PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · usage surges · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Usage surges with BTC above its 50-day average: all 367 measured cases

usage surge btc trend · up⚠ flipped on recent cases 500 cases on record last 5 cases: 2 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a usage surge?

higher the next day

51%

188 of 367 past cases

51% of past cases were higher (90% range 47-55%)

90% range 47%–55%

higher after 30 days

54%

193 of 355 cases measured after 30 days

54% of past cases were higher (90% range 50-59%)

90% range 50%–59% · typical move +3.4%

typical next day
+0.3%
typical after 30 days
+3.4%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−3.0%
best after 30 days
+374.3%
worst after 30 days
−54.9%
30 days: up · sideways · down
160 · 56 · 139

⚠ recent-cases check · flipped: 53% → 49% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

USAGE UPall usage surges against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
+6+1…+10
7 days
+3−2…+8
30 days
+9+4…+14

After usage surges, the price was higher 30 days later in 50% of 505 cases on 392 separate days, against 42% of the same coins' ordinary days: +9 points (95% range +4 to +14; older half +9, newer half +8). The edge is clear the next day too. Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 5 coins.

Every past usage surge, 30 days on 355 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 144 rose · ▼ 112 fell · ◆ 99 sideways (±10% over 30 days)

Each line is one past usage surge: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 355 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Usage surges with BTC above its 50-day average: 367 of the 500 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 188 of those 367 closed higher — a base rate of 51%, with a 90% range of 47% to 55%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up367 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Usage surges with BTC above its 50-day average: 367 of the 500 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 188 of those 367 closed higher — a base rate of 51%, with a 90% range of 47% to 55%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 193 of the 355 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (54%).
  • The typical day-30 move was +3.4%, the best +374.3% and the worst −54.9%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −3.0% vs BTC and beat it in 42.0% of 355 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 53% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 49% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 3 days ago · ADA Cardano next day −6.5% · 30 days lands
  • 3 days ago · EIGEN Eigenlayer next day +1.2% · 30 days lands
  • 4 days ago · AVNT Veranta next day −0.6% · 30 days lands
  • 5 days ago · ANKR Ankr next day +6.6% · 30 days lands
  • 5 days ago · VVV Venice Token next day −0.2% · 30 days lands
  • 7 days ago · SDL stake.link 30 days lands

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled usage surge can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Usage surges →

Every past case500 cases

Every past usage surge behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 500 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

