PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · funding extreme lows · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Funding extreme lows with BTC above its 50-day average: all 558 measured cases

funding extreme low btc trend · upheld up on recent cases 578 cases on record last 5 cases: 2 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after an extreme low in funding?

higher the next day

45%

249 of 558 past cases

45% of past cases were higher (90% range 41-48%)

90% range 41%–48%

higher after 30 days

50%

247 of 490 cases measured after 30 days

50% of past cases were higher (90% range 47-54%)

90% range 47%–54% · typical move +0.2%

typical next day
−0.8%
typical after 30 days
+0.2%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−5.4%
best after 30 days
+231.9%
worst after 30 days
−94.7%
30 days: up · sideways · down
194 · 89 · 207

recent-cases check · held up: 42% → 49% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

FUNDING LOWall funding extreme lows against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−4−9…+2
7 days
0−6…+6
30 days
+10+4…+16

After funding extreme lows, the price was higher 30 days later in 43% of 1,174 cases on 247 separate days, against 33% of the same coins' ordinary days: +10 points (95% range +4 to +16; older half +5, newer half +15). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past funding extreme low, 30 days on 490 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 170 rose · ▼ 189 fell · ◆ 131 sideways (±10% over 30 days)

Each line is one past funding extreme low: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 490 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Funding extreme lows with BTC above its 50-day average: 558 of the 578 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 249 of those 558 closed higher — a base rate of 45%, with a 90% range of 41% to 48%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up558 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Funding extreme lows with BTC above its 50-day average: 558 of the 578 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 249 of those 558 closed higher — a base rate of 45%, with a 90% range of 41% to 48%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 247 of the 490 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (50%).
  • The typical day-30 move was +0.2%, the best +231.9% and the worst −94.7%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −5.4% vs BTC and beat it in 38.8% of 490 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 49% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • yesterday · PENGU Pudgy Penguins 30 days lands
  • yesterday · RSR Reserve Rights 30 days lands
  • yesterday · CTK Shentu 30 days lands
  • 2 days ago · XMR Monero 30 days lands
  • 2 days ago · ETH Ethereum next day −1.5% · 30 days lands
  • 2 days ago · WAL Walrus next day +0.7% · 30 days lands

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme low can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme lows →

Every past case578 cases

Every past funding extreme low behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 578 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

