PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · governance votes · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-25

Governance votes of micro-cap tokens: all 141 measured cases

governance vote size · micro⚠ flipped on recent cases 171 cases on record last 5 cases: 3 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a governance vote?

higher the next day

48%

68 of 141 past cases

48% of past cases were higher (90% range 41-55%)

90% range 41%–55%

higher after 30 days

35%

49 of 140 cases measured after 30 days

35% of past cases were higher (90% range 29-42%)

90% range 29%–42% · typical move −15.1%

typical next day
−0.4%
typical after 30 days
−15.1%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−12.7%
best after 30 days
+159.0%
worst after 30 days
−61.5%
30 days: up · sideways · down
35 · 22 · 83

⚠ recent-cases check · flipped: 51% → 45% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

VOTEall governance votes against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
0−3…+3
7 days
0−3…+3
30 days
+2−2…+5

No clear edge 1, 7 or 30 days later: no 95% range clears the same coins' ordinary days with both halves of history agreeing (1,308 cases on 893 separate days). Coin by coin, it is a likely driver on 1 coin.

Every past governance vote, 30 days on 140 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 29 rose · ▼ 78 fell · ◆ 33 sideways (±9.6% over 30 days)

Each line is one past governance vote: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 140 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Governance votes of micro-cap tokens: 141 of the 171 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 68 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 48%, with a 90% range of 41% to 55%, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up141 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Governance votes of micro-cap tokens: 141 of the 171 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 68 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 48%, with a 90% range of 41% to 55%, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.

  • By day 30, 49 of the 140 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (35%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −15.1%, the best +159.0% and the worst −61.5%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −12.7% vs BTC and beat it in 24.3% of 140 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 51% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 45% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD1 scheduled

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • 9 days ago · GTC Gitcoin next day +18.5% · 7 days +40.7% · 30 days lands

1 scheduled governance vote meets every condition of this pattern. Each one is dated, and its move is measured from that day. A narrower pattern that also fits gives it its odds.

DateTokenEventSizeWhenIts odds come from
Balancer (BAL)[BIP-935] Claim leftover AAVE rewards—in 2 daysGovernance votes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories

Every past case171 cases

Every past governance vote behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 171 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

