PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · usage surges · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Usage surges of micro-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average: all 141 measured cases

usage surge size · microbtc trend · upheld up on recent cases 205 cases on record last 5 cases: 3 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a usage surge?

higher the next day

48%

67 of 141 past cases

48% of past cases were higher (90% range 41-54%)

90% range 41%–54%

higher after 30 days

44%

58 of 132 cases measured after 30 days

44% of past cases were higher (90% range 37-51%)

90% range 37%–51% · typical move −4.0%

typical next day
−0.5%
typical after 30 days
−4.0%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−8.6%
best after 30 days
+130.1%
worst after 30 days
−49.1%
30 days: up · sideways · down
44 · 24 · 64

recent-cases check · held up: 49% → 45% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

USAGE UPall usage surges against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
+6+1…+10
7 days
+3−2…+8
30 days
+9+4…+14

After usage surges, the price was higher 30 days later in 50% of 505 cases on 392 separate days, against 42% of the same coins' ordinary days: +9 points (95% range +4 to +14; older half +9, newer half +8). The edge is clear the next day too. Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 5 coins.

Every past usage surge, 30 days on 132 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 37 rose · ▼ 53 fell · ◆ 42 sideways (±10% over 30 days)

Each line is one past usage surge: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 132 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Usage surges of micro-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average: 141 of the 205 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 67 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 48%, with a 90% range of 41% to 54%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up141 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Usage surges of micro-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average: 141 of the 205 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 67 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 48%, with a 90% range of 41% to 54%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 58 of the 132 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (44%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −4.0%, the best +130.1% and the worst −49.1%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −8.6% vs BTC and beat it in 34.8% of 132 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 49% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 45% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 4 days ago · AVNT Veranta next day −0.6% · 30 days lands
  • 5 days ago · ANKR Ankr next day +6.6% · 30 days lands
  • 7 days ago · SDL stake.link 30 days lands
  • 11 days ago · MIN Minswap next day +8.2% · 7 days +6.9% · 30 days lands
  • 13 days ago · SAUCE SaucerSwap next day −5.5% · 7 days −16.3% · 30 days lands
  • 15 days ago · SLP Smooth Love Potion next day +1.5% · 7 days +3.3% · 30 days lands

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled usage surge can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Usage surges of micro-cap tokens →

Every past case205 cases

Every past usage surge behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 205 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