578 past cases of funding extreme lows with btc above its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
Reserve Rights (RSR) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
Shentu (CTK) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
Monero (XMR) — — in 28 days in 28 days not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) — −1.5% in 28 days in 28 days down next day
Walrus (WAL) — +0.7% in 28 days in 28 days sideways next day
Conflux Network (CFX) — −14.6% in 28 days in 28 days down next day
Nervos Network (CKB) — −19.0% in 28 days in 28 days down next day
Basic Attention Token (BAT) — +8.5% in 27 days in 27 days up next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — +22.0% in 27 days in 27 days up next day
Pepe (PEPE) — +6.6% in 26 days in 26 days up next day
Chainlink (LINK) — +4.2% in 26 days in 26 days up next day
Pendle (PENDLE) — +4.3% in 26 days in 26 days up next day
Kaia (KAIA) — −14.0% in 26 days in 26 days down next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — −0.9% in 26 days in 26 days sideways next day
Tellor (TRB) — +4.4% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — +4.3% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
SKALE (SKL) — −2.0% in 25 days in 25 days down next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — +6.8% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
Caldera (ERA) — +23.1% in 25 days in 25 days up next day
AVA (AVA) — +0.2% in 25 days in 25 days sideways next day
Meteora (MET) — −8.3% in 24 days in 24 days down next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — −14.5% in 24 days in 24 days down next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — −5.9% in 24 days in 24 days down next day
UMA (UMA) — −8.5% in 23 days in 23 days down next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — −7.9% in 23 days in 23 days down next day
API3 (API3) — −15.0% in 23 days in 23 days down next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — −1.9% in 22 days in 22 days down next day
CARV (CARV) — −9.9% in 22 days in 22 days down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −6.2% in 22 days in 22 days down next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +3.8% in 22 days in 22 days up next day
Aave (AAVE) — +0.3% in 21 days in 21 days sideways next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — −24.7% in 21 days in 21 days down next day
Magma Finance (MAGMA) — −10.9% in 21 days in 21 days down next day
iExec RLC (RLC) — +96.9% in 20 days in 20 days up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +30.7% in 19 days in 19 days up next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — +10.1% in 19 days in 19 days up next day
Scroll (SCR) — −2.9% in 19 days in 19 days down next day
Decentraland (MANA) — +3.2% in 19 days in 19 days up next day
Quant (QNT) — −13.9% in 17 days in 17 days down next day
Ark (ARK) — −9.6% in 17 days in 17 days down next day
Numeraire (NMR) — −6.7% in 16 days in 16 days down next day
Meteora (MET) — −4.1% in 15 days in 15 days down next day
Monero (XMR) — — in 15 days in 15 days not measured yet
Quack AI (Q) — +0.9% in 15 days in 15 days sideways next day
TRON (TRX) — +0.3% in 14 days in 14 days sideways next day
Saga (SAGA) — −3.7% in 14 days in 14 days down next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — −5.2% in 14 days in 14 days down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −4.6% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — −9.3% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
DoubleZero (2Z) — −6.7% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
Lighter (LIT) — — in 12 days in 12 days not measured yet
Xai Games (XAI) — +4.7% in 12 days in 12 days up next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — +2.5% in 11 days in 11 days up next day
Chromia (CHR) — +4.9% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
COTI (COTI) — +5.3% in 9 days in 9 days up next day
Succinct (PROVE) — +2.4% in 9 days in 9 days up next day
Akedo (AKE) — −14.0% in 7 days in 7 days down next day
SKALE (SKL) — +5.2% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — +1.9% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Gravity (G) — −5.5% in 7 days in 7 days down next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — +4.5% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Tezos (XTZ) — −7.4% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) — −8.8% in 5 days in 5 days down next day
Lighter (LIT) — — in 4 days in 4 days not measured yet
ONEchain (ONE) — — in 4 days in 4 days not measured yet
Harmony (ONE) — +102.8% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
AVA (AVA) — −14.2% in 4 days in 4 days down next day
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — +9.4% in 3 days in 3 days up next day
Meteora (MET) — +15.1% in 2 days in 2 days up next day
Zilliqa (ZIL) — +4.7% in 2 days in 2 days up next day
Axelar (AXL) — −1.4% in 2 days in 2 days down next day
IOTA (IOTA) — −10.3% tomorrow tomorrow down next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — −3.1% tomorrow tomorrow down next day
