How often it went up421 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories: 421 of the 428 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 153 of those 421 closed higher — a base rate of 36%, with a 90% range of 33% to 40%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
- By day 30, 129 of the 386 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (33%).
- The typical day-30 move was −12.2%, the best +371.6% and the worst −99.0%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −11.6% vs BTC and beat it in 26.9% of 386 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 35% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 38% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- today · BLUR Blur 30 days lands
- yesterday · CTK Shentu 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · WAL Walrus next day +0.7% · 30 days lands
- 3 days ago · MAGIC MAGIC next day +22.0% · 30 days lands
- 4 days ago · ESPORTS Yooldo next day −0.9% · 30 days lands
- 5 days ago · PEOPLE Constitution DAO next day +4.3% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET No scheduled funding extreme low meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 14, 2026.
Every past case428 cases
Every past funding extreme low behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 428 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Blur (BLUR) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| Shentu (CTK) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | +0.7% | in 28 days | in 28 days | sideways next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | +22.0% | in 27 days | in 27 days | up next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | −0.9% | in 26 days | in 26 days | sideways next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | +4.3% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| SKALE (SKL) | — | −2.0% | in 25 days | in 25 days | down next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | +6.8% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| Caldera (ERA) | — | +23.1% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| AVA (AVA) | — | +0.2% | in 25 days | in 25 days | sideways next day | |
| UMA (UMA) | — | −8.5% | in 23 days | in 23 days | down next day | |
| API3 (API3) | — | −15.0% | in 23 days | in 23 days | down next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | −1.9% | in 22 days | in 22 days | down next day | |
| CARV (CARV) | — | −9.9% | in 22 days | in 22 days | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −6.2% | in 22 days | in 22 days | down next day | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | — | +3.8% | in 22 days | in 22 days | up next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | −24.7% | in 21 days | in 21 days | down next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | −10.9% | in 21 days | in 21 days | down next day | |
| iExec RLC (RLC) | — | +96.9% | in 20 days | in 20 days | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +30.7% | in 19 days | in 19 days | up next day | |
| Scroll (SCR) | — | −2.9% | in 19 days | in 19 days | down next day | |
| Ark (ARK) | — | −9.6% | in 17 days | in 17 days | down next day | |
| Quack AI (Q) | — | +0.9% | in 15 days | in 15 days | sideways next day | |
| Saga (SAGA) | — | −3.7% | in 14 days | in 14 days | down next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | −5.2% | in 14 days | in 14 days | down next day | |
| Xai Games (XAI) | — | +4.7% | in 12 days | in 12 days | up next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | +4.9% | in 10 days | in 10 days | up next day | |
| COTI (COTI) | — | +5.3% | in 9 days | in 9 days | up next day | |
| Succinct (PROVE) | — | +2.4% | in 9 days | in 9 days | up next day | |
| SKALE (SKL) | — | +5.2% | in 7 days | in 7 days | up next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | +1.9% | in 7 days | in 7 days | up next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | −5.5% | in 7 days | in 7 days | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | +4.5% | in 7 days | in 7 days | up next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | +102.8% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| AVA (AVA) | — | −14.2% | in 4 days | in 4 days | down next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | −3.1% | tomorrow | tomorrow | down next day | |
| Civic (CVC) | — | −10.3% | — | — | down next day | |
| Opinion (OPN) | — | −6.6% | +24.4% | +18.4% | down next day | |
| Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) | — | −3.9% | −2.5% | −8.5% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −3.9% | −16.6% | −26.0% | down next day | |
| Ark (ARK) | — | +20.8% | +88.5% | +79.1% | up next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +6.8% | +29.6% | +20.2% | up next day | |
| IOST (IOST) | — | −52.1% | −54.3% | −60.3% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −9.8% | −4.3% | −10.3% | down next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −4.7% | +22.0% | +16.0% | down next day | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | — | −25.4% | −38.0% | −43.3% | down next day | |
