How often it went up467 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens: 467 of the 478 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 199 of those 467 closed higher — a base rate of 43%, with a 90% range of 39% to 46%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
- By day 30, 166 of the 445 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (37%).
- The typical day-30 move was −6.4%, the best +180.0% and the worst −94.7%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −6.9% vs BTC and beat it in 31.5% of 445 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 43% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 42% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- today · W Wormhole 30 days lands
- today · XPL Plasma 30 days lands
- today · BOME BOOK OF MEME 30 days lands
- yesterday · PENGU Pudgy Penguins 30 days lands
- yesterday · RSR Reserve Rights 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · CFX Conflux Network next day −14.6% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET No scheduled funding extreme low meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 14, 2026.
Every past case478 cases
Every past funding extreme low behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 478 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Wormhole (W) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | tomorrow | in 30 days | in 30 days | not measured yet | |
| Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | −14.6% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| Nervos Network (CKB) | — | −19.0% | in 28 days | in 28 days | down next day | |
| Basic Attention Token (BAT) | — | +8.5% | in 27 days | in 27 days | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +4.3% | in 26 days | in 26 days | up next day | |
| Kaia (KAIA) | — | −14.0% | in 26 days | in 26 days | down next day | |
| Tellor (TRB) | — | +4.4% | in 25 days | in 25 days | up next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −8.3% | in 24 days | in 24 days | down next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | −14.5% | in 24 days | in 24 days | down next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | −5.9% | in 24 days | in 24 days | down next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | −7.9% | in 23 days | in 23 days | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | +10.1% | in 19 days | in 19 days | up next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | +3.2% | in 19 days | in 19 days | up next day | |
| Numeraire (NMR) | — | −6.7% | in 16 days | in 16 days | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −4.1% | in 15 days | in 15 days | down next day | |
| Bedrock DAO (BR) | — | −9.3% | in 13 days | in 13 days | down next day | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | — | −6.7% | in 13 days | in 13 days | down next day | |
| Tezos (XTZ) | — | −7.4% | in 6 days | in 6 days | down next day | |
| MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) | — | −8.8% | in 5 days | in 5 days | down next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | in 4 days | in 4 days | not measured yet | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | +15.1% | in 2 days | in 2 days | up next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +4.7% | in 2 days | in 2 days | up next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | −1.4% | in 2 days | in 2 days | down next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −10.3% | tomorrow | tomorrow | down next day | |
| Lisk (LSK) | — | +16.6% | −36.9% | −44.5% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −5.6% | −2.3% | −8.2% | down next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | +6.6% | +8.3% | +2.3% | up next day | |
| Blur (BLUR) | — | +0.9% | −22.1% | −28.1% | sideways next day | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | — | +5.5% | +100.3% | +90.9% | up next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | +14.8% | +27.5% | +18.1% | up next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +6.9% | +14.1% | +4.6% | up next day | |
| Nervos Network (CKB) | — | +6.9% | +83.5% | +74.1% | up next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | −5.8% | +52.0% | +48.7% | down next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | −1.3% | +40.4% | +36.7% | down next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | −4.0% | −1.6% | −5.3% | down next day | |
| MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) | — | −2.9% | −3.4% | −9.9% | down next day | |
| Threshold Network (T) | — | −19.4% | +3.6% | −6.0% | down next day | |
| Unibase (UB) | — | +8.7% | +12.6% | +3.0% | up next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | +6.0% | +36.9% | +28.8% | up next day | |
