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Pattern · Wikipedia attention spikes · counted from past cases, updated 2026-11-02

Wikipedia attention spikes: all 159 measured cases

Wikipedia attention spike ⚠ flipped on recent cases 238 cases on record last 5 cases: 3 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a Wikipedia attention spike?

higher the next day

50%

79 of 159 past cases

50% of past cases were higher (90% range 43-56%)

90% range 43%–56%

higher after 30 days

50%

78 of 157 cases measured after 30 days

50% of past cases were higher (90% range 43-56%)

90% range 43%–56% · typical move 0.0%

typical next day
−0.0%
typical after 30 days
0.0%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−2.0%
best after 30 days
+318.8%
worst after 30 days
−59.8%
30 days: up · sideways · down
60 · 38 · 59

⚠ recent-cases check · flipped: 49% → 50% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

ATTENTIONall Wikipedia attention spikes against the same coins' ordinary daysthe atlas →

1 day
+1−7…+9
7 days
0−8…+9
30 days
+4−5…+12

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (148 cases on 132 separate days). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 2 coins. Only a case with 90 days of prices before it can be compared, so the 1-day cell counts 148 of the 159 measured cases.

Every past Wikipedia attention spike, 30 days on 157 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 54 rose · ▼ 51 fell · ◆ 52 sideways (±7.9% over 30 days)

Each line is one past Wikipedia attention spike: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 157 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Wikipedia attention spikes: 159 of the 238 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 79 of those 159 closed higher — a base rate of 50%, with a 90% range of 43% to 56%, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up159 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Wikipedia attention spikes: 159 of the 238 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 79 of those 159 closed higher — a base rate of 50%, with a 90% range of 43% to 56%, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.

  • By day 30, 78 of the 157 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (50%).
  • The typical day-30 move was 0.0%, the best +318.8% and the worst −59.8%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −2.0% vs BTC and beat it in 36.3% of 157 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 49% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD1 scheduled

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • yesterday · TORN Tornado Cash 30 days lands
  • yesterday · USD1 USD1 30 days lands
  • 2 days ago · BUSD BUSD 30 days lands
  • 22 days ago · BTC Bitcoin next day −1.4% · 7 days −1.1% · 30 days lands
  • 23 days ago · FTT FTX Token next day +1.2% · 7 days +0.4% · 30 days lands

1 scheduled Wikipedia attention spike meets every condition of this pattern. Each one is dated, and its move is measured from that day. A narrower pattern that also fits gives it its odds.

DateTokenEventSizeWhenIts odds come from
Stable (STABLE)Attention spike: 1,186 read STABLE's Wikipedia article, 3.1x usual3.1%tomorrowWikipedia attention spikes of small-cap L1 and L2 tokens

Every past case238 cases

Every past Wikipedia attention spike behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 238 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

