likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −3% to +2% · typical move −0.7%
Liquidated within 1 day in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
0%
<1%
1%
5%
35%
Short
0%
0%
<1%
7%
29%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over a day in 47% of every past case · our 1-day direction calls: right 50% of 39,844 calls since 2019, against 51% for that side on any day
Market cap $1.86B · mid-cap
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.1% of 8,379 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (52%) so far · drawn from the 610 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
0%+5%+10%+15%+20%−20%−10%0%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.2% over 1 day)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 610 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to DOT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.02−6%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$1.08−0.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.14+5%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$1.02 – $1.14−6% to +5%
Middle half, in price
$1.05 – $1.11−3% to +2%
623 similar setups · our 1-day ranges held 79.4% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
typical close +3.9% · liquidated in 3.9% of past cases?
◇ Not proven yet. No clear edge today: no call behind this play has held up on unseen data?
Coins ended higher over 7 days in 44% of every past case · our 7-day direction calls: right 55% of 66,736 calls since 2019, against 56% for that side on any day
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −8% to +5% · typical move −1.3%
Liquidated within 7 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
1%
1%
15%
45%
78%
Short
1%
4%
11%
35%
60%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
Market cap $1.86B · mid-cap
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.6% of 29,820 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (61%) so far · drawn from the 610 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
0%+5%+10%+15%+20%−40%−20%0%+20%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±3.8% over 7 days)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 610 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to DOT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.934−14%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$1.07−1.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.22+12%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.934 – $1.22−14% to +12%
Middle half, in price
$1.01 – $1.14−8% to +5%
615 similar setups · our 7-day ranges held 78.7% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
DOT price prediction for the next 30 days
Expected swing over the next 30 days
−34%to+31%
likely range: 8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it
middle half −18% to +11% · typical move −4.7%
Liquidated within 30 days in similar past setups
side
2×
3×
5×
10×
20×
Long
9%
21%
46%
75%
93%
Short
14%
24%
42%
66%
81%
the planner's replay of the setups behind the 30-day prediction · red: more than 1 in 20
No clear edge today
Coins ended higher over 30 days in 40% of every past case · our 30-day direction calls: right 57% of 86,455 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day
Market cap $1.86B · mid-cap
Lookalike Setups (main) · no clear edge on direction in 30 days · drawn from its 610 matched past setups
next 30 days
0%+5%+10%+15%+20%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%−8.2% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 610 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to DOT's volatility.
Bad case$0.720−34%1 in 10 did worse
Typical$1.04−4.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.43+31%1 in 10 did better
Likely range, in price
$0.720 – $1.43−34% to +31%
Middle half, in price
$0.889 – $1.21−18% to +11%
610 similar setups · our 30-day ranges held 78.3% of outcomes in backtests (aim: 80%) · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this DOT prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for DOT in setups like this: short, hold 5 days, 4× — profitable 56.6% of the time, typical +6.5%, liquidated 3.9% of the time (n=610).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.2% over 5 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 397 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 610 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 20★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 20 liquidated, more than half the cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own DOT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
DOT$1.09−6% to +5% 1Dno call cleared the bar at 1D· liquidated at 10×: 7%open calculator
DOT$1.09−14% to +12% 7Dno call cleared the bar at 7D· liquidated at 10×: 45%open calculator
DOT$1.09−34% to +31% 30Dno call cleared the bar at 30D· liquidated at 10×: 75%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 623 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
84,932 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
137,252 past cases with this fact
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−1%).
94,470 past cases with this fact
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2B market cap).
51,681 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 615 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
83,962 past cases with this fact
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
136,268 past cases with this fact
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2B market cap).
51,547 past cases with this fact
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups.
256,967 past cases with this fact
The facts this prediction matches on. Every past moment with the same facts, across every coin we track, is one of the 610 similar setups its range is drawn from; no chance is shown, as no call earned it out of sample at this horizon.
Bitcoin below its 50-day average
Bitcoin is below its 50-day average.
135,864 past cases with this fact
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week.
81,685 past cases with this fact
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−1%).
90,965 past cases with this fact
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups.
