PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Log in
Updated

Pattern · funding extreme highs · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-16

Funding extreme highs with BTC above its 50-day average: all 257 measured cases

funding extreme high btc trend · upheld up on recent cases 271 cases on record last 5 cases: 1 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the week after an extreme high in funding?

higher the next day

49%

125 of 257 past cases

49% of past cases were higher (90% range 44-54%)

90% range 44%–54%

higher after 30 days

54%

108 of 200 cases measured after 30 days

54% of past cases were higher (90% range 48-60%)

90% range 48%–60% · typical move +3.3%

typical next day
−0.4%
typical after 30 days
+3.3%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
0.0%
best after 30 days
+1419.4%
worst after 30 days
−92.4%
30 days: up · sideways · down
96 · 26 · 78

recent-cases check · held up: 48% → 50% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

FUNDING HIGHall funding extreme highs against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−5−12…+3
7 days
−5−12…+2
30 days
−5−12…+3

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (344 cases on 168 separate days). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past funding extreme high, 30 days on 200 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 78 rose · ▼ 65 fell · ◆ 57 sideways (±12% over 30 days)

Each line is one past funding extreme high: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 200 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Funding extreme highs with BTC above its 50-day average: 257 of the 271 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 125 of those 257 closed higher — a base rate of 49%, with a 90% range of 44% to 54%, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up257 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Funding extreme highs with BTC above its 50-day average: 257 of the 271 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 125 of those 257 closed higher — a base rate of 49%, with a 90% range of 44% to 54%, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.

  • By day 30, 108 of the 200 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (54%).
  • The typical day-30 move was +3.3%, the best +1419.4% and the worst −92.4%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran 0.0% vs BTC and beat it in 45.0% of 200 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 48% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 3 days ago · W Wormhole next day −19.2% · 30 days lands
  • 10 days ago · SPX SPX6900 next day −13.4% · 7 days −19.1% · 30 days lands
  • 10 days ago · LYN Everlyn AI next day −25.2% · 7 days −39.1% · 30 days lands
  • 11 days ago · SIREN Siren next day −4.4% · 7 days −7.7% · 30 days lands
  • 12 days ago · ZRO LayerZero next day +8.8% · 7 days +6.1% · 30 days lands
  • 12 days ago · MITO Mitosis next day +1.7% · 7 days −5.9% · 30 days lands

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme high can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme highs →

Every past case271 cases

Every past funding extreme high behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 271 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