Chainlink (LINK) — −2.8% — — down next day
Civic (CVC) — −10.3% — — down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) — +4.1% +112.6% +104.9% up next day
Lisk (LSK) — +16.6% −36.9% −44.5% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — −5.6% −2.3% −8.2% down next day
Stacks (STX) — +5.1% +62.5% +56.5% up next day
Opinion (OPN) — −6.6% +24.4% +18.4% down next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — −3.9% −2.5% −8.5% down next day
THETA (THETA) — +6.6% +8.3% +2.3% up next day
Blur (BLUR) — +0.9% −22.1% −28.1% sideways next day
Fluid (FLUID) — +5.5% +100.3% +90.9% up next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −3.9% −16.6% −26.0% down next day
Ark (ARK) — +20.8% +88.5% +79.1% up next day
Velvet (VELVET) — +6.8% +29.6% +20.2% up next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — +14.8% +27.5% +18.1% up next day
GMX (GMX) — +6.9% +14.1% +4.6% up next day
Nervos Network (CKB) — +6.9% +83.5% +74.1% up next day
IOST (IOST) — −52.1% −54.3% −60.3% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −9.8% −4.3% −10.3% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −4.7% +22.0% +16.0% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) — −25.4% −38.0% −43.3% down next day
Orca (ORCA) — −5.8% +52.0% +48.7% down next day
The Graph (GRT) — −1.3% +40.4% +36.7% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — −31.6% −41.5% −45.3% down next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — −4.0% −1.6% −5.3% down next day
Akedo (AKE) — −12.0% +58.1% +51.0% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — +10.3% +59.4% +51.8% up next day
Lighter (LIT) — — — — not measured yet
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) — −2.9% −3.4% −9.9% down next day
LATOKEN (LA) — +1.7% +1.4% −8.2% up next day
Threshold Network (T) — −19.4% +3.6% −6.0% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Unibase (UB) — +8.7% +12.6% +3.0% up next day
TRON (TRX) — +2.7% +3.8% −5.3% up next day
Optimism (OP) — +6.0% +36.9% +28.8% up next day
Useless Coin (USELESS) — +36.8% +162.1% +154.1% up next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — +2.1% −18.8% −26.5% up next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — +4.5% +26.4% +18.8% up next day
Boundless (ZKC) — −19.4% −30.5% −38.1% down next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — +1.0% +3.3% −3.7% sideways next day
Nillion (NIL) — −5.0% +41.2% +34.2% down next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — +5.6% +145.8% +138.5% up next day
Monad (MON) — −6.6% −1.7% −7.0% down next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +3.8% +5.7% +0.4% up next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −0.6% +31.7% +24.8% sideways next day
Stacks (STX) — −3.2% +27.5% +20.6% down next day
Test (TST) — +0.8% +21.4% +14.3% sideways next day
Velvet (VELVET) — −15.1% −53.5% −60.6% down next day
JUST (JST) — −2.3% +22.7% +15.6% down next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — −0.5% +0.2% −6.6% sideways next day
TUTORIAL (TUT) — +6.1% −42.7% −49.5% up next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — −2.2% −9.1% −17.7% down next day
Ontology (ONT) — −3.9% +12.5% +2.0% down next day
Portal (PORTAL) — +18.4% +69.8% +58.6% up next day
Meteora (MET) — +4.8% +21.6% +10.5% up next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — +9.7% +130.3% +113.1% up next day
Gala (GALA) — +54.2% +35.8% +18.6% up next day
Chainlink (LINK) — +12.1% +28.2% +3.2% up next day
Tether Gold (XAUT) — +4.1% +1.2% −23.8% up next day
OpenEden (EDEN) — +7.2% +4.4% −20.5% up next day
ALPINE Fan Token (ALPINE) — −8.5% −9.3% −34.3% down next day
RedStone (RED) — +12.7% +57.6% +32.6% up next day
Uniswap (UNI) — +10.6% +137.1% +118.7% up next day
Monad (MON) — +3.6% +6.7% −11.7% up next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — +9.8% +37.3% +18.9% up next day
Algorand (ALGO) — −0.5% +13.4% −7.8% sideways next day
BNB (BNB) — +0.2% +20.4% −0.8% sideways next day
Plasma (XPL) — +3.3% +8.2% −13.5% up next day
ONEchain (ONE) — — — — not measured yet
Decentraland (MANA) — +1.7% +16.2% −5.6% up next day
GMX (GMX) — +1.7% +20.6% −1.2% up next day
Harmony (ONE) — −8.2% −20.1% −41.9% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −7.9% −22.4% −43.8% down next day
UMA (UMA) — −1.8% +11.8% −9.6% down next day
Prometeus (PROM) — +40.1% +179.7% +158.3% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — +3.6% +12.7% −7.0% up next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — +4.0% +32.2% +11.5% up next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — +3.2% +92.2% +71.5% up next day
IoTeX (IOTX) — −9.1% +8.7% −12.0% down next day
Render (RENDER) — −4.9% +13.8% −7.0% down next day
KAITO (KAITO) — −8.1% −54.6% −75.4% down next day
JUST (JST) — +1.4% +4.7% −16.1% up next day
Coin98 (C98) — −4.5% −0.1% −20.9% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −4.7% +37.0% +15.1% down next day
Bonk (BONK) — −2.0% +26.5% +4.7% down next day
Xai Games (XAI) — −0.1% +11.7% −10.1% sideways next day
Kamino (KMNO) — −6.1% +29.4% +7.5% down next day