| Useless Coin (USELESS) | — | +36.8% | +162.1% | +154.1% | up next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | +5.6% | +145.8% | +138.5% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −6.6% | −1.7% | −7.0% | down next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −0.6% | +31.7% | +24.8% | sideways next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | −0.5% | +0.2% | −6.6% | sideways next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −3.9% | +12.5% | +2.0% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | +4.8% | +21.6% | +10.5% | up next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | +54.2% | +35.8% | +18.6% | up next day | |
| RedStone (RED) | — | +12.7% | +57.6% | +32.6% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | +3.6% | +6.7% | −11.7% | up next day | |
| Stable (STABLE) | — | −2.3% | −13.4% | −33.3% | down next day | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | — | −7.3% | −6.7% | −30.7% | down next day | |
| Unibase (UB) | — | −10.8% | +0.9% | −20.1% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +3.3% | +8.2% | −13.5% | up next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | +1.7% | +16.2% | −5.6% | up next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | +1.7% | +20.6% | −1.2% | up next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | +40.1% | +179.7% | +158.3% | up next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | +4.0% | +32.2% | +11.5% | up next day | |
| KAITO (KAITO) | — | −8.1% | −54.6% | −75.4% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −2.0% | +26.5% | +4.7% | down next day | |
| Kamino (KMNO) | — | −6.1% | +29.4% | +7.5% | down next day | |
| Chiliz (CHZ) | — | +0.5% | +7.8% | −15.7% | sideways next day | |
| Unibase (UB) | — | −2.5% | −2.8% | −26.2% | down next day | |
| Allora (ALLO) | — | +20.8% | −1.6% | −25.8% | up next day | |
| Espresso (ESP) | — | −7.2% | +10.8% | −9.1% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −2.5% | +6.6% | −13.3% | down next day | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | +4.5% | +7.4% | −12.5% | up next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −0.6% | +23.7% | +1.4% | sideways next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | +3.4% | +14.9% | −7.4% | up next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | +2.3% | +23.3% | +1.5% | up next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | −2.0% | +23.4% | +1.6% | down next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | −2.1% | +28.5% | +2.6% | down next day | |
| Sonic (S) | — | −7.4% | +36.6% | +15.8% | down next day | |
| Livepeer (LPT) | — | −8.2% | −6.6% | −27.4% | down next day | |
| Allora (ALLO) | — | −3.0% | −23.0% | −43.8% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −2.1% | +4.0% | −18.0% | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | +2.7% | −5.1% | −28.3% | up next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | +2.0% | +12.3% | −10.9% | up next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | +1.8% | +16.6% | −6.5% | up next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | +4.9% | +60.9% | +41.5% | up next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +3.9% | +11.3% | −5.3% | up next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −5.7% | +4.4% | −13.3% | down next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | −0.7% | −12.0% | −19.1% | sideways next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | +2.7% | +4.7% | +4.8% | up next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | +2.4% | −4.2% | −4.0% | up next day | |
| Reserve Rights (RSR) | — | +5.0% | −5.0% | −4.9% | up next day | |
| DeXe (DEXE) | — | +0.3% | −94.7% | −94.5% | sideways next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | +0.1% | +12.8% | +13.0% | sideways next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | +11.9% | +25.9% | +24.9% | up next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −1.0% | −12.2% | −13.1% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −3.5% | −12.2% | −13.2% | down next day | |
| Chiliz (CHZ) | — | −7.1% | −24.0% | −24.9% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −4.2% | −13.3% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | +0.5% | −37.9% | −39.8% | sideways next day | |
| Threshold Network (T) | — | −0.4% | −28.2% | −27.8% | sideways next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | −5.7% | −11.2% | −10.9% | down next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −1.3% | −13.6% | −13.3% | down next day | |
| MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) | — | +0.3% | −7.9% | −10.6% | sideways next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Chiliz (CHZ) | — | −0.1% | −20.9% | −25.2% | sideways next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −15.1% | −22.9% | −23.3% | down next day | |