271 past cases of funding extreme highs with btc above its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Wormhole (W) — −19.2% in 27 days in 27 days down next day
SPX6900 (SPX) — −13.4% in 20 days in 20 days down next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — −25.2% in 20 days in 20 days down next day
Siren (SIREN) — −4.4% in 19 days in 19 days down next day
LayerZero (ZRO) — +8.8% in 18 days in 18 days up next day
Mitosis (MITO) — +1.7% in 18 days in 18 days up next day
Hana Network (HANA) — −0.6% in 17 days in 17 days sideways next day
KGeN (KGEN) — −0.3% in 15 days in 15 days sideways next day
Jito (JTO) — −6.3% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
Mantle (MNT) — −4.2% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
SPX6900 (SPX) — −7.9% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
dogwifhat (WIF) — −4.3% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
Worldcoin (WLD) — −6.0% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
Plasma (XPL) — −11.8% in 11 days in 11 days down next day
OlaXBT (AIO) — +6.1% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
River (RIVER) — −5.4% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Quack AI (Q) — +30.6% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
MYX Finance (MYX) — −2.0% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Capricorn (APR) — −4.6% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Janction (JCT) — +1.1% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
Bitlight (LIGHT) — +1.6% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
Humanity (H) — −10.7% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — −5.1% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) — −0.4% in 10 days in 10 days sideways next day
4 (4) — +7.0% in 8 days in 8 days up next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — +2.7% in 8 days in 8 days up next day
Bonk (BONK) — +4.7% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) — +9.1% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
Stellar (XLM) — +0.7% in 7 days in 7 days sideways next day
AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) — +0.1% in 7 days in 7 days sideways next day
Siren (SIREN) — +3.5% in 7 days in 7 days up next day
edgeX (EDGE) — −9.5% in 7 days in 7 days down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — −7.2% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −5.4% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Monad (MON) — −6.3% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) — +1.4% in 6 days in 6 days up next day
Nillion (NIL) — +84.1% in 6 days in 6 days up next day
BitTensor (TAO) — −10.1% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Venice Token (VVV) — −5.5% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Useless Coin (USELESS) — +5.0% in 6 days in 6 days up next day
UnifAI Network (UAI) — −2.8% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — in 6 days in 6 days not measured yet
AZTEC (AZTEC) — −6.1% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
KGeN (KGEN) — −0.6% in 6 days in 6 days sideways next day
Starpower (STAR) — +12.6% in 5 days in 5 days up next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — +15.7% in 5 days in 5 days up next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) — +6.0% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
Filecoin (FIL) — +2.5% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — +6.8% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
Ondo (ONDO) — +8.9% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
Pepe (PEPE) — +16.1% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
Starknet (STRK) — −2.1% in 4 days in 4 days down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) — +3.6% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
Test (TST) — +5.7% in 4 days in 4 days up next day
GRASS (GRASS) — +3.4% in 3 days in 3 days up next day
Hypurr (PURR) — +0.2% in 3 days in 3 days sideways next day
Monero (XMR) — — in 3 days in 3 days not measured yet
Gravity (G) — −13.1% in 3 days in 3 days down next day
AI Network (AIN) — −13.0% tomorrow tomorrow down next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — +22.2% −32.6% −37.7% up next day
Fluid (FLUID) — −4.7% +111.5% +105.2% down next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — −0.8% +9.3% +5.9% sideways next day
Quack AI (Q) — −8.5% −3.2% −6.5% down next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −8.4% −11.1% −14.8% down next day
GRASS (GRASS) — −3.5% +91.2% +87.5% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −8.7% +109.2% +105.5% down next day
Monad (MON) — −5.5% −6.2% −9.9% down next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) — +0.6% +2.5% −1.2% sideways next day
Janction (JCT) — −8.6% −17.6% −21.3% down next day
Useless Coin (USELESS) — −10.8% −12.9% −20.0% down next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — +0.1% +20.1% +12.9% sideways next day
USD.AI (CHIP) — +7.4% −4.4% −12.1% up next day
Venice Token (VVV) — −6.3% +58.7% +51.0% down next day
Test (TST) — −2.3% +3.3% −4.3% down next day
edgeX (EDGE) — +0.7% −25.6% −32.1% sideways next day
Siren (SIREN) — +0.9% −20.7% −30.3% sideways next day
UnifAI Network (UAI) — +11.0% −31.4% −41.0% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
Hana Network (HANA) — −1.1% −38.2% −45.8% down next day
Magma Finance (MAGMA) — −29.6% −63.6% −70.6% down next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — −4.7% +42.7% +35.8% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
UnifAI Network (UAI) — −14.7% −3.6% −10.5% down next day
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) — −5.1% −1.5% −10.1% down next day
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) — +1.0% −4.6% −13.1% sideways next day
