PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Updated

Pattern · usage slumps · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-28

Usage slumps of micro-cap tokens: all 218 measured cases

usage slump size · microheld up on recent cases 347 cases on record last 5 cases: 2 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the week after a usage slump?

higher the next day

43%

94 of 218 past cases

43% of past cases were higher (90% range 38-49%)

90% range 38%–49%

higher after 30 days

33%

69 of 210 cases measured after 30 days

33% of past cases were higher (90% range 28-38%)

90% range 28%–38% · typical move −10.1%

typical next day
−1.0%
typical after 30 days
−10.1%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−9.9%
best after 30 days
+117.4%
worst after 30 days
−95.5%
30 days: up · sideways · down
49 · 40 · 121

recent-cases check · held up: 46% → 39% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

USAGE DOWNall usage slumps against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−1−6…+4
7 days
−2−7…+3
30 days
−2−6…+4

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (497 cases on 384 separate days). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 4 coins.

Every past usage slump, 30 days on 210 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 40 rose · ▼ 113 fell · ◆ 57 sideways (±7.7% over 30 days)

Each line is one past usage slump: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 210 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Usage slumps of micro-cap tokens: 218 of the 347 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 94 of those 218 closed higher — a base rate of 43%, with a 90% range of 38% to 49%, counted as of Oct 28, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up218 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Usage slumps of micro-cap tokens: 218 of the 347 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 94 of those 218 closed higher — a base rate of 43%, with a 90% range of 38% to 49%, counted as of Oct 28, 2026.

  • By day 30, 69 of the 210 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (33%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −10.1%, the best +117.4% and the worst −95.5%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −9.9% vs BTC and beat it in 23.3% of 210 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 46% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 39% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 3 days ago · BLUE Bluefin next day −4.9% · 30 days lands
  • 3 days ago · REZ Renzo next day +9.7% · 30 days lands
  • 4 days ago · CETUS Cetus Protocol next day −2.6% · 30 days lands
  • 4 days ago · SDL stake.link 30 days lands
  • 5 days ago · RPL Rocket Pool next day −1.9% · 30 days lands
  • 6 days ago · FWA Fake World Assets 30 days lands

NO DATA YET No scheduled usage slump meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 28, 2026.

Every past case347 cases

Every past usage slump behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 347 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