| Blur (BLUR) | — | −15.0% | −36.4% | −36.8% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −5.1% | −20.2% | −21.8% | down next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | −1.0% | −6.4% | −7.9% | sideways next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +1.5% | −12.6% | −15.9% | up next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | +13.2% | −12.2% | −16.8% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +14.8% | +9.0% | +1.7% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −1.8% | +11.3% | +3.9% | down next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | −4.1% | −4.5% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −4.6% | −10.7% | −16.8% | down next day | |
| Sonic (S) | — | +10.6% | +16.8% | +7.5% | up next day | |
| MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) | — | 0.0% | +13.9% | +4.6% | sideways next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −9.8% | −17.7% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| Four (FORM) | — | −10.0% | −19.5% | −21.7% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −3.2% | +3.2% | +1.5% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −6.2% | −4.7% | −6.4% | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | −8.2% | −19.7% | −23.2% | down next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | −7.2% | −10.0% | −13.5% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −3.6% | +13.9% | +11.2% | down next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | −3.4% | −8.8% | −6.2% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | −1.1% | −25.7% | −24.2% | down next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | −8.5% | −23.6% | −22.1% | down next day | |
| Sonic (S) | — | −0.3% | −21.1% | −19.6% | sideways next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −8.8% | −28.7% | −29.6% | down next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | −5.3% | −13.3% | −14.2% | down next day | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | +3.4% | −5.4% | −3.4% | up next day | |
| Starknet (STRK) | — | +7.9% | −3.8% | −7.9% | up next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −1.6% | +3.7% | −0.4% | down next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | +4.7% | −18.9% | −23.0% | up next day | |
| JasmyCoin (JASMY) | — | +2.0% | −3.5% | −7.6% | up next day | |
| Stable (STABLE) | — | −2.8% | +3.2% | −0.8% | down next day | |
| Humanity (H) | — | −84.8% | −89.0% | −93.1% | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | +7.6% | +50.6% | +45.7% | up next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | +5.3% | +8.8% | +3.9% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | +5.3% | +18.9% | +14.0% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +3.4% | +17.1% | +12.2% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +3.4% | +63.2% | +58.3% | up next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | +6.3% | +0.6% | −4.2% | up next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | +0.1% | −8.4% | −13.3% | sideways next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | +0.4% | −7.6% | −12.5% | sideways next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | −13.1% | −0.6% | −0.3% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −16.3% | −3.2% | −2.8% | down next day | |
| Sei (SEI) | — | −10.1% | −4.2% | −3.9% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | −8.1% | −14.4% | −14.0% | down next day | |
| Chiliz (CHZ) | — | −6.6% | −31.1% | −30.8% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −12.0% | −15.9% | −15.5% | down next day | |
| Terra Classic (LUNC) | — | −15.1% | −9.5% | −7.9% | down next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | −12.1% | −37.8% | −17.1% | down next day | |
| io.net (IO) | — | +1.1% | −1.5% | +16.4% | up next day | |
| Allora (ALLO) | — | +6.7% | +10.5% | +28.5% | up next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −0.3% | −24.8% | −5.7% | sideways next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −1.9% | −21.1% | −2.0% | down next day | |
| Basic Attention Token (BAT) | — | +7.9% | −25.2% | −6.2% | up next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | +1.7% | −18.3% | +0.7% | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | −6.4% | −31.0% | −10.1% | down next day | |
| Phala Network (PHA) | — | −24.1% | −40.7% | −19.8% | down next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | −12.2% | −10.4% | +12.3% | down next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | −3.2% | −25.6% | −2.9% | down next day | |
| Chiliz (CHZ) | — | −0.7% | −47.6% | −26.8% | sideways next day | |
| SuperVerse (SUPER) | — | −9.5% | −32.9% | −12.1% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −0.5% | −22.2% | −4.0% | sideways next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +1.6% | −30.8% | −12.5% | up next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | +0.3% | −26.2% | −8.0% | sideways next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | +7.2% | +1.9% | +19.1% | up next day | |
