How often it went up36 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Korean premium spikes of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average: 36 of the 39 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 16 of those 36 closed higher — a base rate of 44%, with a 90% range of 32% to 58%, counted as of Oct 27, 2026.
- By day 30, 7 of the 28 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (25%).
- The typical day-30 move was −9.9%, the best +28.7% and the worst −45.6%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −9.4% vs BTC and beat it in 28.6% of 28 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 45% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 43% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- yesterday · BABY Babylon 30 days lands
- yesterday · WAXP WAX 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · ANIME Animecoin next day −24.3% · 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · BIRB Moonbirds next day −14.5% · 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · IN INFINIT next day −12.5% · 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · ORDER Orderly Network next day −43.9% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Korean premium spike can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Korean premium spikes of micro-cap tokens →
Every past case39 cases
Every past Korean premium spike behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 39 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Babylon (BABY) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| WAX (WAXP) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| Animecoin (ANIME) | — | −24.3% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| Moonbirds (BIRB) | — | −14.5% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| INFINIT (IN) | — | −12.5% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| Orderly Network (ORDER) | — | −43.9% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| IOST (IOST) | — | −9.4% | in 26 days | in 26 days | down next day | |
| MovieBloc (MBL) | — | +7.0% | in 26 days | in 26 days | up next day | |
| Cobak Token (CBK) | — | +3.6% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| cat in a dogs world (MEW) | — | +5.1% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| MiL.k Alliance (MLK) | — | +1.5% | +28.1% | +8.2% | up next day | |
| BORA (BORA) | — | +3.2% | +9.6% | −10.3% | up next day | |
| Ardor (ARDR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | +1.7% | −9.0% | −11.7% | up next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | −1.8% | −12.7% | −15.1% | down next day | |
| Taiko (TAIKO) | — | −5.5% | −17.3% | −17.8% | down next day | |
| INFINIT (IN) | — | −10.8% | −45.6% | −50.3% | down next day | |
| MiL.k Alliance (MLK) | — | −4.9% | −14.0% | −20.5% | down next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −2.9% | −6.6% | −12.0% | down next day | |
| Taiko (TAIKO) | — | −8.8% | +6.1% | +4.5% | down next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | +0.2% | −1.7% | −4.5% | sideways next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −4.9% | −7.9% | −8.4% | down next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | +6.7% | −10.8% | −11.0% | up next day | |
| Sahara AI (SAHARA) | — | −9.3% | −44.2% | −48.2% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −0.2% | −12.2% | −5.9% | sideways next day | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | −1.2% | −44.1% | −26.1% | down next day | |
| QuarkChain (QKC) | — | +0.7% | −25.1% | −6.0% | sideways next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −5.4% | +23.4% | +17.2% | down next day | |
| Ardor (ARDR) | — | −3.7% | −7.7% | −11.8% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −8.8% | −2.3% | −5.8% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | +3.6% | −3.6% | −7.3% | up next day | |
| Somnia (SOMI) | — | +8.2% | −14.8% | −18.5% | up next day | |
| Orbs (ORBS) | — | +8.6% | +28.7% | +18.8% | up next day | |
| Gravity (G) | — | +1.0% | −18.1% | −18.6% | sideways next day | |
| Vana (VANA) | — | +7.2% | −10.7% | −11.3% | up next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | +59.1% | +8.5% | +18.5% | up next day | |
| BORA (BORA) | — | +10.1% | +0.4% | +13.6% | up next day | |
| MiL.k Alliance (MLK) | — | −3.8% | −16.0% | +2.3% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −9.0% | −26.0% | +0.2% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 36 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 44% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 16 of the 36 measured past cases of korean premium spikes of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 27, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 32% to 58% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 36.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 45% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 43% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 39 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Korean premium spike with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.