How often it went up13 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average: 13 of the 18 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 5 of those 13 closed higher — a base rate of 38%, with a 90% range of 20% to 61%, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.
- By day 30, 3 of the 13 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (23%).
- The typical day-30 move was −0.2%, the best +134.8% and the worst −54.8%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran +2.6% vs BTC and beat it in 53.8% of 13 comparable cases.
- No recent-cases check yet: it needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 13 as of Nov 2, 2026.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- yesterday · USD1 USD1 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Wikipedia attention spike can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens →
Every past case18 cases
Every past Wikipedia attention spike behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 18 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| USD1 (USD1) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | −0.0% | +0.0% | −3.2% | sideways next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | +0.0% | −0.1% | +2.6% | sideways next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | +0.0% | −0.2% | +9.8% | sideways next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | +0.2% | −21.6% | +6.0% | sideways next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| USD1 (USD1) | — | +0.0% | 0.0% | +5.2% | sideways next day | |
| Worldcoin (WLD) | — | −14.3% | −54.8% | −55.9% | down next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | −0.1% | −0.0% | −9.9% | sideways next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2022 | ||||||
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −13.4% | −30.1% | −28.8% | down next day | |
| Dai (DAI) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | +27.5% | −32.8% | +5.3% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −11.4% | +134.8% | +163.4% | down next day | |
| 2019 | ||||||
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −10.7% | −16.9% | −9.3% | down next day | |
| 2018 | ||||||
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −6.1% | −19.9% | −19.1% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −0.2% | +18.1% | +18.8% | sideways next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 13 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 38% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 5 of the 13 measured past cases of wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 20% to 61% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 13.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- Nothing yet — the split needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 13.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 18 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Wikipedia attention spike with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.