PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · funding extreme lows · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: all 222 measured cases

funding extreme low category · othersize · microbtc trend · downheld up on recent cases 224 cases on record last 5 cases: 2 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after an extreme low in funding?

higher the next day

32%

72 of 222 past cases

32% of past cases were higher (90% range 28-38%)

90% range 28%–38%

higher after 30 days

27%

60 of 222 cases measured after 30 days

27% of past cases were higher (90% range 22-32%)

90% range 22%–32% · typical move −13.8%

typical next day
−4.6%
typical after 30 days
−13.8%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−14.9%
best after 30 days
+371.6%
worst after 30 days
−99.0%
30 days: up · sideways · down
46 · 30 · 146

recent-cases check · held up: 33% → 31% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

FUNDING LOWall funding extreme lows against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−4−9…+2
7 days
0−6…+6
30 days
+10+4…+16

After funding extreme lows, the price was higher 30 days later in 43% of 1,174 cases on 247 separate days, against 33% of the same coins' ordinary days: +10 points (95% range +4 to +16; older half +5, newer half +15). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past funding extreme low, 30 days on 222 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 36 rose · ▼ 134 fell · ◆ 52 sideways (±9.5% over 30 days)

Each line is one past funding extreme low: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 222 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: 222 of the 224 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 72 of those 222 closed higher — a base rate of 32%, with a 90% range of 28% to 38%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up222 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: 222 of the 224 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 72 of those 222 closed higher — a base rate of 32%, with a 90% range of 28% to 38%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 60 of the 222 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (27%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −13.8%, the best +371.6% and the worst −99.0%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −14.9% vs BTC and beat it in 23.0% of 222 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 33% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 31% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme low can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories →

Every past case224 cases

Every past funding extreme low behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 224 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

