How often it went up22 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Korean discounts of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average: 22 of the 22 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 4 of those 22 closed higher — a base rate of 18%, with a 90% range of 8% to 35%, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- By day 30, 5 of the 17 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (29%).
- The typical day-30 move was −10.9%, the best +27.7% and the worst −54.3%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −10.3% vs BTC and beat it in 17.6% of 17 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 0% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 44% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- 5 days ago · MVL MVL next day −3.3% · 30 days lands
- 11 days ago · POKT Pocket Network next day −7.1% · 7 days −6.3% · 30 days lands
- 15 days ago · MBL MovieBloc next day −17.2% · 7 days −31.2% · 30 days lands
- 16 days ago · MED MediBloc next day +1.1% · 7 days −3.9% · 30 days lands
- 26 days ago · POKT Pocket Network next day +2.6% · 7 days −7.6% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Korean discount can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Korean discounts of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories →
Every past case22 cases
Every past Korean discount behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 22 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| MVL (MVL) | — | −3.3% | in 25 days | in 25 days | down next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | −7.1% | in 19 days | in 19 days | down next day | |
| MovieBloc (MBL) | — | −17.2% | in 15 days | in 15 days | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | +1.1% | in 14 days | in 14 days | up next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | +2.6% | in 4 days | in 4 days | up next day | |
| NEXPACE (NXPC) | — | +0.8% | −32.7% | −27.6% | sideways next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | +4.2% | −0.1% | −7.0% | up next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −5.7% | −4.6% | −12.5% | down next day | |
| IOST (IOST) | — | −52.1% | −54.3% | −60.3% | down next day | |
| BORA (BORA) | — | −1.2% | +20.7% | +13.1% | down next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −2.2% | +27.7% | +20.8% | down next day | |
| MANTRA (MANTRA) | — | −7.5% | −5.8% | −16.4% | down next day | |
| Ontology Gas (ONG) | — | −36.2% | −22.7% | −33.9% | down next day | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | — | −7.9% | −22.4% | −43.8% | down next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −4.4% | +18.6% | −3.2% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −2.8% | +12.7% | −12.2% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −8.8% | −30.8% | −14.1% | down next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | −1.3% | −26.5% | −10.3% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −0.4% | −10.9% | −6.0% | sideways next day | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | — | −3.8% | +11.0% | +2.0% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −1.3% | −30.3% | −4.0% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −1.0% | −23.6% | −0.8% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 22 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group, market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 18% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 4 of the 22 measured past cases of korean discounts of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 8% to 35% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 22.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 0% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 44% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 22 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Korean discount with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.