PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · funding extreme lows · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-14

Funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: all 189 measured cases

funding extreme low category · othersize · smallbtc trend · downheld up on recent cases 191 cases on record last 5 cases: 0 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after an extreme low in funding?

higher the next day

39%

73 of 189 past cases

39% of past cases were higher (90% range 33-45%)

90% range 33%–45%

higher after 30 days

28%

53 of 189 cases measured after 30 days

28% of past cases were higher (90% range 23-34%)

90% range 23%–34% · typical move −8.4%

typical next day
−1.6%
typical after 30 days
−8.4%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−9.1%
best after 30 days
+129.8%
worst after 30 days
−89.0%
30 days: up · sideways · down
38 · 44 · 107

recent-cases check · held up: 42% → 33% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

FUNDING LOWall funding extreme lows against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−4−9…+2
7 days
0−6…+6
30 days
+10+4…+16

After funding extreme lows, the price was higher 30 days later in 43% of 1,174 cases on 247 separate days, against 33% of the same coins' ordinary days: +10 points (95% range +4 to +16; older half +5, newer half +15). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past funding extreme low, 30 days on 189 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 35 rose · ▼ 103 fell · ◆ 51 sideways (±6.7% over 30 days)

Each line is one past funding extreme low: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 189 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: 189 of the 191 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 73 of those 189 closed higher — a base rate of 39%, with a 90% range of 33% to 45%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up189 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average: 189 of the 191 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 73 of those 189 closed higher — a base rate of 39%, with a 90% range of 33% to 45%, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.

  • By day 30, 53 of the 189 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (28%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −8.4%, the best +129.8% and the worst −89.0%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −9.1% vs BTC and beat it in 26.5% of 189 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 33% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme low can be matched to this pattern before it happens.

Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories →

Every past case191 cases

Every past funding extreme low behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 191 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