249,287 past cases with this fact
What moves DOT
LIKELYWhen a Fed rate decision came, DOT ended higher the next day more often than on any day (49 cases in the history it was found on)next Oct 28, 2026 · no clear edge out of sample · last Sep 16, 2026
LIKELYWhen Bitcoin's options priced a big move, DOT ended higher the next day more often than on any day (9 cases in the history it was found on)a lead: not tested out of sample yet · last Mar 23, 2026
LIKELYWhen a big spot ETF outflow day came, DOT ended lower the next day more often than on any day (16 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Oct 23, 2026
LIKELYWhen it traded five times its usual volume, DOT ended higher the next day more often than on any day (12 cases in the history it was found on)no clear edge out of sample · last Feb 25, 2026
LIKELYWhen Bitcoin fell 3% or more in a day, DOT ended higher the next day more often than on any day (229 cases in the history it was found on)earned out of sample: right 55% of 17,606 calls since 2020, against 49% for that side on any day · last Oct 22, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against DOT's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, walked apart · out of sample: each quarter called with only the drivers found before it, and a kind of driver earns a call only when its side was right more often than that side won on any day, on 100+ scored calls over 60+ separate days, with an average move its way above 0% · what moves every coin
standing studies, re-run every night on our own data, each with its luck test · every saying's verdict
Our record on DOT
Our last 6 calls on DOT over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on DOT: 59.6% hit rate, 81.2% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
across every coin, out of sample: our 30-day calls were right 57% of 86,455 calls since 2019, against 60% for that side on any day: no clear edge, so no 30-day call is shown today (a few dozen calls on one coin say little)
Aug 16 said 65% down · ended +24.5%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +31.4%✗ wrongAug 30 said 70% down · ended +45.7%✗ wrongSep 6 said 63% down · ended +22.8%✗ wrongSep 13 said 67% down · ended +16.1%✗ wrongSep 20 said 63% down · ended +1.5%✗ wrong
white: DOT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 15, 2026: 9 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 14, 2026 · the full scorecard →
activePolkadotBridgeRank #54on record since 2020-08-21
$1.09
24H−7.2%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−98.0%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
DOT: 10 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
DOT closed 2026-04-132.3% cheaper on Upbit (KRW-DOT, in won) than elsewhere, both measured in Bitcoin, below 100% of its past year: Korean holders selling. The move is the coin's, from that day's close. On Apr 14, 2026 DOT saw a Korean discount; it fell 3.8% by day 1 and was 11.0% higher 30 days later, 2 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −1.0% in the 7 days before.
Hyperliquid's DOT perpetual: funding on 2026-04-12 averaged -0.0089% an hour (-78% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Apr 13, 2026 DOT saw a funding extreme low; it fell 4.7% by day 1 and was 8.5% higher 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.6% in the 7 days before.
Hyperliquid's DOT perpetual: funding on 2026-03-25 averaged -0.0059% an hour (-51% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Mar 26, 2026 DOT saw a funding extreme low; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 8.6% lower 30 days later, 17 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.6% in the 7 days before.
Hyperliquid's DOT perpetual: funding on 2026-03-07 averaged -0.0103% an hour (-90% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Mar 8, 2026 DOT saw a funding extreme low; it rose 3.2% by day 1 and was 9.3% lower 30 days later, 16 points behind BTC; it had moved −12.9% in the 7 days before.
Hyperliquid's DOT perpetual: funding on 2026-02-22 averaged -0.0057% an hour (-50% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Feb 23, 2026 DOT saw a funding extreme low; it fell 5.7% by day 1 and was 3.8% higher 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved −3.2% in the 7 days before.
Hyperliquid's DOT perpetual: funding on 2026-01-29 averaged -0.0047% an hour (-41% a year), below 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Jan 30, 2026 DOT saw a funding extreme low; it fell 10.9% by day 1 and was 11.6% lower 30 days later, 11 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −9.9% in the 7 days before.
DOT's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 27% during 2025-10-10, from $15M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-10-12, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Oct 12, 2025 DOT saw a TVL crash; it rose 12.6% by day 1 and was 1.9% higher 30 days later, 9 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −28.4% in the 7 days before.
DOT's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 39% during 2023-02-04, from $25M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2023-02-06, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Feb 6, 2023 DOT saw a TVL crash; it rose 4.6% by day 1 and was 15.6% lower 30 days later, 10 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.4% in the 7 days before.
DOT's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 33% during 2022-10-19, from $39M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2022-10-21, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Oct 21, 2022 DOT saw a TVL crash; it fell 0.7% by day 1 and was 10.0% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −3.6% in the 7 days before.
2021
all-time high DOT all-time high: $55.00
—
+31.9%
−3.0%
−11.1%
−44.9%
−23.1%
−64.8%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Nov 4, 2021 DOT set an all-time high; it fell 3.0% by day 1 and was 44.9% lower 30 days later, 23 points behind BTC; it had moved +31.9% in the 7 days before.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How DOT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
DOT median day 30
DOT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · Korean discount
+11.0%
1
−8.1%
47
40.4%
above
all venues · funding extreme low
−8.6%
5
−4.6%
1409
41.7%
below
all venues · TVL crash
−10.0%
3
−9.7%
442
32.6%
below
all venues · all-time high
−44.9%
1
−38.3%
682
6.5%
below
Venue · kind
DOT median day 7
DOT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · Korean discount
+4.1%
1
−4.7%
—
—
above
all venues · funding extreme low
−0.5%
5
−1.9%
—
—
above
all venues · TVL crash
+0.4%
3
−1.7%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−11.1%
1
−16.4%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
DOT median day 1
DOT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · Korean discount
−3.8%
1
−3.4%
—
—
below
all venues · funding extreme low
−5.2%
5
−0.9%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL crash
+4.6%
3
−0.1%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−3.0%
1
−3.3%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
682
−3.3%
−16.4%
−38.3%
6.5%
−36.6%
all venues
funding extreme low
1409
−0.9%
−1.9%
−4.6%
41.7%
−0.8%
all venues
Korean discount
47
−3.4%
−4.7%
−8.1%
40.4%
−1.5%
all venues
TVL crash
442
−0.1%
−1.7%
−9.7%
32.6%
−0.0%
computed 2026-10-24 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to DOT holders (checked Oct 24, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on DOT · questions · sources
DOT in short
Filed under Bridge on Polkadot, Polkadot (DOT) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #54 by market cap as of Oct 24, 2026 and trades 98.0% below its Nov 4, 2021 high.