238 past cases of wikipedia attention spikes, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
USD1 (USD1) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
BUSD (BUSD) — — in 28 days in 28 days not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.4% in 8 days in 8 days down next day
FTX Token (FTT) — +1.2% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Bitget Token (BGB) — −1.1% −6.9% −2.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.0% −5.0% 0.0% sideways next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) — +8.2% +6.4% −1.0% up next day
USDC (USDC) — +0.0% +0.0% −6.9% sideways next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +3.8% +5.7% +0.4% up next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — +6.1% −16.2% −19.4% up next day
USD1 (USD1) — −0.0% +0.0% −3.2% sideways next day
USD1 (USD1) — +0.0% −0.1% +2.6% sideways next day
Zcash (ZEC) — +26.7% +33.5% +29.4% up next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — −4.0% −14.4% +2.7% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — +0.0% +0.1% −12.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.4% −3.0% 0.0% sideways next day
USD1 (USD1) — +0.0% −0.2% +9.8% sideways next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +0.2% −21.6% +6.0% sideways next day
USD1 (USD1) — −0.0% +0.0% +28.0% sideways next day
FTX Token (FTT) — −5.1% −39.0% −14.8% down next day
2025
Terra (LUNA) — −20.3% −46.5% −52.2% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — +0.0% 0.0% +5.2% sideways next day
Zcash (ZEC) — −13.1% −27.9% −18.5% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — +0.1% −0.1% +21.7% sideways next day
BUSD (BUSD) — — — — not measured yet
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −7.5% +10.6% +24.1% down next day
Zcash (ZEC) — −4.9% +93.9% +105.5% down next day
Zcash (ZEC) — +19.3% +218.5% +226.8% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — −5.1% −59.8% −53.6% down next day
Gemini Dollar (GUSD) — +0.0% 0.0% +2.5% sideways next day
Worldcoin (WLD) — −14.3% −54.8% −55.9% down next day
Gemini Dollar (GUSD) — +0.0% −0.1% −9.6% sideways next day
USD1 (USD1) — −0.1% −0.0% −9.9% sideways next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −1.5% +0.4% −0.4% down next day
Terra (LUNA) — +5.2% +0.1% +2.7% up next day
USD1 (USD1) — −0.1% −0.1% +2.5% sideways next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — −3.2% −17.8% −13.3% down next day
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
XRP (XRP) — +1.2% −10.3% −8.9% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — −28.5% −40.7% −39.7% down next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −1.5% −28.2% −26.6% down next day
Worldcoin (WLD) — −10.4% +15.2% +6.0% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — — — — not measured yet
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.1% +13.9% −0.9% sideways next day
Uniswap (UNI) — +2.6% +18.3% −7.0% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Pump.fun (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
FTX Token (FTT) — −17.1% −35.8% −24.3% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — — — — not measured yet
Pump.fun (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Cardano (ADA) — +13.6% −24.1% −20.6% up next day
XRP (XRP) — +4.7% −13.5% −10.0% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −5.3% −35.5% −26.2% down next day
USD1 (USD1) — — — — not measured yet
Pump.fun (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — +0.8% −33.9% −29.2% sideways next day
2024
Terra (LUNA) — −5.3% −32.4% −38.8% down next day
Tezos (XTZ) — −0.1% −13.4% −6.9% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% +2.5% 0.0% up next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — +9.5% −14.6% −17.1% up next day
Terra (LUNA) — +10.6% −18.8% −14.0% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — −7.7% −22.9% −23.9% down next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — +5.0% −6.0% −2.0% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — +4.2% +41.0% +24.5% up next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — +14.7% +7.8% −11.8% up next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) — −2.5% +39.1% +26.8% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.7% +15.3% 0.0% sideways next day
Cardano (ADA) — −5.7% +83.2% +70.3% down next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — −7.4% +0.9% −12.0% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +13.3% +141.3% +108.0% up next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — −0.7% +40.1% −6.6% sideways next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — −3.4% +18.9% −17.7% down next day
FTX Token (FTT) — −3.6% −6.9% −46.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.7% −15.9% −20.3% up next day
FTX Token (FTT) — +4.4% +35.1% +28.9% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) — +5.7% +14.6% −1.2% up next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −5.6% +3.4% −5.8% down next day
Cardano (ADA) — +1.2% +0.2% −10.3% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
BUSD (BUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) — −2.7% −14.4% −3.3% down next day
BUSD (BUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — +8.6% −1.4% +1.0% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −2.5% −19.8% −8.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.3% −3.9% 0.0% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −3.9% −6.5% −2.7% down next day
Decentraland (MANA) — −13.4% −38.0% −16.9% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −2.8% −27.5% −16.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.6% +6.2% 0.0% down next day
FTX Token (FTT) — +0.6% −25.5% −16.9% sideways next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +10.1% +47.1% +35.5% up next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — +33.5% +69.8% +58.1% up next day
FTX Token (FTT) — −0.8% +22.2% −1.2% sideways next day
Terra (LUNA) — +0.4% +11.3% −15.9% sideways next day
2023
Terra (LUNA) — −2.2% +17.6% +1.6% down next day
BUSD (BUSD) — −0.0% — — sideways next day
FTX Token (FTT) — +4.5% +273.9% +248.2% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −0.5% +22.8% +11.2% sideways next day
Cardano (ADA) — −0.9% +54.9% +16.8% sideways next day
FTX Token (FTT) — −3.5% +6.8% −22.5% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
FTX Token (FTT) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +7.9% +16.0% +19.9% up next day
BUSD (BUSD) — +0.0% +0.0% −14.9% sideways next day
Terra (LUNA) — −0.7% −31.9% −26.3% sideways next day
Monero (XMR) — −3.7% −5.7% −0.1% down next day
Monero (XMR) — +1.3% +0.4% −1.0% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −10.2% −15.7% −20.5% down next day
Decentraland (MANA) — +0.5% −4.3% −11.9% sideways next day
