PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

DRAM DRAM…Y4Cw

LaunchSolanameteoraaliveborn 2026-10-01 23:46 UTC

How launches like this end

every recorded launch with the same features at birth

Launches with its features

25%–87% were dead within 24 hours

This one
alive 58.1h
Its creator
3 of 11 dead
Peak return
+1.1%

Counts of what happened to past launches, not financial advice.

Dead within 24 hours, by the features it shares

Creator wallet age: 1–24 hours25%12 launches
Bundled first-hour volume: 10–30%75%105 launches
LP locked: 0%84%556 launches
Social links: 087%1,081 launches
Unique buyers, first hour: 5 or fewer74%368 launches

Why: its features

what it had at birth, in short

The data

every birth feature, price move and wallet link, dated

Mint: DRAMjSWR7HRfJKjRkvQWYL2bcaejaVhuxEcjf4pAY4Cw

Pool: BH1MejaYpvgzGhGa6JJHsTduDE943y3taf65ocukyjwU

Chain Solana · venue meteora · status alive · 6 collector rule checks fired (a count, not a rating) · record updated

The launch in shortON RECORD

The launch in short

as of · launch collector, at birth and sinceread it →

First price

$62.12

at birth · 2026-10-01 23:46 UTC

Liquidity at birth

$697.07K

pool value at the first record

FDV at birth

$646.78K

fully diluted at the first price

24 h return

−0.9%

from the first recorded price

Peak return

+1.1%

highest recorded multiple

Hours alive

58.1

alive as of Oct 4, 2026

Price moves after launchMEASURED

Price moves after launch

as of · launch collector price samplesread it →

WindowReturnNote
1 hour−0.4%from the first recorded price
6 hours−0.0%—
24 hours−0.9%—
72 hours—not reached yet
last sample−1.6%latest price seen by the collector
peak+1.1%highest multiple recorded

How launches like this endedMEASURED

How launches like this ended

as of · every recorded launchread it →

Every group this launch falls into, with the outcome of all recorded launches in that group
FeatureBucketLaunchesDead within 24 hAlive at 72 h
Creator wallet age1–24 hours12 25.0% 63.6%
Bundled first-hour volume10–30%105 75.2% 14.0%
LP locked0%556 83.6% 3.5%
Social links01,081 87.3% 7.6%
Unique buyers, first hour5 or fewer368 74.2% 16.1%

Features at birthON RECORD

Features at birth

as of · on-chain checks at birthread it →

Filled square = a feature the outcome table links to dead launches, hollow = its absence, dotted = a plain measurement
FeatureValueWhat it meansLaunches in the same group
Creator wallet age at launch 4.6 hThe creator wallet was 4.6 hours old when it created the token.1–24 hours: 25% dead within 24 h, 64% alive at 72 h (12 launches)
Funder wallet fresh —Funder wallet fresh was not recorded by the collector for this launch as of Oct 4, 2026.no outcome group
Mint authority heldMint authority was held at launch: the creator could create new supply at will.no outcome group
Freeze authority heldFreeze authority was held at launch: the creator could stop any wallet from moving the token.no outcome group
Liquidity-pool tokens locked 0.0%0.0% of liquidity-pool tokens were locked at launch; unlocked liquidity can be withdrawn by its holder at any time.0%: 84% dead within 24 h, 4% alive at 72 h (556 launches)
Top-10 holders (pools excluded) 80.5%The ten largest holders outside pools held 80.5% of supply in the first hour.no outcome group
Fresh-wallet share of buyers 1.2%1.2% of first-hour buyers were wallets with no prior history.no outcome group
Unique buyers, first hour 44 distinct wallets bought in the first hour.5 or fewer: 74% dead within 24 h, 16% alive at 72 h (368 launches)
Buys per buyer 1.00Each buyer made 1.00 purchases on average in the first hour.no outcome group
Bundled share of first-hour volume 25.0%25.0% of first-hour volume came from bundled transactions.10–30%: 75% dead within 24 h, 14% alive at 72 h (105 launches)
Most buys in one block 1The busiest block carried 1 buys.no outcome group
Social links attached 00 social links were attached to the token at launch.0: 87% dead within 24 h, 8% alive at 72 h (1,081 launches)
Collector's label FOLDThe collector filed the launch as 'FOLD' at birth (its own rule-based bucket, not a verdict of this site).no outcome group
Collector's reason mint authority held; freeze authority held; permanent delegate set (Token-2022); transfer hook set (Token-2022); top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50%Reason recorded by the collector: mint authority held; freeze authority held; permanent delegate set (Token-2022); transfer hook set (Token-2022); top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50%.no outcome group
Collector rule count 66 of the collector's rule checks fired at launch (a count, not a rating).no outcome group

Source: launch collector · on-chain checks at birth · outcomes of every recorded launch · fetched

Creator and funderON RECORD

Creator and funder

as of · creator and funder walletsread it →

Label
serial launcher, 11 tokens, 3 dead
Launches
11
Dead
3
Alive
8
First seen
2026-09-29
Last seen
2026-10-03
Funder
not recorded
Funder fresh at launch
no
Funder funded
not on record

