PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · governance votes · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-25

Governance votes of mid-cap tokens outside the big categories: all 273 measured cases

governance vote category · othersize · mid⚠ flipped on recent cases 273 cases on record last 5 cases: 4 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a governance vote?

higher the next day

50%

136 of 273 past cases

50% of past cases were higher (90% range 45-55%)

90% range 45%–55%

higher after 30 days

38%

104 of 273 cases measured after 30 days

38% of past cases were higher (90% range 33-43%)

90% range 33%–43% · typical move −4.5%

typical next day
0.0%
typical after 30 days
−4.5%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−9.4%
best after 30 days
+145.1%
worst after 30 days
−48.7%
30 days: up · sideways · down
87 · 52 · 134

⚠ recent-cases check · flipped: 52% → 47% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

VOTEall governance votes against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
0−3…+3
7 days
0−3…+3
30 days
+2−2…+5

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (1,308 cases on 893 separate days). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past governance vote, 30 days on 273 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 83 rose · ▼ 124 fell · ◆ 66 sideways (±8.4% over 30 days)

Each line is one past governance vote: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 273 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Governance votes of mid-cap tokens outside the big categories: 273 of the 273 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 136 of those 273 closed higher — a base rate of 50%, with a 90% range of 45% to 55%, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up273 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Governance votes of mid-cap tokens outside the big categories: 273 of the 273 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 136 of those 273 closed higher — a base rate of 50%, with a 90% range of 45% to 55%, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.

  • By day 30, 104 of the 273 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (38%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −4.5%, the best +145.1% and the worst −48.7%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −9.4% vs BTC and beat it in 31.1% of 273 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 52% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 47% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

NO DATA YET No scheduled governance vote meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 25, 2026.

Every past case273 cases

Every past governance vote behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 273 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

