How often it went up201 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Funding extreme highs of tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average: 201 of the 208 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 93 of those 201 closed higher — a base rate of 46%, with a 90% range of 41% to 52%, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.
- By day 30, 74 of the 156 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (47%).
- The typical day-30 move was −1.7%, the best +1419.4% and the worst −92.4%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −4.9% vs BTC and beat it in 45.5% of 156 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 44% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- 3 days ago · W Wormhole next day −19.2% · 30 days lands
- 10 days ago · LYN Everlyn AI next day −25.2% · 7 days −39.1% · 30 days lands
- 11 days ago · SIREN Siren next day −4.4% · 7 days −7.7% · 30 days lands
- 12 days ago · ZRO LayerZero next day +8.8% · 7 days +6.1% · 30 days lands
- 12 days ago · MITO Mitosis next day +1.7% · 7 days −5.9% · 30 days lands
- 13 days ago · HANA Hana Network next day −0.6% · 7 days +4.5% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme high can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme highs of tokens outside the big categories →
Every past case208 cases
Every past funding extreme high behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 208 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Wormhole (W) | — | −19.2% | in 27 days | in 27 days | down next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | −25.2% | in 20 days | in 20 days | down next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | −4.4% | in 19 days | in 19 days | down next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +8.8% | in 18 days | in 18 days | up next day | |
| Mitosis (MITO) | — | +1.7% | in 18 days | in 18 days | up next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | −0.6% | in 17 days | in 17 days | sideways next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | −0.3% | in 15 days | in 15 days | sideways next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | −6.3% | in 11 days | in 11 days | down next day | |
| Worldcoin (WLD) | — | −6.0% | in 11 days | in 11 days | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −11.8% | in 11 days | in 11 days | down next day | |
| OlaXBT (AIO) | — | +6.1% | in 10 days | in 10 days | up next day | |
| River (RIVER) | — | −5.4% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Quack AI (Q) | — | +30.6% | in 10 days | in 10 days | up next day | |
| MYX Finance (MYX) | — | −2.0% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | −4.6% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | +1.1% | in 10 days | in 10 days | up next day | |
| Bitlight (LIGHT) | — | +1.6% | in 10 days | in 10 days | up next day | |
| Humanity (H) | — | −10.7% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | −5.1% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) | — | −0.4% | in 10 days | in 10 days | sideways next day | |
| 4 (4) | — | +7.0% | in 8 days | in 8 days | up next day | |
| Folks Finance (FOLKS) | — | +2.7% | in 8 days | in 8 days | up next day | |
| Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) | — | +9.1% | in 7 days | in 7 days | up next day | |
| Stellar (XLM) | — | +0.7% | in 7 days | in 7 days | sideways next day | |
| AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) | — | +0.1% | in 7 days | in 7 days | sideways next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +3.5% | in 7 days | in 7 days | up next day | |
| edgeX (EDGE) | — | −9.5% | in 7 days | in 7 days | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −5.4% | in 6 days | in 6 days | down next day | |
| Near Protocol (NEAR) | — | +1.4% | in 6 days | in 6 days | up next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | +84.1% | in 6 days | in 6 days | up next day | |
| Venice Token (VVV) | — | −5.5% | in 6 days | in 6 days | down next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | −2.8% | in 6 days | in 6 days | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | in 6 days | in 6 days | not measured yet | |
| AZTEC (AZTEC) | — | −6.1% | in 6 days | in 6 days | down next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | −0.6% | in 6 days | in 6 days | sideways next day | |
| Starpower (STAR) | — | +12.6% | in 5 days | in 5 days | up next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | +15.7% | in 5 days | in 5 days | up next day | |