| Four (FORM) | — | +5.8% | +4.9% | +22.2% | up next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −1.9% | −26.4% | −9.1% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +4.2% | +16.8% | +35.1% | up next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −1.1% | −28.7% | −12.0% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +1.6% | −5.6% | +11.1% | up next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | −2.4% | −12.1% | +4.6% | down next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | −3.1% | −13.4% | +2.5% | down next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −1.7% | −20.1% | −3.9% | down next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −9.0% | −30.8% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +1.2% | −32.4% | −13.7% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −7.7% | −35.6% | −13.4% | down next day | |
| Qtum (QTUM) | — | −1.3% | −34.5% | −9.3% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −4.2% | −22.9% | −1.6% | down next day | |
| dogwifhat (WIF) | — | +1.4% | −31.4% | −6.1% | up next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | +32.5% | +19.0% | +44.2% | up next day | |
| io.net (IO) | — | +11.8% | −9.0% | +16.2% | up next day | |
| Terra Classic (LUNC) | — | −2.1% | −33.7% | −8.4% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | +2.0% | −28.5% | −3.2% | up next day | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | +5.7% | −30.9% | −5.7% | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | −8.7% | −60.5% | −45.3% | down next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −3.1% | −25.0% | −16.3% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | −4.0% | −2.8% | +5.9% | down next day | |
| Unibase (UB) | — | +120.8% | +180.0% | +183.5% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −5.2% | −7.5% | −3.7% | down next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | −8.7% | +34.5% | +39.4% | down next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −8.8% | −20.5% | −15.6% | down next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | +21.8% | −4.3% | +1.0% | up next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | −3.9% | −11.9% | −6.6% | down next day | |
| Nervos Network (CKB) | — | −7.0% | −18.1% | −12.8% | down next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −1.6% | −21.7% | −19.5% | down next day | |
| Safe (SAFE) | — | −8.6% | −11.7% | −9.5% | down next day | |
| Four (FORM) | — | −3.3% | −12.7% | −10.5% | down next day | |
| DeXe (DEXE) | — | +4.0% | +18.9% | +21.0% | up next day | |
| Stable (STABLE) | — | +2.7% | +16.1% | +16.3% | up next day | |
| RedStone (RED) | — | −5.8% | −2.9% | −2.8% | down next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | — | +1.8% | −51.9% | −50.4% | up next day | |
| dogwifhat (WIF) | — | −0.6% | +4.5% | +6.0% | sideways next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −11.8% | −25.1% | −23.3% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −1.3% | −16.0% | −21.1% | down next day | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | −4.0% | +9.4% | +4.4% | down next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | +10.7% | +20.0% | +14.9% | up next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | +2.3% | −7.6% | −12.7% | up next day | |
| ApeCoin (APE) | — | −2.1% | +34.2% | +32.6% | down next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | −6.7% | −55.3% | −56.8% | down next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | +0.3% | −10.6% | −12.1% | sideways next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | −40.7% | −51.8% | −54.9% | down next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | −7.4% | −14.1% | −17.2% | down next day | |
| BIO Protocol (BIO) | — | −4.9% | +31.4% | +26.9% | down next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | +17.5% | +11.5% | +7.0% | up next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | +37.5% | +57.3% | +50.6% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −0.9% | +82.8% | +73.9% | sideways next day | |
| Stable (STABLE) | — | −1.3% | +53.9% | +44.9% | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | +2.0% | +3.6% | −8.5% | up next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −2.2% | +19.7% | +9.5% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | +1.6% | +32.8% | +22.6% | up next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | −0.4% | +17.2% | +7.0% | sideways next day | |
| Nervos Network (CKB) | — | +2.1% | +12.3% | +2.1% | up next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −2.1% | −14.9% | −26.9% | down next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | −2.6% | +18.3% | +6.3% | down next day | |
| Livepeer (LPT) | — | −6.7% | +6.0% | −6.0% | down next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | +1.8% | +18.6% | +6.6% | up next day | |
| Enjin Coin (ENJ) | — | +1.3% | +79.5% | +66.0% | up next day | |