500 past cases of usage surges with btc above its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Cardano (ADA) 4.2% of circ. −6.5% in 27 days in 27 days down next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 5.7% of circ. +1.2% in 27 days in 27 days up next day
Veranta (AVNT) 2.5% of circ. −0.6% in 26 days in 26 days sideways next day
Ankr (ANKR) 6.5% of circ. +6.6% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
Venice Token (VVV) 2.7% of circ. −0.2% in 25 days in 25 days sideways next day
stake.link (SDL) 3.1% of circ. — in 23 days in 23 days not measured yet
Minswap (MIN) 2.4% of circ. +8.2% in 19 days in 19 days up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.0% of circ. −5.5% in 17 days in 17 days down next day
Smooth Love Potion (SLP) 57.5% of circ. +1.5% in 15 days in 15 days up next day
Aquarius (AQUA) 2.1% of circ. — in 13 days in 13 days not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.0% of circ. −1.2% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
USD.AI (CHIP) 2.4% of circ. −9.7% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
Bluefin (BLUE) 2.1% of circ. −6.0% in 12 days in 12 days down next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.2% of circ. +3.9% in 12 days in 12 days up next day
Metadium (META) 2.0% of circ. — in 12 days in 12 days not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.2% of circ. +4.0% in 11 days in 11 days up next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) 2.1% of circ. +14.3% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.5% of circ. — in 8 days in 8 days not measured yet
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.3% of circ. +0.2% in 5 days in 5 days sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.1% of circ. +8.7% +2.4% −3.5% up next day
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.0% of circ. −1.7% −0.3% −9.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.5% of circ. −2.2% +1.3% −4.7% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) 2.8% of circ. +3.7% +0.5% −5.5% up next day
Bonk (BONK) 5.0% of circ. −8.6% +3.5% +0.2% down next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.6% of circ. +6.3% +98.3% +95.0% up next day
Render (RENDER) 2.1% of circ. −5.0% +18.4% +15.1% down next day
Symbiosis Finance (SIS) 3.0% of circ. −0.6% −15.2% −22.4% sideways next day
Stargate Finance (STG) 2.2% of circ. +2.2% +11.6% +3.9% up next day
THORChain (RUNE) 2.0% of circ. −0.6% +62.4% +56.0% sideways next day
Gigachad (GIGA) 3.3% of circ. +6.0% −7.7% −17.3% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.0% of circ. +5.7% +54.6% +45.0% up next day
Arbitrum (ARB) 2.3% of circ. +31.0% +140.7% +133.0% up next day
Mamo (MAMO) 7.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Meteora (MET) 2.1% of circ. −10.5% +58.0% +50.7% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) 2.2% of circ. +8.0% +34.8% +27.6% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) 4.0% of circ. −5.3% −19.8% −27.1% down next day
USD.AI (CHIP) 2.1% of circ. +2.9% +19.5% +14.3% up next day
Aster (ASTER) 2.1% of circ. −4.3% +1.4% −5.4% down next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) 2.1% of circ. −1.7% −5.4% −12.2% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.5% of circ. +10.8% +35.9% +28.9% up next day
Velo (VELO) 2.0% of circ. +3.1% +22.4% +15.3% up next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) 2.2% of circ. −5.1% +27.4% +20.5% down next day
Bluefin (BLUE) 2.7% of circ. +7.4% +20.7% +13.8% up next day
edgeX (EDGE) 2.0% of circ. −4.3% +39.3% +32.4% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) 2.4% of circ. +6.1% +8.4% +1.5% up next day
Monad (MON) 2.1% of circ. −9.6% −20.9% −27.7% down next day
MetaMask USD (MUSD) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.9% of circ. −11.1% −3.7% −12.2% down next day
Derive (DRV) 2.5% of circ. +12.7% +270.1% +261.6% up next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 2.0% of circ. −2.4% +34.1% +25.5% down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) 2.1% of circ. −7.7% +114.9% +106.3% down next day
Orca (ORCA) 2.7% of circ. −3.0% +18.6% +10.1% down next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) 2.7% of circ. −1.7% +18.6% +6.7% down next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) 2.3% of circ. −0.5% +22.5% +10.7% sideways next day
Nest Protocol (NEST) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 2.4% of circ. −0.0% +37.7% +25.8% sideways next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.3% of circ. −0.3% +14.7% +4.1% sideways next day
Lighter (LIT) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.3% of circ. +17.7% +24.3% +13.2% up next day
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.3% of circ. +2.1% +10.8% −14.2% up next day
Usual (USUAL) 2.1% of circ. −6.1% +19.3% −0.4% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) 3.5% of circ. +5.1% +128.5% +107.7% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. +1.8% +88.4% +66.5% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.9% of circ. −0.7% +13.1% −8.8% sideways next day