224 past cases of funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with btc below its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Nillion (NIL) — +2.6% −14.0% −33.9% up next day
TUTORIAL (TUT) — +39.5% −39.8% −59.7% up next day
Walrus (WAL) — −19.9% +5.1% −14.8% down next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −16.3% −21.4% −45.5% down next day
iExec RLC (RLC) — −9.0% +8.1% −16.9% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) — +13.8% +18.3% −1.7% up next day
Vana (VANA) — −12.3% −13.5% −33.4% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.9% +25.1% +27.7% down next day
Particle Network (PARTI) — −6.6% −27.2% −26.9% down next day
Space and Time (SXT) — −18.8% −19.6% −19.3% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −4.6% −9.7% −9.4% down next day
Gunz (GUN) — −3.8% −22.4% −22.1% down next day
SKALE (SKL) — −8.6% −27.3% −27.0% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −1.4% +1.8% +2.1% down next day
Maverick Token (MAV) — +1.2% −0.4% −3.1% up next day
Harmony (ONE) — +3.4% +7.6% +3.3% up next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — −8.4% +11.9% +7.7% down next day
Space ID (ID) — +1.1% −26.8% −29.2% up next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — −9.4% −22.3% −22.7% down next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — −5.9% +14.8% +13.2% down next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −9.1% −17.4% −18.9% down next day
Velvet (VELVET) — +12.8% −6.9% −8.4% up next day
ARPA Chain (ARPA) — −9.1% −18.4% −19.9% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — +24.8% −4.6% −7.9% up next day
Brevis (BREV) — −9.3% −22.7% −25.9% down next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — −5.7% −11.8% −19.1% down next day
Manta Network (MANTA) — −20.1% −21.4% −28.9% down next day
ETHGas (GWEI) — −30.1% −91.0% −98.5% down next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — −15.1% −40.5% −48.0% down next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — −10.9% −13.8% −21.2% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) — +0.9% +1.7% −5.7% sideways next day
Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) — −6.7% −22.9% −30.3% down next day
Ark (ARK) — −6.5% −15.8% −22.2% down next day
CARV (CARV) — −13.9% −32.3% −38.4% down next day
Opinion (OPN) — +4.7% +1.5% −7.9% up next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — −8.6% +5.0% +2.8% down next day
COTI (COTI) — −5.6% −19.1% −21.3% down next day
Gunz (GUN) — −5.9% −31.6% −33.9% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −5.7% +2.4% +0.1% down next day
Solayer (LAYER) — −7.4% −12.3% −14.0% down next day
Fusionist (ACE) — −3.1% +11.9% +7.5% down next day
LAB (LAB) — −9.1% −99.0% −103.5% down next day
DIA (DIA) — −5.2% −12.9% −17.4% down next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −23.0% −26.8% −30.3% down next day
AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) — −4.1% −5.3% −8.8% down next day
Biconomy (BICO) — +23.7% −61.5% −64.2% up next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — −5.5% −24.1% −26.9% down next day
ETHGas (GWEI) — −13.8% −76.3% −76.8% down next day
Synapse (SYN) — +166.4% +240.5% +243.2% up next day
Bella Protocol (BEL) — +17.9% +21.8% +24.5% up next day
Boundless (ZKC) — −8.7% −24.1% −22.6% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −3.7% −22.9% −21.4% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) — −0.2% −19.5% −17.5% sideways next day
Space and Time (SXT) — −0.6% −5.3% −5.5% sideways next day
Space ID (ID) — +15.2% +46.4% +42.6% up next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — +25.5% −68.9% −69.1% up next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −0.8% −6.3% −10.3% sideways next day
LATOKEN (LA) — −6.4% −21.7% −26.6% down next day
Magma Finance (MAGMA) — +5.6% +44.3% +62.8% up next day
Portal (PORTAL) — +72.8% −0.7% +19.9% up next day
Hemi (HEMI) — +1.0% −37.5% −19.5% sideways next day
Space ID (ID) — +6.2% −5.1% +12.8% up next day
LAB (LAB) — +82.5% +278.9% +298.0% up next day
Gunz (GUN) — −17.1% −48.6% −29.2% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −2.1% −25.0% −4.1% down next day
Saga (SAGA) — −20.0% −43.8% −21.2% down next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — −11.4% −55.1% −32.5% down next day
Caldera (ERA) — −13.5% −45.7% −23.0% down next day
Succinct (PROVE) — −15.9% −38.9% −20.5% down next day
AltLayer (ALT) — +12.3% −13.8% +4.6% up next day
Synapse (SYN) — −7.5% +1.5% −17.8% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) — +6.2% +20.8% +1.5% up next day
AltLayer (ALT) — −7.1% +15.8% −3.4% down next day
Alaya Governance Token (AGT) — +0.6% +159.6% +140.3% sideways next day
Yield Basis (YB) — −13.6% −11.4% −30.7% down next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — −5.7% +11.0% −6.4% down next day