347 past cases of usage slumps of micro-cap tokens, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Bluefin (BLUE) — −4.9% in 27 days in 27 days down next day
Renzo (REZ) — +9.7% in 27 days in 27 days up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −2.6% in 26 days in 26 days down next day
stake.link (SDL) — — in 26 days in 26 days not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −1.9% in 25 days in 25 days down next day
Fake World Assets (FWA) — — in 24 days in 24 days not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) — — in 23 days in 23 days not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — in 21 days in 21 days not measured yet
BankrCoin (BNKR) — +5.8% in 12 days in 12 days up next day
MUSHROOM (SHROOM) — −19.8% in 10 days in 10 days down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — −5.2% in 9 days in 9 days down next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — in 9 days in 9 days not measured yet
dHEDGE (DHT) — — in 2 days in 2 days not measured yet
stake.link (SDL) — — in 2 days in 2 days not measured yet
Mamo (MAMO) — — — — not measured yet
Gigachad (GIGA) — +8.6% −12.9% −15.1% up next day
Symbiosis Finance (SIS) — +13.6% −1.5% −3.7% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −3.6% +2.2% −4.1% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +5.8% +13.7% +4.3% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +1.1% +14.8% +9.5% up next day
Usual (USUAL) — −5.9% +2.8% −2.5% down next day
Limitless (LMTS) — +15.4% −25.1% −36.2% up next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −13.7% −3.7% −24.8% down next day
Metadium (META) — — — — not measured yet
BankrCoin (BNKR) — +4.3% −16.3% −40.5% up next day
ApeX Token (APEX) — +0.2% +9.7% −13.5% sideways next day
Metaplex (MPLX) — −0.4% +13.9% −5.5% sideways next day
Renzo (REZ) — +3.5% +12.8% +12.9% up next day
Overtime (OVER) — — — — not measured yet
stake.link (SDL) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +3.5% −6.6% −9.9% up next day
Minswap (MIN) — +8.7% +7.0% −0.2% up next day
Nest Protocol (NEST) — — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) — −1.1% +2.7% −2.7% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −11.4% −0.5% −2.7% down next day
Mamo (MAMO) — — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) — −12.3% −20.1% −17.5% down next day
BENQI (QI) — −2.9% −21.7% −18.0% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −0.7% +30.8% +32.3% sideways next day
Renzo (REZ) — +5.6% −23.7% −21.7% up next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) — +8.3% −21.5% −21.8% up next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) — −20.0% −9.9% −10.2% down next day
KernelDAO (KERNEL) — +1.0% −17.2% −22.1% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) — +11.8% −34.2% −13.2% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +20.0% +1.8% +5.3% up next day
Mamo (MAMO) — — — — not measured yet
Renzo (REZ) — +11.8% −11.8% −8.3% up next day
KernelDAO (KERNEL) — −6.1% −13.7% −12.2% down next day
Usual (USUAL) — −4.4% +33.4% +21.3% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +1.1% +12.0% −6.0% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Limitless (LMTS) — +10.5% +21.5% +4.1% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — −1.7% +0.3% −15.2% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −5.8% −7.7% −22.0% down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — −2.1% −4.8% −21.3% down next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Stader (SD) — +0.7% +5.3% −9.9% sideways next day
stake.link (SDL) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) — — — — not measured yet
Power Protocol (POWER) — +4.8% −95.5% −93.3% up next day
ApeX Token (APEX) — +8.4% −9.6% −16.1% up next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) — +2.6% −36.2% −42.7% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — +7.9% +56.2% +49.8% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −0.7% +4.2% −1.3% sideways next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Minswap (MIN) — −3.4% −2.7% −8.2% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −7.2% −25.5% −29.3% down next day
Mamo (MAMO) — — — — not measured yet
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — −8.2% −1.4% −5.6% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — +0.8% −5.6% −10.1% sideways next day
Overtime (OVER) — — — — not measured yet
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Sport.Fun (FUN) — — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +28.5% +14.0% +10.4% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +0.4% −0.6% −4.1% sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −7.0% −8.2% −14.1% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — −3.0% −2.5% −8.3% down next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −6.5% +2.7% −3.2% down next day
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
Metadium (META) — — — — not measured yet
BENQI (QI) — −4.5% −11.6% −11.4% down next day
Stader (SD) — −1.1% −12.0% −11.8% down next day
Ankr (ANKR) — −4.2% −9.6% −6.6% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — −5.2% −10.9% −2.8% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −11.9% −39.0% −16.7% down next day
Bluefin (BLUE) — −10.0% −31.8% −9.5% down next day
Usual (USUAL) — −0.3% −45.9% −18.3% sideways next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) — +3.8% −7.4% +20.5% up next day
Reservoir (DAM) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — −5.8% −59.5% −26.5% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
mETH Protocol (COOK) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — +22.7% −11.1% −1.0% up next day
2025
ApeX Token (APEX) — +5.1% −35.3% −30.5% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — 0.0% +2.5% +1.4% sideways next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) — −3.9% −1.9% −3.7% down next day
Metadium (META) — — — — not measured yet
Power Protocol (POWER) — +8.3% −32.8% −31.2% up next day
Limitless (LMTS) — −2.4% −27.9% −26.3% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — −5.0% −5.6% −3.4% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Sport.Fun (FUN) — — — — not measured yet
VVS Finance (VVS) — −3.1% −0.1% +0.5% down next day
