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Pattern · big stablecoin prints · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move): all 122 measured cases

big stablecoin print held up on recent cases 122 cases on record last 5 cases: 1 up

Explained and tested in our research: What does Bitcoin do in the 30 days after a big stablecoin print?

higher the next day

57%

70 of 122 past cases

57% of past cases were higher (90% range 50-65%)

90% range 50%–65%

higher after 30 days

54%

64 of 119 cases measured after 30 days

54% of past cases were higher (90% range 46-61%)

90% range 46%–61% · typical move +2.1%

typical next day
+0.4%
typical after 30 days
+2.1%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
0.0%
best after 30 days
+52.1%
worst after 30 days
−35.8%
30 days: up · sideways · down
48 · 37 · 34

recent-cases check · held up: 60% → 53% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

PRINTall big stablecoin prints against the same coins' ordinary daysthe atlas →

1 day
+3−6…+11
7 days
−1−10…+7
30 days
−8−17…+1

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (122 cases). Measured on Bitcoin's own price. Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 59 coins.

Every past big stablecoin print, 30 days on 119 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 48 rose · ▼ 34 fell · ◆ 37 sideways (±5.5% over 30 days)

Each line is one past big stablecoin print: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 119 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move): 122 of the 122 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 70 of those 122 closed higher — a base rate of 57%, with a 90% range of 50% to 65%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up122 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move): 122 of the 122 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 70 of those 122 closed higher — a base rate of 57%, with a 90% range of 50% to 65%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 64 of the 119 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (54%).
  • The typical day-30 move was +2.1%, the best +52.1% and the worst −35.8%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran 0.0% vs BTC and beat it in 0.0% of 119 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 60% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 53% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 12 days ago · BTC Bitcoin next day −0.1% · 7 days −2.6% · 30 days lands
  • 17 days ago · BTC Bitcoin next day −1.1% · 7 days +2.5% · 30 days lands
  • 22 days ago · BTC Bitcoin next day −2.6% · 7 days −3.4% · 30 days lands

NO DATA YET No scheduled big stablecoin print meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 14, 2026.

Every past case122 cases

Every past big stablecoin print behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 122 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

122 past cases of big stablecoin prints (bitcoin's move), newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.1% in 18 days in 18 days sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.1% in 13 days in 13 days down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.6% in 8 days in 8 days down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.8% +6.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +13.0% +17.2% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.2% +21.4% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.1% +19.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.9% +2.6% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.4% +1.6% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.1% −24.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% +6.7% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.6% +4.9% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.6% −2.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −5.3% +5.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.1% −0.2% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.2% −27.8% 0.0% sideways next day
2025
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.3% +0.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.5% −1.2% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.7% −0.7% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.9% +9.6% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.3% −0.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −4.6% −3.0% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −4.8% −6.0% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.9% −5.4% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.0% −2.8% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.6% −1.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.2% +2.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.8% +10.9% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.4% +10.3% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.6% +14.8% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.4% +11.5% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −4.2% −7.8% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.2% −11.2% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.1% −9.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.6% −8.0% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.3% +0.7% 0.0% up next day
2024
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.3% −6.5% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.2% −0.4% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.7% −0.6% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.9% +3.2% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.7% +12.2% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.0% +27.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +11.4% +42.9% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.0% +39.4% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.3% +11.8% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.3% +9.2% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.5% +5.8% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.3% −1.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.3% +2.2% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +10.3% −1.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.3% −10.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.3% +6.5% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.5% +5.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.8% −3.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.6% −7.7% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −4.9% −12.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.2% +5.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.9% +37.7% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.6% +26.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.2% +27.2% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.6% +20.7% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.8% +16.0% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.0% −2.5% 0.0% down next day
2023
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.7% +15.5% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.2% +30.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.2% +1.7% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.6% +5.6% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.6% +18.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.1% −2.1% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.3% +3.7% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +12.2% +35.9% 0.0% up next day
2022
Bitcoin (BTC) — −22.7% −16.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.2% +20.7% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.4% −35.4% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.9% −31.7% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.5% +9.0% 0.0% up next day
2021
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.3% −19.6% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −6.4% −27.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.6% −13.3% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.5% −10.9% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.9% −11.9% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −7.8% −13.3% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.0% −19.2% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −8.3% −25.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.2% −29.6% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.8% −17.2% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.3% −7.3% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +15.9% +49.0% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.7% +40.7% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −12.6% +2.1% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% −2.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.2% −11.6% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.8% +5.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.8% −10.1% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −7.0% −15.1% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −15.7% −12.5% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −2.7% −35.8% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +6.0% −30.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −1.9% −35.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −8.5% −29.0% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +6.0% −17.3% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −5.4% −4.6% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.4% −1.6% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% −1.9% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −6.9% −2.9% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.5% +6.8% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.3% +5.9% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +7.3% +30.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −6.8% +12.4% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.9% +18.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.3% +23.3% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +6.1% +38.0% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +7.2% +52.1% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.8% +42.5% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.2% +40.7% 0.0% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +16.1% +12.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +12.5% +14.3% 0.0% up next day
2020
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% +5.0% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.6% +10.5% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.3% +28.8% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.9% +30.9% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +5.6% +34.0% 0.0% up next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 122 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (here, the kind of event alone), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 57% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 70 of the 122 measured past cases of big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move) closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 50% to 65% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 122.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 60% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 53% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 122 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every big stablecoin print with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.