| Hemi (HEMI) | — | −31.6% | −41.5% | −45.3% | down next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | — | +1.7% | +1.4% | −8.2% | up next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | +2.1% | −18.8% | −26.5% | up next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | +4.5% | +26.4% | +18.8% | up next day | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | — | −19.4% | −30.5% | −38.1% | down next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −5.0% | +41.2% | +34.2% | down next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +0.8% | +21.4% | +14.3% | sideways next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | −15.1% | −53.5% | −60.6% | down next day | |
| TUTORIAL (TUT) | — | +6.1% | −42.7% | −49.5% | up next day | |
| Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) | — | −2.2% | −9.1% | −17.7% | down next day | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | — | +18.4% | +69.8% | +58.6% | up next day | |
| OpenEden (EDEN) | — | +7.2% | +4.4% | −20.5% | up next day | |
| ALPINE Fan Token (ALPINE) | — | −8.5% | −9.3% | −34.3% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | +9.8% | +37.3% | +18.9% | up next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | +2.6% | −14.0% | −33.9% | up next day | |
| TUTORIAL (TUT) | — | +39.5% | −39.8% | −59.7% | up next day | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | −19.9% | +5.1% | −14.8% | down next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −16.3% | −21.4% | −45.5% | down next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | −8.2% | −20.1% | −41.9% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −7.9% | −22.4% | −43.8% | down next day | |
| UMA (UMA) | — | −1.8% | +11.8% | −9.6% | down next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | +3.6% | +12.7% | −7.0% | up next day | |
| IoTeX (IOTX) | — | −9.1% | +8.7% | −12.0% | down next day | |
| Coin98 (C98) | — | −4.5% | −0.1% | −20.9% | down next day | |
| Xai Games (XAI) | — | −0.1% | +11.7% | −10.1% | sideways next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | −19.7% | −15.7% | −40.6% | down next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −7.9% | −2.4% | −25.9% | down next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +12.3% | +81.1% | +56.8% | up next day | |
| Home (HOME) | — | +3.9% | −32.2% | −56.5% | up next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | +7.1% | +179.7% | +151.8% | up next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | +2.4% | +9.2% | −18.8% | up next day | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | — | +61.1% | +30.7% | +2.7% | up next day | |
| Synapse (SYN) | — | −2.6% | +2.9% | −20.4% | down next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | −4.4% | +12.3% | −11.0% | down next day | |
| iExec RLC (RLC) | — | −9.0% | +8.1% | −16.9% | down next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | +13.8% | +18.3% | −1.7% | up next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | −12.3% | −13.5% | −33.4% | down next day | |
| UMA (UMA) | — | −6.7% | +2.0% | −19.8% | down next day | |
| COTI (COTI) | — | +22.3% | +14.8% | −7.0% | up next day | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | — | +3.2% | +12.0% | −9.8% | up next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −10.2% | +8.5% | −17.3% | down next day | |
| DIA (DIA) | — | −13.2% | +4.7% | −16.1% | down next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | −7.0% | +18.7% | −2.1% | down next day | |
| AVA (AVA) | — | −5.5% | +29.9% | +9.1% | down next day | |
| Euler (EUL) | — | −15.5% | −27.7% | −49.7% | down next day | |
| Opinion (OPN) | — | −2.9% | −13.3% | −36.5% | down next day | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | — | −4.3% | −4.9% | −24.3% | down next day | |
| Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) | — | +30.5% | −84.5% | −101.0% | up next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −12.3% | −14.5% | −31.1% | down next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | — | +14.5% | +14.2% | −3.5% | up next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | −10.9% | −42.2% | −59.9% | down next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | −21.1% | +122.5% | +110.6% | down next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −0.9% | +20.7% | +8.8% | sideways next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −0.6% | +22.2% | +10.3% | sideways next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +3.4% | +27.6% | +27.8% | up next day | |
| Caldera (ERA) | — | −4.9% | −15.7% | −15.6% | down next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | −32.8% | −48.5% | −48.4% | down next day | |
| Home (HOME) | — | −9.7% | −19.8% | −20.8% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −2.9% | +25.1% | +27.7% | down next day | |
| DIA (DIA) | — | −1.7% | +22.9% | +26.0% | down next day | |
| ALPINE Fan Token (ALPINE) | — | 0.0% | −3.0% | +0.0% | sideways next day | |
| Lumia (LUMIA) | — | +17.1% | +10.3% | +13.4% | up next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | +3.6% | −30.0% | −26.9% | up next day | |
| EVAA Protocol (EVAA) | — | +25.5% | −4.8% | −6.6% | up next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | +8.5% | +46.4% | +44.6% | up next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | +4.9% | −7.5% | −9.4% | up next day | |