| DeXe (DEXE) | — | +3.9% | +48.2% | +36.7% | up next day | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | −2.3% | +26.2% | +14.7% | down next day | |
| SuperVerse (SUPER) | — | +1.2% | +8.4% | −7.8% | up next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | −0.6% | +51.0% | +34.8% | sideways next day | |
| RedStone (RED) | — | −1.3% | −20.1% | −36.3% | down next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | −1.0% | +18.5% | +2.3% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +7.7% | +29.2% | +11.2% | up next day | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | — | −1.4% | +8.4% | −9.6% | down next day | |
| Safe (SAFE) | — | +1.0% | +18.6% | +0.6% | up next day | |
| Threshold Network (T) | — | +3.4% | +0.2% | −17.8% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +1.8% | +44.3% | +24.1% | up next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | −1.3% | +34.8% | +14.6% | down next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | +2.4% | +20.2% | +2.7% | up next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | −0.4% | +4.2% | −13.2% | sideways next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | −4.9% | +1.3% | −14.2% | down next day | |
| Blur (BLUR) | — | −14.4% | +17.5% | +2.0% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −2.8% | +7.0% | −7.5% | down next day | |
| Qtum (QTUM) | — | −1.3% | −1.9% | −16.5% | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | +5.0% | +0.3% | −14.5% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +7.4% | +7.7% | −7.1% | up next day | |
| SafePal Token (SFP) | — | +2.8% | +19.4% | +4.6% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −2.4% | +17.4% | +2.4% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | −3.0% | +7.0% | −8.0% | down next day | |
| Kite (KITE) | — | −13.6% | −17.6% | −34.1% | down next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | +6.5% | +55.7% | +41.4% | up next day | |
| ApeCoin (APE) | — | −1.7% | +65.6% | +51.3% | down next day | |
| SuperVerse (SUPER) | — | −6.8% | +7.6% | −6.7% | down next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | −3.5% | +19.6% | +5.3% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −4.4% | +10.1% | +0.4% | down next day | |
| Basic Attention Token (BAT) | — | −6.5% | −4.4% | −14.2% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −8.9% | +28.3% | +18.6% | down next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | +1.8% | +5.6% | −4.8% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | −0.5% | +4.1% | −6.2% | sideways next day | |
| UnifAI Network (UAI) | — | +0.8% | +21.3% | +11.0% | sideways next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | +8.6% | +11.2% | −4.0% | up next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Immutable X (IMX) | — | −1.6% | +14.6% | −0.6% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −2.4% | −27.1% | −37.8% | down next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | +3.5% | +9.1% | −1.7% | up next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | −5.8% | +7.9% | +0.4% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −3.5% | +10.9% | +3.4% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | −8.4% | −3.3% | −10.9% | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −6.1% | −3.2% | −8.7% | down next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −2.6% | +36.7% | +31.2% | down next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | −2.9% | +2.0% | −3.6% | down next day | |
| Falcon Finance (FF) | — | +0.1% | +2.6% | −2.9% | sideways next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −2.1% | −6.1% | −12.3% | down next day | |
| Stable (STABLE) | — | −3.1% | −6.3% | −6.7% | down next day | |
| Aethir (ATH) | — | +0.4% | −3.1% | −5.8% | sideways next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | −0.6% | −0.6% | −3.4% | sideways next day | |
| Starknet (STRK) | — | +5.1% | −18.3% | −22.4% | up next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | +0.4% | −7.9% | −12.9% | sideways next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | +0.4% | +9.4% | +5.3% | sideways next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | −0.5% | −4.9% | −9.0% | sideways next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | +2.0% | +13.6% | +9.3% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | +0.8% | +55.2% | +50.3% | sideways next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | +6.8% | +4.1% | −3.6% | up next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | +5.9% | +0.3% | −7.4% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +3.9% | −10.6% | −18.3% | up next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | +3.3% | +3.2% | −4.5% | up next day | |
| Kaia (KAIA) | — | +11.3% | −5.3% | −13.0% | up next day | |