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) — +1.9% +52.6% +27.7% up next day
Sui (SUI) — +2.9% +20.7% −4.2% up next day
PAX Gold (PAXG) — +2.3% +4.1% −20.8% up next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — −19.7% −15.7% −40.6% down next day
Chiliz (CHZ) — +0.5% +7.8% −15.7% sideways next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −7.9% −2.4% −25.9% down next day
Unibase (UB) — −2.5% −2.8% −26.2% down next day
Canton Network (CC) — −15.9% −1.5% −25.7% down next day
Test (TST) — +12.3% +81.1% +56.8% up next day
Home (HOME) — +3.9% −32.2% −56.5% up next day
Allora (ALLO) — +20.8% −1.6% −25.8% up next day
Fusionist (ACE) — +7.1% +179.7% +151.8% up next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — +2.4% +9.2% −18.8% up next day
Biconomy (BICO) — +61.1% +30.7% +2.7% up next day
Morpho (MORPHO) — −3.1% +29.5% +7.8% down next day
Ondo (ONDO) — −2.1% −10.4% −33.6% down next day
Synapse (SYN) — −2.6% +2.9% −20.4% down next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — −4.4% +12.3% −11.0% down next day
Aave (AAVE) — −2.4% +31.9% +9.7% down next day
PAX Gold (PAXG) — −0.8% +9.4% −12.9% sideways next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
IOTA (IOTA) — −0.6% +23.7% +1.4% sideways next day
Reserve Rights (RSR) — +3.4% +14.9% −7.4% up next day
Meteora (MET) — +2.3% +23.3% +1.5% up next day
Stellar (XLM) — −1.3% +3.1% −18.7% down next day
UMA (UMA) — −6.7% +2.0% −19.8% down next day
COTI (COTI) — +22.3% +14.8% −7.0% up next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — −2.0% +23.4% +1.6% down next day
VeChain (VET) — +3.1% +51.3% +29.5% up next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) — +3.2% +12.0% −9.8% up next day
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) — −0.4% +15.6% −10.3% sideways next day
Nillion (NIL) — −10.2% +8.5% −17.3% down next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — −2.1% +28.5% +2.6% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −7.5% +10.9% −9.9% down next day
Sonic (S) — −7.4% +36.6% +15.8% down next day
Livepeer (LPT) — −8.2% −6.6% −27.4% down next day
DIA (DIA) — −13.2% +4.7% −16.1% down next day
Allora (ALLO) — −3.0% −23.0% −43.8% down next day
Chromia (CHR) — −7.0% +18.7% −2.1% down next day
AVA (AVA) — −5.5% +29.9% +9.1% down next day
Cardano (ADA) — −5.6% +26.9% +4.9% down next day
Morpho (MORPHO) — −1.9% +26.1% +4.1% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −2.1% +4.0% −18.0% down next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — −6.5% +11.6% −10.4% down next day
Euler (EUL) — −15.5% −27.7% −49.7% down next day
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) — +5.9% +62.9% +39.8% up next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +5.5% +29.5% +6.4% up next day
Sui (SUI) — +1.7% +12.5% −10.7% up next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — +2.7% −5.1% −28.3% up next day
Akedo (AKE) — +14.4% +213.8% +190.7% up next day
Stacks (STX) — +1.3% +59.2% +36.1% up next day
The Graph (GRT) — +2.0% +12.3% −10.9% up next day
Opinion (OPN) — −2.9% −13.3% −36.5% down next day
Vaulta (A) — +1.8% +16.6% −6.5% up next day
Prometeus (PROM) — +4.9% +60.9% +41.5% up next day
Boundless (ZKC) — −4.3% −4.9% −24.3% down next day
Zilliqa (ZIL) — +3.9% +11.3% −5.3% up next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — +30.5% −84.5% −101.0% up next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −12.3% −14.5% −31.1% down next day
ONEchain (ONE) — — — — not measured yet
THORChain (RUNE) — −5.7% +4.4% −13.3% down next day
LATOKEN (LA) — +14.5% +14.2% −3.5% up next day
Harmony (ONE) — −10.9% −42.2% −59.9% down next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — +0.3% +0.6% −11.3% sideways next day
Fusionist (ACE) — −21.1% +122.5% +110.6% down next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −0.9% +20.7% +8.8% sideways next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −0.6% +22.2% +10.3% sideways next day
NEO (NEO) — −0.7% −12.0% −19.1% sideways next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) — −4.3% −10.5% −10.4% down next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — +2.7% +4.7% +4.8% up next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — +2.4% −4.2% −4.0% up next day
Velvet (VELVET) — +3.4% +27.6% +27.8% up next day
Reserve Rights (RSR) — +5.0% −5.0% −4.9% up next day
Caldera (ERA) — −4.9% −15.7% −15.6% down next day
DeXe (DEXE) — +0.3% −94.7% −94.5% sideways next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — −32.8% −48.5% −48.4% down next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — +0.1% +12.8% +13.0% sideways next day
Meteora (MET) — +11.9% +25.9% +24.9% up next day
Optimism (OP) — −1.0% −12.2% −13.1% down next day
TRON (TRX) — +1.3% +2.7% +1.7% up next day
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) — −1.5% −6.8% −7.7% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −3.5% −12.2% −13.2% down next day
Chiliz (CHZ) — −7.1% −24.0% −24.9% down next day
Home (HOME) — −9.7% −19.8% −20.8% down next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — −0.8% −8.1% −6.6% sideways next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — −0.7% −17.3% −15.8% sideways next day