273 past cases of governance votes of mid-cap tokens outside the big categories, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2025
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +8.2% +26.0% +0.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.3% −32.3% −17.7% sideways next day
2024
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.8% −7.8% +5.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.3% +1.8% +4.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% −22.5% −14.3% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% −2.0% −3.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.6% −32.7% −20.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.9% +43.5% +13.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.9% +60.5% +8.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.4% +50.7% −3.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.6% +17.1% −24.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.6% −6.8% −27.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.2% −16.5% −12.9% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −8.4% −24.3% −20.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.1% −28.4% −29.1% up next day
2023
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.9% −26.9% −28.8% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.3% −24.0% −26.9% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.6% −29.0% −27.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +11.6% −0.4% +9.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.4% +15.6% +12.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.6% +23.0% +22.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.0% +52.2% +40.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.8% +22.4% +6.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.2% +12.7% −10.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.5% −3.1% −20.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.3% −12.0% −26.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +27.5% +14.6% −3.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.7% +21.0% +10.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +19.1% +50.5% +36.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% +79.6% +69.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.4% +145.1% +118.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.1% +138.9% +108.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% +125.6% +96.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.0% +98.4% +59.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.9% +75.1% +38.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% +56.4% +30.2% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.3% +5.8% −22.0% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.5% +2.6% −21.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.3% −10.5% −19.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% −9.8% −16.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.5% −2.5% −4.9% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.2% −4.3% −12.8% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.2% −5.2% −11.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.6% −4.5% −12.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% −9.2% −8.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.9% −10.5% −7.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.9% −8.2% −11.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.2% −11.3% −11.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.3% −10.2% −11.9% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.1% −10.4% −13.1% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.4% −11.9% −11.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.6% −22.0% −12.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.9% −17.3% −4.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.1% −17.7% −6.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.6% −20.5% −7.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.5% −19.6% −8.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.5% −13.8% −7.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.2% −15.7% −4.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.9% −14.8% −4.2% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.7% −13.8% −3.0% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.1% −17.0% −4.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.0% −12.9% −0.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.2% +0.5% +4.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.5% −1.2% +3.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.2% −5.5% +0.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −0.8% +3.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% −2.3% +2.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +12.3% +4.4% +9.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% +11.0% −3.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.7% +13.2% −7.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.6% +5.5% −13.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −10.0% −2.8% −17.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.2% −5.3% −19.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.6% −2.4% −14.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.1% −9.3% −19.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.0% +4.5% −10.5% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.4% −23.6% −23.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.5% −24.1% −20.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.7% −27.5% −21.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.4% −24.5% −20.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.0% −15.3% −11.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −12.4% −30.7% −24.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.3% −30.9% −24.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.3% −36.0% −30.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.3% −36.2% −31.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.5% −40.5% −35.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.1% −43.8% −38.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −9.3% −46.5% −42.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.0% −46.2% −44.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.3% −46.2% −41.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.5% −48.7% −39.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −48.6% −37.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.6% −27.2% −31.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −26.5% −29.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −24.1% −31.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.1% −26.7% −35.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.3% −11.3% −8.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.4% −12.5% −9.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.4% −2.0% −26.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.1% −4.2% −30.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.2% −1.0% −36.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.0% −1.9% −30.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.3% −2.7% −27.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.1% −3.9% −30.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.1% −1.9% −26.3% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.8% −3.4% −23.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.9% −8.5% −27.8% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.2% −9.7% −30.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.8% −9.9% −26.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.2% −4.3% −23.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.9% −11.0% −21.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −1.2% −24.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +8.1% −2.6% −17.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.0% −8.1% −19.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.1% −17.0% −12.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% −13.8% −9.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +9.1% −9.2% −4.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.9% −6.8% −1.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.6% −6.9% −3.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.8% −1.4% −4.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.7% −3.4% −2.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.2% −0.3% −2.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% +1.0% +0.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.6% +2.4% −0.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% +3.9% −0.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.1% +8.2% +1.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.6% +11.0% +3.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.5% +13.9% −1.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.5% +19.1% −0.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% +8.8% −2.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.9% +14.2% −2.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.2% +5.1% −0.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.9% +9.7% +0.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.5% +19.0% +3.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.8% +21.1% −2.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.8% +23.7% −3.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.1% +37.4% +3.3% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.0% +33.5% −0.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% +35.4% −0.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.3% +30.0% −10.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.1% +29.0% −13.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% +27.2% −12.6% sideways next day
2022
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.8% +24.4% −13.1% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.0% +28.2% −14.5% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.4% +27.1% −12.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.1% +21.5% −16.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.9% +19.5% −16.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.6% +19.2% −17.8% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.2% +15.0% −19.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.8% +15.5% −21.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% +10.8% −24.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.2% +9.8% −24.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.2% +13.8% −13.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −12.9% +1.3% −16.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% −9.4% −18.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.2% −11.7% −16.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.3% −14.4% −14.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.7% −20.7% −18.3% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −20.1% −16.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.9% −16.3% −18.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.1% −17.0% −18.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.4% −9.2% −12.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% −12.5% −4.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.6% −15.9% +0.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.1% −14.6% +6.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.3% −10.3% +8.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.6% −8.8% +5.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.2% −14.9% +0.6% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.1% −11.4% −0.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.8% −9.4% +3.9% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.7% +3.1% −1.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.1% +3.1% −0.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% −0.7% −6.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.6% −2.3% −2.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — 0.0% −0.5% −1.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.4% +3.7% −0.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.7% +13.2% +15.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.2% +9.8% +9.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% +14.8% +26.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.2% +13.5% +22.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +9.3% +20.8% +27.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −9.5% +9.7% +23.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.8% −2.4% +7.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.9% +0.1% +15.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.3% +1.7% +13.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% −1.2% +12.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +14.0% +6.8% +19.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +10.9% +15.3% +20.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.7% +16.1% +23.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.0% +35.4% +19.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.8% +35.7% +17.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.2% +34.0% +26.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% +32.0% +20.4% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.3% +27.8% +9.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.7% +27.7% +7.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.2% +30.0% +13.2% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.8% −3.8% −4.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −8.2% +0.1% +6.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.6% −28.9% +1.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.3% −28.1% +3.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.0% −29.2% +7.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.6% −32.3% −4.9% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +4.9% −32.7% −3.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +9.8% −31.6% −2.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% −36.4% −4.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.8% −30.7% −2.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.2% −6.5% −4.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.8% −38.8% −25.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.4% −45.2% −20.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.8% −43.0% −21.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.9% −43.0% −22.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% −38.0% −20.3% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −12.7% −46.1% −20.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.7% −46.4% −21.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.7% −48.0% −21.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.4% −46.2% −19.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.2% −13.6% +4.2% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.3% −11.8% +3.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.7% −17.6% +2.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.3% −11.0% +7.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +14.6% +25.8% +34.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.7% +29.8% +40.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.9% +33.6% +35.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.3% +24.3% +27.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +22.5% +47.9% +44.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.4% +38.6% +37.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.2% +44.2% +35.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.9% +35.1% +31.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.9% +28.5% +26.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.1% +38.3% +36.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.8% +40.5% +31.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.3% +49.2% +34.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −1.6% +38.5% +26.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.6% +53.2% +37.7% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.8% +48.3% +39.0% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.8% +38.1% +33.9% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.3% +28.2% +22.7% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +9.0% +41.1% +16.2% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +5.5% +33.6% +12.3% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.9% +28.2% +6.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.2% +7.3% −12.2% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −12.1% −1.7% −17.6% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.3% −5.7% −17.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −11.6% −10.7% −16.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −0.9% −20.2% −22.0% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.7% −23.3% −17.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.7% −30.2% −28.0% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.8% −29.4% −22.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.2% −26.2% −19.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.1% −28.7% −15.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.3% −25.6% −13.6% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −3.3% −27.6% −17.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −5.9% −22.1% −23.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.0% −11.0% −21.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +2.2% −6.4% −22.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.5% −4.1% −18.5% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.4% −13.8% −15.2% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −4.3% −13.0% −19.3% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −6.0% −13.7% −19.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −2.2% −17.3% −21.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −8.4% −23.0% −24.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −26.8% −28.4% −22.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −6.3% −30.5% −26.5% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +6.7% −28.9% −27.7% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +7.4% −26.6% −25.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +0.1% −28.8% −28.0% sideways next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +9.1% −22.4% −26.4% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +1.6% −22.1% −27.8% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — +3.0% −18.7% −24.1% up next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −7.8% −25.5% −23.8% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −7.4% −29.9% −25.1% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −7.7% −34.7% −25.4% down next day
PancakeSwap (CAKE) — −7.1% −40.4% −20.7% down next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 273 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group and market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answered from this count

What does the 50% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 136 of the 273 measured past cases of governance votes of mid-cap tokens outside the big categories closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 45% to 55% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 273.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 52% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 47% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 273 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every governance vote with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.