Launches with its features
27%–94% were dead within 24 hours
How it died: liquidity was pulled.
Counts of what happened to past launches, not financial advice.
Dead within 24 hours, by the features it shares
The launch in shortON RECORD
as of · launch collector, at birth and sinceread it →
First price
$450
at birth · 2026-10-06 16:51 UTC
Liquidity at birth
$714.3K
pool value at the first record
FDV at birth
$700.81K
fully diluted at the first price
24 h return
−0.8%
from the first recorded price
Peak return
0.0%
highest recorded multiple
Hours alive
27.6
died 2026-10-07 20:27 UTC
Price moves after launchMEASURED
as of · launch collector price samplesread it →
| Window | Return | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 1 hour | −0.8% | from the first recorded price |
| 6 hours | −0.6% | — |
| 24 hours | −0.8% | — |
| 72 hours | −100.0% | — |
| last sample | −100.0% | latest price seen by the collector |
| peak | 0.0% | highest multiple recorded |
How launches like this endedMEASURED
as of · every recorded launchread it →
| Feature | Bucket | Launches | Dead within 24 h | Alive at 72 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age | 7 days or more | 157 | 27.4% | 29.7% |
| Bundled first-hour volume | under 10% | 5,085 | 89.3% | 12.1% |
| LP locked | 0% | 2,635 | 85.2% | 4.4% |
| Social links | 2 or more | 71 | 42.3% | 80.9% |
| Unique buyers, first hour | over 40 | 2,990 | 94.1% | 12.7% |
Features at birthON RECORD
as of · on-chain checks at birthread it →
| Feature | Value | What it means | Launches in the same group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age at launch | 5,276.6 h | The creator wallet was 5,276.6 hours (about 220 days) old when it created the token. | 7 days or more: 27% dead within 24 h, 30% alive at 72 h (157 launches) |
| Funder wallet fresh | — | Funder wallet fresh was not recorded by the collector for this launch as of Nov 5, 2026. | no outcome group |
| Mint authority | held | Mint authority was held at launch: the creator could create new supply at will. | no outcome group |
| Freeze authority | held | Freeze authority was held at launch: the creator could stop any wallet from moving the token. | no outcome group |
| Liquidity-pool tokens locked | 0.0% | 0.0% of liquidity-pool tokens were locked at launch; unlocked liquidity can be withdrawn by its holder at any time. | 0%: 85% dead within 24 h, 4% alive at 72 h (2,635 launches) |
| Top-10 holders (pools excluded) | 89.6% | The ten largest holders outside pools held 89.6% of supply in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Fresh-wallet share of buyers | 0.0% | 0.0% of first-hour buyers were wallets with no prior history. | no outcome group |
| Unique buyers, first hour | 128 | 128 distinct wallets bought in the first hour. | over 40: 94% dead within 24 h, 13% alive at 72 h (2,990 launches) |
| Buys per buyer | 1.20 | Each buyer made 1.20 purchases on average in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Bundled share of first-hour volume | 5.0% | 5.0% of first-hour volume came from bundled transactions. | under 10%: 89% dead within 24 h, 12% alive at 72 h (5,085 launches) |
| Most buys in one block | 7 | The busiest block carried 7 buys. | no outcome group |
| Social links attached | 2 | 2 social links were attached to the token at launch. | 2 or more: 42% dead within 24 h, 81% alive at 72 h (71 launches) |
| Collector's label | FOLD | The collector filed the launch as 'FOLD' at birth (its own rule-based bucket, not a verdict of this site). | no outcome group |
| Collector's reason | mint authority held; freeze authority held; top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50% | Reason recorded by the collector: mint authority held; freeze authority held; top holder above 25%; top-10 holders above 50%. | no outcome group |
| Collector rule count | 5 | 5 of the collector's rule checks fired at launch (a count, not a rating). | no outcome group |
Source: launch collector · on-chain checks at birth · outcomes of every recorded launch · fetched
Creator and funderON RECORD
as of · creator and funder walletsread it →
Other launches by this creatorON RECORD
as of · launches on recordread it →
| Born (UTC) | Token | Venue | Liquidity at birth | LP locked | Mint | Buyers 1 h | Status | 1 h | 24 h | Peak | Hours alive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tOpenAI oPAi…kjTZ | meteora | $648.5K | 0.0% | held | 7 | graduated | +11.5% | −26.3% | +12.6% | 167.8 |
tKalshi was created on Solana at Oct 6, 2026 16:51 UTC on raydium by EXvT…h7YW; status: dead, died at Oct 7, 2026 20:27 UTC (liquidity was pulled).
Launch collector and on-chain checks; updated Oct 7, 2026.
tKalshi died after 27.6 hours (liquidity was pulled); the last recorded return was −100.0%.
Returns from the first recorded price ($449.81): −0.8% at 1 hour, −0.6% at 6 hours, −0.8% at 24 hours, −100.0% at 72 hours; the peak was 0.0% and the last recorded return −100.0%.
This launch shares 5 birth features with past launches; each row shows how every recorded launch with that feature ended.
Outcomes of every recorded launch; groups with fewer than 8 launches are left out. As of Nov 5, 2026.
tKalshi's creator wallet age at birth (Oct 6, 2026 16:51 UTC) was 5,276.6 hours, in the 7 days or more group: 27.4% of 157 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 29.7% alive at 72 hours.
Creator EXvTtxurWBUNNCtLojaN8ZBJFNJPZFSH3szoih9hh7YW: launcher, 2 tokens, 1 dead (50.0%); first seen Feb 28, 2026, last seen Oct 6, 2026.
1 other launch by the same creator are on record; 0 are dead as of Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
as of · sources table
2 sources feed this page; 2 fetched successfully, the most recent at Nov 5, 2026 05:28 UTC; none reported an error on the latest fetch.
Birth features and returns come from the collector's CSV batch and its on-chain checks; the row was last updated 2026-10-07 20:27 UTC. Addresses are public blockchain data.
| Source | What it gave this page | Last successful fetch | Last error | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| collector_csv | every field on this page | 2026-11-05 04:05 UTC | none | — |
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Nov 5, 2026.