OpenEden (EDEN) — −11.5% +5.9% −11.5% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — +18.6% +6.0% −11.5% up next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −1.3% −13.6% −31.1% down next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — −19.7% −22.8% −38.3% down next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — −7.6% +91.7% +77.1% down next day
SKALE (SKL) — −7.2% −7.6% −22.2% down next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — +74.4% +60.7% +46.1% up next day
Gravity (G) — −4.2% −7.0% −21.6% down next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — −5.9% +12.8% −1.5% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −8.6% +31.1% +16.8% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) — +0.4% +5.0% −9.3% sideways next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +0.9% +11.0% −3.8% sideways next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — +8.3% +22.4% +7.6% up next day
DIA (DIA) — +4.5% +13.0% −1.8% up next day
Home (HOME) — +1.1% −23.1% −37.9% up next day
Vana (VANA) — +1.3% +16.9% +2.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.5% +20.3% +5.2% down next day
Nomina (NOM) — +12.4% −14.6% −29.6% up next day
Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) — −18.3% −33.5% −48.5% down next day
Succinct (PROVE) — −10.2% −6.9% −21.2% down next day
Orochi Network (ON) — −22.5% +6.3% −8.0% down next day
Polkadot Token (DOT) — −5.2% −8.6% −17.4% down next day
Yield Basis (YB) — −1.2% +2.3% −8.4% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −3.6% +35.7% +28.2% down next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — −10.4% +29.8% +22.2% down next day
Xai Games (XAI) — −16.9% −11.3% −18.9% down next day
CARV (CARV) — +1.2% −1.2% −7.4% up next day
COTI (COTI) — −5.7% +6.8% +0.6% down next day
Hana Network (HANA) — +12.5% −3.8% −8.7% up next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −4.8% −20.1% −20.4% down next day
Siren (SIREN) — +4.8% +43.2% +42.9% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −2.2% +8.6% +8.3% down next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — −4.4% +48.6% +44.5% down next day
Xai Games (XAI) — −4.8% −21.5% −25.5% down next day
Portal (PORTAL) — −6.3% −35.7% −40.0% down next day
Pixels (PIXEL) — +17.8% −19.7% −24.0% up next day
Space and Time (SXT) — −5.5% −15.6% −19.9% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) — +4.2% −8.5% −16.2% up next day
Polkadot Token (DOT) — +3.2% −9.3% −16.2% up next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — +0.5% +4.8% −2.1% sideways next day
Aevo (AEVO) — +1.7% +3.0% −4.0% up next day
AltLayer (ALT) — +2.8% −5.7% −12.6% up next day
Biconomy (BICO) — −8.8% +16.2% +15.1% down next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — −2.5% +51.4% +54.0% down next day
Chromia (CHR) — −8.9% +6.5% +9.1% down next day
Gunz (GUN) — −0.3% −27.9% −20.5% sideways next day
Fusionist (ACE) — −2.0% −25.0% −22.2% down next day
My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — +12.1% −16.1% −18.0% up next day
Siren (SIREN) — +46.7% +94.2% +92.3% up next day
Solayer (LAYER) — −8.2% −18.6% −20.5% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) — −4.7% −13.3% −15.3% down next day
Portal (PORTAL) — −12.2% −31.1% −32.5% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −17.2% −31.5% −29.3% down next day
Shentu (CTK) — −8.4% −20.1% −17.9% down next day
GoPlus (GPS) — −7.2% −20.6% −18.2% down next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — +6.3% −82.2% −85.9% up next day
Bulla (BULLA) — −23.3% −75.3% −79.0% down next day
Moonriver (MOVR) — +5.6% −15.4% −21.8% up next day
Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) — +5.9% −5.1% −11.6% up next day
Polkadot Token (DOT) — −5.7% +3.8% −1.7% down next day
First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) — −5.0% −11.8% −17.3% down next day
Biconomy (BICO) — −4.7% +4.7% −0.8% down next day
Bella Protocol (BEL) — −17.2% −14.1% −19.6% down next day
Space and Time (SXT) — +4.2% −20.3% −25.7% up next day
Yield Guild Games (YGG) — −8.4% −19.5% −23.3% down next day
IoTeX (IOTX) — −5.8% +13.5% +9.7% down next day
Vana (VANA) — −11.4% −15.8% −19.6% down next day
Cartesi (CTSI) — −4.3% −6.3% −10.6% down next day
Enso (ENSO) — +0.9% −40.7% −45.0% sideways next day
Harmony (ONE) — −5.1% −11.9% −16.1% down next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — +4.1% −18.8% −20.1% up next day
Dusk Network (DUSK) — −2.2% +6.6% +5.3% down next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) — −1.5% −11.9% −15.6% down next day
CyberConnect (CYBER) — −9.7% −16.0% −19.7% down next day
AltLayer (ALT) — +0.5% −13.4% −17.1% sideways next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −10.9% −3.1% −7.5% down next day
