How often it went up12 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Korean discounts of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average: 12 of the 12 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 4 of those 12 closed higher — a base rate of 33%, with a 90% range of 16% to 57%, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- By day 30, 7 of the 11 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (64%).
- The typical day-30 move was +10.6%, the best +126.3% and the worst −40.0%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran +1.2% vs BTC and beat it in 54.5% of 11 comparable cases.
- No recent-cases check yet: it needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 12 as of Oct 26, 2026.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- 20 days ago · XCN Onyxcoin next day 0.0% · 7 days 0.0% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Korean discount can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Korean discounts of small-cap tokens outside the big categories →
Every past case12 cases
Every past Korean discount behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 12 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Onyxcoin (XCN) | — | 0.0% | in 10 days | in 10 days | sideways next day | |
| Plasma (XPL) | — | +0.6% | −33.4% | −28.4% | sideways next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +1.4% | −40.0% | −42.2% | up next day | |
| Lisk (LSK) | — | −0.4% | +126.3% | +122.6% | sideways next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | +4.5% | +16.1% | +12.4% | up next day | |
| Safe (SAFE) | — | −6.8% | +26.8% | +21.5% | down next day | |
| Gas (GAS) | — | −8.8% | +8.1% | +1.2% | down next day | |
| Kite (KITE) | — | +11.5% | +14.9% | +8.0% | up next day | |
| The Sandbox (SAND) | — | −11.1% | −12.2% | −20.7% | down next day | |
| Ontology (ONT) | — | −3.2% | +10.6% | −0.5% | down next day | |
| Lisk (LSK) | — | −5.1% | +72.6% | +51.1% | down next day | |
| Zilliqa (ZIL) | — | −13.3% | −11.0% | −32.8% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 12 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group, market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 33% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 4 of the 12 measured past cases of korean discounts of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 16% to 57% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 12.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- Nothing yet — the split needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 12.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 12 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Korean discount with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.