Plasma (XPL) — −11.0% −11.5% −20.1% down next day
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) — +17.6% +47.4% +35.5% up next day
Algorand (ALGO) — −0.6% +21.3% +9.5% sideways next day
BNB (BNB) — +1.3% +13.4% +1.5% up next day
Ether.fi (ETHFI) — +6.6% +22.6% +10.7% up next day
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) — +2.4% +28.0% +16.2% up next day
Injective Protocol (INJ) — +15.4% +60.1% +48.3% up next day
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) — +4.0% +49.1% +37.2% up next day
Litecoin (LTC) — −1.5% +20.1% +8.2% down next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — −0.2% +15.6% +3.7% sideways next day
Hypurr (PURR) — +39.8% +57.1% +45.3% up next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) — +3.6% +14.1% +2.2% up next day
TRON (TRX) — +0.2% −0.6% −12.5% sideways next day
Uniswap (UNI) — +0.8% +138.0% +126.1% sideways next day
dogwifhat (WIF) — +3.0% +30.5% +18.7% up next day
Stellar (XLM) — −0.9% +10.5% −1.3% sideways next day
XRP (XRP) — +1.4% +7.6% −4.3% up next day
4 (4) — −1.1% +155.6% +143.7% down next day
Aave (AAVE) — +15.3% +18.9% +8.3% up next day
Aster (ASTER) — −4.8% +5.2% −5.4% down next day
Curve DAO Token (CRV) — −4.1% +7.1% −3.5% down next day
Dogecoin (DOGE) — +2.0% +9.1% −1.5% up next day
Ethena (ENA) — +13.7% +49.7% +39.1% up next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −7.9% −0.7% −11.3% down next day
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) — −2.8% +19.6% +9.0% down next day
GRASS (GRASS) — +10.9% +24.3% +13.7% up next day
Chainlink (LINK) — −3.7% +9.9% −0.6% down next day
Lighter (LIT) — — — — not measured yet
Monad (MON) — +5.9% −10.6% −21.2% up next day
Morpho (MORPHO) — +22.4% +12.0% +1.4% up next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) — +2.4% +117.0% +106.5% up next day
Ondo (ONDO) — −3.6% +15.4% +4.8% down next day
Pepe (PEPE) — −0.5% +15.8% +5.2% sideways next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) — +28.6% +7.7% −2.8% up next day
SPX6900 (SPX) — +0.7% +10.1% −0.5% sideways next day
Sui (SUI) — +0.8% +23.6% +13.0% sideways next day
BitTensor (TAO) — +3.4% +38.9% +28.4% up next day
Venice Token (VVV) — +5.0% +100.4% +89.8% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
Zcash (ZEC) — +16.3% +100.4% +89.8% up next day
LayerZero (ZRO) — +18.5% +18.4% +7.8% up next day
Mantle (MNT) — −6.6% +17.5% +6.4% down next day
OlaXBT (AIO) — −35.4% −49.2% −70.4% down next day
Test (TST) — +3.8% +9.1% −12.0% up next day
Janction (JCT) — +3.6% −59.6% −79.3% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
TUTORIAL (TUT) — −62.0% −89.8% −110.5% down next day
KGeN (KGEN) — +3.7% −24.4% −45.0% up next day
Aria.AI (ARIA) — +6.8% −5.9% −26.6% up next day
Siren (SIREN) — −11.3% −26.7% −48.6% down next day
4 (4) — +14.7% +141.5% +116.6% up next day
Capricorn (APR) — +6.8% +3.6% −21.3% up next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — +4.7% −5.3% −30.2% up next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — −2.3% +89.8% +66.3% down next day
LAB (LAB) — −1.6% −42.2% −65.7% down next day
Orochi Network (ON) — +28.0% −22.6% −46.1% up next day
Yooldo (ESPORTS) — +1.5% −12.2% −35.6% up next day
Janction (JCT) — +1.4% −52.4% −74.1% up next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — +7.2% +9.5% −13.7% up next day
UnifAI Network (UAI) — −13.8% −34.6% −56.8% down next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — −11.6% +38.4% +12.5% down next day
Tagger (TAG) — −14.0% −36.4% −62.3% down next day
LayerZero (ZRO) — +1.1% +27.4% +4.2% up next day
Orochi Network (ON) — −34.2% +28.0% +8.6% down next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — −1.4% −25.7% −42.3% down next day
Hana Network (HANA) — −22.5% −54.8% −66.7% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) — +8.7% +23.4% +16.3% up next day
KGeN (KGEN) — −3.2% −3.5% −10.6% down next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
Akedo (AKE) — −15.5% +350.1% +350.2% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Humanity (H) — −13.3% +71.2% +74.2% down next day
CARV (CARV) — −2.6% −40.5% −22.2% down next day
Hypurr (PURR) — −9.5% −7.3% +9.8% down next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — +19.6% +7.7% +26.6% up next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — +4.5% −26.4% −7.6% up next day
MYX Finance (MYX) — −7.1% −11.6% +13.5% down next day
Mantle (MNT) — +2.5% −22.9% +2.4% up next day
Venice Token (VVV) — +12.4% +28.2% +53.5% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
UnifAI Network (UAI) — −17.2% −17.9% +7.3% down next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — −13.8% +9.8% +35.0% down next day
Stable Metal (STBL) — +6.7% −39.0% −13.8% up next day
AI Network (AIN) — −2.7% −37.4% −12.8% down next day
Useless Coin (USELESS) — +13.1% +79.9% +99.9% up next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — +5.6% −7.5% +12.5% up next day
KGeN (KGEN) — −5.2% −0.1% +20.0% down next day
4 (4) — +16.2% −32.2% −13.9% up next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — −2.8% +16.1% +34.5% down next day
Collect on Fanable (COLLECT) — −1.2% +96.9% +112.0% down next day
SKYAI (SKYAI) — +43.4% −69.5% −54.3% up next day
MYX Finance (MYX) — −4.9% +37.9% +53.1% down next day
Magma Finance (MAGMA) — −5.5% +15.3% +24.1% down next day
EVAA Protocol (EVAA) — −6.9% −27.7% −19.0% down next day
Tagger (TAG) — +77.3% +40.9% +49.6% up next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — −17.0% −63.3% −59.8% down next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — +2.2% −32.0% −28.5% up next day
Capricorn (APR) — −8.9% +5.7% +9.5% down next day
Janction (JCT) — −21.6% +9.5% +13.2% down next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — +15.2% −41.2% −36.4% up next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — −1.1% +25.5% +30.4% down next day