| Particle Network (PARTI) | — | −6.6% | −27.2% | −26.9% | down next day | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | — | −18.8% | −19.6% | −19.3% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −4.6% | −9.7% | −9.4% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −3.8% | −22.4% | −22.1% | down next day | |
| SKALE (SKL) | — | −8.6% | −27.3% | −27.0% | down next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −1.4% | +1.8% | +2.1% | down next day | |
| Maverick Token (MAV) | — | +1.2% | −0.4% | −3.1% | up next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | +3.4% | +7.6% | +3.3% | up next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | −8.4% | +11.9% | +7.7% | down next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | +1.1% | −26.8% | −29.2% | up next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | −9.4% | −22.3% | −22.7% | down next day | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | −5.9% | +14.8% | +13.2% | down next day | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | — | −9.1% | −17.4% | −18.9% | down next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +12.8% | −6.9% | −8.4% | up next day | |
| ARPA Chain (ARPA) | — | −9.1% | −18.4% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | +24.8% | −4.6% | −7.9% | up next day | |
| Brevis (BREV) | — | −9.3% | −22.7% | −25.9% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −5.7% | −11.8% | −19.1% | down next day | |
| Manta Network (MANTA) | — | −20.1% | −21.4% | −28.9% | down next day | |
| ETHGas (GWEI) | — | −30.1% | −91.0% | −98.5% | down next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | −15.1% | −40.5% | −48.0% | down next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | −10.9% | −13.8% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | +0.9% | +1.7% | −5.7% | sideways next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | — | −6.7% | −22.9% | −30.3% | down next day | |
| Ark (ARK) | — | −6.5% | −15.8% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| CARV (CARV) | — | −13.9% | −32.3% | −38.4% | down next day | |
| Opinion (OPN) | — | +4.7% | +1.5% | −7.9% | up next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | −8.6% | +5.0% | +2.8% | down next day | |
| COTI (COTI) | — | −5.6% | −19.1% | −21.3% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −5.9% | −31.6% | −33.9% | down next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −5.7% | +2.4% | +0.1% | down next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | — | −7.4% | −12.3% | −14.0% | down next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | −3.1% | +11.9% | +7.5% | down next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | −9.1% | −99.0% | −103.5% | down next day | |
| DIA (DIA) | — | −5.2% | −12.9% | −17.4% | down next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −23.0% | −26.8% | −30.3% | down next day | |
| AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) | — | −4.1% | −5.3% | −8.8% | down next day | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | — | +23.7% | −61.5% | −64.2% | up next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | −5.5% | −24.1% | −26.9% | down next day | |
| ETHGas (GWEI) | — | −13.8% | −76.3% | −76.8% | down next day | |
| Synapse (SYN) | — | +166.4% | +240.5% | +243.2% | up next day | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | — | +17.9% | +21.8% | +24.5% | up next day | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | — | −8.7% | −24.1% | −22.6% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −3.7% | −22.9% | −21.4% | down next day | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | — | −0.2% | −19.5% | −17.5% | sideways next day | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | — | −0.6% | −5.3% | −5.5% | sideways next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | +15.2% | +46.4% | +42.6% | up next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | +25.5% | −68.9% | −69.1% | up next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −0.8% | −6.3% | −10.3% | sideways next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | — | −6.4% | −21.7% | −26.6% | down next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | +5.6% | +44.3% | +62.8% | up next day | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | — | +72.8% | −0.7% | +19.9% | up next day | |
| Hemi (HEMI) | — | +1.0% | −37.5% | −19.5% | sideways next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | +6.2% | −5.1% | +12.8% | up next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | +82.5% | +278.9% | +298.0% | up next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −17.1% | −48.6% | −29.2% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −2.1% | −25.0% | −4.1% | down next day | |
| Saga (SAGA) | — | −20.0% | −43.8% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | — | −11.4% | −55.1% | −32.5% | down next day | |
| Caldera (ERA) | — | −13.5% | −45.7% | −23.0% | down next day | |
| Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) | — | −3.0% | −13.2% | +5.1% | down next day | |
| GMT (GMT) | — | −12.4% | −38.0% | −19.7% | down next day | |