Pyth Network (PYTH) 4.0% of circ. −3.1% +40.4% +17.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.5% of circ. −1.9% +40.9% +13.0% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. −0.8% +28.9% +0.9% sideways next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.1% of circ. −2.6% +33.6% +12.0% down next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 2.4% of circ. +5.6% +9.7% −13.6% up next day
USD.AI (CHIP) 2.2% of circ. −3.3% +65.6% +43.8% down next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Minswap (MIN) 2.4% of circ. −5.1% +18.9% +2.3% down next day
mETH Protocol (COOK) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Metadium (META) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.3% of circ. −0.8% −9.2% −9.0% sideways next day
Render (RENDER) 4.7% of circ. +2.4% −14.8% −14.6% up next day
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.8% of circ. −2.3% −37.6% −38.5% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.1% of circ. −7.1% −34.8% −31.7% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.3% of circ. +2.6% −4.3% −6.2% up next day
GMX (GMX) 2.0% of circ. +2.6% −7.9% +9.2% up next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 4.4% of circ. −10.2% −34.3% −17.5% down next day
KernelDAO (KERNEL) 15.9% of circ. −1.1% −19.1% −3.1% down next day
Nest Protocol (NEST) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. −7.2% −47.0% −24.8% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) 4.3% of circ. +7.9% +19.5% +40.9% up next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.2% of circ. −4.5% +57.5% +78.3% down next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 2.2% of circ. +8.4% −8.3% +12.6% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. +6.4% −30.9% −5.6% up next day
Pyth Network (PYTH) 9.3% of circ. +6.4% −29.0% −8.9% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.1% of circ. −0.3% −12.2% −3.5% sideways next day
USD.AI (CHIP) 2.3% of circ. +1.1% −38.9% −36.4% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) 2.5% of circ. +1.4% +31.0% +35.9% up next day
Aave (AAVE) 2.1% of circ. −0.2% −9.3% −7.7% sideways next day
Liquity (LQTY) 3.2% of circ. −2.2% −20.1% −18.6% down next day
Mamo (MAMO) 3.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) 3.5% of circ. +7.9% −6.6% −5.1% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 4.7% of circ. +5.4% +1.7% +3.2% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. −0.5% −8.6% −6.7% sideways next day
THORChain (RUNE) 3.8% of circ. −2.5% −8.8% −7.0% down next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.1% of circ. −2.2% +36.9% +37.9% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.1% of circ. +2.9% +6.6% +4.2% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.0% of circ. +2.5% +11.6% +9.3% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Monad (MON) 2.0% of circ. −2.5% −17.3% −26.3% down next day
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 2.0% of circ. −4.2% +21.0% +12.0% down next day
Render (RENDER) 2.5% of circ. −4.8% −5.6% −15.8% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) 4.4% of circ. +7.0% +128.1% +116.0% up next day
Reserve Rights (RSR) 2.1% of circ. +1.2% +34.0% +13.7% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 7.7% of circ. +2.4% +3.8% −6.5% up next day
Bonk (BONK) 2.1% of circ. +8.6% +11.2% −4.0% up next day
Reservoir (DAM) 5.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.7% of circ. −10.8% −8.7% −14.2% down next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 2.8% of circ. −8.9% −47.4% −19.5% down next day
THORChain (RUNE) 3.1% of circ. −5.2% −39.8% −11.9% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 4.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 2.3% of circ. +4.1% −42.7% −14.7% up next day
Venice Token (VVV) 5.8% of circ. +2.8% −39.6% −12.2% up next day
Limitless (LMTS) 4.7% of circ. −1.6% −0.9% +21.9% down next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. −3.8% −49.3% −25.2% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.1% of circ. +3.1% −25.9% −1.7% up next day
Usual (USUAL) 3.6% of circ. +0.4% −43.0% −18.9% sideways next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) 3.1% of circ. −12.6% −45.3% −20.6% down next day
Bonk (BONK) 2.2% of circ. −0.3% −41.8% −21.8% sideways next day
2025
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.1% of circ. −6.2% −40.8% −29.2% down next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Smooth Love Potion (SLP) 3.8% of circ. +20.0% −8.9% −2.1% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.2% of circ. +6.1% −15.8% −8.9% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) 7.4% of circ. +16.8% −39.6% −32.7% up next day
Reserve Rights (RSR) 2.0% of circ. −31.7% −23.7% −6.6% down next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 10.6% of circ. +0.5% −33.9% −25.6% sideways next day