Alaya Governance Token (AGT) — −24.4% −44.2% −38.9% down next day
Humanity (H) — +8.3% +80.2% +80.3% up next day
Velvet (VELVET) — −3.3% −8.2% −6.7% down next day
Bulla (BULLA) — −11.1% −40.5% −42.8% down next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — −28.7% −40.4% −40.3% down next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — −22.7% −12.9% −12.9% down next day
Bitlight (LIGHT) — −41.7% −49.4% −49.3% down next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) — −3.5% +45.7% +45.7% down next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — +3.3% −34.8% −37.8% up next day
Janction (JCT) — +0.1% −17.2% −20.2% sideways next day
Alaya Governance Token (AGT) — +18.6% −19.6% −22.6% up next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — −52.3% −44.7% −49.1% down next day
Kite (KITE) — +2.6% +53.1% +48.6% up next day
MYX Finance (MYX) — +4.3% −31.2% −37.9% up next day
Velvet (VELVET) — −19.9% +6.2% −2.8% down next day
Orochi Network (ON) — −3.7% −21.9% −30.8% down next day
Hana Network (HANA) — +9.6% −8.1% −17.0% up next day
AI Network (AIN) — −18.5% +58.5% +46.4% down next day
Bulla (BULLA) — −22.6% −38.9% −51.1% down next day
Capricorn (APR) — +85.8% −16.6% −28.7% up next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — +2.3% +24.4% +12.3% up next day
Tagger (TAG) — −19.6% +49.9% +37.8% down next day
Near Protocol (NEAR) — +1.2% +14.8% +4.5% up next day
River (RIVER) — −9.6% −31.4% −41.7% down next day
EVAA Protocol (EVAA) — +57.8% −4.3% −14.6% up next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — +14.4% +0.8% −9.4% up next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
Unibase (UB) — +3.4% +643.1% +632.9% up next day
Aria.AI (ARIA) — +2.2% −92.4% −102.6% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +1.3% +30.8% +16.3% up next day
Griffain (GRIFFAIN) — +8.7% −1.8% −13.3% up next day
LAB (LAB) — +25.5% +1419.4% +1403.2% up next day
Akedo (AKE) — −1.6% +34.8% +16.8% down next day
Pippin (PIPPIN) — −24.2% −46.1% −64.0% down next day
Janction (JCT) — −15.2% −16.1% −36.3% down next day
Bluwhale (BLUAI) — +7.4% +124.3% +104.1% up next day
Bitlight (LIGHT) — −24.2% −26.3% −36.1% down next day
Janction (JCT) — −16.9% −25.1% −35.5% down next day
Pippin (PIPPIN) — −12.0% −73.4% −88.6% down next day
UnifAI Network (UAI) — −43.1% −64.5% −70.1% down next day
Everlyn AI (LYN) — +131.4% +56.7% +52.4% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −3.2% −5.3% −5.7% down next day
Useless Coin (USELESS) — −15.8% +3.0% +2.7% down next day
SKYAI (SKYAI) — −7.4% +213.6% +213.2% down next day
Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) — −15.9% −17.7% −18.1% down next day
Akedo (AKE) — −2.1% +207.8% +203.7% down next day
Capricorn (APR) — +1.4% +87.0% +82.9% up next day
Monero (XMR) — — — — not measured yet
Bulla (BULLA) — −2.2% −19.3% +8.7% down next day
Flow (FLOW) — −1.1% −50.0% −22.2% down next day
Aria.AI (ARIA) — −1.3% −31.7% −4.3% down next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — −0.1% +15.3% +39.2% sideways next day
Trusta.AI (TA) — −14.5% −18.5% +4.3% down next day
Bitrue Coin (BTR) — — — — not measured yet
SKYAI (SKYAI) — +1.7% +2.9% +23.0% up next day
Bulla (BULLA) — −50.1% −60.9% −44.5% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +4.2% −22.9% −10.4% up next day
Hypurr (PURR) — +26.2% +32.9% +46.3% up next day
Bedrock DAO (BR) — +1.0% −9.2% +4.2% up next day
Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) — +3.0% −32.6% −19.2% up next day
Quack AI (Q) — −11.3% +3.3% +16.7% down next day
2024
Bitcoin (BTC) — +3.0% +1.5% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −10.0% −18.5% −0.3% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +1.4% +16.6% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +2.4% +9.1% −7.5% up next day
2023
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.5% +2.9% 0.0% sideways next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −2.6% −0.4% +9.6% down next day
2021
Bitcoin (BTC) — −8.5% −29.0% 0.0% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −0.4% +49.9% +75.6% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +19.7% +44.0% 0.0% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −3.4% +44.8% 0.0% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −4.9% +13.8% −31.0% down next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −18.6% +43.2% −12.6% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +2.9% +14.0% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +12.4% +70.1% +56.1% up next day
2020
Ethereum (ETH) — +2.4% +91.8% +34.6% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +4.0% +26.2% 0.0% up next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +8.0% +4.6% −21.6% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — −0.8% −8.5% 0.0% sideways next day
Ethereum (ETH) — −1.0% −13.9% −4.7% down next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.6% +2.7% 0.0% sideways next day
Ethereum (ETH) — +1.9% +24.1% +8.7% up next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.6% −8.4% 0.0% sideways next day
Bitcoin (BTC) — +0.4% +10.3% 0.0% sideways next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 257 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 49% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 125 of the 257 measured past cases of funding extreme highs with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 44% to 54% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 257.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 48% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 271 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every funding extreme high with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.