Launches with its features
18%–90% were dead within 24 hours
Counts of what happened to past launches, not financial advice.
Dead within 24 hours, by the features it shares
The launch in shortON RECORD
as of · launch collector, at birth and sinceread it →
First price
$0.000055
at birth · 2026-10-08 03:21 UTC
Liquidity at birth
$18.01K
pool value at the first record
FDV at birth
$52.33K
fully diluted at the first price
24 h return
−51.9%
from the first recorded price
Peak return
+16.4%
highest recorded multiple
Hours alive
168.0
alive as of Nov 5, 2026
Price moves after launchMEASURED
as of · launch collector price samplesread it →
| Window | Return | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 1 hour | −5.6% | from the first recorded price |
| 6 hours | −26.4% | — |
| 24 hours | −51.9% | — |
| 72 hours | −91.3% | — |
| last sample | −92.9% | latest price seen by the collector |
| peak | +16.4% | highest multiple recorded |
How launches like this endedMEASURED
as of · every recorded launchread it →
| Feature | Bucket | Launches | Dead within 24 h | Alive at 72 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age | 1–7 days | 50 | 18.0% | 10.0% |
| Bundled first-hour volume | 10–30% | 506 | 73.1% | 20.7% |
| LP locked | 1–99% | 1,800 | 90.3% | 15.1% |
| Social links | 0 | 5,972 | 89.1% | 9.2% |
| Unique buyers, first hour | 6–15 | 450 | 74.4% | 12.1% |
Features at birthON RECORD
as of · on-chain checks at birthread it →
| Feature | Value | What it means | Launches in the same group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet age at launch | 93.5 h | The creator wallet was 93.5 hours (about 4 days) old when it created the token. | 1–7 days: 18% dead within 24 h, 10% alive at 72 h (50 launches) |
| Funder wallet fresh | — | Funder wallet fresh was not recorded by the collector for this launch as of Nov 5, 2026. | no outcome group |
| Mint authority | revoked | Mint authority was revoked at launch: no new supply could be created by the creator. | no outcome group |
| Freeze authority | revoked | Freeze authority was revoked at launch: no wallet could be frozen. | no outcome group |
| Liquidity-pool tokens locked | 100.0% | 100.0% of liquidity-pool tokens were locked at launch; unlocked liquidity can be withdrawn by its holder at any time. | 1–99%: 90% dead within 24 h, 15% alive at 72 h (1,800 launches) |
| Top-10 holders (pools excluded) | 58.3% | The ten largest holders outside pools held 58.3% of supply in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Fresh-wallet share of buyers | 6.9% | 6.9% of first-hour buyers were wallets with no prior history. | no outcome group |
| Unique buyers, first hour | 6 | 6 distinct wallets bought in the first hour. | 6–15: 74% dead within 24 h, 12% alive at 72 h (450 launches) |
| Buys per buyer | 1.17 | Each buyer made 1.17 purchases on average in the first hour. | no outcome group |
| Bundled share of first-hour volume | 14.0% | 14.0% of first-hour volume came from bundled transactions. | 10–30%: 73% dead within 24 h, 21% alive at 72 h (506 launches) |
| Most buys in one block | 1 | The busiest block carried 1 buys. | no outcome group |
| Social links attached | 0 | 0 social links were attached to the token at launch. | 0: 89% dead within 24 h, 9% alive at 72 h (5,972 launches) |
| Collector's label | FOLD | The collector filed the launch as 'FOLD' at birth (its own rule-based bucket, not a verdict of this site). | no outcome group |
| Collector's reason | top-10 holders above 50% | Reason recorded by the collector: top-10 holders above 50%. | no outcome group |
| Collector rule count | 3 | 3 of the collector's rule checks fired at launch (a count, not a rating). | no outcome group |
Source: launch collector · on-chain checks at birth · outcomes of every recorded launch · fetched
Creator and funderON RECORD
as of · creator and funder walletsread it →
Other launches by this creatorON RECORD
as of · launches on recordread it →
NO DATA YET This is the only launch on record from its creator.
Tools
as of
UMBRA was created on Solana at Oct 8, 2026 03:21 UTC on raydium by 8Ar3…r4As; status: alive.
Launch collector and on-chain checks; updated Oct 15, 2026.
UMBRA is alive; launches born with its LP locked (1–99%) died within 24 hours 90.3% of the time.
Returns from the first recorded price ($0.0000550): −5.6% at 1 hour, −26.4% at 6 hours, −51.9% at 24 hours, −91.3% at 72 hours; the peak was +16.4% and the last recorded return −92.9%.
This launch shares 5 birth features with past launches; each row shows how every recorded launch with that feature ended.
Outcomes of every recorded launch; groups with fewer than 8 launches are left out. As of Nov 5, 2026.
UMBRA's creator wallet age at birth (Oct 8, 2026 03:21 UTC) was 93.5 hours, in the 1–7 days group: 18.0% of 50 recorded launches in that group were dead within 24 hours and 10.0% alive at 72 hours.
Creator 8Ar3zNMgAZ7MEz5R1T8Gkh3hrpQC9RAdVpryiCQ2r4As: launcher, 1 token, 0 dead (100.0%); first seen Oct 4, 2026, last seen Oct 8, 2026.
No other launch by this creator is on record as of Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
as of · sources table
2 sources feed this page; 2 fetched successfully, the most recent at Nov 5, 2026 05:28 UTC; none reported an error on the latest fetch.
Birth features and returns come from the collector's CSV batch and its on-chain checks; the row was last updated 2026-10-15 03:21 UTC. Addresses are public blockchain data.
| Source | What it gave this page | Last successful fetch | Last error | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| collector_csv | every field on this page | 2026-11-05 04:05 UTC | none | — |
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Nov 5, 2026.