205 past cases of usage surges of micro-cap tokens with btc above its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Veranta (AVNT) 2.5% of circ. −0.6% in 26 days in 26 days sideways next day
Ankr (ANKR) 6.5% of circ. +6.6% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
stake.link (SDL) 3.1% of circ. — in 23 days in 23 days not measured yet
Minswap (MIN) 2.4% of circ. +8.2% in 19 days in 19 days up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.0% of circ. −5.5% in 17 days in 17 days down next day
Smooth Love Potion (SLP) 57.5% of circ. +1.5% in 15 days in 15 days up next day
Aquarius (AQUA) 2.1% of circ. — in 13 days in 13 days not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.0% of circ. −1.2% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
Bluefin (BLUE) 2.1% of circ. −6.0% in 12 days in 12 days down next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.2% of circ. +3.9% in 12 days in 12 days up next day
Metadium (META) 2.0% of circ. — in 12 days in 12 days not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.2% of circ. +4.0% in 11 days in 11 days up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.5% of circ. — in 8 days in 8 days not measured yet
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.3% of circ. +0.2% in 5 days in 5 days sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.1% of circ. +8.7% +2.4% −3.5% up next day
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.0% of circ. −1.7% −0.3% −9.7% down next day
Symbiosis Finance (SIS) 3.0% of circ. −0.6% −15.2% −22.4% sideways next day
Gigachad (GIGA) 3.3% of circ. +6.0% −7.7% −17.3% up next day
Mamo (MAMO) 7.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) 2.2% of circ. +8.0% +34.8% +27.6% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) 4.0% of circ. −5.3% −19.8% −27.1% down next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) 2.1% of circ. −1.7% −5.4% −12.2% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.5% of circ. +10.8% +35.9% +28.9% up next day
Bluefin (BLUE) 2.7% of circ. +7.4% +20.7% +13.8% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) 2.4% of circ. +6.1% +8.4% +1.5% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.9% of circ. −11.1% −3.7% −12.2% down next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Nest Protocol (NEST) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.3% of circ. +2.1% +10.8% −14.2% up next day
Usual (USUAL) 2.1% of circ. −6.1% +19.3% −0.4% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.9% of circ. −0.7% +13.1% −8.8% sideways next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. −0.8% +28.9% +0.9% sideways next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Minswap (MIN) 2.4% of circ. −5.1% +18.9% +2.3% down next day
mETH Protocol (COOK) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Metadium (META) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.3% of circ. −0.8% −9.2% −9.0% sideways next day
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.8% of circ. −2.3% −37.6% −38.5% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.1% of circ. −7.1% −34.8% −31.7% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.3% of circ. +2.6% −4.3% −6.2% up next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 4.4% of circ. −10.2% −34.3% −17.5% down next day
KernelDAO (KERNEL) 15.9% of circ. −1.1% −19.1% −3.1% down next day
Nest Protocol (NEST) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. −7.2% −47.0% −24.8% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 2.2% of circ. −4.5% +57.5% +78.3% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) 2.5% of circ. +1.4% +31.0% +35.9% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) 3.2% of circ. −2.2% −20.1% −18.6% down next day
Mamo (MAMO) 3.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) 3.5% of circ. +7.9% −6.6% −5.1% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 4.7% of circ. +5.4% +1.7% +3.2% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. −0.5% −8.6% −6.7% sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.1% of circ. +2.9% +6.6% +4.2% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 7.7% of circ. +2.4% +3.8% −6.5% up next day
Reservoir (DAM) 5.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.7% of circ. −10.8% −8.7% −14.2% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) 4.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) 4.7% of circ. −1.6% −0.9% +21.9% down next day
Usual (USUAL) 3.6% of circ. +0.4% −43.0% −18.9% sideways next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) 3.1% of circ. −12.6% −45.3% −20.6% down next day
2025
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.1% of circ. −6.2% −40.8% −29.2% down next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Smooth Love Potion (SLP) 3.8% of circ. +20.0% −8.9% −2.1% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.2% of circ. +6.1% −15.8% −8.9% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) 7.4% of circ. +16.8% −39.6% −32.7% up next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 10.6% of circ. +0.5% −33.9% −25.6% sideways next day
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.4% of circ. +20.0% −41.3% −34.1% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 4.5% of circ. −2.4% −27.5% −23.6% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. −6.5% +4.5% +5.4% down next day
Moonwell (WELL) 2.2% of circ. −1.7% −6.0% −3.4% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.1% of circ. −2.6% +17.7% +21.5% down next day
Alchemix (ALCX) 2.8% of circ. −6.6% +6.4% +12.8% down next day
Dolomite (DOLO) 2.0% of circ. −11.7% +125.2% +131.7% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 3.5% of circ. +18.0% −11.6% −6.4% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.1% of circ. +0.7% +4.5% +9.7% sideways next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.6% of circ. +1.3% +17.3% +20.1% up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.2% of circ. +1.1% +5.4% +5.7% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.5% of circ. +22.1% +12.8% +13.1% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. +2.4% +26.6% +24.3% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.4% of circ. +4.8% +54.5% +52.2% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.7% of circ. +7.4% +39.3% +29.0% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.7% of circ. +4.2% +35.3% +23.6% up next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. −1.4% −10.1% −23.1% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) 5.2% of circ. −9.1% −2.0% −10.1% down next day
Usual (USUAL) 2.6% of circ. −9.3% −27.7% −35.8% down next day
Alchemix (ALCX) 2.3% of circ. +5.4% −12.9% −18.1% up next day
Ankr (ANKR) 7.4% of circ. −7.9% −17.2% −19.8% down next day
Streamflow (STREAM) 2.5% of circ. −19.0% +130.1% +130.5% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 4.6% of circ. −14.0% −40.0% −38.2% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.1% of circ. −11.9% −2.8% +6.8% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.2% of circ. — −24.9% −26.3% not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. +2.3% +20.3% +17.1% up next day