| Threshold Network (T) | — | +0.3% | −5.1% | −12.8% | sideways next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | +3.4% | −10.2% | −18.0% | up next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | +3.0% | −4.6% | −12.3% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +1.2% | −10.3% | −17.2% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −4.3% | +37.1% | +30.1% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | +2.1% | −5.8% | −12.7% | up next day | |
| Flow (FLOW) | — | +23.8% | −23.0% | −30.0% | up next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | −0.1% | +13.9% | +7.0% | sideways next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −8.0% | +5.5% | +4.5% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −9.1% | −21.1% | −22.2% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −4.2% | −8.9% | −10.0% | down next day | |
| Huma Finance (HUMA) | — | +13.7% | −18.9% | −20.0% | up next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | −10.4% | −21.6% | −19.0% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −5.3% | −29.4% | −26.8% | down next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +1.7% | −1.3% | +1.3% | up next day | |
| Sei (SEI) | — | −0.1% | −19.6% | −17.6% | sideways next day | |
| Enjin Coin (ENJ) | — | −0.4% | +4.9% | +6.9% | sideways next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | +2.5% | −7.5% | −5.5% | up next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | +3.1% | +4.0% | +6.1% | up next day | |
| Phala Network (PHA) | — | +90.4% | +48.6% | +51.4% | up next day | |
| Kava (KAVA) | — | +5.7% | −8.7% | −5.9% | up next day | |
| Four (FORM) | — | +10.9% | −27.4% | −24.6% | up next day | |
| Immutable X (IMX) | — | −3.3% | −19.3% | −16.5% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +1.7% | +3.5% | +1.5% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +2.8% | −5.6% | −7.5% | up next day | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | −0.3% | −1.3% | −2.7% | sideways next day | |
| Arweave (AR) | — | −5.6% | +4.3% | +2.9% | down next day | |
| Aethir (ATH) | — | +6.3% | +15.1% | +13.7% | up next day | |
| Kite (KITE) | — | +7.7% | −28.7% | −30.1% | up next day | |
| RedStone (RED) | — | −9.9% | −37.4% | −38.8% | down next day | |
| Falcon Finance (FF) | — | −1.5% | −11.5% | −9.1% | down next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | −5.4% | −18.6% | −16.2% | down next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | +3.5% | −7.8% | −11.5% | up next day | |
| Livepeer (LPT) | — | +5.1% | −7.0% | −10.7% | up next day | |
| Kaia (KAIA) | — | +6.6% | −12.1% | −15.7% | up next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | +15.6% | +21.3% | +14.8% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | +8.2% | +1.3% | −5.2% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +18.9% | +7.7% | +1.3% | up next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | +9.8% | −8.7% | −15.1% | up next day | |
| Tellor (TRB) | — | +7.0% | +8.8% | +2.4% | up next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | +1.1% | +33.0% | +27.5% | up next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −0.9% | −3.2% | −8.7% | sideways next day | |
| dogwifhat (WIF) | — | −8.5% | −10.8% | −16.3% | down next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −2.8% | −2.3% | −7.8% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +6.1% | +11.1% | +5.7% | up next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | −3.8% | −4.6% | −10.1% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −5.1% | −3.3% | −8.8% | down next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | −5.9% | −5.0% | −10.5% | down next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | −3.3% | +2.9% | −2.6% | down next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | −3.5% | −5.0% | −8.8% | down next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −5.5% | −17.0% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | −3.8% | −4.4% | −8.6% | down next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −2.7% | −17.1% | −21.4% | down next day | |
| ONEchain (ONE) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| BIO Protocol (BIO) | — | −16.9% | −42.5% | −46.7% | down next day | |
| Humanity (H) | — | +0.7% | −37.5% | −41.8% | sideways next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | +0.1% | −5.9% | −7.1% | sideways next day | |
| Sonic (S) | — | +0.6% | −1.7% | −2.9% | sideways next day | |
| Enjin Coin (ENJ) | — | +1.7% | +5.1% | +3.8% | up next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | −22.3% | −28.8% | −32.5% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −3.0% | −13.0% | −16.7% | down next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | +32.3% | +1.3% | −2.4% | up next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | +2.2% | −24.6% | −29.1% | up next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | −15.0% | −8.6% | −13.1% | down next day | |
| ApeCoin (APE) | — | −12.3% | −25.8% | −30.3% | down next day | |
