How often it went up23 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average: 23 of the 31 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 13 of those 23 closed higher — a base rate of 57%, with a 90% range of 40% to 72%, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.
- By day 30, 15 of the 23 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (65%).
- The typical day-30 move was +0.9%, the best +261.2% and the worst −59.8%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −0.9% vs BTC and beat it in 47.8% of 23 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 71% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 33% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Wikipedia attention spike can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens →
Every past case31 cases
Every past Wikipedia attention spike behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 31 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Bitget Token (BGB) | — | −1.1% | −6.9% | −2.7% | down next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | +3.8% | +5.7% | +0.4% | up next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | +0.0% | +0.1% | −12.0% | sideways next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | −0.0% | +0.0% | +28.0% | sideways next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| USD1 (USD1) | — | +0.1% | −0.1% | +21.7% | sideways next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | −5.1% | −59.8% | −53.6% | down next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | −0.1% | −0.1% | +2.5% | sideways next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | −28.5% | −40.7% | −39.7% | down next day | |
| Worldcoin (WLD) | — | −10.4% | +15.2% | +6.0% | down next day | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| PancakeSwap (CAKE) | — | +0.1% | +13.9% | −0.9% | sideways next day | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| USD1 (USD1) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Pump.fun (PUMP) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | — | −7.4% | +0.9% | −12.0% | down next day | |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | — | −0.7% | +40.1% | −6.6% | sideways next day | |
| PancakeSwap (CAKE) | — | +1.7% | −15.9% | −20.3% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | −5.6% | +3.4% | −5.8% | down next day | |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | — | +33.5% | +69.8% | +58.1% | up next day | |
| 2023 | ||||||
| Dai (DAI) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2022 | ||||||
| Dai (DAI) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2021 | ||||||
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | — | +86.9% | +0.9% | +7.5% | up next day | |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | — | +32.2% | +261.2% | +242.8% | up next day | |
| Filecoin (FIL) | — | +19.4% | +20.5% | +22.2% | up next day | |
| Filecoin (FIL) | — | +3.2% | +96.7% | +99.3% | up next day | |
| Dash (DASH) | — | +8.1% | −0.5% | −21.8% | up next day | |
| Filecoin (FIL) | — | +7.3% | +24.3% | −12.3% | up next day | |
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | +5.2% | +62.3% | +26.8% | up next day | |
| 2020 | ||||||
| Filecoin (FIL) | — | −26.9% | −38.1% | −85.8% | down next day | |
| 2017 | ||||||
| Dash (DASH) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethereum Classic (ETC) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 23 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 57% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 13 of the 23 measured past cases of wikipedia attention spikes of mid-cap tokens with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Nov 2, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 40% to 72% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 23.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 71% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 33% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 31 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Wikipedia attention spike with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.