191 past cases of funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with btc below its 50-day average, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
DoubleZero (2Z) — −7.3% −6.7% −30.7% down next day
Unibase (UB) — −10.8% +0.9% −20.1% down next day
Espresso (ESP) — −7.2% +10.8% −9.1% down next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — −2.5% +6.6% −13.3% down next day
Threshold Network (T) — −0.4% −28.2% −27.8% sideways next day
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) — +0.3% −7.9% −10.6% sideways next day
ONEchain (ONE) — — — — not measured yet
Chiliz (CHZ) — −0.1% −20.9% −25.2% sideways next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — −15.1% −22.9% −23.3% down next day
Blur (BLUR) — −15.0% −36.4% −36.8% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −5.1% −20.2% −21.8% down next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) — +1.5% −12.6% −15.9% up next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — −4.1% −4.5% −11.9% down next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −4.6% −10.7% −16.8% down next day
Sonic (S) — +10.6% +16.8% +7.5% up next day
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) — 0.0% +13.9% +4.6% sideways next day
Four (FORM) — −10.0% −19.5% −21.7% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −3.2% +3.2% +1.5% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −6.2% −4.7% −6.4% down next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — −8.2% −19.7% −23.2% down next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — −3.6% +13.9% +11.2% down next day
Gala (GALA) — −1.1% −25.7% −24.2% down next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — −8.5% −23.6% −22.1% down next day
Sonic (S) — −0.3% −21.1% −19.6% sideways next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −8.8% −28.7% −29.6% down next day
Axelar (AXL) — −5.3% −13.3% −14.2% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −1.6% +3.7% −0.4% down next day
JasmyCoin (JASMY) — +2.0% −3.5% −7.6% up next day
Humanity (H) — −84.8% −89.0% −93.1% down next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — +7.6% +50.6% +45.7% up next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — +5.3% +8.8% +3.9% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — +3.4% +63.2% +58.3% up next day
The Graph (GRT) — +0.1% −8.4% −13.3% sideways next day
Hypurr (PURR) — −13.1% −0.6% −0.3% down next day
Sei (SEI) — −10.1% −4.2% −3.9% down next day
Gala (GALA) — −8.1% −14.4% −14.0% down next day
Chiliz (CHZ) — −6.6% −31.1% −30.8% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −12.0% −15.9% −15.5% down next day
Terra Classic (LUNC) — −15.1% −9.5% −7.9% down next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — −12.1% −37.8% −17.1% down next day
io.net (IO) — +1.1% −1.5% +16.4% up next day
Allora (ALLO) — +6.7% +10.5% +28.5% up next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −0.3% −24.8% −5.7% sideways next day
Wormhole (W) — +1.7% −18.3% +0.7% up next day
MegaETH (MEGA) — −6.4% −31.0% −10.1% down next day
Phala Network (PHA) — −24.1% −40.7% −19.8% down next day
Hypurr (PURR) — −12.2% −10.4% +12.3% down next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — −3.2% −25.6% −2.9% down next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — −0.4% +4.2% −13.2% sideways next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — −4.9% +1.3% −14.2% down next day
Blur (BLUR) — −14.4% +17.5% +2.0% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −2.8% +7.0% −7.5% down next day
Qtum (QTUM) — −1.3% −1.9% −16.5% down next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — +5.0% +0.3% −14.5% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — +7.4% +7.7% −7.1% up next day
SafePal Token (SFP) — +2.8% +19.4% +4.6% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — −3.0% +7.0% −8.0% down next day
Kite (KITE) — −13.6% −17.6% −34.1% down next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — +6.5% +55.7% +41.4% up next day
ApeCoin (APE) — −1.7% +65.6% +51.3% down next day
SuperVerse (SUPER) — −6.8% +7.6% −6.7% down next day
Vaulta (A) — −3.5% +19.6% +5.3% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −2.4% −27.1% −37.8% down next day
Plasma (XPL) — −3.5% +10.9% +3.4% down next day
Gala (GALA) — −8.4% −3.3% −10.9% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −2.1% −6.1% −12.3% down next day
The Graph (GRT) — +0.4% −7.9% −12.9% sideways next day
Compound (COMP) — +0.4% +9.4% +5.3% sideways next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — −0.5% −4.9% −9.0% sideways next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — +2.0% +13.6% +9.3% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — +3.9% −10.6% −18.3% up next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — +3.3% +3.2% −4.5% up next day
Kaia (KAIA) — +11.3% −5.3% −13.0% up next day
Threshold Network (T) — +0.3% −5.1% −12.8% sideways next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — +3.0% −4.6% −12.3% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — −4.3% +37.1% +30.1% down next day
Gala (GALA) — +2.1% −5.8% −12.7% up next day
Flow (FLOW) — +23.8% −23.0% −30.0% up next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — −8.0% +5.5% +4.5% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −9.1% −21.1% −22.2% down next day
Huma Finance (HUMA) — +13.7% −18.9% −20.0% up next day
Wormhole (W) — −5.3% −29.4% −26.8% down next day
LayerZero (ZRO) — +1.7% −1.3% +1.3% up next day
Sei (SEI) — −0.1% −19.6% −17.6% sideways next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) — −0.4% +4.9% +6.9% sideways next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — +2.5% −7.5% −5.5% up next day
Vaulta (A) — +3.1% +4.0% +6.1% up next day
Phala Network (PHA) — +90.4% +48.6% +51.4% up next day
Kava (KAVA) — +5.7% −8.7% −5.9% up next day
Four (FORM) — +10.9% −27.4% −24.6% up next day
Immutable X (IMX) — −3.3% −19.3% −16.5% down next day
THORChain (RUNE) — +1.7% +3.5% +1.5% up next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — +2.8% −5.6% −7.5% up next day
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) — −0.3% −1.3% −2.7% sideways next day
Arweave (AR) — −5.6% +4.3% +2.9% down next day
Aethir (ATH) — +6.3% +15.1% +13.7% up next day
Kite (KITE) — +7.7% −28.7% −30.1% up next day