SynFutures (F) — −1.6% −12.7% −11.3% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — −2.9% −16.2% −14.8% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — +6.0% +3.6% +6.6% up next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −15.4% −0.8% +1.7% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) — −10.6% −18.3% −15.7% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — −6.6% −26.2% −23.7% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −7.5% −25.3% −22.7% down next day
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
Usual (USUAL) — −3.5% −11.0% −7.3% down next day
Osmosis (OSMO) — −1.2% −38.2% −38.2% down next day
Overtime (OVER) — — — — not measured yet
Mamo (MAMO) — — — — not measured yet
Metaplex (MPLX) — −2.8% −37.4% −39.7% down next day
Streamflow (STREAM) — −4.1% −14.9% −9.7% down next day
BankrCoin (BNKR) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — −1.2% −14.3% −2.8% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — −6.7% −21.3% −9.8% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Reservoir (DAM) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
StakeWise (SWISE) — — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) — −7.7% −46.0% −24.3% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −1.0% −10.1% +11.6% down next day
Swell Network (SWELL) — +1.1% −56.4% −34.7% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — +3.7% −28.7% −8.3% up next day
Osmosis (OSMO) — −5.8% −27.7% −11.9% down next day
DODO (DODO) — +2.1% −23.0% −9.8% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — +3.7% −49.6% −36.3% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) — — — — not measured yet
Swell Network (SWELL) — +4.4% −33.5% −26.4% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
BankrCoin (BNKR) — — — — not measured yet
Sport.Fun (FUN) — — — — not measured yet
VVS Finance (VVS) — −6.9% −36.3% −33.8% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Beefy (BIFI) — −0.2% −3.4% −14.3% sideways next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Alchemix (ALCX) — −3.0% −17.9% −16.5% down next day
DODO (DODO) — +4.6% −4.4% −3.3% up next day
Swell Network (SWELL) — +14.3% +0.4% −2.0% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −8.2% −8.2% −2.2% down next day
StakeWise (SWISE) — — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) — +6.2% −13.8% −10.8% up next day
Usual (USUAL) — +14.2% +10.2% +3.0% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −6.4% −25.6% −29.8% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +9.4% +34.1% +26.9% up next day
Definitive (EDGE) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +1.6% +73.2% +62.9% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −1.4% +36.4% +26.5% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Swell Network (SWELL) — +3.8% +51.1% +38.3% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — +4.1% +4.9% −1.7% up next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +8.2% −10.1% −17.7% up next day
ApeX Token (APEX) — +7.6% −30.9% −34.4% up next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — +1.9% −32.7% −35.7% up next day
DODO (DODO) — −15.0% −20.7% −23.4% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +4.4% +2.3% +4.6% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — +7.6% +10.9% +9.1% up next day
Dolomite (DOLO) — +14.9% −35.0% −46.1% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +0.7% +5.8% −5.3% sideways next day
stake.link (SDL) — — — — not measured yet
Usual (USUAL) — +12.6% +5.6% −20.0% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — +5.0% +46.7% +21.4% up next day
DODO (DODO) — −6.2% +26.0% +2.3% down next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) — −18.3% −16.6% −40.3% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — +0.2% +15.2% −8.5% sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −4.2% +19.4% −4.3% down next day
SynFutures (F) — — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) — — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — +6.3% +62.7% +55.3% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −2.9% −16.6% −24.0% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — — — — not measured yet
Swell Network (SWELL) — +6.4% −13.2% −24.6% up next day
Ankr (ANKR) — +1.6% +7.4% +3.3% up next day
Bluefin (BLUE) — — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) — +4.6% −29.0% −30.2% up next day
Veranta (AVNT) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −0.3% — — sideways next day
SoSoValue (SOSO) — — — — not measured yet
ApeX Token (APEX) — — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) — −2.1% −13.0% −11.0% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — −2.2% −34.7% −36.8% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +1.2% −14.1% −16.2% up next day
Usual (USUAL) — −9.2% −25.8% −28.0% down next day
Definitive (EDGE) — — — — not measured yet
Stader (SD) — — — — not measured yet
Renzo (REZ) — +18.8% −3.2% +0.3% up next day
Metaplex (MPLX) — +8.4% −7.0% −5.1% up next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −0.4% −13.5% −8.7% sideways next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — +4.0% −13.1% −0.7% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −1.1% −24.5% −12.0% down next day
Avalon (AVL) — −5.1% +21.3% +33.4% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +2.5% −25.6% −10.4% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — −3.1% −9.0% +4.9% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) — — — — not measured yet
Definitive (EDGE) — — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) — — — — not measured yet
Moonwell (WELL) — −0.9% −24.6% −12.3% sideways next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — +4.5% −30.7% −14.0% up next day
Renzo (REZ) — +8.3% −12.8% +4.2% up next day
Swell Network (SWELL) — +4.5% −27.1% −10.3% up next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +2.0% −21.8% −17.2% up next day
ApeX Token (APEX) — — — — not measured yet
Power Protocol (POWER) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −5.9% −28.7% −28.2% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — −7.4% −47.8% −47.3% down next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −13.7% −46.8% −46.4% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — — — — not measured yet
2024