Plasma (XPL) — −4.2% −13.3% −11.9% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −1.4% +7.0% +10.1% down next day
DIA (DIA) — −1.7% +22.9% +26.0% down next day
ALPINE Fan Token (ALPINE) — 0.0% −3.0% +0.0% sideways next day
Lumia (LUMIA) — +17.1% +10.3% +13.4% up next day
Vana (VANA) — +3.6% −30.0% −26.9% up next day
Bonk (BONK) — +0.5% −37.9% −39.8% sideways next day
Lighter (LIT) — — — — not measured yet
Shiba Inu (SHIB) — +1.9% +7.2% +5.4% up next day
Algorand (ALGO) — +1.6% −6.0% −7.8% up next day
EVAA Protocol (EVAA) — +25.5% −4.8% −6.6% up next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — +8.5% +46.4% +44.6% up next day
Chromia (CHR) — +4.9% −7.5% −9.4% up next day
Chiliz (CHZ) — −0.7% −47.6% −26.8% sideways next day
SuperVerse (SUPER) — −9.5% −32.9% −12.1% down next day
Cardano (ADA) — −0.9% −38.4% −20.2% sideways next day
Optimism (OP) — −0.5% −22.2% −4.0% sideways next day
Pendle (PENDLE) — +1.6% −30.8% −12.5% up next day
Sui (SUI) — −2.3% −34.0% −15.8% down next day
Uniswap (UNI) — −3.9% −15.6% +2.7% down next day
Gala (GALA) — +0.3% −26.2% −8.0% sideways next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) — −3.0% −13.2% +5.1% down next day
GMT (GMT) — −12.4% −38.0% −19.7% down next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — −0.3% +29.1% +46.2% sideways next day
Ondo (ONDO) — −4.5% −14.5% +2.6% down next day
LAB (LAB) — +5.5% +200.0% +217.3% up next day
Prometeus (PROM) — +7.2% +1.9% +19.1% up next day
Four (FORM) — +5.8% +4.9% +22.2% up next day
Ontology (ONT) — −1.9% −26.4% −9.1% down next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — +18.4% −94.7% −77.4% up next day
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — −1.5% −47.3% −29.0% down next day
Plasma (XPL) — +4.2% +16.8% +35.1% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −0.8% −19.3% −1.1% sideways next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −7.7% −26.7% −8.4% down next day
Hana Network (HANA) — +19.0% +38.5% +56.7% up next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −1.1% −28.7% −12.0% down next day
Test (TST) — −5.1% −33.2% −16.4% down next day
THORChain (RUNE) — +1.6% −5.6% +11.1% up next day
OpenEden (EDEN) — +65.6% −13.6% +3.1% up next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −10.7% −0.1% +16.6% down next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — −2.4% −12.1% +4.6% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −1.2% −0.6% +15.4% down next day
Lighter (LIT) — — — — not measured yet
Worldcoin (WLD) — +0.8% +181.2% +197.1% sideways next day
Vaulta (A) — −3.1% −13.4% +2.5% down next day
Aave (AAVE) — −4.0% −20.6% −4.4% down next day
Monad (MON) — −1.7% −20.1% −3.9% down next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −9.0% −30.8% −11.9% down next day
Saga (SAGA) — −14.4% −51.0% −32.1% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −5.0% +2.5% +21.2% down next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — −3.6% −17.4% +1.3% down next day
Pendle (PENDLE) — +1.2% −32.4% −13.7% up next day
BounceBit (BB) — −8.2% −37.3% −18.6% down next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) — −1.3% −21.9% −0.8% down next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — −7.6% +40.4% +62.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −33.1% −55.6% −33.5% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −7.7% −35.6% −13.4% down next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — +17.5% +18.7% +40.9% up next day
Qtum (QTUM) — −1.3% −34.5% −9.3% down next day
Solayer (LAYER) — −13.7% −48.9% −23.7% down next day
Nillion (NIL) — −10.8% −45.1% −23.7% down next day
Gunz (GUN) — −0.5% −59.7% −38.4% sideways next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) — −4.2% −22.9% −1.6% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +1.5% −26.2% −5.4% up next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — +2.4% −51.1% −30.3% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.5% −25.2% 0.0% down next day
dogwifhat (WIF) — +1.4% −31.4% −6.1% up next day
Jito (JTO) — +32.5% +19.0% +44.2% up next day
Stacks (STX) — +5.5% −28.2% −2.9% up next day
io.net (IO) — +11.8% −9.0% +16.2% up next day
Terra Classic (LUNC) — −2.1% −33.7% −8.4% down next day
Ontology (ONT) — +2.0% −28.5% −3.2% up next day
Conflux Network (CFX) — +5.7% −30.9% −5.7% up next day
Test (TST) — +33.9% +3.5% +21.8% up next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — −8.7% −60.5% −45.3% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −0.3% −15.6% −0.4% sideways next day
Home (HOME) — −2.8% +231.9% +247.1% down next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — −0.7% −21.7% −6.5% sideways next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — −5.1% −17.2% −8.5% down next day
Monad (MON) — −3.1% −25.0% −16.3% down next day
Render (RENDER) — +7.2% +24.7% +33.4% up next day
Gala (GALA) — −4.0% −2.8% +5.9% down next day
Chainlink (LINK) — +0.7% +0.4% +3.9% sideways next day
Unibase (UB) — +120.8% +180.0% +183.5% up next day