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.4% of circ. +20.0% −41.3% −34.1% up next day
Huma Finance (HUMA) 2.2% of circ. +8.0% −28.1% −20.9% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) 2.0% of circ. −12.5% −51.5% −43.6% down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) 2.1% of circ. +17.2% −20.6% −11.8% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 4.5% of circ. −2.4% −27.5% −23.6% down next day
Aster (ASTER) 2.1% of circ. — +69.4% +71.9% not measured yet
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) 4.0% of circ. −6.0% −25.5% −24.8% down next day
Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.2% of circ. +1.0% −20.0% −19.6% up next day
Aster (ASTER) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 2.0% of circ. +8.4% +3.3% +0.8% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. −6.5% +4.5% +5.4% down next day
Stargate Finance (STG) 2.4% of circ. −8.6% −3.9% −3.0% down next day
Moonwell (WELL) 2.2% of circ. −1.7% −6.0% −3.4% down next day
LayerZero (ZRO) 5.8% of circ. −7.4% −10.8% −7.4% down next day
USD.AI (CHIP) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.4% of circ. +6.6% −13.3% −10.6% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) 2.2% of circ. +15.1% +71.5% +74.2% up next day
Chainlink (LINK) 20.0% of circ. +10.9% +15.8% +19.8% up next day
GMX (GMX) 2.2% of circ. +4.3% +1.8% +6.0% up next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.1% of circ. −2.6% +17.7% +21.5% down next day
Alchemix (ALCX) 2.8% of circ. −6.6% +6.4% +12.8% down next day
Dolomite (DOLO) 2.0% of circ. −11.7% +125.2% +131.7% down next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 3.4% of circ. −7.5% +14.3% +20.8% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 3.5% of circ. +18.0% −11.6% −6.4% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.1% of circ. +0.7% +4.5% +9.7% sideways next day
SUN (SUN) 2.1% of circ. +4.2% +23.1% +29.5% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.6% of circ. +1.3% +17.3% +20.1% up next day
MetaMask USD (MUSD) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Near Protocol (NEAR) 2.0% of circ. −10.3% −11.3% −8.8% down next day
Orca (ORCA) 2.1% of circ. +14.3% −10.0% −5.8% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 3.8% of circ. −1.7% −11.2% −9.8% down next day
Ethena (ENA) 2.0% of circ. +26.0% +73.6% +75.0% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 2.6% of circ. +2.2% −7.1% −6.0% up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.2% of circ. +1.1% +5.4% +5.7% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.5% of circ. +22.1% +12.8% +13.1% up next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.1% of circ. −5.3% −7.6% −7.3% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. +2.4% +26.6% +24.3% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.4% of circ. +4.8% +54.5% +52.2% up next day
Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bonk (BONK) 6.0% of circ. +7.8% +18.4% +11.3% up next day
Meteora (MET) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Raydium (RAY) 3.2% of circ. +17.5% +25.1% +18.0% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.1% of circ. +10.5% +8.0% +0.9% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.7% of circ. +7.4% +39.3% +29.0% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.7% of circ. +4.2% +35.3% +23.6% up next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.4% of circ. −3.6% +50.4% +39.5% down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) 16.6% of circ. +0.8% +28.0% +15.6% sideways next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.0% of circ. −5.9% −16.9% −29.7% down next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. −1.4% −10.1% −23.1% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) 5.2% of circ. −9.1% −2.0% −10.1% down next day
Usual (USUAL) 2.6% of circ. −9.3% −27.7% −35.8% down next day
Alchemix (ALCX) 2.3% of circ. +5.4% −12.9% −18.1% up next day
Aster (ASTER) 5.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
PulseX (PLSX) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Ankr (ANKR) 7.4% of circ. −7.9% −17.2% −19.8% down next day
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.5% of circ. −19.0% +130.1% +130.5% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 4.6% of circ. −14.0% −40.0% −38.2% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.1% of circ. −11.9% −2.8% +6.8% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.2% of circ. — −24.9% −26.3% not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. +2.3% +20.3% +17.1% up next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Velo (VELO) 2.1% of circ. — −1.1% −2.9% not measured yet
Renzo (REZ) 2.5% of circ. −6.8% −42.7% −44.5% down next day
SUN (SUN) 2.0% of circ. −2.1% −9.8% −11.7% down next day
