PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

RKLB RKLB…qAhz

LaunchSolanaraydium-clmmdeadborn 2026-09-29 14:58 UTC

How launches like this end

every recorded launch with the same features at birth

Launches with its features

47%–92% were dead within 24 hours

This one
dead after 25.8h
Its creator
3 of 11 dead
Peak return
+4.9%

How it died: liquidity was pulled.

Counts of what happened to past launches, not financial advice.

Dead within 24 hours, by the features it shares

Creator wallet age: under 1 hour47%108 launches
Bundled first-hour volume: 10–30%75%105 launches
LP locked: 0%84%556 launches
Social links: 087%1,081 launches
Unique buyers, first hour: over 4092%509 launches

Why: its features

what it had at birth, in short

The data

every birth feature, price move and wallet link, dated

Mint: RKLBnAXGqv31iZomqsuAWkQm1aqC7JwwvbCfzGdqAhz

Pool: GTjkprtEHEK9gZEwnnq3RUYp4MXxLsVBKvWuLgpG26pa

Chain Solana · venue raydium-clmm · status dead · liquidity was pulled · 8 collector rule checks fired (a count, not a rating) · record updated

The launch in shortON RECORD

The launch in short

as of · launch collector, at birth and sinceread it →

First price

$70.77

at birth · 2026-09-29 14:58 UTC

Liquidity at birth

$396.58K

pool value at the first record

FDV at birth

$392.82K

fully diluted at the first price

24 h return

+2.8%

from the first recorded price

Peak return

+4.9%

highest recorded multiple

Hours alive

25.8

died 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC

Price moves after launchMEASURED

Price moves after launch

as of · launch collector price samplesread it →

WindowReturnNote
1 hour−0.4%from the first recorded price
6 hours−1.4%—
24 hours+2.8%—
72 hours−100.0%—
last sample−100.0%latest price seen by the collector
peak+4.9%highest multiple recorded

How launches like this endedMEASURED

How launches like this ended

as of · every recorded launchread it →

Every group this launch falls into, with the outcome of all recorded launches in that group
FeatureBucketLaunchesDead within 24 hAlive at 72 h
Creator wallet ageunder 1 hour108 47.2% 21.1%
Bundled first-hour volume10–30%105 75.2% 14.0%
LP locked0%556 83.6% 3.5%
Social links01,081 87.3% 7.6%
Unique buyers, first hourover 40509 91.6% 11.1%

Features at birthON RECORD

Features at birth

as of · on-chain checks at birthread it →

Filled square = a feature the outcome table links to dead launches, hollow = its absence, dotted = a plain measurement
FeatureValueWhat it meansLaunches in the same group
Creator wallet age at launch 0.4 hThe creator wallet was 0.4 hours old when it created the token.under 1 hour: 47% dead within 24 h, 21% alive at 72 h (108 launches)
Funder wallet fresh —Funder wallet fresh was not recorded by the collector for this launch as of Oct 4, 2026.no outcome group
Mint authority heldMint authority was held at launch: the creator could create new supply at will.no outcome group
Freeze authority heldFreeze authority was held at launch: the creator could stop any wallet from moving the token.no outcome group
Liquidity-pool tokens locked 0.0%0.0% of liquidity-pool tokens were locked at launch; unlocked liquidity can be withdrawn by its holder at any time.0%: 84% dead within 24 h, 4% alive at 72 h (556 launches)
Top-10 holders (pools excluded) 77.1%The ten largest holders outside pools held 77.1% of supply in the first hour.no outcome group
Fresh-wallet share of buyers 0.0%0.0% of first-hour buyers were wallets with no prior history.no outcome group
Unique buyers, first hour 4343 distinct wallets bought in the first hour.over 40: 92% dead within 24 h, 11% alive at 72 h (509 launches)
Buys per buyer 1.23Each buyer made 1.23 purchases on average in the first hour.no outcome group
Bundled share of first-hour volume 11.0%11.0% of first-hour volume came from bundled transactions.10–30%: 75% dead within 24 h, 14% alive at 72 h (105 launches)
Most buys in one block 6The busiest block carried 6 buys.no outcome group
Social links attached 00 social links were attached to the token at launch.0: 87% dead within 24 h, 8% alive at 72 h (1,081 launches)
Collector's label FOLDThe collector filed the launch as 'FOLD' at birth (its own rule-based bucket, not a verdict of this site).no outcome group
Collector's reason mint authority held; freeze authority held; permanent delegate set (Token-2022); transfer hook set (Token-2022); top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50%Reason recorded by the collector: mint authority held; freeze authority held; permanent delegate set (Token-2022); transfer hook set (Token-2022); top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50%.no outcome group
Collector rule count 88 of the collector's rule checks fired at launch (a count, not a rating).no outcome group

Source: launch collector · on-chain checks at birth · outcomes of every recorded launch · fetched

Creator and funderON RECORD

Creator and funder

as of · creator and funder walletsread it →

Label
serial launcher, 11 tokens, 3 dead
Launches
11
Dead
3
Alive
8
First seen
2026-09-29
Last seen
2026-10-03
Funder
not recorded
Funder fresh at launch
no
Funder funded
not on record

