How often it went up26 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Bybit listings with BTC above its 50-day average: 26 of the 105 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 7 of those 26 closed higher — a base rate of 27%, with a 90% range of 15% to 43%, counted as of Oct 6, 2026.
- By day 30, 10 of the 47 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (21%).
- The typical day-30 move was −33.0%, the best +129.9% and the worst −75.8%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −36.3% vs BTC and beat it in 17.0% of 47 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 31% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 20% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled spot listing can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Bybit listings →
Every past case105 cases
Every past spot listing behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 105 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| GRVT Token (GRVT) | Bybit | — | −32.3% | −54.1% | not measured yet | |
| Billions Network (BILL) | Bybit | +4.8% | +112.1% | +130.4% | up next day | |
| MegaETH (MEGA) | Bybit | −4.2% | −62.1% | −59.6% | down next day | |
| USD.AI (CHIP) | Bybit | +84.0% | −21.6% | −24.0% | up next day | |
| OpenGradient (OPG) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| Yield Basis (YB) | Bybit | — | −31.6% | −20.0% | not measured yet | |
| DoubleZero (2Z) | Bybit | — | −67.9% | −62.7% | not measured yet | |
| Aster (ASTER) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Lombard Staked BTC (LBTC) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Lombard (BARD) | Bybit | — | −38.7% | −32.5% | not measured yet | |
| Boundless (ZKC) | Bybit | — | −75.8% | −75.4% | not measured yet | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | Bybit | — | −57.8% | −53.5% | not measured yet | |
| Caldera (ERA) | Bybit | −20.4% | −44.0% | −42.9% | down next day | |
| Hyperliquid (HYPE) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Impossible Cloud Network (ICNT) | Bybit | — | −38.7% | −50.3% | not measured yet | |
| Sahara AI (SAHARA) | Bybit | −10.9% | +1.3% | −8.5% | down next day | |
| Spark (SPK) | Bybit | −13.3% | −42.6% | −54.2% | down next day | |
| Resolv (RESOLV) | Bybit | −16.0% | −49.8% | −57.9% | down next day | |
| Vulcan Forged (PYR) | Bybit | −2.7% | −25.3% | −23.6% | down next day | |
| Mubarak (MUBARAK) | Bybit | −11.6% | −36.5% | −34.8% | down next day | |
| MyShell (SHELL) | Bybit | −8.4% | −33.7% | −32.0% | down next day | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | Bybit | −9.3% | −29.3% | −27.6% | down next day | |
| KiloEx (KILO) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Space and Time (SXT) | Bybit | −11.3% | −31.6% | −40.4% | down next day | |
| Sign (SIGN) | Bybit | — | +3.2% | −11.9% | not measured yet | |
| Initia (INIT) | Bybit | +11.3% | +31.3% | +16.2% | up next day | |
| VeChain (VET) | Bybit | −0.7% | +33.4% | +9.8% | sideways next day | |
| WalletConnect Token (WCT) | Bybit | — | +96.1% | +72.5% | not measured yet | |
| Animecoin (ANIME) | Bybit | — | −73.3% | −63.9% | not measured yet | |
| AI Rig Complex (ARC) | Bybit | −12.7% | −62.5% | −53.2% | down next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Plume (PLUME) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) | Bybit | −5.9% | −63.4% | −58.8% | down next day | |
| Solv Protocol (SOLV) | Bybit | — | −73.7% | −70.8% | not measured yet | |
| GoPlus (GPS) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GameBuild (GAME) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Gigachad (GIGA) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| Alchemist AI (ALCH) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Fuel Network (FUEL) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Fluid (FLUID) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) | Bybit | +24.2% | +14.1% | +19.8% | up next day | |
| Streamflow (STREAM) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Vana (VANA) | Bybit | — | −58.7% | −52.2% | not measured yet | |
| Aerodrome Finance (AERO) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Suilend (SEND) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Magic Eden (ME) | Bybit | — | −50.1% | −44.1% | not measured yet | |
| Just a chill guy (CHILLGUY) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Zerebro (ZEREBRO) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Movement (MOVE) | Bybit | — | +50.8% | +49.4% | not measured yet | |
| PAAL AI (PAAL) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Supra (SUPRA) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Just a chill guy (CHILLGUY) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Free Speech (X) | Bybit | −8.2% | −15.6% | −17.1% | down next day | |
| Comedian (BAN) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Zircuit (ZRC) | Bybit | +7.0% | −14.3% | −11.1% | up next day | |
| Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT) | Bybit | −20.9% | −57.1% | −60.3% | down next day | |
| SPX6900 (SPX) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| CARV (CARV) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| DeepBook Protocol (DEEP) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Comedian (BAN) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| OPENLOOT (OL) | Bybit | — | +129.9% | +118.3% | not measured yet | |
| SuiNS Token (NS) | Bybit | — | −33.0% | −48.3% | not measured yet | |
| Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Simon's Cat (CAT) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| mETH Protocol (COOK) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GRASS (GRASS) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Scroll (SCR) | Bybit | −32.6% | −48.2% | −94.1% | down next day | |
| Bybit Staked SOL (BBSOL) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| CARV (CARV) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Eigenlayer (EIGEN) | Bybit | — | −26.3% | −36.6% | not measured yet | |
| Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Avail (AVAIL) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Render (RENDER) | Bybit | — | −29.4% | −19.1% | not measured yet | |
| UXLINK (UXLINK) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| zkSync (ZK) | Bybit | +3.4% | −21.7% | −17.9% | up next day | |
| Cookie (COOKIE) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aethir (ATH) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| io.net (IO) | Bybit | +36.3% | −41.4% | −23.8% | up next day | |
| Cookie (COOKIE) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aurora (AURORA) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Taiko (TAIKO) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Mog Coin (MOG) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Taiko (TAIKO) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| zkSync (ZK) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Monad (MON) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SQD (SQD) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Drift Protocol (DRIFT) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Tensor (TNSR) | Bybit | −1.3% | −48.3% | −36.3% | down next day | |
| Ethena USDe (USDE) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Degen (Base) (DEGEN) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Wen (WEN) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Venom (VENOM) | Bybit | — | −44.0% | −39.7% | not measured yet | |
| Nakamoto Games (NAKA) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ether.fi (ETHFI) | Bybit | −3.2% | +13.4% | +23.8% | down next day | |
| zkSync (ZK) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aurory (AURY) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| BOOK OF MEME (BOME) | Bybit | −11.3% | −59.5% | −50.8% | down next day | |
| Starpower (STAR) | Bybit | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | Bybit | — | −25.2% | −22.4% | not measured yet | |
| Portal (PORTAL) | Bybit | — | −17.4% | −39.8% | not measured yet | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 26 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (venue and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 27% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 7 of the 26 measured past cases of bybit listings with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 6, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 15% to 43% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 26.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 31% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 20% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 105 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every spot listing with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.