Renzo (REZ) 2.5% of circ. −6.8% −42.7% −44.5% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.5% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.0% of circ. −6.7% −37.5% −40.3% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. −1.0% −32.3% −35.1% down next day
Definitive (EDGE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 5.0% of circ. −3.5% −20.2% −23.0% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.9% of circ. −0.2% +22.0% +12.5% sideways next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. −1.9% −35.1% −45.5% down next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) 2.0% of circ. +1.7% +32.8% +7.2% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.1% of circ. +2.2% +25.3% +2.1% up next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.2% of circ. −0.1% −36.8% −21.4% sideways next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. −0.5% +4.2% +16.9% sideways next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.0% of circ. −3.1% −42.8% −30.1% down next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.2% of circ. −18.1% −49.1% −42.2% down next day
Overtime (OVER) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.3% of circ. −8.5% −29.5% −21.0% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.2% of circ. +6.4% −34.0% −40.4% up next day
2024
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.8% of circ. −6.1% −7.1% −12.4% down next day
Euler (EUL) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Moonwell (WELL) 2.4% of circ. +7.4% −41.9% −37.1% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 2.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. −13.2% −30.9% −28.0% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.1% of circ. −5.2% −44.1% −46.6% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 2.0% of circ. +18.4% −22.2% −23.4% up next day
SSV Network (SSV) 2.0% of circ. +3.9% −19.0% −20.2% up next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) 2.1% of circ. +3.2% −13.6% −8.9% up next day
Renzo (REZ) 2.0% of circ. −2.2% −28.9% −28.3% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.1% of circ. −12.8% −25.4% −27.0% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 3.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. +6.3% +6.2% −6.0% up next day
SynFutures (F) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
ApeX Token (APEX) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. −4.2% +31.5% +16.2% down next day
INV (INV) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.1% of circ. +10.1% +42.3% +15.1% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.4% of circ. +5.8% +94.1% +60.8% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. −6.7% +42.0% +4.1% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) 3.5% of circ. −5.8% +60.2% +26.9% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.5% of circ. −8.4% +22.9% −20.6% down next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) 4.6% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Renzo (REZ) 9.2% of circ. +2.2% −9.9% −43.2% up next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) 2.0% of circ. −3.1% +0.4% −13.9% down next day
Suilend (SEND) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.5% of circ. −11.3% +6.0% +7.7% down next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) 2.0% of circ. +4.4% −26.6% −15.8% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) 2.1% of circ. +3.1% +2.7% +11.7% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. +6.1% −31.4% −24.6% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.1% of circ. −3.6% −28.7% −21.9% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.0% of circ. +2.4% +25.6% +18.3% up next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) 2.8% of circ. — — — not measured yet
SynFutures (F) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Beefy (BIFI) 2.0% of circ. −2.0% −15.9% −3.1% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
StakeWise (SWISE) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Beefy (BIFI) 2.1% of circ. +6.4% +8.3% +4.0% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.2% of circ. +3.1% −16.8% −21.1% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.0% of circ. −3.5% −8.5% −14.1% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. +3.5% +6.8% −23.1% up next day
DODO (DODO) 2.7% of circ. +4.8% +22.2% −7.7% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. +0.6% −1.3% +2.2% sideways next day
DODO (DODO) 2.0% of circ. −14.3% −25.7% −22.1% down next day
2023
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.2% of circ. +4.0% +3.2% +10.0% up next day
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.0% of circ. +0.5% +29.4% +28.0% sideways next day
BENQI (QI) 2.1% of circ. −11.9% −39.0% −36.0% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) 2.7% of circ. −6.3% −8.5% −8.4% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. −4.2% +2.3% −4.0% down next day
mETH Protocol (COOK) 10.4% of circ. — — — not measured yet
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.3% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.0% of circ. +21.2% +98.9% +87.5% up next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. +2.4% +5.4% −4.1% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.4% of circ. +13.9% −2.4% −13.6% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 2.7% of circ. — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) 2.3% of circ. −2.8% +21.7% −7.2% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. +0.4% −19.4% −16.3% sideways next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 43.3% of circ. −12.1% −1.7% +4.2% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.1% of circ. +8.3% +2.4% −5.1% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) 2.1% of circ. −3.8% +19.2% −4.3% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.1% of circ. +6.7% +32.3% +17.1% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) 2.2% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) 2.0% of circ. −6.1% +4.1% −6.9% down next day
DODO (DODO) 2.2% of circ. +1.0% +24.9% +8.3% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) 2.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) 2.0% of circ. — — — not measured yet
2022
Osmosis (OSMO) 2.2% of circ. −6.7% −37.6% −20.5% down next day
Balancer (BAL) 2.2% of circ. −16.3% −49.0% −20.2% down next day
BENQI (QI) 3.4% of circ. +12.0% −14.6% −13.3% up next day
2021
Balancer (BAL) 2.1% of circ. +8.7% −17.7% −11.4% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) 4.1% of circ. — — — not measured yet

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 141 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 48% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 67 of the 141 measured past cases of usage surges of micro-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 41% to 54% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 141.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 49% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 45% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 205 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every usage surge with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.