Other launches by this creatorON RECORD

Other launches by this creator

as of · launches on recordread it →

Born (UTC)TokenVenueLiquidity at birthLP lockedMintBuyers 1 hStatus1 h24 hPeakHours alive
SPCX SPCX…imGb meteora-damm-v2 $585.71K 0.0% held 1 alive −0.0%—+0.1% 18.5
BLK BLKK…Z8Nf raydium-clmm $800.41K 0.0% held 2 dead (liquidity was pulled) −1.3%−100.0%+0.1% 12.9
PUSA PUSA…m6hy raydium $376.47K 33.0% held 15 alive −1.2%+0.9%+1.9% 40.1
TTWO TTWo…FbKo raydium-clmm $3.21K 0.0% held 0 dead (liquidity was pulled) +0.2%−100.0%+0.8% 20.3
WEN WENA…rRGZ raydium $98.87K 0.0% held 63 alive −0.8%−2.5%+0.2% 82.1
MU MUxE…Gay1 meteora $4.26M 0.0% held 1 alive −2.2%+1.6%+3.7% 85.5
NFLX NFLX…YJLJ raydium-clmm $873.94K 0.0% held 102 alive −0.4%−2.0%+0.3% 109.6
RKLB RKLB…qAhz raydium-clmm $396.58K 0.0% held 43 dead (liquidity was pulled) −0.4%+2.8%+4.9% 25.8
DJT DJTu…xvoF raydium-clmm $1.06M 0.0% held 27 alive −1.4%+0.3%+2.7% 115.6
CYPH CYPH…uawK manifest $175.06K 0.0% held 0 alive 0.0%−8.0%+1.1% 118.3

Tools

Tools

as of

The full write-up

every sentence on this launch · related pages · sources

DRAM in short

DRAM was created on Solana at Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC on meteora by 2cVY…af4a; status: alive.

  • At birth: price $62.12, liquidity $697,073, fully diluted value $646,776; it lived 58.1 hours and is still trading as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • The mint is DRAMjSWR7HRfJKjRkvQWYL2bcaejaVhuxEcjf4pAY4Cw; addresses are public blockchain data.

Launch collector and on-chain checks; updated Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

The launch in short

DRAM is alive after 58.1 hours; 3 birth features sit in high-ruin buckets.

  • Mint authority was held and freeze authority held at birth; LP was 0.0% locked and 4 unique buyers traded in the first hour.
  • Creator wallet age 1–24 hours: 25.0% of 12 recorded launches with it were dead within 24 hours.
  • Bundled purchases made up 25.0% of first-hour volume.
  • Fresh wallets made up 1.2% of the first buyers.
  • The top 10 holders outside the pools held 80.5%.
  • No social link was attached.
  • The collector's flag reads FOLD (mint authority held;
  • freeze authority held;
  • permanent delegate set (Token-2022);
  • transfer hook set (Token-2022);
  • top holder above 25%;
  • top-10 holders above 50%);
  • the rule count score was 6.
  • The creator wallet has 11 launches on record, 3 dead (27.3%); it was 4.6 hours old at this launch.
  • Against the creator's own record, DRAM's 24-hour return of −0.9% sits above the median −2.0% of its 9 other measured launches, and its 58.1 hours alive compare with a median of 61.1 hours.

see the numbers →

Price moves after launch

Returns from the first recorded price ($62.12): −0.4% at 1 hour, 0.0% at 6 hours, −0.9% at 24 hours, not measured at 72 hours; the peak was +1.1% and the last recorded return −1.6%.

  • No death is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026; the launch has lived 58.1 hours.

see the numbers →

How launches like this ended

This launch shares 5 birth features with past launches; each row shows how every recorded launch with that feature ended.

  • The deadliest match is social links none: 87.3% of 1,081 launches with it were dead within 24 hours and 7.6% still alive at 72 hours.

Outcomes of every recorded launch; groups with fewer than 8 launches are left out. As of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Features at birth

DRAM's creator wallet age at birth (Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC) was 4.6 hours, in the 1–24 hours group: 25.0% of 12 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 63.6% alive at 72 hours.

  • DRAM's bundled first-hour volume at birth (Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC) was 25.0%, in the 10–30% group: 75.2% of 105 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 14.0% alive at 72 hours.
  • DRAM's lp locked at birth (Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC) was 0.0%, in the 0% group: 83.6% of 556 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 3.5% alive at 72 hours.
  • DRAM's social links at birth (Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC) was 0, in the none group: 87.3% of 1,081 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 7.6% alive at 72 hours.
  • DRAM's unique first-hour buyers at birth (Oct 1, 2026 23:46 UTC) was 4, in the 5 or fewer group: 74.2% of 368 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 16.1% alive at 72 hours.

see the numbers →

Creator and funder

Creator 2cVYpagTt7ZGc3mmTXBa7fAznUtx5DUu6aCq8uVDaf4a: serial launcher, 11 tokens, 3 dead (27.3%); first seen Sep 29, 2026, last seen Oct 3, 2026.

  • No funder wallet is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • The creator wallet was 4.6 hours old at this launch; a wallet under 24 hours old is itself a recorded launch feature.

see the numbers →

Other launches by this creator

10 other launches by the same creator are on record; 3 are dead as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Sources

Sources and freshness

as of · sources table

2 sources feed this page; 2 fetched successfully, the most recent at Oct 4, 2026 19:35 UTC; none reported an error on the latest fetch.

Birth features and returns come from the collector's CSV batch and its on-chain checks; the row was last updated 2026-10-04 09:51 UTC. Addresses are public blockchain data.

SourceWhat it gave this pageLast successful fetchLast errorLink
collector_csvevery field on this page 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
  • This page is generated from 29 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.

PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.