Across Protocol (ACX) — −6.6% −30.9% −43.8% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) — — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) — −7.9% −31.0% −37.3% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) — −5.2% −19.0% −25.4% down next day
Veranta (AVNT) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — +13.2% −27.7% −34.8% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — −0.7% −10.2% −17.3% sideways next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −6.1% −11.0% −5.5% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — +2.8% −39.2% −32.8% up next day
dHEDGE (DHT) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +7.9% +7.1% −4.5% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −3.5% +41.9% +29.7% down next day
DODO (DODO) — −9.1% +46.2% +33.4% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — +6.8% +52.1% +15.3% up next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Lista DAO (LISTA) — +12.9% +6.5% −3.1% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +9.7% +16.8% +6.0% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) — +0.4% −15.5% −31.4% sideways next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −4.4% +5.8% −6.0% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −6.2% +12.1% +5.0% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — −2.5% −5.7% −4.6% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) — — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) — — — — not measured yet
Moonwell (WELL) — +0.4% +117.4% +117.5% sideways next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −11.0% −37.0% −26.7% down next day
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −3.3% −21.2% −9.1% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — −1.3% −10.3% −0.8% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — — — — not measured yet
SynFutures (F) — — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −2.2% +1.2% −10.4% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +1.1% −7.9% −10.2% up next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
VVS Finance (VVS) — −6.3% −11.7% −9.9% down next day
DODO (DODO) — −4.0% −5.0% −19.3% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −1.2% +3.5% −9.8% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −3.3% +4.7% −6.4% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — −0.4% +1.5% −4.7% sideways next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +0.3% +19.0% +15.8% sideways next day
Ankr (ANKR) — −2.4% −25.9% −13.8% down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — +5.6% −26.1% −19.2% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — +13.3% −22.2% −25.2% up next day
stake.link (SDL) — — — — not measured yet
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −4.0% +11.0% −35.5% down next day
DODO (DODO) — −2.8% +63.6% +18.0% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — +4.0% +17.7% −9.5% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −7.1% −4.3% −8.5% down next day
Metaplex (MPLX) — −14.4% −28.5% −30.8% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −5.1% −19.0% −21.3% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +6.5% +0.5% +4.0% up next day
2023
Liquity (LQTY) — +4.3% −4.1% −2.7% up next day
StakeWise (SWISE) — — — — not measured yet
Gains Network (GNS) — +5.3% +35.7% +24.3% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — +1.9% +2.7% −20.0% up next day
DODO (DODO) — +7.8% +29.9% +4.2% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −6.6% −0.5% −30.7% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −3.3% +30.7% +4.0% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — +2.8% −2.4% −10.7% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +1.8% −1.3% −4.8% up next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −3.0% +4.7% +3.8% down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — −11.0% −27.7% −20.1% down next day
Ankr (ANKR) — +1.2% −23.1% −11.6% up next day
Gains Network (GNS) — −5.0% −13.7% −1.6% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −3.5% −24.1% −12.0% down next day
DODO (DODO) — −0.6% +22.0% +25.1% sideways next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −0.9% −24.1% −33.8% sideways next day
Gains Network (GNS) — +2.9% −15.7% −31.6% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −9.3% −24.2% −11.4% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −14.7% −36.7% −23.9% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −0.3% −13.4% −7.4% sideways next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −2.9% −6.1% +0.6% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −1.2% +6.3% +4.9% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — −4.6% −19.7% −16.7% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — +2.7% +57.2% +23.0% up next day
2022
Gains Network (GNS) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −11.8% +6.9% −10.8% down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) — −0.7% −26.5% −28.9% sideways next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −1.4% +19.9% +12.7% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
BENQI (QI) — −16.9% −13.6% +13.6% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −5.5% −44.7% −10.7% down next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) — — — — not measured yet
BENQI (QI) — +0.3% −56.7% −36.6% sideways next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
2021
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — +6.2% −12.0% −1.3% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — −2.8% −42.2% −17.3% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −1.3% +17.7% −1.0% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 218 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answered from this count

What does the 43% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 94 of the 218 measured past cases of usage slumps of micro-cap tokens closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 28, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 38% to 49% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 218.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 46% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 39% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 347 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every usage slump with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.