Fluid (FLUID) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.5% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.0% of circ. −6.7% −37.5% −40.3% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. −1.0% −32.3% −35.1% down next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 5.0% of circ. −3.5% −20.2% −23.0% down next day
Aster (ASTER) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bonk (BONK) 4.7% of circ. +0.2% −14.3% −21.5% sideways next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.9% of circ. −0.2% +22.0% +12.5% sideways next day
Meteora (MET) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. −1.9% −35.1% −45.5% down next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.1% of circ. −5.2% −3.1% −14.2% down next day
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 2.1% of circ. +9.7% +60.7% +49.6% up next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.0% of circ. +0.6% +28.5% +12.6% sideways next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) 2.0% of circ. +1.7% +32.8% +7.2% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.4% of circ. −1.9% +32.5% +9.0% down next day
GMX (GMX) 2.1% of circ. +2.7% +12.2% −11.0% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.1% of circ. +2.2% +25.3% +2.1% up next day
Bybit Staked SOL (BBSOL) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.2% of circ. −0.1% −36.8% −21.4% sideways next day
Binance Staked SOL (BNSOL) 2.0% of circ. −5.0% −43.7% −31.0% down next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. −0.5% +4.2% +16.9% sideways next day
THORChain (RUNE) 2.1% of circ. +20.0% −35.1% −22.4% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.0% of circ. −3.1% −42.8% −30.1% down next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 2.0% of circ. +5.7% −1.0% +5.9% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.2% of circ. −18.1% −49.1% −42.2% down next day
Bonk (BONK) 2.6% of circ. −3.4% −52.1% −42.7% down next day
Jito (JTO) 2.4% of circ. −6.3% −1.9% +7.5% down next day
Overtime (OVER) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Stargate Finance (STG) 2.2% of circ. +2.4% −24.3% −14.9% up next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Raydium (RAY) 2.4% of circ. +6.8% −37.6% −33.8% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.3% of circ. −8.5% −29.5% −21.0% down next day
Orca (ORCA) 2.2% of circ. −15.5% −54.9% −46.4% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.2% of circ. +6.4% −34.0% −40.4% up next day
2024
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.8% of circ. −6.1% −7.1% −12.4% down next day
Reserve Rights (RSR) 2.5% of circ. +30.5% +16.4% +7.4% up next day
Derive (DRV) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Moonwell (WELL) 2.4% of circ. +7.4% −41.9% −37.1% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) 2.4% of circ. +2.4% −39.3% −32.5% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. −13.2% −30.9% −28.0% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.1% of circ. −5.2% −44.1% −46.6% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.0% of circ. +18.4% −22.2% −23.4% up next day
SSV Network (SSV) 2.0% of circ. +3.9% −19.0% −20.2% up next day
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 3.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) 2.1% of circ. +3.2% −13.6% −8.9% up next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.1% of circ. +4.0% −9.7% −4.9% up next day
Convex Finance (CVX) 2.1% of circ. +25.1% +65.3% +67.3% up next day
Renzo (REZ) 2.0% of circ. −2.2% −28.9% −28.3% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.1% of circ. −12.8% −25.4% −27.0% down next day
PulseX (PLSX) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Axie Infinity (AXS) 2.6% of circ. +31.6% +5.9% +10.0% up next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.0% of circ. +8.4% +79.0% +82.2% up next day
Bonk (BONK) 2.0% of circ. +1.8% −39.3% −50.8% up next day
Jito (JTO) 2.0% of circ. +1.7% +4.6% −6.9% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
MetaMask USD (MUSD) 2.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Venus (XVS) 2.2% of circ. +1.0% +32.8% +15.7% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.2% of circ. +10.2% +269.2% +252.7% up next day
Ethena (ENA) 2.6% of circ. +3.3% +120.6% +104.1% up next day
Suilend (SEND) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
SUN (SUN) 2.2% of circ. −5.8% +8.4% −8.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.1% of circ. +9.2% +88.5% +68.9% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.2% of circ. +4.3% +17.8% −1.8% up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. +6.3% +6.2% −6.0% up next day
SynFutures (F) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
GMX (GMX) 2.2% of circ. −0.8% +34.3% +22.1% sideways next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.1% of circ. −0.7% +94.1% +81.9% sideways next day
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aster (ASTER) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. −4.2% +31.5% +16.2% down next day