| Aerodrome Finance (AERO) | — | +6.0% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | +6.8% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| Ondo (ONDO) | — | +8.9% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +3.6% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +5.7% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| GRASS (GRASS) | — | +3.4% | in 3 days | in 3 days | up next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | +0.2% | in 3 days | in 3 days | sideways next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | −13.1% | in 3 days | in 3 days | down next day | |
| AI Network (AIN) | — | −13.0% | tomorrow | tomorrow | down next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | +22.2% | −32.6% | −37.7% | up next day | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | — | −4.7% | +111.5% | +105.2% | down next day | |
| Injective Protocol (INJ) | — | −0.8% | +9.3% | +5.9% | sideways next day | |
| Quack AI (Q) | — | −8.5% | −3.2% | −6.5% | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −8.4% | −11.1% | −14.8% | down next day | |
| GRASS (GRASS) | — | −3.5% | +91.2% | +87.5% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −8.7% | +109.2% | +105.5% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +0.6% | +2.5% | −1.2% | sideways next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −8.6% | −17.6% | −21.3% | down next day | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | +0.1% | +20.1% | +12.9% | sideways next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | +7.4% | −4.4% | −12.1% | up next day | |
| Venice Token (VVV) | — | −6.3% | +58.7% | +51.0% | down next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | −2.3% | +3.3% | −4.3% | down next day | |
| edgeX (EDGE) | — | +0.7% | −25.6% | −32.1% | sideways next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +0.9% | −20.7% | −30.3% | sideways next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | +11.0% | −31.4% | −41.0% | up next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | −1.1% | −38.2% | −45.8% | down next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | −29.6% | −63.6% | −70.6% | down next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | −4.7% | +42.7% | +35.8% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | −14.7% | −3.6% | −10.5% | down next day | |
| Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) | — | −5.1% | −1.5% | −10.1% | down next day | |
| Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) | — | +1.0% | −4.6% | −13.1% | sideways next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −11.0% | −11.5% | −20.1% | down next day | |
| Aerodrome Finance (AERO) | — | +17.6% | +47.4% | +35.5% | up next day | |
| BNB (BNB) | — | +1.3% | +13.4% | +1.5% | up next day | |
| Injective Protocol (INJ) | — | +15.4% | +60.1% | +48.3% | up next day | |
| Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) | — | +4.0% | +49.1% | +37.2% | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | −0.2% | +15.6% | +3.7% | sideways next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | +39.8% | +57.1% | +45.3% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +3.6% | +14.1% | +2.2% | up next day | |
| TRON (TRX) | — | +0.2% | −0.6% | −12.5% | sideways next day | |
| Uniswap (UNI) | — | +0.8% | +138.0% | +126.1% | sideways next day | |
| Stellar (XLM) | — | −0.9% | +10.5% | −1.3% | sideways next day | |
| 4 (4) | — | −1.1% | +155.6% | +143.7% | down next day | |
| Aave (AAVE) | — | +15.3% | +18.9% | +8.3% | up next day | |
| Aster (ASTER) | — | −4.8% | +5.2% | −5.4% | down next day | |
| Curve DAO Token (CRV) | — | −4.1% | +7.1% | −3.5% | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −7.9% | −0.7% | −11.3% | down next day | |
| Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) | — | −2.8% | +19.6% | +9.0% | down next day | |
| GRASS (GRASS) | — | +10.9% | +24.3% | +13.7% | up next day | |
| Chainlink (LINK) | — | −3.7% | +9.9% | −0.6% | down next day | |
| Lighter (LIT) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Morpho (MORPHO) | — | +22.4% | +12.0% | +1.4% | up next day | |
| Near Protocol (NEAR) | — | +2.4% | +117.0% | +106.5% | up next day | |
| Ondo (ONDO) | — | −3.6% | +15.4% | +4.8% | down next day | |
| Venice Token (VVV) | — | +5.0% | +100.4% | +89.8% | up next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +18.5% | +18.4% | +7.8% | up next day | |
| OlaXBT (AIO) | — | −35.4% | −49.2% | −70.4% | down next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +3.8% | +9.1% | −12.0% | up next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | +3.6% | −59.6% | −79.3% | up next day | |