COTI (COTI) — −0.8% +7.2% +2.7% sideways next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — −9.6% −19.5% −24.0% down next day
UMA (UMA) — −11.2% −21.5% −23.0% down next day
Saga (SAGA) — −6.1% −11.3% −12.8% down next day
Euler (EUL) — −11.9% −15.5% −19.0% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Boundless (ZKC) — −1.6% −17.9% −26.7% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — +6.4% −6.9% −16.7% up next day
Siren (SIREN) — +13.8% +371.6% +361.7% up next day
Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) — +9.6% −4.5% −14.4% up next day
Dymension (DYM) — −1.4% −25.7% −35.5% down next day
Nillion (NIL) — +7.7% −1.7% −7.9% up next day
Fusionist (ACE) — −4.0% −16.0% −22.2% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) — +2.3% −1.5% −7.7% up next day
Manta Network (MANTA) — +4.3% −9.1% −15.3% up next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) — +4.9% −12.2% −18.4% up next day
AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) — −6.1% −11.9% −14.9% down next day
Vana (VANA) — +7.2% −10.7% −11.3% up next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — −0.3% −4.4% −4.2% sideways next day
Civic (CVC) — +1.7% −10.0% −9.8% up next day
Dusk Network (DUSK) — −18.9% −30.6% −30.4% down next day
GoPlus (GPS) — +18.0% −17.4% −17.2% up next day
Linea (LINEA) — −2.2% +4.1% +4.3% down next day
LATOKEN (LA) — −19.1% −21.7% −22.7% down next day
Berachain (BERA) — +2.4% +22.9% +22.0% up next day
API3 (API3) — −6.4% −19.8% −20.7% down next day
Succinct (PROVE) — −11.0% −25.6% −22.5% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −4.8% −24.8% −16.7% down next day
Space ID (ID) — −7.0% −28.3% −20.3% down next day
CyberConnect (CYBER) — −23.0% −11.8% −1.7% down next day
Band Protocol (BAND) — +0.8% −18.1% −8.1% sideways next day
Ark (ARK) — −3.8% −17.3% −11.7% down next day
zkSync (ZK) — −25.0% −38.3% −32.7% down next day
Coin98 (C98) — +25.1% +35.9% +41.5% up next day
Yield Guild Games (YGG) — −1.1% −13.4% −7.8% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) — −1.6% −18.5% −12.9% down next day
Initia (INIT) — −7.3% −5.1% +8.1% down next day
Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) — −1.2% −5.0% +8.2% down next day
Nomina (NOM) — −27.8% −64.0% −45.7% down next day
Polkadot Token (DOT) — −10.9% −11.6% +10.7% down next day
Ravencoin (RVN) — −5.7% −14.1% +8.2% down next day
Bulla (BULLA) — +296.2% −73.1% −50.8% up next day
Synapse (SYN) — +67.0% −19.6% +5.4% up next day
Siren (SIREN) — +8.3% +227.3% +252.3% up next day
Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) — −17.0% −35.4% −10.4% down next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — −9.7% −30.4% −4.2% down next day
Ontology Gas (ONG) — −9.0% −26.0% +0.2% down next day
Scroll (SCR) — −5.1% −45.6% −22.0% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −6.8% −43.4% −21.8% down next day
Boundless (ZKC) — −13.2% −42.6% −21.0% down next day
Mira Network (MIRA) — −5.2% −33.4% −11.9% down next day
Gravity (G) — −8.7% −27.6% −6.0% down next day
Walrus (WAL) — +1.3% −33.4% −11.8% up next day
GMT (GMT) — +4.3% −22.7% −1.1% up next day
AltLayer (ALT) — +2.5% −30.3% −8.8% up next day
Solayer (LAYER) — +1.5% −37.6% −16.0% up next day
Vana (VANA) — −1.5% −30.2% −8.7% down next day
Somnia (SOMI) — −27.5% −35.4% −7.2% down next day
SKALE (SKL) — −10.7% −40.4% −12.5% down next day
Manta Network (MANTA) — −8.6% −12.1% +11.9% down next day
Space and Time (SXT) — −9.0% −34.1% −10.1% down next day
Resolv (RESOLV) — −3.0% −37.6% −14.5% down next day
Bella Protocol (BEL) — +1.7% −29.0% −6.0% up next day
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) — −2.0% −30.8% −3.1% down next day
Coin98 (C98) — −5.5% +14.7% +42.4% down next day
ARPA Chain (ARPA) — −19.5% −50.4% −22.7% down next day
Bonfida (FIDA) — −11.8% −46.4% −18.8% down next day
Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) — −3.2% −19.8% +7.9% down next day
Metis Token (METIS) — −6.8% −30.3% −2.6% down next day
Test (TST) — +2.8% −26.8% −16.6% up next day
CyberConnect (CYBER) — −2.7% −29.0% −18.8% down next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 222 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group, market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 32% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 72 of the 222 measured past cases of funding extreme lows of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 28% to 38% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 222.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 33% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 31% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 224 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every funding extreme low with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.