How often it went up183 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Usage slumps of small-cap tokens: 183 of the 241 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 81 of those 183 closed higher — a base rate of 44%, with a 90% range of 38% to 50%, counted as of Oct 28, 2026.
- By day 30, 68 of the 177 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (38%).
- The typical day-30 move was −6.8%, the best +379.6% and the worst −56.8%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −8.1% vs BTC and beat it in 27.1% of 177 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 51% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 34% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- today · STG Stargate Finance 30 days lands
- today · SYRUP Syrup Token 30 days lands
- 5 days ago · EIGEN Eigenlayer next day −6.1% · 30 days lands
- 11 days ago · MET Meteora next day −9.6% · 7 days −15.3% · 30 days lands
- 14 days ago · PLSX PulseX 30 days lands
- 17 days ago · BONK Bonk next day −5.9% · 7 days −13.3% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET No scheduled usage slump meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 28, 2026.
Every past case241 cases
Every past usage slump behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 241 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Stargate Finance (STG) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −6.1% | in 25 days | in 25 days | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −9.6% | in 19 days | in 19 days | down next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | in 16 days | in 16 days | not measured yet | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −5.9% | in 13 days | in 13 days | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | −14.4% | in 13 days | in 13 days | down next day | |
| Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) | — | +2.5% | in 12 days | in 12 days | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −2.5% | in 10 days | in 10 days | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −1.1% | −17.5% | −11.7% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +15.5% | −0.2% | −7.7% | up next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | −12.3% | +23.8% | +17.8% | down next day | |
| Derive (DRV) | — | −8.4% | +136.2% | +129.0% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −6.7% | +15.3% | +10.0% | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | +19.9% | +79.0% | +58.0% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −2.3% | +16.8% | −4.2% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −0.1% | +7.7% | −15.8% | sideways next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −2.3% | +5.9% | −15.9% | down next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | +5.9% | +27.0% | +3.8% | up next day | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | — | −1.3% | −28.6% | −28.4% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −2.6% | −30.4% | −27.8% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −9.0% | −36.9% | −33.9% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | +3.2% | −1.5% | −1.0% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +2.7% | −6.0% | −8.5% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +3.9% | +13.3% | +5.8% | up next day | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | — | +5.6% | +1.1% | −2.9% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +14.3% | +38.1% | +34.0% | up next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −5.2% | −28.0% | −8.6% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +2.3% | −0.8% | +17.5% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −2.1% | −38.0% | −12.8% | down next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | +3.7% | +6.1% | +26.1% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +12.1% | −3.9% | −0.4% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −2.6% | −32.8% | −29.1% | down next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Velo (VELO) | — | −9.4% | +5.0% | −8.5% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −3.9% | +17.7% | +6.2% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +1.3% | +15.1% | −2.3% | up next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +2.2% | +71.1% | +56.1% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −0.5% | +28.1% | +11.6% | sideways next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −3.9% | −4.0% | −11.6% | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −5.6% | −7.2% | −4.6% | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −6.5% | −2.8% | −7.2% | down next day | |
| Bybit Staked SOL (BBSOL) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | +23.7% | +10.6% | +7.1% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −0.7% | +4.4% | +0.9% | sideways next day | |
| MetaMask USD (MUSD) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Cap (CAP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −6.6% | −18.7% | −10.6% | down next day | |
| Convex Finance (CVX) | — | −17.0% | +10.2% | +20.3% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −5.2% | −28.4% | −18.4% | down next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −8.9% | −21.1% | −11.1% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −15.3% | −36.9% | −18.6% | down next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +4.2% | −32.6% | −9.0% | up next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | −1.8% | −42.2% | −14.0% | down next day | |
| Centrifuge (CFG) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −1.0% | −48.8% | −20.8% | sideways next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +1.3% | −24.0% | −10.6% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +9.1% | −23.2% | −9.9% | up next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| Monad (MON) | — | +6.1% | −6.7% | −3.8% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −4.2% | +0.2% | −0.9% | down next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | −0.7% | −5.0% | −6.8% | sideways next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −3.0% | −4.8% | −7.2% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −4.5% | +2.1% | +1.0% | down next day | |
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | −1.5% | −7.2% | −8.3% | down next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | −0.8% | −11.3% | −9.7% | sideways next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −8.6% | −20.3% | −18.1% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +1.1% | −2.5% | −3.0% | up next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | −0.7% | −8.3% | −5.3% | sideways next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −11.2% | −23.2% | −27.3% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | −13.3% | −40.3% | −32.2% | down next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −3.5% | −27.8% | −16.2% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −2.5% | −16.1% | −4.5% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −3.9% | −35.6% | −24.4% | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +2.2% | −36.3% | −18.8% | up next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | −1.7% | −21.9% | −0.1% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +3.2% | −47.2% | −26.0% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +6.2% | −28.8% | −7.5% | up next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −7.9% | −41.5% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| Stargate Finance (STG) | — | −3.1% | −27.1% | −5.5% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | +18.1% | +3.1% | +9.1% | up next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +17.8% | +4.6% | +10.6% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +0.9% | +8.2% | +16.4% | sideways next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −0.3% | −5.0% | −9.1% | sideways next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +2.3% | +4.6% | −7.0% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −0.6% | +37.3% | +31.8% | sideways next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −0.7% | −17.5% | −15.6% | sideways next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.6% | sideways next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −8.7% | −16.7% | −12.5% | down next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | −8.1% | −17.8% | −13.6% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +4.5% | +7.2% | +11.3% | up next day | |
