Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move) with BTC above its 50-day average: all 77 measured cases

How often it went up77 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of Oct 14, 2026 · counted from every past case of this pattern

Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move) with BTC above its 50-day average: 77 of the 77 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 46 of those 77 closed higher — a base rate of 60%, with a 90% range of 50% to 68%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

• By day 30, 41 of the 74 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (55%).
• The typical day-30 move was +3.5%, the best +52.1% and the worst −35.4%.
• Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran 0.0% vs BTC and beat it in 0.0% of 74 comparable cases.
• Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 63% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 55% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched 2026-10-14 09:59 UTC

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of Oct 14, 2026 · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

• 12 days ago · Oct 2, 2026 BTC Bitcoin next day −0.1% · 7 days −2.6% · 30 days lands Nov 1, 2026
• 17 days ago · Sep 27, 2026 BTC Bitcoin next day −1.1% · 7 days +2.5% · 30 days lands Oct 27, 2026
• 22 days ago · Sep 22, 2026 BTC Bitcoin next day −2.6% · 7 days −3.4% · 30 days lands Oct 22, 2026

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled big stablecoin print can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Big stablecoin prints (Bitcoin's move) →

Every past case77 cases

Every past big stablecoin print behind these odds

as of Oct 14, 2026 · events and their measured price moves

All 77 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched 2026-10-14 09:59 UTC

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of Oct 14, 2026 · methodology

This page is a count of 77 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

• Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
• Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
• Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.