| Succinct (PROVE) | — | −15.9% | −38.9% | −20.5% | down next day | |
| AltLayer (ALT) | — | +12.3% | −13.8% | +4.6% | up next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | +5.5% | +200.0% | +217.3% | up next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | +18.4% | −94.7% | −77.4% | up next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −7.7% | −26.7% | −8.4% | down next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | +19.0% | +38.5% | +56.7% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | −5.1% | −33.2% | −16.4% | down next day | |
| OpenEden (EDEN) | — | +65.6% | −13.6% | +3.1% | up next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −10.7% | −0.1% | +16.6% | down next day | |
| Saga (SAGA) | — | −14.4% | −51.0% | −32.1% | down next day | |
| BounceBit (BB) | — | −8.2% | −37.3% | −18.6% | down next day | |
| Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) | — | −1.3% | −21.9% | −0.8% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −33.1% | −55.6% | −33.5% | down next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | +17.5% | +18.7% | +40.9% | up next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | — | −13.7% | −48.9% | −23.7% | down next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −10.8% | −45.1% | −23.7% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −0.5% | −59.7% | −38.4% | sideways next day | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | — | +2.4% | −51.1% | −30.3% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +33.9% | +3.5% | +21.8% | up next day | |
| Home (HOME) | — | −2.8% | +231.9% | +247.1% | down next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | −0.7% | −21.7% | −6.5% | sideways next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | −2.6% | −18.7% | −13.9% | down next day | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | — | −3.4% | −14.3% | −9.4% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −4.0% | −10.7% | −5.4% | down next day | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | — | −10.3% | −19.7% | −14.3% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −2.2% | −28.0% | −26.4% | down next day | |
| BounceBit (BB) | — | −2.8% | +4.6% | +6.1% | down next day | |
| UMA (UMA) | — | +1.1% | −3.2% | −2.1% | up next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | +2.5% | +38.7% | +36.4% | up next day | |
| AVA (AVA) | — | −1.7% | −0.1% | −2.4% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +16.3% | +4.1% | +2.6% | up next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | −4.0% | −7.2% | −8.7% | down next day | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | — | +33.4% | −21.7% | −23.2% | up next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −1.9% | −21.0% | −22.5% | down next day | |
| API3 (API3) | — | −12.8% | −10.4% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | −34.3% | −22.9% | −22.8% | down next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | −9.5% | −11.2% | −11.1% | down next day | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | — | −20.8% | −21.1% | −21.0% | down next day | |
| Saga (SAGA) | — | −20.9% | −22.0% | −25.1% | down next day | |
| IOST (IOST) | — | +3.3% | −2.7% | −7.2% | up next day | |
| Plume (PLUME) | — | +0.2% | +1.7% | −5.0% | sideways next day | |
| Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) | — | +1.2% | −7.9% | −16.8% | up next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | −4.7% | +8.5% | −3.6% | down next day | |
| CARV (CARV) | — | +3.4% | +21.7% | +9.6% | up next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −4.7% | +5.0% | −7.1% | down next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | +0.3% | +3.6% | −6.6% | sideways next day | |
| Particle Network (PARTI) | — | −13.4% | +28.4% | +16.4% | down next day | |
| EDU Coin (EDU) | — | +3.8% | +21.8% | +9.7% | up next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | +4.8% | +66.4% | +52.8% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | −6.2% | +148.9% | +137.4% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | +0.8% | −9.0% | −20.4% | sideways next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −15.8% | −64.4% | −75.9% | down next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −7.0% | +148.4% | +132.2% | down next day | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | — | −4.6% | +9.8% | −6.4% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +6.7% | +21.3% | +3.4% | up next day | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | — | −2.3% | +31.8% | +11.6% | down next day | |
| Synapse (SYN) | — | −7.5% | +1.5% | −17.8% | down next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | +6.2% | +20.8% | +1.5% | up next day | |
| AltLayer (ALT) | — | −7.1% | +15.8% | −3.4% | down next day | |
| Alaya Governance Token (AGT) | — | +0.6% | +159.6% | +140.3% | sideways next day | |
| Yield Basis (YB) | — | −13.6% | −11.4% | −30.7% | down next day | |
| Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) | — | −5.7% | +11.0% | −6.4% | down next day | |
| OpenEden (EDEN) | — | −11.5% | +5.9% | −11.5% | down next day | |