RedStone (RED) — −9.9% −37.4% −38.8% down next day
Falcon Finance (FF) — −1.5% −11.5% −9.1% down next day
Axelar (AXL) — −5.4% −18.6% −16.2% down next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — +3.5% −7.8% −11.5% up next day
Livepeer (LPT) — +5.1% −7.0% −10.7% up next day
Kaia (KAIA) — +6.6% −12.1% −15.7% up next day
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) — +15.6% +21.3% +14.8% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — +18.9% +7.7% +1.3% up next day
Tellor (TRB) — +7.0% +8.8% +2.4% up next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −0.9% −3.2% −8.7% sideways next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −2.8% −2.3% −7.8% down next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — +6.1% +11.1% +5.7% up next day
The Graph (GRT) — −3.8% −4.6% −10.1% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −5.1% −3.3% −8.8% down next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — −5.9% −5.0% −10.5% down next day
Zilliqa (ZIL) — −3.5% −5.0% −8.8% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −5.5% −17.0% −21.2% down next day
The Sandbox (SAND) — −3.8% −4.4% −8.6% down next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) — −2.7% −17.1% −21.4% down next day
ONEchain (ONE) — — — — not measured yet
BIO Protocol (BIO) — −16.9% −42.5% −46.7% down next day
Humanity (H) — +0.7% −37.5% −41.8% sideways next day
Sonic (S) — +0.6% −1.7% −2.9% sideways next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) — +1.7% +5.1% +3.8% up next day
Ontology (ONT) — −3.0% −13.0% −16.7% down next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — +32.3% +1.3% −2.4% up next day
Orca (ORCA) — +2.2% −24.6% −29.1% up next day
Jito (JTO) — −15.0% −8.6% −13.1% down next day
ApeCoin (APE) — −12.3% −25.8% −30.3% down next day
io.net (IO) — −2.7% −0.9% −5.3% down next day
Meteora (MET) — −6.4% −30.6% −32.1% down next day
Aethir (ATH) — −7.4% −2.3% −8.2% down next day
DeXe (DEXE) — −3.6% +129.8% +124.0% down next day
Sei (SEI) — −0.4% −7.5% −16.3% sideways next day
Livepeer (LPT) — −4.7% −3.1% −11.9% down next day
Prometeus (PROM) — +11.4% −3.5% −12.3% up next day
Compound (COMP) — −1.4% −6.7% −15.5% down next day
0G (0G) — −3.5% −12.0% −21.9% down next day
VeThor Token (VTHO) — +5.8% −1.0% −10.9% up next day
LayerZero (ZRO) — +7.8% +8.0% +5.0% up next day
Axie Infinity (AXS) — −10.0% −26.6% −29.6% down next day
Gala (GALA) — +0.8% −11.3% −14.4% sideways next day
THORChain (RUNE) — −2.0% +13.5% +10.5% down next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — +1.5% −11.6% −14.7% up next day
Wormhole (W) — +4.8% −8.0% −11.0% up next day
Tellor (TRB) — +1.5% +14.6% +11.5% up next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) — −7.6% −19.8% −19.6% down next day
Flow (FLOW) — +2.4% +42.5% +41.6% up next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — −1.0% +6.1% +5.2% down next day
The Graph (GRT) — −3.9% −12.5% −9.5% down next day
JasmyCoin (JASMY) — −6.1% +0.3% +3.4% down next day
Mubarak (MUBARAK) — −20.3% −9.7% +0.4% down next day
DeXe (DEXE) — −14.2% +64.3% +74.4% down next day
Zilliqa (ZIL) — +0.4% −21.2% −11.2% sideways next day
yearn.finance (YFI) — +3.0% −1.9% +3.7% up next day
Plasma (XPL) — −2.3% +8.6% +21.9% down next day
THORChain (RUNE) — −1.7% −14.3% −1.1% down next day
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) — +1.9% −16.0% −2.8% up next day
ApeCoin (APE) — −1.6% −33.5% −20.3% down next day
Wormhole (W) — −14.7% −28.6% −10.3% down next day
Sei (SEI) — −11.8% −27.7% −9.4% down next day
io.net (IO) — −13.4% −23.2% −4.9% down next day
DYDX Chain (DYDX) — −11.5% −35.1% −16.8% down next day
Blur (BLUR) — −14.6% −22.5% −4.2% down next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) — −7.1% −25.3% −3.0% down next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) — −9.2% −29.6% −7.3% down next day
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) — −15.2% −29.2% −6.9% down next day
Akash Network (AKT) — −10.2% −34.8% −8.6% down next day
Ontology (ONT) — −6.2% −27.0% −0.8% down next day
Mina Protocol (MINA) — +0.2% −30.7% −7.1% sideways next day
Ordinals (ORDI) — −0.2% −37.6% −14.0% sideways next day
Fluid (FLUID) — −3.1% −28.0% −6.5% down next day
Phala Network (PHA) — −6.1% −41.0% −19.5% down next day
Aethir (ATH) — +7.2% −38.0% −16.4% up next day
Axelar (AXL) — +4.4% −29.7% −8.2% up next day
Lido DAO (LDO) — −0.8% −42.4% −14.2% sideways next day
Gala (GALA) — −2.7% −43.7% −15.5% down next day
Livepeer (LPT) — −11.8% −39.0% −10.8% down next day
Plasma (XPL) — +5.1% −27.2% −2.7% up next day
Wormhole (W) — +2.7% −35.5% −11.0% up next day
Kamino (KMNO) — −5.4% −45.5% −21.1% down next day
Kaia (KAIA) — +3.6% +11.5% +34.5% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — 0.0% −43.7% −16.1% sideways next day
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) — +0.7% −31.8% −4.2% sideways next day
io.net (IO) — −5.2% −29.2% −1.6% down next day
Immutable X (IMX) — −6.0% −40.3% −12.6% down next day
Oasis Network (ROSE) — +7.8% −37.9% −10.3% up next day
Synthetix Network (SNX) — −2.5% −21.6% +6.0% down next day
Mubarak (MUBARAK) — +5.8% −8.6% +1.5% up next day
Gala (GALA) — +16.3% −17.3% −7.1% up next day
The Graph (GRT) — +12.2% −8.9% +1.3% up next day
Kaia (KAIA) — +6.1% 0.0% +10.2% up next day
2025
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) — +6.4% −17.8% −13.1% up next day
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) — +11.2% +4.5% +9.3% up next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 189 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group, market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 39% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 73 of the 189 measured past cases of funding extreme lows of small-cap tokens outside the big categories with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 14, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 33% to 45% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 189.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 33% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 191 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every funding extreme low with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.