| io.net (IO) | — | −2.7% | −0.9% | −5.3% | down next day | |
| Meteora (MET) | — | −6.4% | −30.6% | −32.1% | down next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | +1.0% | −6.7% | −8.2% | sideways next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −3.5% | +3.8% | −2.1% | down next day | |
| Aethir (ATH) | — | −7.4% | −2.3% | −8.2% | down next day | |
| DeXe (DEXE) | — | −3.6% | +129.8% | +124.0% | down next day | |
| Sei (SEI) | — | −0.4% | −7.5% | −16.3% | sideways next day | |
| Livepeer (LPT) | — | −4.7% | −3.1% | −11.9% | down next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | +11.4% | −3.5% | −12.3% | up next day | |
| Compound (COMP) | — | −1.4% | −6.7% | −15.5% | down next day | |
| 0G (0G) | — | −3.5% | −12.0% | −21.9% | down next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | +5.8% | −1.0% | −10.9% | up next day | |
| LayerZero (ZRO) | — | +7.8% | +8.0% | +5.0% | up next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | −10.0% | −26.6% | −29.6% | down next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | +0.8% | −11.3% | −14.4% | sideways next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −2.0% | +13.5% | +10.5% | down next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −0.4% | −5.6% | −8.7% | sideways next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | +1.5% | −11.6% | −14.7% | up next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | +4.8% | −8.0% | −11.0% | up next day | |
| Tellor (TRB) | — | +1.5% | +14.6% | +11.5% | up next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | +3.4% | −0.6% | −3.6% | up next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −7.6% | −19.8% | −19.6% | down next day | |
| Flow (FLOW) | — | +2.4% | +42.5% | +41.6% | up next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | −1.0% | +6.1% | +5.2% | down next day | |
| Monad (MON) | — | −2.5% | +14.3% | +17.4% | down next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | −3.9% | −12.5% | −9.5% | down next day | |
| JasmyCoin (JASMY) | — | −6.1% | +0.3% | +3.4% | down next day | |
| Starknet (STRK) | — | −17.5% | −31.0% | −20.9% | down next day | |
| Mubarak (MUBARAK) | — | −20.3% | −9.7% | +0.4% | down next day | |
| DeXe (DEXE) | — | −14.2% | +64.3% | +74.4% | down next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +0.4% | −21.2% | −11.2% | sideways next day | |
| NEO (NEO) | — | −4.8% | −20.4% | −10.4% | down next day | |
| dogwifhat (WIF) | — | +2.0% | −12.7% | −7.1% | up next day | |
| Pendle (PENDLE) | — | −2.8% | −16.5% | −10.9% | down next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | −0.6% | −11.1% | −5.5% | sideways next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | +6.8% | +24.8% | +30.4% | up next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +3.0% | −1.9% | +3.7% | up next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | −2.3% | +8.6% | +21.9% | down next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | −1.7% | −14.3% | −1.1% | down next day | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | +1.9% | −16.0% | −2.8% | up next day | |
| ApeCoin (APE) | — | −1.6% | −33.5% | −20.3% | down next day | |
| Conflux Network (CFX) | — | +0.5% | −13.5% | −0.3% | sideways next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | −14.7% | −28.6% | −10.3% | down next day | |
| Sei (SEI) | — | −11.8% | −27.7% | −9.4% | down next day | |
| io.net (IO) | — | −13.4% | −23.2% | −4.9% | down next day | |
| DYDX Chain (DYDX) | — | −11.5% | −35.1% | −16.8% | down next day | |
| Blur (BLUR) | — | −14.6% | −22.5% | −4.2% | down next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | −7.1% | −25.3% | −3.0% | down next day | |
| Floki Inu (FLOKI) | — | −11.1% | −30.5% | −8.2% | down next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | −10.1% | −19.0% | +3.3% | down next day | |
| Enjin Coin (ENJ) | — | −9.2% | −29.6% | −7.3% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −15.2% | −29.2% | −6.9% | down next day | |
| Akash Network (AKT) | — | −10.2% | −34.8% | −8.6% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −6.2% | −27.0% | −0.8% | down next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | +1.2% | −59.9% | −36.3% | up next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | +0.2% | −30.7% | −7.1% | sideways next day | |
| Ordinals (ORDI) | — | −0.2% | −37.6% | −14.0% | sideways next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | −1.8% | −29.0% | −5.4% | down next day | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | — | −3.1% | −28.0% | −6.5% | down next day | |
| Phala Network (PHA) | — | −6.1% | −41.0% | −19.5% | down next day | |
| Aethir (ATH) | — | +7.2% | −38.0% | −16.4% | up next day | |
| Axelar (AXL) | — | +4.4% | −29.7% | −8.2% | up next day | |
| Lido DAO (LDO) | — | −0.8% | −42.4% | −14.2% | sideways next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | −2.7% | −43.7% | −15.5% | down next day | |