171 past cases of governance votes of micro-cap tokens, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Gitcoin (GTC) — +18.5% in 21 days in 21 days up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.6% +159.0% +151.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −7.3% −6.5% −15.0% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −11.3% −29.6% −10.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +13.7% +6.9% +8.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −4.3% −17.4% −15.2% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.9% −16.8% −21.3% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −16.8% −24.3% −14.2% down next day
2025
Gitcoin (GTC) — −5.8% −24.3% −12.2% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +1.8% −30.5% −15.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +3.2% −33.5% −26.3% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.0% −32.0% −29.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.5% −21.2% −20.8% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +7.6% −14.3% −12.4% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — 0.0% +18.3% +21.1% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +0.4% +30.2% +6.5% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −3.3% +31.4% +8.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −14.5% +0.6% −13.1% down next day
Metis Token (METIS) — +0.9% −25.0% −24.2% sideways next day
Metis Token (METIS) — +1.5% −28.5% −19.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −11.3% −19.3% −9.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.0% −24.7% −10.9% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.5% −20.7% −3.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.8% −24.2% −14.8% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +8.7% −27.1% −29.3% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −5.5% −43.7% −47.0% down next day
2024
Gitcoin (GTC) — −5.2% −30.4% −41.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +6.2% −37.3% −30.9% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −4.9% +40.5% +24.0% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −7.3% +18.8% −27.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −7.7% −1.5% −11.8% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +13.9% +2.6% −1.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.6% −3.7% −1.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +6.1% −6.5% −4.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −7.4% −30.8% −19.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +4.3% −3.3% −6.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −0.5% −7.9% −11.3% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −8.4% −40.1% −23.0% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.0% −24.8% −13.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −3.2% −23.7% −12.6% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +3.9% −22.5% −15.5% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +0.2% −22.3% −13.1% sideways next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +0.8% +38.5% +26.4% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.1% +45.2% +30.5% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +1.6% +5.1% −4.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +7.7% −40.8% −32.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.4% −35.9% −31.6% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −0.6% −36.9% −30.8% sideways next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −1.9% −30.6% −24.5% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −16.1% −43.1% −35.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.8% −11.9% −17.5% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +4.4% +37.7% −0.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −5.8% +16.3% −5.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −9.9% +12.9% −13.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +3.0% +90.3% +38.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.4% +49.8% +8.7% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +6.9% +36.9% +7.4% up next day
2023
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.9% −16.3% −14.7% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +4.5% +15.1% +16.6% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −3.2% +8.5% +8.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.0% +3.5% +3.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.2% +29.7% +12.8% up next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +0.0% −4.1% −18.5% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −5.1% −1.9% −13.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +4.5% +14.1% −10.9% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +11.1% +23.7% −2.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.6% +15.1% +3.7% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — +11.9% +24.9% +12.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +6.9% +13.9% −5.6% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −8.7% −5.2% −31.8% down next day
HOPR (HOPR) — — — — not measured yet
CyberConnect (CYBER) — −41.4% −56.1% −62.6% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.2% −10.7% +2.4% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.8% −15.0% −4.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.2% −15.2% −5.0% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — −5.4% −23.4% −18.5% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −10.3% +14.3% +17.0% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.1% −16.7% −10.4% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.6% −12.6% −9.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −0.4% −16.5% −12.9% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.8% +9.3% −7.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −7.3% −19.2% −30.6% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.1% −22.8% −34.1% down next day
HOPR (HOPR) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.3% −30.4% −23.8% up next day
HOPR (HOPR) — — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +0.8% −16.3% −12.1% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.2% −21.1% −16.9% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −0.4% −26.4% −17.4% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.2% −22.6% −20.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.1% −9.4% −11.9% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −23.1% −32.0% −33.6% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.9% +4.0% −3.4% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −8.9% +9.4% −14.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −15.8% −16.2% −36.2% down next day
Across Protocol (ACX) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −2.1% −2.6% −14.9% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.5% +0.1% −13.8% down next day
LFJ (JOE) — +2.9% +66.4% +23.6% up next day
2022
Loopring (LRC) — −2.5% −18.1% −17.3% down next day
Hashflow (HFT) — −5.4% −43.9% −42.6% down next day
Hashflow (HFT) — −9.3% −47.4% −44.9% down next day
Hashflow (HFT) — +2.9% −48.4% −44.8% up next day
Hashflow (HFT) — +4.7% −46.8% −47.8% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Hashflow (HFT) — +6.2% −44.4% −47.0% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Hashflow (HFT) — +7.3% −42.2% −43.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.0% −15.6% −19.0% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −10.3% −17.8% −19.0% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −9.9% −22.0% −20.4% down next day
Rocket Pool (RPL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +18.2% +0.7% +19.8% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +5.3% +5.8% +19.9% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.4% −19.7% −1.6% down next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Loopring (LRC) — +6.5% −15.4% −16.0% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +1.4% −23.5% −13.1% up next day
Loopring (LRC) — +2.7% −18.0% −8.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.3% −28.0% −13.8% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +7.5% −18.1% −11.9% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −12.0% −33.5% −17.2% down next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +3.0% +1.0% +6.6% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.0% +40.9% +21.1% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −11.7% +26.4% +11.6% down next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +9.4% +4.7% −8.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +3.3% −7.8% +23.5% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +12.0% +31.1% +58.6% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.1% +1.5% +33.2% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +2.1% −2.9% +25.1% up next day
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Gitcoin (GTC) — +4.9% −56.7% −35.1% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +10.4% −61.5% −34.9% up next day
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — +20.2% +2.0% +17.6% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — +4.6% +3.4% +19.6% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — +1.7% +34.9% +34.7% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.9% −12.0% −10.3% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — +24.6% +3.3% +6.4% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −6.9% +11.0% +4.1% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — +5.9% +18.2% −3.1% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — −4.0% −13.7% −15.5% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −13.9% −25.0% −18.7% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — +2.5% −18.2% −11.3% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — +2.9% +7.2% −8.6% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — +8.4% +1.1% −0.3% up next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −5.7% −20.3% −23.0% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −8.4% −12.4% −14.2% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — +0.5% −19.0% −17.8% sideways next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −8.6% −35.1% −31.2% down next day
Gitcoin (GTC) — −1.5% −29.3% −28.5% down next day

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 141 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answered from this count

What does the 48% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 68 of the 141 measured past cases of governance votes of micro-cap tokens closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 25, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 41% to 55% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 141.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 51% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 45% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 171 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every governance vote with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.