| TUTORIAL (TUT) | — | −62.0% | −89.8% | −110.5% | down next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | +3.7% | −24.4% | −45.0% | up next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | +6.8% | −5.9% | −26.6% | up next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | −11.3% | −26.7% | −48.6% | down next day | |
| 4 (4) | — | +14.7% | +141.5% | +116.6% | up next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | +6.8% | +3.6% | −21.3% | up next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | +4.7% | −5.3% | −30.2% | up next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | −2.3% | +89.8% | +66.3% | down next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | −1.6% | −42.2% | −65.7% | down next day | |
| Orochi Network (ON) | — | +28.0% | −22.6% | −46.1% | up next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | +1.5% | −12.2% | −35.6% | up next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | +1.4% | −52.4% | −74.1% | up next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | +7.2% | +9.5% | −13.7% | up next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | −13.8% | −34.6% | −56.8% | down next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | −11.6% | +38.4% | +12.5% | down next day | |
| Tagger (TAG) | — | −14.0% | −36.4% | −62.3% | down next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +1.1% | +27.4% | +4.2% | up next day | |
| Orochi Network (ON) | — | −34.2% | +28.0% | +8.6% | down next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | −1.4% | −25.7% | −42.3% | down next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | −22.5% | −54.8% | −66.7% | down next day | |
| Venice Token (VVV) | — | +8.7% | +23.4% | +16.3% | up next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | −3.2% | −3.5% | −10.6% | down next day | |
| Akedo (AKE) | — | −15.5% | +350.1% | +350.2% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Humanity (H) | — | −13.3% | +71.2% | +74.2% | down next day | |
| CARV (CARV) | — | −2.6% | −40.5% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | −9.5% | −7.3% | +9.8% | down next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | +19.6% | +7.7% | +26.6% | up next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | +4.5% | −26.4% | −7.6% | up next day | |
| MYX Finance (MYX) | — | −7.1% | −11.6% | +13.5% | down next day | |
| Venice Token (VVV) | — | +12.4% | +28.2% | +53.5% | up next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | −17.2% | −17.9% | +7.3% | down next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | −13.8% | +9.8% | +35.0% | down next day | |
| Stable Metal (STBL) | — | +6.7% | −39.0% | −13.8% | up next day | |
| AI Network (AIN) | — | −2.7% | −37.4% | −12.8% | down next day | |
| Folks Finance (FOLKS) | — | +5.6% | −7.5% | +12.5% | up next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | −5.2% | −0.1% | +20.0% | down next day | |
| 4 (4) | — | +16.2% | −32.2% | −13.9% | up next day | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | −2.8% | +16.1% | +34.5% | down next day | |
| Collect on Fanable (COLLECT) | — | −1.2% | +96.9% | +112.0% | down next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | +43.4% | −69.5% | −54.3% | up next day | |
| MYX Finance (MYX) | — | −4.9% | +37.9% | +53.1% | down next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | −5.5% | +15.3% | +24.1% | down next day | |
| EVAA Protocol (EVAA) | — | −6.9% | −27.7% | −19.0% | down next day | |
| Tagger (TAG) | — | +77.3% | +40.9% | +49.6% | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | −17.0% | −63.3% | −59.8% | down next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | +2.2% | −32.0% | −28.5% | up next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | −8.9% | +5.7% | +9.5% | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −21.6% | +9.5% | +13.2% | down next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | +15.2% | −41.2% | −36.4% | up next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | −1.1% | +25.5% | +30.4% | down next day | |
| Alaya Governance Token (AGT) | — | −24.4% | −44.2% | −38.9% | down next day | |
| Humanity (H) | — | +8.3% | +80.2% | +80.3% | up next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | −3.3% | −8.2% | −6.7% | down next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −11.1% | −40.5% | −42.8% | down next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | −28.7% | −40.4% | −40.3% | down next day | |
| Folks Finance (FOLKS) | — | −22.7% | −12.9% | −12.9% | down next day | |
| Bitlight (LIGHT) | — | −41.7% | −49.4% | −49.3% | down next day | |