Terra (LUNA) — +1.9% −1.9% −2.1% up next day
Dai (DAI) — — — — not measured yet
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Helium (HNT) — — — — not measured yet
2022
FTX Token (FTT) — — — — not measured yet
FTX Token (FTT) — — — — not measured yet
FTX Token (FTT) — — — — not measured yet
BUSD (BUSD) — −0.0% −0.2% −7.8% sideways next day
Dai (DAI) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +20.7% −9.3% +7.5% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — −0.3% −15.2% −0.1% sideways next day
Decentraland (MANA) — +0.4% −29.3% −13.6% sideways next day
Terra (LUNA) — −1.0% −2.2% −10.2% sideways next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −13.4% −30.1% −28.8% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −6.9% −7.1% −5.9% down next day
Terra (LUNA) — +12.9% −3.8% −1.6% up next day
Tezos (XTZ) — +4.8% −4.8% +5.6% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −4.9% −12.4% +16.2% down next day
Dai (DAI) — — — — not measured yet
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +3.8% −7.4% +9.3% up next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) — +2.8% −49.9% −34.4% up next day
Tezos (XTZ) — −10.7% −30.4% −24.0% down next day
2021
Tezos (XTZ) — −6.5% −12.9% −0.9% down next day
Decentraland (MANA) — −15.4% +29.6% +37.5% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −2.8% −25.4% −18.2% down next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — +86.9% +0.9% +7.5% up next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — +32.2% +261.2% +242.8% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −0.9% +28.5% −18.8% sideways next day
Litecoin (LTC) — +1.1% +3.5% −27.4% up next day
Tezos (XTZ) — +0.6% +12.7% +19.4% sideways next day
Cardano (ADA) — +19.8% −18.4% −1.8% up next day
Tezos (XTZ) — +8.2% +0.6% −1.5% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −12.1% −36.7% −18.0% down next day
Nano (XNO) — — — — not measured yet
EOS (EOS) — +1.5% −50.0% −8.5% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +5.5% −43.2% −5.1% up next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — +27.5% −32.8% +5.3% up next day
Nano (XNO) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −11.4% +134.8% +163.4% down next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −13.1% −2.3% +26.3% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +200.9% +318.8% +344.5% up next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — −3.4% +74.8% +77.8% down next day
Tezos (XTZ) — −3.1% +13.3% +16.4% down next day
Filecoin (FIL) — +19.4% +20.5% +22.2% up next day
Filecoin (FIL) — +3.2% +96.7% +99.3% up next day
IOTA (IOTA) — −0.9% +51.1% +47.2% sideways next day
Dash (DASH) — +8.1% −0.5% −21.8% up next day
Nano (XNO) — — — — not measured yet
IOTA (IOTA) — −3.7% +3.6% −14.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.5% +36.6% 0.0% up next day
Filecoin (FIL) — +7.3% +24.3% −12.3% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) — +6.9% +43.1% −9.1% up next day
BUSD (BUSD) — +0.1% +0.1% −41.3% sideways next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −19.4% +10.2% −34.6% down next day
EOS (EOS) — +3.8% +71.9% +36.4% up next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — +5.2% +62.3% +26.8% up next day
Nano (XNO) — — — — not measured yet
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — −12.5% +11.2% +4.6% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +14.9% +15.5% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +16.0% +53.2% +37.8% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — +8.7% −6.6% −22.1% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +1.5% +279.4% +265.4% up next day
2020
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −21.6% +70.7% +34.9% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −11.7% +21.7% −19.8% down next day
Stellar (XLM) — +7.3% −24.0% −65.5% up next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — −7.2% +6.8% −11.3% down next day
Filecoin (FIL) — −26.9% −38.1% −85.8% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +37.8% +11.5% −13.8% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +4.5% +5.2% −4.4% up next day
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — −38.9% −8.2% +4.9% down next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — +8.8% +85.9% +55.6% up next day
2019
Ethereum (ETH) — −1.7% +27.2% +10.9% down next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
BUSD (BUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −10.7% −16.9% −9.3% down next day
2018
Stable (STABLE) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −6.1% −19.9% −19.1% down next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — −0.2% +18.1% +18.8% sideways next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −1.6% −30.3% −18.5% down next day
Zcash (ZEC) — — — — not measured yet
BUSD (BUSD) — — — — not measured yet
EOS (EOS) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) — −3.1% +10.8% +11.4% down next day
EOS (EOS) — — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — — — — not measured yet
2017
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Litecoin (LTC) — — −12.9% −6.7% not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) — — — — not measured yet
Dash (DASH) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — +10.7% +39.4% 0.0% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Litecoin (LTC) — — — — not measured yet
IOTA (IOTA) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — — — — not measured yet
Zcash (ZEC) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) — — — — not measured yet
Zcash (ZEC) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
Litecoin (LTC) — — — — not measured yet
Dash (DASH) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
Dash (DASH) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
2016
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
2015
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) — — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) — — — — not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) — — — — not measured yet

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 159 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (here, the kind of event alone), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answered from this count

What does the 50% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 79 of the 159 measured past cases of wikipedia attention spikes closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 43% to 56% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 159.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 49% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 238 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every Wikipedia attention spike with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.