Lighter (LIT) — — — — not measured yet
Plasma (XPL) — −5.2% −7.5% −3.7% down next day
Cardano (ADA) — −1.5% −5.4% −0.5% down next day
Hypurr (PURR) — −8.7% +34.5% +39.4% down next day
Sui (SUI) — −3.1% −0.7% +4.2% down next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −8.8% −20.5% −15.6% down next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — −2.6% −18.7% −13.9% down next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) — −3.4% −14.3% −9.4% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −4.5% +46.4% +51.8% down next day
Aster (ASTER) — −1.2% +2.9% +8.2% down next day
Orca (ORCA) — +21.8% −4.3% +1.0% up next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — −3.9% −11.9% −6.6% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −4.0% −10.7% −5.4% down next day
Biconomy (BICO) — −10.3% −19.7% −14.3% down next day
Nervos Network (CKB) — −7.0% −18.1% −12.8% down next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −1.6% −21.7% −19.5% down next day
Safe (SAFE) — −8.6% −11.7% −9.5% down next day
Four (FORM) — −3.3% −12.7% −10.5% down next day
DeXe (DEXE) — +4.0% +18.9% +21.0% up next day
TRON (TRX) — 0.0% +15.0% +15.1% sideways next day
Stable (STABLE) — +2.7% +16.1% +16.3% up next day
RedStone (RED) — −5.8% −2.9% −2.8% down next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — +1.8% −51.9% −50.4% up next day
dogwifhat (WIF) — −0.6% +4.5% +6.0% sideways next day
Gunz (GUN) — −2.2% −28.0% −26.4% down next day
BounceBit (BB) — −2.8% +4.6% +6.1% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −11.8% −25.1% −23.3% down next day
UMA (UMA) — +1.1% −3.2% −2.1% up next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −1.9% +3.4% +1.1% down next day
Aave (AAVE) — +3.7% −2.7% −5.1% up next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — +2.5% +38.7% +36.4% up next day
AVA (AVA) — −1.7% −0.1% −2.4% down next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) — +2.8% +11.4% +6.3% up next day
Ondo (ONDO) — +3.1% +60.6% +55.5% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — −1.3% −16.0% −21.1% down next day
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) — −4.0% +9.4% +4.4% down next day
SPX6900 (SPX) — +10.7% +20.0% +14.9% up next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — +2.3% −7.6% −12.7% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.2% +1.5% 0.0% sideways next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — −3.0% −10.6% −12.1% down next day
BitTensor (TAO) — +0.4% +5.7% +4.2% sideways next day
Worldcoin (WLD) — +0.3% −9.5% −11.0% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +16.3% +4.1% +2.6% up next day
Fusionist (ACE) — −4.0% −7.2% −8.7% down next day
ApeCoin (APE) — −2.1% +34.2% +32.6% down next day
Portal (PORTAL) — +33.4% −21.7% −23.2% up next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −1.9% −21.0% −22.5% down next day
Prometeus (PROM) — −6.7% −55.3% −56.8% down next day
Compound (COMP) — +0.3% −10.6% −12.1% sideways next day
API3 (API3) — −12.8% −10.4% −11.9% down next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — −34.3% −22.9% −22.8% down next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — −9.5% −11.2% −11.1% down next day
Metis Token (METIS) — −20.8% −21.1% −21.0% down next day
Render (RENDER) — −5.3% −4.4% −7.5% down next day
Saga (SAGA) — −20.9% −22.0% −25.1% down next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — −40.7% −51.8% −54.9% down next day
Axelar (AXL) — −7.4% −14.1% −17.2% down next day
BIO Protocol (BIO) — −4.9% +31.4% +26.9% down next day
IOST (IOST) — +3.3% −2.7% −7.2% up next day
THETA (THETA) — +17.5% +11.5% +7.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +1.1% −4.2% −10.9% up next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — +0.7% +1.5% −5.2% sideways next day
Plume (PLUME) — +0.2% +1.7% −5.0% sideways next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) — +37.5% +57.3% +50.6% up next day
Pendle (PENDLE) — −0.9% +82.8% +73.9% sideways next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) — +1.2% −7.9% −16.8% up next day
Stable (STABLE) — −1.3% +53.9% +44.9% down next day
Polkadot Token (DOT) — −4.7% +8.5% −3.6% down next day
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) — −1.2% −6.8% −18.9% down next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — +2.0% +3.6% −8.5% up next day
CARV (CARV) — +3.4% +21.7% +9.6% up next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −4.7% +5.0% −7.1% down next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — −1.7% +17.9% +7.7% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −2.2% +19.7% +9.5% down next day
Optimism (OP) — +1.6% +32.8% +22.6% up next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) — +1.2% +14.8% +4.5% up next day
Stellar (XLM) — +1.9% +5.8% −4.4% up next day
Vaulta (A) — −0.4% +17.2% +7.0% sideways next day
Nervos Network (CKB) — +2.1% +12.3% +2.1% up next day
Space ID (ID) — +0.3% +3.6% −6.6% sideways next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −2.1% −14.9% −26.9% down next day
BitTensor (TAO) — +0.6% +24.4% +12.4% sideways next day
