How often it went up20 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Korean discounts with BTC below its 50-day average: 20 of the 21 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 3 of those 20 closed higher — a base rate of 15%, with a 90% range of 6% to 32%, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- By day 30, 4 of the 18 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (22%).
- The typical day-30 move was −11.2%, the best +18.6% and the worst −54.4%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −9.0% vs BTC and beat it in 16.7% of 18 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 17% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 12% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running
- yesterday · MBL MovieBloc 30 days lands
- 2 days ago · SOMI Somnia next day 0.0% · 30 days lands
- 4 days ago · IOST IOST next day −32.3% · 30 days lands
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled Korean discount can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Korean discounts →
Every past case21 cases
Every past Korean discount behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 21 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| MovieBloc (MBL) | — | — | in 29 days | in 29 days | not measured yet | |
| Somnia (SOMI) | — | 0.0% | in 28 days | in 28 days | sideways next day | |
| IOST (IOST) | — | −32.3% | in 26 days | in 26 days | down next day | |
| Walrus (WAL) | — | −19.9% | +5.1% | −14.8% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −4.0% | −16.7% | −18.2% | down next day | |
| INFINIT (IN) | — | −20.9% | −54.4% | −61.7% | down next day | |
| Taiko (TAIKO) | — | +297.0% | −8.9% | −16.2% | up next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −13.9% | −19.5% | −26.0% | down next day | |
| MVL (MVL) | — | −2.4% | −10.9% | −9.3% | down next day | |
| Sentient (SENT) | — | +2.7% | +18.6% | +13.7% | up next day | |
| Pocket Network (POKT) | — | −9.2% | −19.2% | −13.0% | down next day | |
| MediBloc (MED) | — | −8.1% | −35.4% | −14.6% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | +1.2% | +11.5% | −3.5% | up next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −1.7% | −0.8% | −2.7% | down next day | |
| Steem (STEEM) | — | −28.9% | −26.3% | −24.1% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −2.9% | +1.6% | +0.3% | down next day | |
| MovieBloc (MBL) | — | −4.0% | −8.1% | −8.6% | down next day | |
| Ardor (ARDR) | — | −19.2% | −11.5% | −1.4% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −1.9% | −13.1% | −3.1% | down next day | |
| BORA (BORA) | — | −3.8% | −8.8% | +9.5% | down next day | |
| dKargo (DKA) | — | −3.5% | −16.4% | −6.2% | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 20 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answered from this count
- What does the 15% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 3 of the 20 measured past cases of korean discounts with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 26, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 6% to 32% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 20.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 17% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 12% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 21 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every Korean discount with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.