As of Oct 24, 2026 the price is $1.09 (−7.2% over 24 hours), market cap $1.86B, fully diluted value $1.86B, holder count not reported, $2.1M TVL.
This page is about Polkadot on Polkadot; 1 other token on record use the symbol DOT: Polkadot Token (chain not recorded).
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 24, 2026: Cross-chain, High Transaction Speed (TPS), Identity & Verification, Internet Of Things, Layer 0 (L0), Made in USA, Payments, Smart Contracts.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; DOT is the native coin of Polkadot, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 24, 2026.
10 events sit on Polkadot's record as of Oct 24, 2026 (0 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 10 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −8.9%.
From the latest data refresh
Polkadot (DOT) is a Bridge token on Polkadot, rank #54 by market cap as of Oct 24, 2026, 98.0% below its Nov 4, 2021 high.
Across 10 measured events the median day-30 move was −8.9%.
Across 47 Korean discounts across every token on record, the median move is −3.4% on day 1 and −8.1% by day 30; 40.4% were still up after 30 days; DOT's one sits above that median at +11.0%.
No on-chain power check is available for DOT on Polkadot as of Oct 24, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
10 events since Nov 4, 2021; 6 of the 10 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Korean discount: DOT -2.3% on Upbit on Apr 14, 2026 (+11.0%), worst DOT all-time high: $55.00 on Nov 4, 2021 (−44.9%).
The change log holds 53 entries between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 24, 2026; the newest reads: New record entry (funding low, Jan 30, 2026): Funding -41% a year: shorts paying longs.
DOT is on 71 spot and 11 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was Binance (perp) on Aug 22, 2020 and the latest Bybit (perp) on Mar 18, 2021; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Aug 22, 2020, 160 days before the first spot pair.
Polkadot trades 98.0% below its all-time high of $55, set on Nov 4, 2021, 1,815 days before Oct 24, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.38).
Polkadot has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (polkadot); it is the native coin of Polkadot.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Polkadot (DOT) is a next-generation blockchain protocol that enables interconnectivity between multiple blockchains, allowing them to share information and transactions in a secure and scalable manner. This ecosystem promotes seamless communication and innovation across various blockchain networks. Source: CoinPaprika.com
Set against 1745 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 24, 2026, Polkadot ranks at the 97th percentile for market cap, the 36th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
As of Oct 23, 2026: DOT's likely range tomorrow is −5.7% to +5.1% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −0.7%, from 623 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Polkadot price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 23, 2026: DOT's likely range over the next 7 days is −14.1% to +12.3% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −1.3%, from 615 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the DOT price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 23, 2026: DOT's likely range over the next 30 days is −33.8% to +31.1% (8 in 10 similar past setups ended inside it), typical move −4.7%, from 610 similar past setups;
no clear edge on its direction: no call on it earned one out of sample.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these DOT predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on DOT, the call was right 59.6% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 81.2% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Polkadot?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Polkadot as of Oct 24, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next DOT unlock?
No future unlock is on record for DOT as of Oct 24, 2026.
Is DOT listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed DOT and perpetual futures on Aug 22, 2020.
How far is DOT from its all-time high?
98.0% below the $55 high of Nov 4, 2021, 1,815 days ago, at $1.09 on Oct 24, 2026.
Has Polkadot been hacked?
No hack is on record for Polkadot as of Oct 24, 2026; 1 audit link is listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 79 exchanges (Azbit, BTCTurk, BTSE, BYDFi (Spot), Batonex Derivative Exchange and Bequant) as of Oct 24, 2026.
Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI): rank #58, solana — nearest rank.
Quant (QNT): rank #49, ethereum — nearest rank.
Deterministic selection: category peers by rank distance, same chain, shared investors, auditors and people, symbol collisions.
Sources
Sources and freshness
as of · sources table
144 sources feed this page; 144 fetched successfully, the most recent at Oct 24, 2026 05:25 UTC; 3 reported an error on the latest fetch.
What each source supplies and how fresh it is: every source. Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 24, 2026 03:46 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-24T03:46:12+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x8292b), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_bitmex last fetched successfully on Oct 13, 2026 04:25 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-24T04:25:19+00:00 bitmex:btc: HTTP 403: <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//D), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_tdirect last fetched successfully on Oct 17, 2026 04:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-24T04:25:30+00:00 tdirect:note: no points), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 9,983 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 16, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: how far the price is likely to swing and how often a leveraged trade was liquidated, then a direction only where a call earned it out of sample, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