| Livepeer (LPT) | — | −11.8% | −39.0% | −10.8% | down next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +5.1% | −27.2% | −2.7% | up next day | |
| Wormhole (W) | — | +2.7% | −35.5% | −11.0% | up next day | |
| Kamino (KMNO) | — | −5.4% | −45.5% | −21.1% | down next day | |
| Kaia (KAIA) | — | +3.6% | +11.5% | +34.5% | up next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | — | −8.8% | −33.9% | −6.2% | down next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | 0.0% | −43.7% | −16.1% | sideways next day | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | +0.7% | −31.8% | −4.2% | sideways next day | |
| io.net (IO) | — | −5.2% | −29.2% | −1.6% | down next day | |
| Immutable X (IMX) | — | −6.0% | −40.3% | −12.6% | down next day | |
| Oasis Network (ROSE) | — | +7.8% | −37.9% | −10.3% | up next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | −2.5% | −21.6% | +6.0% | down next day | |
| Bonk (BONK) | — | −8.3% | −35.9% | −6.9% | down next day | |
| Decentraland (MANA) | — | −0.7% | −35.7% | −6.6% | sideways next day | |
| Hypurr (PURR) | — | +0.1% | +16.4% | +45.5% | sideways next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | −9.6% | −42.9% | −13.9% | down next day | |
| Enjin Coin (ENJ) | — | −10.6% | −37.4% | −8.3% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −2.9% | −33.6% | −5.7% | down next day | |
| Prometeus (PROM) | — | −20.0% | −65.2% | −37.3% | down next day | |
| Vaulta (A) | — | −12.4% | −37.5% | −9.6% | down next day | |
| Jito (JTO) | — | −3.4% | −35.0% | −7.0% | down next day | |
| Brett (Base) (BRETT) | — | −1.7% | −53.8% | −25.8% | down next day | |
| Blur (BLUR) | — | −9.5% | −42.2% | −14.2% | down next day | |
| Axie Infinity (AXS) | — | +2.9% | +33.6% | +61.5% | up next day | |
| Safe (SAFE) | — | −0.6% | −37.6% | −9.7% | sideways next day | |
| Optimism (OP) | — | +13.8% | −40.8% | −13.4% | up next day | |
| JasmyCoin (JASMY) | — | +2.3% | −31.1% | −3.7% | up next day | |
| Basic Attention Token (BAT) | — | +5.2% | −32.0% | −5.7% | up next day | |
| Akash Network (AKT) | — | −1.7% | −34.4% | −10.5% | down next day | |
| Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) | — | −0.9% | −51.1% | −27.2% | sideways next day | |
| MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) | — | −7.9% | −30.2% | −6.2% | down next day | |
| GMX (GMX) | — | −1.9% | −24.1% | −0.2% | down next day | |
| ApeCoin (APE) | — | −1.8% | −40.0% | −15.8% | down next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +0.4% | −19.0% | +5.1% | sideways next day | |
| Threshold Network (T) | — | +2.1% | −24.3% | −0.2% | up next day | |
| Synthetix Network (SNX) | — | −2.0% | −40.5% | −16.3% | down next day | |
| Mina Protocol (MINA) | — | −4.9% | −24.6% | +0.1% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −2.6% | −30.9% | −6.2% | down next day | |
| Qtum (QTUM) | — | −2.7% | −37.2% | −12.5% | down next day | |
| Orca (ORCA) | — | −3.2% | −41.2% | −8.2% | down next day | |
| Ethereum Name Service (ENS) | — | −2.2% | −50.3% | −17.3% | down next day | |
| THETA (THETA) | — | −5.3% | −44.1% | −11.1% | down next day | |
| yearn.finance (YFI) | — | +3.5% | −24.8% | −4.8% | up next day | |
| THORChain (RUNE) | — | +4.8% | −21.8% | −5.4% | up next day | |
| Basic Attention Token (BAT) | — | +3.2% | −46.5% | −30.1% | up next day | |
| Terra Classic (LUNC) | — | +6.8% | −11.5% | +1.0% | up next day | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | — | +7.6% | −15.4% | −2.0% | up next day | |
| IOTA (IOTA) | — | +10.7% | −16.5% | −3.1% | up next day | |
| VeThor Token (VTHO) | — | +1.3% | −18.7% | −5.4% | up next day | |
| Flow (FLOW) | — | +6.0% | −40.2% | −26.8% | up next day | |
| Mubarak (MUBARAK) | — | +5.8% | −8.6% | +1.5% | up next day | |
| Gala (GALA) | — | +16.3% | −17.3% | −7.1% | up next day | |
| The Graph (GRT) | — | +12.2% | −8.9% | +1.3% | up next day | |
| Kaia (KAIA) | — | +6.1% | 0.0% | +10.2% | up next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| dogwifhat (WIF) | — | +8.7% | +4.3% | +9.1% | up next day | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | — | +6.4% | −17.8% | −13.1% | up next day | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | — | +11.2% | +4.5% | +9.3% | up next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 467 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 43% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 199 of the 467 measured past cases of funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 39% to 46% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 467.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 43% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 42% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 478 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every funding extreme low with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.