How often it went up19 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Perp listings of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average: 19 of the 40 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 7 of those 19 closed higher — a base rate of 37%, with a 90% range of 21% to 56%, counted as of Oct 3, 2026.
- By day 30, 5 of the 22 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (23%).
- The typical day-30 move was −39.9%, the best +61.7% and the worst −70.9%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −34.3% vs BTC and beat it in 18.2% of 22 comparable cases.
- No recent-cases check yet: it needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 19 as of Oct 3, 2026.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled perpetual listing can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Perp listings of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories →
Every past case40 cases
Every past perpetual listing behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 40 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Canopy (CNPY) | OKX | — | in 4 days | in 4 days | not measured yet | |
| A Meme Coin (AMC) | OKX | — | tomorrow | tomorrow | not measured yet | |
| DappOS (DOS) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GRVT Token (GRVT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| AEON (AEON) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GME (GME) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Billions Network (BILL) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Gensyn (AI) | OKX | +16.0% | +61.7% | +65.5% | up next day | |
| OpenGradient (OPG) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| OneFootball Club (OFC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Unitas (UP) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| River (RIVER) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Panther Protocol (ZKP) | OKX | −24.2% | −61.4% | −36.7% | down next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| Yield Basis (YB) | OKX | — | −30.9% | −24.0% | not measured yet | |
| OpenEden (EDEN) | OKX | −3.5% | −67.6% | −62.4% | down next day | |
| Orderly Network (ORDER) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Lombard (BARD) | OKX | −12.2% | −41.1% | −33.2% | down next day | |
| Sahara AI (SAHARA) | OKX | −10.9% | +1.3% | −8.5% | down next day | |
| Spark (SPK) | OKX | −13.3% | −42.6% | −54.2% | down next day | |
| Home (HOME) | OKX | −6.1% | −16.9% | −29.6% | down next day | |
| LATOKEN (LA) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Resolv (RESOLV) | OKX | — | −55.9% | −61.1% | not measured yet | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | OKX | −14.6% | −50.9% | −49.2% | down next day | |
| Doodles (DOOD) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Plume (PLUME) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Walrus (WAL) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Sign (SIGN) | OKX | +25.3% | −1.6% | −16.5% | up next day | |
| Initia (INIT) | OKX | +11.3% | +31.3% | +16.2% | up next day | |
| Animecoin (ANIME) | OKX | −30.2% | −70.9% | −64.0% | down next day | |
| aixbt by Virtuals (AIXBT) | OKX | — | −38.7% | −39.4% | not measured yet | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| Vana (VANA) | OKX | −52.8% | −64.2% | −58.5% | down next day | |
| Magic Eden (ME) | OKX | −4.3% | −52.7% | −47.9% | down next day | |
| Movement (MOVE) | OKX | +0.6% | +22.8% | +28.8% | sideways next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | OKX | +23.6% | −5.4% | −17.6% | up next day | |
| Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) | OKX | +13.4% | +51.8% | +37.4% | up next day | |
| Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) | OKX | +4.8% | −56.7% | −63.0% | up next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | OKX | −6.5% | −41.5% | −35.5% | down next day | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | Binance | −0.2% | −35.1% | −32.2% | sideways next day | |
| Myro (MYRO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 19 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group, market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 37% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 7 of the 19 measured past cases of perp listings of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC above its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 3, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 21% to 56% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 19.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- Nothing yet — the split needs 20 measured cases and this pattern has 19.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 40 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every perpetual listing with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.