| Hemi (HEMI) | — | +18.6% | +6.0% | −11.5% | up next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −1.3% | −13.6% | −31.1% | down next day | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | — | −19.7% | −22.8% | −38.3% | down next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | −7.6% | +91.7% | +77.1% | down next day | |
| SKALE (SKL) | — | −7.2% | −7.6% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | +74.4% | +60.7% | +46.1% | up next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | −4.2% | −7.0% | −21.6% | down next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | −5.9% | +12.8% | −1.5% | down next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −8.6% | +31.1% | +16.8% | down next day | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | — | +0.4% | +5.0% | −9.3% | sideways next day | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | — | +0.9% | +11.0% | −3.8% | sideways next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | +8.3% | +22.4% | +7.6% | up next day | |
| DIA (DIA) | — | +4.5% | +13.0% | −1.8% | up next day | |
| Home (HOME) | — | +1.1% | −23.1% | −37.9% | up next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | +1.3% | +16.9% | +2.1% | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −2.5% | +20.3% | +5.2% | down next day | |
| Nomina (NOM) | — | +12.4% | −14.6% | −29.6% | up next day | |
| Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) | — | −18.3% | −33.5% | −48.5% | down next day | |
| Succinct (PROVE) | — | −10.2% | −6.9% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| Orochi Network (ON) | — | −22.5% | +6.3% | −8.0% | down next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | −5.2% | −8.6% | −17.4% | down next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −10.4% | +9.9% | +0.1% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −8.8% | +21.3% | +11.5% | down next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | +2.1% | +53.1% | +42.7% | up next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | +1.8% | +0.5% | −14.8% | up next day | |
| Yield Basis (YB) | — | −1.2% | +2.3% | −8.4% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −3.6% | +35.7% | +28.2% | down next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | −10.4% | +29.8% | +22.2% | down next day | |
| Xai Games (XAI) | — | −16.9% | −11.3% | −18.9% | down next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | −29.6% | −13.8% | −19.3% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) | — | −18.1% | +0.2% | −5.3% | down next day | |
| CARV (CARV) | — | +1.2% | −1.2% | −7.4% | up next day | |
| COTI (COTI) | — | −5.7% | +6.8% | +0.6% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −7.7% | +3.2% | −1.1% | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | +22.2% | +107.9% | +103.6% | up next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | −3.0% | +40.5% | +36.2% | down next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | −27.2% | −29.6% | −30.0% | down next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | −49.2% | −78.2% | −78.6% | down next day | |
| Yield Guild Games (YGG) | — | +2.8% | −3.1% | −5.8% | up next day | |
| Home (HOME) | — | +4.5% | −16.4% | −20.5% | up next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | +12.5% | −3.8% | −8.7% | up next day | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | — | −4.8% | −20.1% | −20.4% | down next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +4.8% | +43.2% | +42.9% | up next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | — | −2.2% | +8.6% | +8.3% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −4.4% | +48.6% | +44.5% | down next day | |
| Xai Games (XAI) | — | −4.8% | −21.5% | −25.5% | down next day | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | — | −6.3% | −35.7% | −40.0% | down next day | |
| Pixels (PIXEL) | — | +17.8% | −19.7% | −24.0% | up next day | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | — | −5.5% | −15.6% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) | — | +4.2% | −8.5% | −16.2% | up next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | +3.2% | −9.3% | −16.2% | up next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | +0.5% | +4.8% | −2.1% | sideways next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | +1.7% | +3.0% | −4.0% | up next day | |
| AltLayer (ALT) | — | +2.8% | −5.7% | −12.6% | up next day | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | — | −8.8% | +16.2% | +15.1% | down next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | −2.5% | +51.4% | +54.0% | down next day | |
| Chromia (CHR) | — | −8.9% | +6.5% | +9.1% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | −0.3% | −27.9% | −20.5% | sideways next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | −2.0% | −25.0% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) | — | +12.1% | −16.1% | −18.0% | up next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +46.7% | +94.2% | +92.3% | up next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | — | −8.2% | −18.6% | −20.5% | down next day | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | — | −4.7% | −13.3% | −15.3% | down next day | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | — | −12.2% | −31.1% | −32.5% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −17.2% | −31.5% | −29.3% | down next day | |