INV (INV) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 2.2% of circ. −8.7% −3.7% −19.0% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
THORChain (RUNE) 2.3% of circ. −7.3% +12.4% −3.0% down next day
Cardano (ADA) 2.2% of circ. −5.7% +83.2% +70.3% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Pump.fun (PUMP) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Derive (DRV) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 2.3% of circ. +4.6% +22.7% −3.2% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.1% of circ. +10.1% +42.3% +15.1% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.4% of circ. +5.8% +94.1% +60.8% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. −6.7% +42.0% +4.1% down next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 3.7% of circ. −3.8% +22.6% −15.6% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 3.5% of circ. −5.8% +60.2% +26.9% down next day
Binance Staked SOL (BNSOL) 4.7% of circ. −2.0% +34.1% −2.6% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.5% of circ. −8.4% +22.9% −20.6% down next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 4.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Renzo (REZ) 9.2% of circ. +2.2% −9.9% −43.2% up next day
Bybit Staked SOL (BBSOL) 3.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.6% of circ. +4.6% +39.2% 0.0% up next day
Ether.fi (ETHFI) 2.3% of circ. +1.6% +27.9% −13.8% up next day
Venus (XVS) 2.5% of circ. +1.5% +11.6% −30.1% up next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.1% of circ. −3.8% −1.8% −16.1% down next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) 2.0% of circ. −3.1% +0.4% −13.9% down next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Jito (JTO) 2.1% of circ. −10.0% +0.1% −10.9% down next day
Bonk (BONK) 2.4% of circ. +4.1% −8.0% −18.3% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. +4.1% +86.3% +75.9% up next day
Ethena (ENA) 2.0% of circ. +7.9% +3.4% −3.0% up next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.1% of circ. −6.6% −1.0% −7.4% down next day
PulseX (PLSX) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
LayerZero (ZRO) 2.0% of circ. −6.1% −13.5% −20.0% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.5% of circ. −11.3% +6.0% +7.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.2% of circ. +0.3% −1.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
TRON (TRX) 2.1% of circ. +5.1% −3.8% −2.7% up next day
Jito (JTO) 2.1% of circ. −10.8% −25.9% −17.1% down next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.7% of circ. +7.4% −8.3% −5.9% up next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) 2.0% of circ. +4.4% −26.6% −15.8% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.1% of circ. +3.1% +2.7% +11.7% up next day
Ether.fi (ETHFI) 3.0% of circ. +1.1% −43.6% −29.6% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.3% of circ. −3.4% +12.9% +30.5% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.9% of circ. +0.3% −16.2% 0.0% sideways next day
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. +6.1% −31.4% −24.6% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. −3.6% −28.7% −21.9% down next day
Derive (DRV) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Ethena (ENA) 2.0% of circ. −0.2% −29.4% −22.3% sideways next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. +2.4% +25.6% +18.3% up next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.8% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Ethena (ENA) 2.2% of circ. +10.6% −31.7% −19.7% up next day
SynFutures (F) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Pump.fun (PUMP) 5.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
JUST (JST) 2.2% of circ. +2.7% −11.8% −5.3% up next day
Pendle (PENDLE) 3.1% of circ. +22.6% +4.6% +7.7% up next day
Beefy (BIFI) 2.0% of circ. −2.0% −15.9% −3.1% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 3.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Morpho (MORPHO) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
StakeWise (SWISE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Compound (COMP) 2.0% of circ. −0.2% −18.8% −21.3% sideways next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bonk (BONK) 2.2% of circ. −8.3% −34.3% −35.5% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.2% of circ. +7.4% −14.2% −19.3% up next day
Jito (JTO) 2.1% of circ. −1.7% +30.9% +27.1% down next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.2% of circ. −4.6% −23.4% −27.2% down next day
Beefy (BIFI) 2.1% of circ. +6.4% +8.3% +4.0% up next day
Fluid (FLUID) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 2.1% of circ. +22.1% +140.2% +135.9% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.2% of circ. +3.1% −16.8% −21.1% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.2% of circ. +5.3% +89.1% +88.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.1% of circ. −8.9% +19.7% +15.2% down next day