| Swarm Network (TRUTH) | — | −3.5% | +45.7% | +45.7% | down next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | +3.3% | −34.8% | −37.8% | up next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | +0.1% | −17.2% | −20.2% | sideways next day | |
| Alaya Governance Token (AGT) | — | +18.6% | −19.6% | −22.6% | up next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | −52.3% | −44.7% | −49.1% | down next day | |
| Kite (KITE) | — | +2.6% | +53.1% | +48.6% | up next day | |
| MYX Finance (MYX) | — | +4.3% | −31.2% | −37.9% | up next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | −19.9% | +6.2% | −2.8% | down next day | |
| Orochi Network (ON) | — | −3.7% | −21.9% | −30.8% | down next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | +9.6% | −8.1% | −17.0% | up next day | |
| AI Network (AIN) | — | −18.5% | +58.5% | +46.4% | down next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −22.6% | −38.9% | −51.1% | down next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | +85.8% | −16.6% | −28.7% | up next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | +2.3% | +24.4% | +12.3% | up next day | |
| Tagger (TAG) | — | −19.6% | +49.9% | +37.8% | down next day | |
| Near Protocol (NEAR) | — | +1.2% | +14.8% | +4.5% | up next day | |
| River (RIVER) | — | −9.6% | −31.4% | −41.7% | down next day | |
| EVAA Protocol (EVAA) | — | +57.8% | −4.3% | −14.6% | up next day | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | — | +14.4% | +0.8% | −9.4% | up next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Unibase (UB) | — | +3.4% | +643.1% | +632.9% | up next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | +2.2% | −92.4% | −102.6% | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +1.3% | +30.8% | +16.3% | up next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | +8.7% | −1.8% | −13.3% | up next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | +25.5% | +1419.4% | +1403.2% | up next day | |
| Akedo (AKE) | — | −1.6% | +34.8% | +16.8% | down next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | −24.2% | −46.1% | −64.0% | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −15.2% | −16.1% | −36.3% | down next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | +7.4% | +124.3% | +104.1% | up next day | |
| Bitlight (LIGHT) | — | −24.2% | −26.3% | −36.1% | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −16.9% | −25.1% | −35.5% | down next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | −12.0% | −73.4% | −88.6% | down next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | −43.1% | −64.5% | −70.1% | down next day | |
| Everlyn AI (LYN) | — | +131.4% | +56.7% | +52.4% | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | −3.2% | −5.3% | −5.7% | down next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | −7.4% | +213.6% | +213.2% | down next day | |
| Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) | — | −15.9% | −17.7% | −18.1% | down next day | |
| Akedo (AKE) | — | −2.1% | +207.8% | +203.7% | down next day | |
| Capricorn (APR) | — | +1.4% | +87.0% | +82.9% | up next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −2.2% | −19.3% | +8.7% | down next day | |
| Flow (FLOW) | — | −1.1% | −50.0% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | −1.3% | −31.7% | −4.3% | down next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | −0.1% | +15.3% | +39.2% | sideways next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | −14.5% | −18.5% | +4.3% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | +1.7% | +2.9% | +23.0% | up next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | −50.1% | −60.9% | −44.5% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +4.2% | −22.9% | −10.4% | up next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | +26.2% | +32.9% | +46.3% | up next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | +1.0% | −9.2% | +4.2% | up next day | |
| Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) | — | +3.0% | −32.6% | −19.2% | up next day | |
| Quack AI (Q) | — | −11.3% | +3.3% | +16.7% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 201 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 46% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 93 of the 201 measured past cases of funding extreme highs of tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 41% to 52% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 201.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 44% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 208 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every funding extreme high with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.