Particle Network (PARTI) — −13.4% +28.4% +16.4% down next day
EDU Coin (EDU) — +3.8% +21.8% +9.7% up next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — −2.6% +18.3% +6.3% down next day
Livepeer (LPT) — −6.7% +6.0% −6.0% down next day
Compound (COMP) — +1.8% +18.6% +6.6% up next day
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) — −1.2% +9.1% −5.4% down next day
Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) — −1.3% +20.7% +6.2% down next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +6.0% +21.8% +7.2% up next day
Chainlink (LINK) — +1.2% +19.8% +5.3% up next day
Kaspa (KAS) — +2.5% +20.3% +5.8% up next day
Zcash (ZEC) — +16.1% +83.8% +70.3% up next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) — +1.3% +79.5% +66.0% up next day
Chromia (CHR) — +4.8% +66.4% +52.8% up next day
Cardano (ADA) — −3.3% +4.1% −7.4% down next day
Pepe (PEPE) — −5.4% +16.4% +4.9% down next day
Avalanche (AVAX) — −0.6% +5.1% −6.4% sideways next day
Test (TST) — −6.2% +148.9% +137.4% down next day
Gunz (GUN) — +0.8% −9.0% −20.4% sideways next day
Bulla (BULLA) — −15.8% −64.4% −75.9% down next day
DeXe (DEXE) — +3.9% +48.2% +36.7% up next day
Conflux Network (CFX) — −2.3% +26.2% +14.7% down next day
Nillion (NIL) — −7.0% +148.4% +132.2% down next day
SuperVerse (SUPER) — +1.2% +8.4% −7.8% up next day
Bella Protocol (BEL) — −4.6% +9.8% −6.4% down next day
Axelar (AXL) — −0.6% +51.0% +34.8% sideways next day
RedStone (RED) — −1.3% −20.1% −36.3% down next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — −1.0% +18.5% +2.3% down next day
Sui (SUI) — +10.2% +14.0% −4.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +6.7% +21.3% +3.4% up next day
Ondo (ONDO) — +4.3% +25.1% +7.2% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — +7.7% +29.2% +11.2% up next day
DoubleZero (2Z) — −1.4% +8.4% −9.6% down next day
Safe (SAFE) — +1.0% +18.6% +0.6% up next day
Threshold Network (T) — +3.4% +0.2% −17.8% up next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) — −0.9% +49.7% +29.5% sideways next day
THORChain (RUNE) — +1.8% +44.3% +24.1% up next day
THETA (THETA) — −1.3% +34.8% +14.6% down next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) — −2.3% +31.8% +11.6% down next day
Nillion (NIL) — −10.4% +9.9% +0.1% down next day
Optimism (OP) — −4.4% +10.1% +0.4% down next day
Basic Attention Token (BAT) — −6.5% −4.4% −14.2% down next day
Ontology (ONT) — −8.9% +28.3% +18.6% down next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — −8.8% +21.3% +11.5% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — +6.9% +1.2% −9.2% up next day
Ondo (ONDO) — +4.4% +3.2% −7.2% up next day
Jito (JTO) — +1.8% +5.6% −4.8% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — −0.5% +4.1% −6.2% sideways next day
UnifAI Network (UAI) — +0.8% +21.3% +11.0% sideways next day
Chromia (CHR) — +2.1% +53.1% +42.7% up next day
Aster (ASTER) — 0.0% +0.8% −14.5% sideways next day
BNB (BNB) — +1.9% +1.8% −13.4% up next day
Bonk (BONK) — +8.6% +11.2% −4.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.0% +15.2% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +5.0% +15.6% +0.4% up next day
Pepe (PEPE) — +7.6% +15.5% +0.3% up next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +3.6% +4.3% −10.9% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — +5.4% +3.7% −11.5% up next day
Ethereum Classic (ETC) — +8.0% +5.1% −10.1% up next day
ONEchain (ONE) — — — — not measured yet
Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) — +4.3% +1.2% −14.0% up next day
Immutable X (IMX) — −1.6% +14.6% −0.6% down next day
Harmony (ONE) — +1.8% +0.5% −14.8% up next day
Cardano (ADA) — −3.8% −9.4% −14.9% down next day
Arbitrum (ARB) — −3.1% +22.2% +16.7% down next day
Ether.fi (ETHFI) — +9.0% −15.3% −20.8% up next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −6.1% −3.2% −8.7% down next day
Monad (MON) — −2.6% +36.7% +31.2% down next day
Floki Inu (FLOKI) — −2.9% +2.0% −3.6% down next day
Falcon Finance (FF) — +0.1% +2.6% −2.9% sideways next day
Capricorn (APR) — −29.6% −13.8% −19.3% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) — −18.1% +0.2% −5.3% down next day
Aave (AAVE) — −6.7% −4.0% −8.3% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −7.7% +3.2% −1.1% down next day
Janction (JCT) — +22.2% +107.9% +103.6% up next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — −3.0% +40.5% +36.2% down next day
Stable (STABLE) — −3.1% −6.3% −6.7% down next day
Gravity (G) — −27.2% −29.6% −30.0% down next day
Pippin (PIPPIN) — −49.2% −78.2% −78.6% down next day
Aethir (ATH) — +0.4% −3.1% −5.8% sideways next day
Yield Guild Games (YGG) — +2.8% −3.1% −5.8% up next day
NEO (NEO) — −0.6% −0.6% −3.4% sideways next day
Starknet (STRK) — +5.1% −18.3% −22.4% up next day
Home (HOME) — +4.5% −16.4% −20.5% up next day
Bonk (BONK) — −8.3% −35.9% −6.9% down next day
Decentraland (MANA) — −0.7% −35.7% −6.6% sideways next day
Lumia (LUMIA) — −12.4% −46.8% −17.7% down next day
Hypurr (PURR) — +0.1% +16.4% +45.5% sideways next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — −9.6% −42.9% −13.9% down next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) — −10.6% −37.4% −8.3% down next day