Kamino (KMNO) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 2.2% of circ. −8.1% −13.2% −17.7% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.0% of circ. −3.5% −8.5% −14.1% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.5% of circ. +4.5% +3.9% −7.5% up next day
Venus (XVS) 2.0% of circ. −1.5% +24.4% +1.9% down next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. +3.5% +6.8% −23.1% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.7% of circ. +4.8% +22.2% −7.7% up next day
THORChain (RUNE) 2.1% of circ. +0.3% +56.4% +33.0% sideways next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
SUN (SUN) 2.0% of circ. +4.6% +117.8% +77.9% up next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kamino (KMNO) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Pendle (PENDLE) 2.9% of circ. +21.8% +31.9% −16.6% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. +0.6% −1.3% +2.2% sideways next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. −14.3% −25.7% −22.1% down next day
Ethena (ENA) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
2023
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.3% of circ. −1.6% −29.0% −27.8% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.2% of circ. +4.0% +3.2% +10.0% up next day
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 3.8% of circ. +4.6% −11.7% −3.0% up next day
Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.3% of circ. +3.8% −1.5% 0.0% up next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) 2.5% of circ. +7.8% +3.9% +5.3% up next day
Jito (JTO) 2.5% of circ. −12.2% −5.2% −8.6% down next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.0% of circ. +0.5% +29.4% +28.0% sideways next day
BENQI (QI) 2.1% of circ. −11.9% −39.0% −36.0% down next day
Venus (XVS) 2.1% of circ. +1.9% +17.3% +20.3% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.1% of circ. +23.8% +73.6% +73.6% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.7% of circ. −6.3% −8.5% −8.4% down next day
Cardano (ADA) 2.1% of circ. +21.2% +5.7% −6.6% up next day
Kamino (KMNO) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. −4.2% +2.3% −4.0% down next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.1% of circ. +6.2% −13.1% −14.6% up next day
mETH Protocol (COOK) 10.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bonk (BONK) 79.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aave (AAVE) 2.1% of circ. −7.7% +9.4% −7.5% down next day
Kamino (KMNO) 3.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.8% of circ. — — — not measured yet
THORChain (RUNE) 3.3% of circ. −4.5% +13.9% −1.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.4% of circ. +4.7% +22.7% 0.0% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.1% of circ. −9.0% +3.0% −20.5% down next day
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 104.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.0% of circ. +21.2% +98.9% +87.5% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. +2.4% +5.4% −4.1% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.1% of circ. +6.7% +14.4% +5.0% up next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) 2.0% of circ. +12.5% +32.9% +21.9% up next day
Jito (JTO) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
MetaMask USD (MUSD) 2.9% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Uniswap (UNI) 2.1% of circ. +3.2% +56.4% +46.5% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.4% of circ. +13.9% −2.4% −13.6% up next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.1% of circ. +8.1% +110.8% +99.6% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
GMX (GMX) 2.0% of circ. +4.8% +32.9% +8.2% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.3% of circ. −2.8% +21.7% −7.2% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 2.5% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. −0.7% +45.2% +17.4% sideways next day
THORChain (RUNE) 2.6% of circ. +1.3% +38.7% +11.6% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.0% of circ. −4.2% −38.3% −26.1% down next day
Jito (JTO) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
THORChain (RUNE) 2.0% of circ. −1.6% +60.5% +73.0% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 6.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. +0.4% −19.4% −16.3% sideways next day
Raydium (RAY) 2.0% of circ. −2.0% +3.9% +5.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 5.9% of circ. +1.0% +2.3% +5.0% sideways next day
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) 3.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.3% of circ. +0.0% −6.0% 0.0% sideways next day
Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) 2.9% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 43.3% of circ. −12.1% −1.7% +4.2% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 6.9% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Axie Infinity (AXS) 2.1% of circ. −2.9% −7.4% −10.3% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.1% of circ. +8.3% +2.4% −5.1% up next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) 174.5% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Raydium (RAY) 2.2% of circ. +4.9% +9.8% −15.0% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. −3.8% +19.2% −4.3% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aave (AAVE) 2.3% of circ. −2.8% +6.8% −19.1% down next day
