec 1, 2024: −20.7%
Death cross · its 50-day average crossed under its 200-day
Jun 19, 2026: −9.8% · Jun 2, 2026: −13.5% · Jan 31, 2026: −17.8% · Dec 18, 2025: +3.3% · Oct 30, 2025: +2.0% · Oct 10, 2025: −0.6% · Oct 29, 2026: its 7 days still running
A 15% to 30% dip · it closed 15% to 30% under its highest close of the last 90 days
13
−10.1% over 30 days
5 of 13
−3.6%
Aug 21, 2026: +24.2% · May 22, 2026: −30.2% · Apr 21, 2026: +8.1% · Nov 8, 2025: −39.7% · Sep 22, 2025: −26.6% · Aug 20, 2025: +6.9% · Oct 17, 2026: its 30 days still running
each event counted once its days were over, never two whose days overlap · the newest dated, newest first · "from any day": KSM's move over as many days from any close on record · a handful of cases says little: each study, every top coin together, is linked · chart events anyone can see and what followed, not what our predictions are made of
standing studies, re-run every night on our own data, each with its luck test · every saying's verdict
Our record on KSM
Our last 6 calls on KSM over 30 days: right on 3 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on KSM: 62.2% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
across every coin, out of sample: our 30-day calls were right 58% of 94,388 calls since 2019, against 61% for that side on any day: no clear edge, so no 30-day call is shown today (a few dozen calls on one coin say little)
Aug 30 said 67% down · ended +39.2%✗ wrongSep 6 said 60% down · ended +28.7%✗ wrongSep 13 said 63% down · ended +21.6%✗ wrongSep 20 said 59% down · ended −3.8%✓ rightSep 27 said 57% down · ended −20.0%✓ rightOct 4 said 56% down · ended −35.3%✓ right
white: KSM's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 31, 2026: 4 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 30, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
KSM: 14 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 21% during 2024-03-12, from $16M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-03-14, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Mar 14, 2024 KSM saw a TVL crash; it fell 11.5% by day 1 and was 52.1% lower 30 days later, 40 points behind BTC; it had moved +9.2% in the 7 days before.
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 24% during 2023-12-24, from $13M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2023-12-26, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. KSM saw a TVL surge on Dec 26, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 23% during 2023-12-12, from $12M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2023-12-14, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. KSM saw a TVL crash on Dec 14, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 94% during 2022-06-22, from $13M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-06-24, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. KSM saw a TVL surge on Jun 24, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 23% during 2021-12-14, from $54M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-12-16, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. KSM saw a TVL surge on Dec 16, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSMUSDT perpetual trading. Bybit opened perpetual futures for KSM on Oct 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 26% during 2021-08-30, from $55M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2021-09-01, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. KSM saw a TVL surge on Sep 1, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high KSM all-time high: $621.75
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. KSM set an all-time high on May 18, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed KSM on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSMUSDT perpetual trading. Binance opened perpetual futures for KSM on Oct 14, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
KSM-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for KSM on Sep 8, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on KSM · questions · sources
KSM in short
Kusama (KSM) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #836 by market cap as of Nov 4, 2026, 99.4% below its May 18, 2021 high.
As of Nov 4, 2026 the price is $3.5 (−0.7% over 24 hours), market cap $88,546, fully diluted value $56.7M, holder count not reported, $341,451 TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; KSM is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Nov 4, 2026.
As of Nov 4, 2026 the record for Kusama runs to 14 events, of which 4 are spot listings, 3 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 1 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −52.1%.
From the latest data refresh
Kusama (KSM), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #836 by market cap on Nov 4, 2026 and trades 99.4% under its May 18, 2021 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −52.1%.
Across 478 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is −0.1% on day 1 and −8.7% by day 30; 33.3% were still up after 30 days; KSM's one sits below that median at −52.1%.
No on-chain power check is available for KSM on its own chain as of Nov 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
14 events since Sep 2, 2020; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best TVL fell 21% in a day on Mar 14, 2024 (−52.1%), worst TVL fell 21% in a day on Mar 14, 2024 (−52.1%).
As of Nov 4, 2026 KSM trades on 4 spot venues and 3 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Sep 8, 2020 to Bybit on Oct 12, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Sep 8, 2020, 143 days before the first spot pair.
Kusama trades 99.4% below its all-time high of $621.75, set on May 18, 2021, 1,993 days before Nov 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved −31.6% against −11.4% for BTC (beta 1.38).
Set against 2381 all tokens on record tokens on Nov 4, 2026, Kusama ranks at the 16th percentile for market cap, the 26th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
What is the Kusama price prediction for December 2026?
We don't call December itself.
KSM's likely range for the next 30 days, to Dec 3, is $2.61 to $4.23 (−25% to +21%), from 16,283 similar past setups.
Its record in December: up in 0 of 2 (a median −19.8%; best −19.6% in 2025, worst −19.9% in 2024).
Bitcoin rose in 3 of 9 Decembers since 2017.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Will KSM go up tomorrow?
As of Nov 3, 2026: KSM's likely range tomorrow is −3.9% to +3.8% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −0.2%, from 17,446 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Kusama price prediction for this week?
As of Nov 3, 2026: KSM's likely range over the next 7 days is −11.9% to +10.5% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −0.7%, from 16,895 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the KSM price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Nov 3, 2026: KSM's likely range over the next 30 days is −25.4% to +21.0% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −6.1%, from 16,283 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these KSM predictions?
Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on KSM, the call was right 62.2% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 75.0% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 3 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Kusama?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Kusama as of Nov 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next KSM unlock?
No future unlock is on record for KSM as of Nov 4, 2026.
Is KSM listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed KSM and perpetual futures on Oct 14, 2020.
How far is KSM from its all-time high?
99.4% below the $621.75 high of May 18, 2021, 1,993 days ago, at $3.5 on Nov 4, 2026.
Has Kusama been hacked?
No hack is on record for Kusama as of Nov 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Bybit, Coinbase and OKX) as of Nov 4, 2026.
Shiro the Buddy (SHIRO): rank #838 — nearest rank.
Iagon (IAG): rank #833 — nearest rank.
Mango Network (MGO): rank #839 — nearest rank.
DeFinder Capital (DFC): rank #839 — nearest rank.
Deterministic selection: category peers by rank distance, same chain, shared investors, auditors and people, symbol collisions.
Sources
Sources and freshness
as of · sources table
144 sources feed this page; 144 fetched successfully, the most recent at Nov 4, 2026 05:29 UTC; 7 reported an error on the latest fetch.
What each source supplies and how fresh it is: every source. Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: hello@pattern.plus.
binance_klines_deep last fetched successfully on Oct 30, 2026 04:17 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-11-04T04:11:24+00:00 3 coins failed;
first: LOOM: Refused fapi.binance.com ), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Nov 4, 2026 03:35 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-11-04T03:35:11+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0xcb159), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_bitmex last fetched successfully on Oct 13, 2026 04:25 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-11-04T04:16:46+00:00 bitmex:btc: HTTP 403: <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//D), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_gdelt last fetched successfully on Nov 2, 2026 04:15 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-11-04T04:18:02+00:00 gdelt:bitcoin: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one ), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_gdelt_coins last fetched successfully on Oct 30, 2026 04:25 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-11-04T04:18:01+00:00 gdelt_coins:fil: GDELT refused us tonight: the next ni), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 8,509 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Nov 1, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: how far the price is likely to swing and how often a leveraged trade was liquidated, then a direction only where a call earned it out of sample, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.