Cardano (ADA) — −5.0% −27.7% +0.2% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −2.9% −33.6% −5.7% down next day
Prometeus (PROM) — −20.0% −65.2% −37.3% down next day
Vaulta (A) — −12.4% −37.5% −9.6% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Xai Games (XAI) — −20.5% −51.3% −23.4% down next day
Linea (LINEA) — −6.3% −43.0% −15.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +7.4% −25.0% +3.0% up next day
Jito (JTO) — −3.4% −35.0% −7.0% down next day
Brett (Base) (BRETT) — −1.7% −53.8% −25.8% down next day
Dash (DASH) — +7.1% −49.8% −21.9% up next day
Render (RENDER) — −0.8% −33.0% −5.0% sideways next day
Berachain (BERA) — −14.3% −11.2% +16.8% down next day
Blur (BLUR) — −9.5% −42.2% −14.2% down next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
Axie Infinity (AXS) — +2.9% +33.6% +61.5% up next day
Safe (SAFE) — −0.6% −37.6% −9.7% sideways next day
Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) — +1.5% +3.7% +31.6% up next day
Optimism (OP) — +13.8% −40.8% −13.4% up next day
JasmyCoin (JASMY) — +2.3% −31.1% −3.7% up next day
Basic Attention Token (BAT) — +5.2% −32.0% −5.7% up next day
JUST (JST) — +0.6% +4.9% +31.2% sideways next day
Initia (INIT) — +3.4% −18.8% +7.5% up next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — +7.1% −29.7% −3.4% up next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) — −1.2% +20.0% +43.9% down next day
Akash Network (AKT) — −1.7% −34.4% −10.5% down next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −0.9% −51.1% −27.2% sideways next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −3.3% −42.9% −18.9% down next day
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) — −7.9% −30.2% −6.2% down next day
GMX (GMX) — −1.9% −24.1% −0.2% down next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — −5.4% −48.1% −24.2% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) — +30.5% −28.1% −5.5% up next day
Sui (SUI) — −0.8% −46.9% −24.2% sideways next day
BitTensor (TAO) — +2.3% −43.2% −20.6% up next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — −5.1% −33.8% −11.2% down next day
Walrus (WAL) — −2.6% −44.5% −21.9% down next day
GoPlus (GPS) — −19.5% +91.8% +114.4% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −0.0% −38.0% −15.2% sideways next day
DIA (DIA) — −1.6% −36.2% −13.4% down next day
GMT (GMT) — +36.2% −24.2% −1.4% up next day
Civic (CVC) — −2.4% −32.7% −9.9% down next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) — +6.5% −23.3% −0.5% up next day
Space ID (ID) — +22.3% −26.3% −3.5% up next day
Scroll (SCR) — 0.0% −32.4% −8.3% sideways next day
ApeCoin (APE) — −1.8% −40.0% −15.8% down next day
Zilliqa (ZIL) — +0.4% −19.0% +5.1% sideways next day
Threshold Network (T) — +2.1% −24.3% −0.2% up next day
Gravity (G) — +3.0% −23.9% +0.3% up next day
Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) — +2.0% −37.7% −13.5% up next day
Dusk Network (DUSK) — −2.0% +65.0% +89.2% down next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — −2.0% −40.5% −16.3% down next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — −4.9% −24.6% +0.1% down next day
zkSync (ZK) — −8.6% −37.2% −12.5% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) — −7.9% −32.0% −7.3% down next day
Ontology (ONT) — −2.6% −30.9% −6.2% down next day
Qtum (QTUM) — −2.7% −37.2% −12.5% down next day
Metis Token (METIS) — −9.3% −30.9% −6.2% down next day
Uniswap (UNI) — −7.1% −48.6% −15.6% down next day
Orca (ORCA) — −3.2% −41.2% −8.2% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −2.2% −50.3% −17.3% down next day
THETA (THETA) — −5.3% −44.1% −11.1% down next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — +3.5% −24.8% −4.8% up next day
THORChain (RUNE) — +4.8% −21.8% −5.4% up next day
Basic Attention Token (BAT) — +3.2% −46.5% −30.1% up next day
Gunz (GUN) — +3.6% +92.3% +108.7% up next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — +2.5% −31.3% −18.8% up next day
Terra Classic (LUNC) — +6.8% −11.5% +1.0% up next day
PAX Gold (PAXG) — −0.2% +9.0% +22.3% sideways next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — +7.6% −15.4% −2.0% up next day
XRP (XRP) — +7.4% −15.4% −2.0% up next day
Cardano (ADA) — +9.2% −19.8% −6.5% up next day
IOTA (IOTA) — +10.7% −16.5% −3.1% up next day
LATOKEN (LA) — +4.9% −25.0% −11.6% up next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — +1.3% −18.7% −5.4% up next day
Flow (FLOW) — +6.0% −40.2% −26.8% up next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 558 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 45% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 249 of the 558 measured past cases of funding extreme lows with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 41% to 48% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 558.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 49% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 578 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every funding extreme low with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.