MetaMask USD (MUSD) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
TRON (TRX) 2.0% of circ. +3.0% +5.1% −7.8% up next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) 3.0% of circ. −3.5% −15.3% −17.7% down next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.1% of circ. +6.7% +32.3% +17.1% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. −6.1% +4.1% −6.9% down next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.1% of circ. −7.5% −1.0% −12.0% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. +1.0% +24.9% +8.3% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
THORChain (RUNE) 2.1% of circ. −2.8% +3.5% −13.0% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.2% of circ. +8.3% +32.8% +26.8% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Raydium (RAY) 2.3% of circ. −2.3% +63.9% +27.6% down next day
2022
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.2% of circ. −6.7% −37.6% −20.5% down next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.7% of circ. +4.7% −22.0% −3.0% up next day
Tether (USDT) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. −16.3% −49.0% −20.2% down next day
BENQI (QI) 3.4% of circ. +12.0% −14.6% −13.3% up next day
2021
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.3% of circ. −25.1% −42.3% −12.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) 2.1% of circ. +2.2% −40.8% −21.3% up next day
TRON (TRX) 2.1% of circ. −0.7% −18.4% +1.2% sideways next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.1% of circ. +8.7% −17.7% −11.4% up next day
Tether (USDT) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.2% of circ. −2.8% −11.6% −5.5% down next day
THORChain (RUNE) 2.1% of circ. −2.9% +51.6% +48.4% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cardano (ADA) 2.1% of circ. −11.2% +15.6% +13.2% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 3.5% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Aave (AAVE) 2.0% of circ. −7.1% −20.3% +13.2% down next day
TRON (TRX) 2.1% of circ. −19.1% +11.4% +16.1% down next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) 2.2% of circ. −11.5% +42.9% +29.4% down next day
Cardano (ADA) 2.6% of circ. +11.9% +26.2% +13.7% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 4.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
TRON (TRX) 2.4% of circ. +3.5% +4.9% −15.4% up next day
Aave (AAVE) 8.0% of circ. −6.4% −13.5% −50.3% down next day
TRON (TRX) 2.1% of circ. −3.5% +94.7% +68.5% down next day
Aave (AAVE) 6.8% of circ. +15.0% +342.9% +328.6% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) 2.3% of circ. +4.1% +374.3% +361.5% up next day
Compound (COMP) 2.0% of circ. +21.6% +201.0% +185.5% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.2% of circ. +8.9% +47.6% +37.3% up next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
2020
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.1% of circ. +11.6% +36.0% 0.0% up next day
TRON (TRX) 2.2% of circ. +6.2% −9.2% −63.7% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.0% of circ. +2.5% +35.1% 0.0% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) 2.4% of circ. −7.6% +71.8% +40.4% down next day
TRON (TRX) 2.2% of circ. −8.4% +4.5% +10.3% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 3.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.1% of circ. +4.1% +23.2% 0.0% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) 4.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.2% of circ. −1.1% +6.1% 0.0% down next day
2019
Compound (COMP) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.3% of circ. +10.8% +26.6% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.4% of circ. +3.0% +17.9% 0.0% up next day
2018
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.3% of circ. −1.1% −20.2% 0.0% down next day
2017
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.0% of circ. −3.3% −20.2% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.0% of circ. +4.9% +138.5% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) 2.0% of circ. −1.0% +36.6% 0.0% sideways next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 367 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 51% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 188 of the 367 measured past cases of usage surges with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 47% to 55% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 367.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 53% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 49% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 500 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every usage surge with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.