| Shentu (CTK) | — | −8.4% | −20.1% | −17.9% | down next day | |
| GoPlus (GPS) | — | −7.2% | −20.6% | −18.2% | down next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | +6.3% | −82.2% | −85.9% | up next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −23.3% | −75.3% | −79.0% | down next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | +5.6% | −15.4% | −21.8% | up next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | — | +5.9% | −5.1% | −11.6% | up next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | −5.7% | +3.8% | −1.7% | down next day | |
| First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) | — | −5.0% | −11.8% | −17.3% | down next day | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | — | −4.7% | +4.7% | −0.8% | down next day | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | — | −17.2% | −14.1% | −19.6% | down next day | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | — | +4.2% | −20.3% | −25.7% | up next day | |
| Yield Guild Games (YGG) | — | −8.4% | −19.5% | −23.3% | down next day | |
| IoTeX (IOTX) | — | −5.8% | +13.5% | +9.7% | down next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | −11.4% | −15.8% | −19.6% | down next day | |
| Cartesi (CTSI) | — | −4.3% | −6.3% | −10.6% | down next day | |
| Enso (ENSO) | — | +0.9% | −40.7% | −45.0% | sideways next day | |
| Harmony (ONE) | — | −5.1% | −11.9% | −16.1% | down next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | +4.1% | −18.8% | −20.1% | up next day | |
| Dusk Network (DUSK) | — | −2.2% | +6.6% | +5.3% | down next day | |
| Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) | — | −1.5% | −11.9% | −15.6% | down next day | |
| CyberConnect (CYBER) | — | −9.7% | −16.0% | −19.7% | down next day | |
| AltLayer (ALT) | — | +0.5% | −13.4% | −17.1% | sideways next day | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | — | −10.9% | −3.1% | −7.5% | down next day | |
| COTI (COTI) | — | −0.8% | +7.2% | +2.7% | sideways next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | −9.6% | −19.5% | −24.0% | down next day | |
| UMA (UMA) | — | −11.2% | −21.5% | −23.0% | down next day | |
| Saga (SAGA) | — | −6.1% | −11.3% | −12.8% | down next day | |
| Euler (EUL) | — | −11.9% | −15.5% | −19.0% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | — | −1.6% | −17.9% | −26.7% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | +6.4% | −6.9% | −16.7% | up next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +13.8% | +371.6% | +361.7% | up next day | |
| Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) | — | +9.6% | −4.5% | −14.4% | up next day | |
| Dymension (DYM) | — | −1.4% | −25.7% | −35.5% | down next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | +7.7% | −1.7% | −7.9% | up next day | |
| Fusionist (ACE) | — | −4.0% | −16.0% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | +2.3% | −1.5% | −7.7% | up next day | |
| Manta Network (MANTA) | — | +4.3% | −9.1% | −15.3% | up next day | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | — | +4.9% | −12.2% | −18.4% | up next day | |
| AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) | — | −6.1% | −11.9% | −14.9% | down next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | +7.2% | −10.7% | −11.3% | up next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | −0.3% | −4.4% | −4.2% | sideways next day | |
| Civic (CVC) | — | +1.7% | −10.0% | −9.8% | up next day | |
| Dusk Network (DUSK) | — | −18.9% | −30.6% | −30.4% | down next day | |
| GoPlus (GPS) | — | +18.0% | −17.4% | −17.2% | up next day | |
| Linea (LINEA) | — | −2.2% | +4.1% | +4.3% | down next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | — | −19.1% | −21.7% | −22.7% | down next day | |
| Berachain (BERA) | — | +2.4% | +22.9% | +22.0% | up next day | |
| API3 (API3) | — | −6.4% | −19.8% | −20.7% | down next day | |
| Succinct (PROVE) | — | −11.0% | −25.6% | −22.5% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −4.8% | −24.8% | −16.7% | down next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | −7.0% | −28.3% | −20.3% | down next day | |
| CyberConnect (CYBER) | — | −23.0% | −11.8% | −1.7% | down next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | +0.8% | −18.1% | −8.1% | sideways next day | |
| Ark (ARK) | — | −3.8% | −17.3% | −11.7% | down next day | |
| zkSync (ZK) | — | −25.0% | −38.3% | −32.7% | down next day | |
| Coin98 (C98) | — | +25.1% | +35.9% | +41.5% | up next day | |
| Yield Guild Games (YGG) | — | −1.1% | −13.4% | −7.8% | down next day | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | — | −1.6% | −18.5% | −12.9% | down next day | |
| Initia (INIT) | — | −7.3% | −5.1% | +8.1% | down next day | |
| Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) | — | −1.2% | −5.0% | +8.2% | down next day | |
| Nomina (NOM) | — | −27.8% | −64.0% | −45.7% | down next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | −10.9% | −11.6% | +10.7% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −5.7% | −14.1% | +8.2% | down next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | +296.2% | −73.1% | −50.8% | up next day | |
