How often it went up54 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Funding extreme highs of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average: 54 of the 56 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 30 of those 54 closed higher — a base rate of 56%, with a 90% range of 44% to 66%, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.
- By day 30, 25 of the 54 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (46%).
- The typical day-30 move was −1.9%, the best +359.3% and the worst −96.4%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −2.0% vs BTC and beat it in 46.3% of 54 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 53% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 59% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled funding extreme high can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Funding extreme highs of micro-cap tokens →
Every past case56 cases
Every past funding extreme high behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 56 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | −9.7% | +35.9% | +16.0% | down next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | −5.8% | −42.4% | −62.3% | down next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +2.1% | −94.9% | −118.9% | up next day | |
| Griffain (GRIFFAIN) | — | +1.0% | −2.0% | −26.0% | up next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | −55.5% | −79.5% | −79.2% | down next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | +3.5% | +23.9% | +24.2% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | — | +3.3% | +107.1% | +107.4% | up next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | −33.0% | −23.7% | −26.4% | down next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +2.0% | −46.7% | −48.2% | up next day | |
| AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) | — | +1.5% | −1.8% | −3.3% | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +8.1% | +2.8% | −1.9% | up next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +4.2% | −74.4% | −80.9% | up next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +3.8% | −10.1% | −11.0% | up next day | |
| AI Network (AIN) | — | −22.9% | −40.6% | −38.7% | down next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | +37.4% | −87.0% | −87.2% | up next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | −8.4% | −29.7% | −30.0% | down next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −3.5% | −47.6% | −51.6% | down next day | |
| KGeN (KGEN) | — | +15.0% | +6.9% | +3.0% | up next day | |
| Velvet (VELVET) | — | +182.4% | +50.6% | +50.4% | up next day | |
| Folks Finance (FOLKS) | — | +26.6% | +5.5% | +5.3% | up next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | −15.6% | −18.9% | −17.3% | down next day | |
| 4 (4) | — | −3.8% | −4.5% | −2.9% | down next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | −30.9% | −96.4% | −94.7% | down next day | |
| LAB (LAB) | — | −13.4% | −54.2% | −58.2% | down next day | |
| ETHGas (GWEI) | — | +20.0% | −22.4% | −26.5% | up next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | −0.7% | −2.0% | −6.9% | sideways next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | −7.4% | −30.6% | −16.9% | down next day | |
| Magma Finance (MAGMA) | — | +0.7% | +53.3% | +73.9% | sideways next day | |
| Yooldo (ESPORTS) | — | +22.8% | +2.5% | +23.3% | up next day | |
| Nillion (NIL) | — | −17.1% | −59.1% | −36.4% | down next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | −47.2% | +165.2% | +149.6% | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | — | +1.3% | +22.4% | +7.6% | up next day | |
| Orochi Network (ON) | — | −22.7% | +13.2% | −1.6% | down next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | −6.0% | +178.6% | +164.3% | down next day | |
| AI Network (AIN) | — | −12.0% | +34.9% | +30.0% | down next day | |
| Trusta.AI (TA) | — | +9.9% | −4.1% | −9.0% | up next day | |
| Janction (JCT) | — | −8.2% | +84.8% | +79.9% | down next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Alaya Governance Token (AGT) | — | +3.9% | +44.1% | +39.2% | up next day | |
| River (RIVER) | — | +17.5% | −54.2% | −54.5% | up next day | |
| Bluwhale (BLUAI) | — | +5.1% | +16.0% | +11.9% | up next day | |
| Aria.AI (ARIA) | — | +38.8% | +273.8% | +268.9% | up next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | −15.0% | +3.2% | +1.2% | down next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | +12.1% | −73.0% | −74.9% | up next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | +2.2% | −81.1% | −82.4% | up next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | +36.4% | +27.2% | +27.4% | up next day | |
| Bitrue Coin (BTR) | — | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) | — | +27.4% | −1.1% | +2.0% | up next day | |
| Siren (SIREN) | — | +2.8% | +359.3% | +367.3% | up next day | |
| Bulla (BULLA) | — | +60.5% | +19.6% | +29.5% | up next day | |
| Hana Network (HANA) | — | −10.0% | +1.3% | +11.3% | down next day | |
| SKYAI (SKYAI) | — | −4.8% | −5.1% | +0.5% | down next day | |
| Quack AI (Q) | — | −18.7% | +14.3% | +36.6% | down next day | |
| Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) | — | −23.1% | −55.0% | −30.0% | down next day | |
| Pippin (PIPPIN) | — | +37.5% | +172.3% | +195.9% | up next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| Scroll (SCR) | — | +4.1% | −6.8% | −2.0% | up next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 54 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 56% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 30 of the 54 measured past cases of funding extreme highs of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 16, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 44% to 66% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 54.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 53% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 59% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 56 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every funding extreme high with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.