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | −0.9% | −8.8% | −6.2% | sideways next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +1.0% | −2.7% | −8.0% | sideways next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | +0.3% | +25.5% | +18.9% | sideways next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −3.2% | +18.5% | +6.1% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −9.8% | −2.7% | −15.4% | down next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | +13.8% | +33.4% | +28.2% | up next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | −9.1% | −23.7% | −22.0% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | +11.0% | +12.8% | +22.4% | up next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | −2.8% | −40.0% | −33.2% | down next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +11.0% | +10.3% | +7.9% | up next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +9.9% | +19.5% | −8.1% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −9.7% | −2.5% | −15.5% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −0.4% | −10.6% | −18.9% | sideways next day | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | +1.9% | +30.4% | +28.2% | up next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | +0.7% | −16.6% | −17.8% | sideways next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +8.2% | +3.1% | +1.2% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −2.6% | −1.2% | −1.7% | down next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +4.1% | −42.2% | −38.7% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +3.0% | −11.0% | −7.5% | up next day | |
| Bybit Staked SOL (BBSOL) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +1.3% | −25.9% | −13.5% | up next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | +13.0% | −17.9% | −4.7% | up next day | |
| Derive (DRV) | — | +9.5% | −37.9% | −24.1% | up next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +4.2% | −18.0% | −5.7% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +4.4% | −20.8% | −4.1% | up next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | +2.3% | −29.8% | −11.2% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Venus (XVS) | — | +4.9% | +4.5% | +21.2% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −3.5% | −44.2% | −31.5% | down next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +5.7% | −6.8% | −2.9% | up next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | +16.0% | −29.7% | −31.9% | up next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | +4.6% | −14.3% | −17.8% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −10.3% | −52.4% | −51.9% | down next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | −8.3% | −35.4% | −35.0% | down next day | |
| PulseX (PLSX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −2.1% | −28.6% | −41.4% | down next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | −2.1% | −20.3% | −31.0% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −4.6% | −56.8% | −63.2% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +21.9% | +61.7% | +18.8% | up next day | |
| Venus (XVS) | — | −4.6% | −6.2% | −42.8% | down next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | −1.8% | +16.8% | −18.2% | down next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | −0.4% | −21.1% | −35.5% | sideways next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −2.9% | +18.5% | +10.4% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +3.1% | +22.2% | +16.5% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −3.1% | +8.0% | −2.5% | down next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | −7.9% | −5.5% | −9.2% | down next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | −4.8% | +11.6% | +11.7% | down next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | −0.7% | +2.9% | +9.2% | sideways next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +8.2% | −33.1% | −29.6% | up next day | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +10.2% | +27.9% | +25.0% | up next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | −4.3% | +0.8% | −4.4% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | +0.0% | −12.2% | −9.6% | sideways next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −9.5% | +13.5% | +2.8% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Venus (XVS) | — | −3.9% | −8.7% | −16.5% | down next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | +10.9% | +37.5% | +33.1% | up next day | |
| SUN (SUN) | — | +8.0% | −1.5% | +2.5% | up next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | −2.5% | −43.6% | −30.8% | down next day | |
| Trust Wallet Token (TWT) | — | +1.4% | −24.8% | −16.3% | up next day | |
| Venus (XVS) | — | +0.2% | −34.6% | −26.9% | sideways next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −3.4% | −40.6% | −34.5% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −5.2% | +23.9% | −21.6% | down next day | |
| Venus (XVS) | — | +0.1% | −3.5% | −25.5% | sideways next day | |
| 2023 | ||||||
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −7.1% | +266.9% | +227.5% | down next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | −2.1% | +22.8% | −3.8% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −6.0% | +4.9% | −21.7% | down next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +2.2% | +1.4% | −4.9% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −3.7% | +6.0% | +2.0% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −6.0% | +6.4% | −1.5% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +2.0% | −7.3% | −9.3% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +3.5% | −17.9% | −6.5% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −20.2% | −7.4% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Legacy Frax Dollar (FRAX) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | +0.2% | −16.1% | −9.3% | sideways next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +2.0% | −20.9% | −15.3% | up next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +0.1% | −13.0% | −11.5% | sideways next day | |
| MetaMask USD (MUSD) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −6.7% | −20.1% | −36.9% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2022 | ||||||
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −4.1% | −14.4% | −16.2% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +8.1% | +3.7% | +2.7% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +2.9% | −7.6% | −14.1% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −1.1% | −27.4% | −6.4% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −1.4% | +0.6% | −3.4% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +3.7% | +1.3% | −4.8% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +3.6% | −13.0% | −10.8% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −10.5% | −17.5% | −4.7% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −4.8% | +19.1% | +1.9% | down next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −16.0% | −43.6% | −6.5% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | +10.6% | −14.5% | +11.9% | up next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +9.8% | −24.1% | −15.6% | up next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | +16.7% | −32.6% | −24.2% | up next day | |
| Syrup Token (SYRUP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −11.0% | +18.9% | +3.4% | down next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +4.7% | +5.8% | −1.0% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +11.9% | +25.0% | +18.3% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −2.5% | −19.0% | −21.8% | down next day | |
| 2021 | ||||||
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −1.6% | −10.1% | −0.5% | down next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +9.2% | −21.3% | −12.5% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +8.2% | +59.6% | +70.9% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +17.6% | −37.0% | −19.1% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +4.1% | +10.3% | −14.4% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −6.2% | +11.0% | −23.2% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +9.2% | +1.5% | −19.8% | up next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −4.1% | +379.6% | +386.2% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −14.1% | −33.8% | −30.1% | down next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | −16.3% | −39.2% | −29.2% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −12.1% | −44.0% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| 2020 | ||||||
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +14.2% | −49.3% | −71.4% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 183 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 44% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 81 of the 183 measured past cases of usage slumps of small-cap tokens closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 28, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 38% to 50% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 183.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 51% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 34% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 241 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every usage slump with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.