| Synapse (SYN) | — | +67.0% | −19.6% | +5.4% | up next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +8.3% | +227.3% | +252.3% | up next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | — | −17.0% | −35.4% | −10.4% | down next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | −9.7% | −30.4% | −4.2% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −9.0% | −26.0% | +0.2% | down next day | |
| Scroll (SCR) | — | −5.1% | −45.6% | −22.0% | down next day | |
| Veranta (AVNT) | — | −6.8% | −43.4% | −21.8% | down next day | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | — | −13.2% | −42.6% | −21.0% | down next day | |
| Mira Network (MIRA) | — | −5.2% | −33.4% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | −8.7% | −27.6% | −6.0% | down next day | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | +1.3% | −33.4% | −11.8% | up next day | |
| GMT (GMT) | — | +4.3% | −22.7% | −1.1% | up next day | |
| AltLayer (ALT) | — | +2.5% | −30.3% | −8.8% | up next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | — | +1.5% | −37.6% | −16.0% | up next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | −1.5% | −30.2% | −8.7% | down next day | |
| Somnia (SOMI) | — | −27.5% | −35.4% | −7.2% | down next day | |
| SKALE (SKL) | — | −10.7% | −40.4% | −12.5% | down next day | |
| Manta Network (MANTA) | — | −8.6% | −12.1% | +11.9% | down next day | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | — | −9.0% | −34.1% | −10.1% | down next day | |
| Resolv (RESOLV) | — | −3.0% | −37.6% | −14.5% | down next day | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | — | +1.7% | −29.0% | −6.0% | up next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | — | −2.0% | −30.8% | −3.1% | down next day | |
| Coin98 (C98) | — | −5.5% | +14.7% | +42.4% | down next day | |
| ARPA Chain (ARPA) | — | −19.5% | −50.4% | −22.7% | down next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | — | −11.8% | −46.4% | −18.8% | down next day | |
| Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) | — | −3.2% | −19.8% | +7.9% | down next day | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | — | −6.8% | −30.3% | −2.6% | down next day | |
| Lumia (LUMIA) | — | −12.4% | −46.8% | −17.7% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Xai Games (XAI) | — | −20.5% | −51.3% | −23.4% | down next day | |
| Linea (LINEA) | — | −6.3% | −43.0% | −15.1% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +7.4% | −25.0% | +3.0% | up next day | |
| Berachain (BERA) | — | −14.3% | −11.2% | +16.8% | down next day | |
| Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) | — | +1.5% | +3.7% | +31.6% | up next day | |
| Initia (INIT) | — | +3.4% | −18.8% | +7.5% | up next day | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | — | +7.1% | −29.7% | −3.4% | up next day | |
| Veranta (AVNT) | — | −3.3% | −42.9% | −18.9% | down next day | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | — | −5.4% | −48.1% | −24.2% | down next day | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | — | −5.1% | −33.8% | −11.2% | down next day | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | −2.6% | −44.5% | −21.9% | down next day | |
| GoPlus (GPS) | — | −19.5% | +91.8% | +114.4% | down next day | |
| DIA (DIA) | — | −1.6% | −36.2% | −13.4% | down next day | |
| GMT (GMT) | — | +36.2% | −24.2% | −1.4% | up next day | |
| Civic (CVC) | — | −2.4% | −32.7% | −9.9% | down next day | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | — | +6.5% | −23.3% | −0.5% | up next day | |
| Space ID (ID) | — | +22.3% | −26.3% | −3.5% | up next day | |
| Scroll (SCR) | — | 0.0% | −32.4% | −8.3% | sideways next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | +3.0% | −23.9% | +0.3% | up next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | — | +2.0% | −37.7% | −13.5% | up next day | |
| Dusk Network (DUSK) | — | −2.0% | +65.0% | +89.2% | down next day | |
| zkSync (ZK) | — | −8.6% | −37.2% | −12.5% | down next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | — | −7.9% | −32.0% | −7.3% | down next day | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | — | −9.3% | −30.9% | −6.2% | down next day | |
| Gunz (GUN) | — | +3.6% | +92.3% | +108.7% | up next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | — | +2.5% | −31.3% | −18.8% | up next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | — | +4.9% | −25.0% | −11.6% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +2.8% | −26.8% | −16.6% | up next day | |
| CyberConnect (CYBER) | — | −2.7% | −29.0% | −18.8% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 421 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group and market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 36% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 153 of the 421 measured past cases of funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 33% to 40% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 421.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 35% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 38% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 428 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every funding extreme low with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.