Launches with its features
43%–90% were dead within 24 hours
Counts of what happened to past launches, not financial advice.
Dead within 24 hours, by the features it shares
The launch in shortON RECORD
as of · launch collector, at birth and sinceread it →
First price
$1.01
at birth · 2026-10-17 05:07 UTC
Liquidity at birth
$30.15K
pool value at the first record
FDV at birth
$3.92K
fully diluted at the first price
24 h return
−2.2%
from the first recorded price
Peak return
+8.0%
highest recorded multiple
Hours alive
164.2
alive as of Nov 5, 2026
Price moves after launchMEASURED
as of · launch collector price samplesread it →
| Window | Return | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 1 hour | −0.2% | from the first recorded price |
| 6 hours | −0.8% | — |
| 24 hours | −2.2% | — |
| 72 hours | +1.3% | — |
| last sample | +0.6% | latest price seen by the collector |
| peak | +8.0% | highest multiple recorded |
How launches like this endedMEASURED
as of · every recorded launchread it →
| Feature | Bucket | Launches | Dead within 24 h | Alive at 72 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age | under 1 hour | 384 | 43.2% | 19.8% |
| Bundled first-hour volume | under 10% | 5,085 | 89.3% | 12.1% |
| LP locked | 1–99% | 1,800 | 90.3% | 15.1% |
| Social links | 0 | 5,972 | 89.1% | 9.2% |
| Unique buyers, first hour | 5 or fewer | 1,747 | 73.8% | 21.8% |
Features at birthON RECORD
as of · on-chain checks at birthread it →
| Feature | Value | What it means | Launches in the same group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age at launch | 0.4 h | The creator wallet was 0.4 hours old when it created the token. | under 1 hour: 43% dead within 24 h, 20% alive at 72 h (384 launches) |
| Funder wallet fresh | — | Funder wallet fresh was not recorded by the collector for this launch as of Nov 5, 2026. | no outcome group |
| Mint authority | held | Mint authority was held at launch: the creator could create new supply at will. | no outcome group |
| Freeze authority | revoked | Freeze authority was revoked at launch: no wallet could be frozen. | no outcome group |
| Liquidity-pool tokens locked | 48.2% | 48.2% of liquidity-pool tokens were locked at launch; unlocked liquidity can be withdrawn by its holder at any time. | 1–99%: 90% dead within 24 h, 15% alive at 72 h (1,800 launches) |
| Top-10 holders (pools excluded) | 45.8% | The ten largest holders outside pools held 45.8% of supply in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Fresh-wallet share of buyers | 0.0% | 0.0% of first-hour buyers were wallets with no prior history. | no outcome group |
| Unique buyers, first hour | 0 | 0 distinct wallets bought in the first hour. | 5 or fewer: 74% dead within 24 h, 22% alive at 72 h (1,747 launches) |
| Buys per buyer | 0.00 | Each buyer made 0.00 purchases on average in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Bundled share of first-hour volume | 0.0% | 0.0% of first-hour volume came from bundled transactions. | under 10%: 89% dead within 24 h, 12% alive at 72 h (5,085 launches) |
| Most buys in one block | 0 | The busiest block carried 0 buys. | no outcome group |
| Social links attached | 0 | 0 social links were attached to the token at launch. | 0: 89% dead within 24 h, 9% alive at 72 h (5,972 launches) |
| Collector's label | FOLD | The collector filed the launch as 'FOLD' at birth (its own rule-based bucket, not a verdict of this site). | no outcome group |
| Collector's reason | mint authority held | Reason recorded by the collector: mint authority held. | no outcome group |
| Collector rule count | 1 | 1 of the collector's rule checks fired at launch (a count, not a rating). | no outcome group |
Source: launch collector · on-chain checks at birth · outcomes of every recorded launch · fetched
Creator and funderON RECORD
as of · creator and funder walletsread it →
Other launches by this creatorON RECORD
as of · launches on recordread it →
| Born (UTC) | Token | Venue | Liquidity at birth | LP locked | Mint | Buyers 1 h | Status | 1 h | 24 h | Peak | Hours alive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRUMP3 6s2u…Fiue | manifest | $91K | 0.0% | held | 1 | dead (liquidity was pulled) | −0.7% | +2.0% | +3.6% | 36.8 | |
| SAMA4 7V1e…1dSJ | meteora | $182.49K | 38.0% | held | 32 | dead (liquidity was pulled) | −2.9% | +1.4% | +2.4% | 34.6 | |
| FRONTIER 58Qy…fUhZ | meteora | $71.97K | 31.0% | held | 22 | dead (liquidity was pulled) | −7.9% | −8.8% | 0.0% | 61.0 |
Tools
as of
MUSK4 was created on Solana at Oct 17, 2026 05:07 UTC on meteora by H1TR…3FZd; status: graduated.
Launch collector and on-chain checks; updated Oct 24, 2026.
MUSK4 graduated; the 24-hour return was −2.2% with a peak of +8.0%.
Returns from the first recorded price ($1.01): −0.2% at 1 hour, −0.8% at 6 hours, −2.2% at 24 hours, +1.3% at 72 hours; the peak was +8.0% and the last recorded return +0.6%.
This launch shares 5 birth features with past launches; each row shows how every recorded launch with that feature ended.
Outcomes of every recorded launch; groups with fewer than 8 launches are left out. As of Nov 5, 2026.
MUSK4's creator wallet age at birth (Oct 17, 2026 05:07 UTC) was 0.4 hours, in the under 1 hour group: 43.2% of 384 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 19.8% alive at 72 hours.
Creator H1TRD2XtpMy5RJurDNtboDAUuvfzUCUZn8d82oBW3FZd: launcher, 4 tokens, 3 dead (75.0%); first seen Oct 15, 2026, last seen Oct 20, 2026.
3 other launches by the same creator are on record; 3 are dead as of Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
as of · sources table
2 sources feed this page; 2 fetched successfully, the most recent at Nov 5, 2026 05:28 UTC; none reported an error on the latest fetch.
Birth features and returns come from the collector's CSV batch and its on-chain checks; the row was last updated 2026-10-24 01:18 UTC. Addresses are public blockchain data.
| Source | What it gave this page | Last successful fetch | Last error | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| collector_csv | every field on this page | 2026-11-05 04:05 UTC | none | — |
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Nov 5, 2026.