Other launches by this creatorON RECORD

Other launches by this creator

as of · launches on recordread it →

Born (UTC)TokenVenueLiquidity at birthLP lockedMintBuyers 1 hStatus1 h24 hPeakHours alive
SPCX SPCX…imGb meteora-damm-v2 $585.71K 0.0% held 1 alive −0.0%—+0.1% 18.5
BLK BLKK…Z8Nf raydium-clmm $800.41K 0.0% held 2 dead (liquidity was pulled) −1.3%−100.0%+0.1% 12.9
PUSA PUSA…m6hy raydium $376.47K 33.0% held 15 alive −1.2%+0.9%+1.9% 40.1
DRAM DRAM…Y4Cw meteora $697.07K 0.0% held 4 alive −0.4%−0.9%+1.1% 58.1
TTWO TTWo…FbKo raydium-clmm $3.21K 0.0% held 0 dead (liquidity was pulled) +0.2%−100.0%+0.8% 20.3
WEN WENA…rRGZ raydium $98.87K 0.0% held 63 alive −0.8%−2.5%+0.2% 82.1
MU MUxE…Gay1 meteora $4.26M 0.0% held 1 alive −2.2%+1.6%+3.7% 85.5
NFLX NFLX…YJLJ raydium-clmm $873.94K 0.0% held 102 alive −0.4%−2.0%+0.3% 109.6
DJT DJTu…xvoF raydium-clmm $1.06M 0.0% held 27 alive −1.4%+0.3%+2.7% 115.6
CYPH CYPH…uawK manifest $175.06K 0.0% held 0 alive 0.0%−8.0%+1.1% 118.3

The full write-up

every sentence on this launch · related pages · sources

RKLB in short

RKLB was created on Solana at Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC on raydium-clmm by 2cVY…af4a; status: dead, died at Sep 30, 2026 16:45 UTC (liquidity was pulled).

  • At birth: price $70.77, liquidity $396,578, fully diluted value $392,816; it lived 25.8 hours.
  • The mint is RKLBnAXGqv31iZomqsuAWkQm1aqC7JwwvbCfzGdqAhz; addresses are public blockchain data.

Launch collector and on-chain checks; updated Sep 30, 2026.

see the numbers →

The launch in short

RKLB died after 25.8 hours (liquidity was pulled); the last recorded return was −100.0%.

  • Mint authority was held and freeze authority held at birth; LP was 0.0% locked and 43 unique buyers traded in the first hour.
  • Creator wallet age under 1 hour: 47.2% of 108 recorded launches with it were dead within 24 hours.
  • Bundled purchases made up 11.0% of first-hour volume.
  • Fresh wallets made up 0.0% of the first buyers.
  • The top 10 holders outside the pools held 77.1%.
  • No social link was attached.
  • The collector's flag reads FOLD (mint authority held;
  • freeze authority held;
  • permanent delegate set (Token-2022);
  • transfer hook set (Token-2022);
  • top holder above 25%;
  • top-10 holders above 50%);
  • the rule count score was 8.
  • The creator wallet has 11 launches on record, 3 dead (27.3%); it was 0.4 hours old at this launch.
  • Against the creator's own record, RKLB's 24-hour return of +2.8% sits above the median −2.0% of its 9 other measured launches, and its 25.8 hours alive compare with a median of 70.1 hours.

see the numbers →

Price moves after launch

Returns from the first recorded price ($70.77): −0.4% at 1 hour, −1.4% at 6 hours, +2.8% at 24 hours, −100.0% at 72 hours; the peak was +4.9% and the last recorded return −100.0%.

  • The launch died at Sep 30, 2026 16:45 UTC, 25.8 hours after birth; the recorded cause is that liquidity was pulled.

see the numbers →

How launches like this ended

This launch shares 5 birth features with past launches; each row shows how every recorded launch with that feature ended.

  • The deadliest match is unique first-hour buyers over 40: 91.6% of 509 launches with it were dead within 24 hours and 11.1% still alive at 72 hours.

Outcomes of every recorded launch; groups with fewer than 8 launches are left out. As of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Features at birth

RKLB's creator wallet age at birth (Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC) was 0.4 hours, in the under 1 hour group: 47.2% of 108 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 21.1% alive at 72 hours.

  • RKLB's bundled first-hour volume at birth (Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC) was 11.0%, in the 10–30% group: 75.2% of 105 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 14.0% alive at 72 hours.
  • RKLB's lp locked at birth (Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC) was 0.0%, in the 0% group: 83.6% of 556 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 3.5% alive at 72 hours.
  • RKLB's social links at birth (Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC) was 0, in the none group: 87.3% of 1,081 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 7.6% alive at 72 hours.
  • RKLB's unique first-hour buyers at birth (Sep 29, 2026 14:58 UTC) was 43, in the over 40 group: 91.6% of 509 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 11.1% alive at 72 hours.

see the numbers →

Creator and funder

Creator 2cVYpagTt7ZGc3mmTXBa7fAznUtx5DUu6aCq8uVDaf4a: serial launcher, 11 tokens, 3 dead (27.3%); first seen Sep 29, 2026, last seen Oct 3, 2026.

  • No funder wallet is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • The creator wallet was 0.4 hours old at this launch; a wallet under 24 hours old is itself a recorded launch feature.

see the numbers →

Other launches by this creator

10 other launches by the same creator are on record; 2 are dead as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Sources

Sources and freshness

as of · sources table

2 sources feed this page; 2 fetched successfully, the most recent at Oct 4, 2026 19:35 UTC; none reported an error on the latest fetch.

Birth features and returns come from the collector's CSV batch and its on-chain checks; the row was last updated 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC. Addresses are public blockchain data.

SourceWhat it gave this pageLast successful fetchLast errorLink
collector_csvevery field on this page 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
  • This page is generated from 29 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.

PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.