PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
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Pattern · TVL crashs · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-24

TVL crashes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories: all 319 measured cases

TVL crash category · othersize · micro⚠ flipped on recent cases 693 cases on record last 5 cases: 1 up

Explained and tested in our research: What happens to a coin in the 30 days after a TVL crash?

higher the next day

45%

144 of 319 past cases

45% of past cases were higher (90% range 41-50%)

90% range 41%–50%

higher after 30 days

32%

100 of 316 cases measured after 30 days

32% of past cases were higher (90% range 28-36%)

90% range 28%–36% · typical move −11.1%

typical next day
−0.8%
typical after 30 days
−11.1%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−10.0%
best after 30 days
+1679.2%
worst after 30 days
−95.5%
30 days: up · sideways · down
79 · 58 · 179

⚠ recent-cases check · flipped: 42% → 50% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

TVL DROPall TVL crashes against the same coins' ordinary days, not only this pattern'sthe atlas →

1 day
−3−9…+3
7 days
−4−10…+2
30 days
−6−11…0

After TVL crashes, the price was higher 30 days later in 33% of 350 cases on 263 separate days, against 39% of the same coins' ordinary days: −6 points (95% range −11 to 0; older half −9, newer half −3).

Every past TVL crash, 30 days on 316 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 68 rose · ▼ 164 fell · ◆ 84 sideways (±9.7% over 30 days)

Each line is one past TVL crash: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 316 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

TVL crashes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories: 319 of the 693 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 144 of those 319 closed higher — a base rate of 45%, with a 90% range of 41% to 50%, counted as of Oct 24, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up319 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

TVL crashes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories: 319 of the 693 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 144 of those 319 closed higher — a base rate of 45%, with a 90% range of 41% to 50%, counted as of Oct 24, 2026.

  • By day 30, 100 of the 316 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (32%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −11.1%, the best +1679.2% and the worst −95.5%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −10.0% vs BTC and beat it in 30.4% of 316 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

In play · cases of the last 30 days whose 30-day move is still running

  • yesterday · B2 Bsquared Network 30 days lands
  • 6 days ago · DOLO Dolomite next day −3.1% · 30 days lands
  • 7 days ago · G Gravity next day −5.7% · 30 days lands
  • 7 days ago · HEMI Hemi next day −5.2% · 30 days lands
  • 15 days ago · QUICK Quickswap [OLD] 30 days lands
  • 20 days ago · BLAST Blast Token next day +16.1% · 7 days −47.0% · 30 days lands

NO DATA YET No scheduled TVL crash meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 24, 2026.

Every past case693 cases

Every past TVL crash behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 693 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

693 past cases of tvl crashes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Bsquared Network (B2) — — in 29 days in 29 days not measured yet
Dolomite (DOLO) — −3.1% in 24 days in 24 days down next day
Gravity (G) — −5.7% in 23 days in 23 days down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — −5.2% in 23 days in 23 days down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — in 15 days in 15 days not measured yet
Blast Token (BLAST) — +16.1% in 10 days in 10 days up next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) — −2.0% in 9 days in 9 days down next day
Gravity (G) — −2.6% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Gains Network (GNS) — −4.6% in 6 days in 6 days down next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Bluefin (BLUE) — −0.0% −13.0% −16.6% sideways next day
Grove Finance (GROVE) — +1.8% −24.1% −31.6% up next day
Puffer (PUFFER) — 0.0% +30.9% +23.3% sideways next day
Veranta (AVNT) — −7.1% +32.0% +26.7% down next day
Moonwell (WELL) — −5.3% −19.8% −27.1% down next day
Power Protocol (POWER) — +1.8% +49.5% +37.6% up next day
Solstice (SLX) — −2.7% +1.0% −10.9% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — −0.9% +34.4% +13.0% sideways next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — +0.5% +11.3% −10.5% sideways next day
Avalon (AVL) — −2.7% −8.5% −27.9% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −6.3% +35.0% +18.4% down next day
PumpBTC (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) — −2.1% +2.8% +1.9% down next day
Lombard (BARD) — +1.7% −14.5% −12.0% up next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — −0.5% −4.9% −4.5% sideways next day
Moss Coin (MOC) — — — — not measured yet
PumpBTC (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Resolv (RESOLV) — −2.8% −27.3% −32.0% down next day
GAIB (GAIB) — +0.7% +11.2% +6.6% sideways next day
Avalon (AVL) — −4.6% −16.2% −23.7% down next day
SSV Network (SSV) — −7.1% −2.8% −8.2% down next day
Taiko (TAIKO) — −10.5% +18.4% +16.2% down next day
River (RIVER) — −16.6% −34.5% −36.2% down next day
Lombard (BARD) — −6.2% −23.2% −20.5% down next day
Resolv (RESOLV) — −2.2% +13.4% +14.9% down next day
Renzo (REZ) — +5.0% −23.0% −23.9% up next day
Marinade (MNDE) — −0.4% +2.8% +2.6% sideways next day
Hyperlane (HYPER) — +6.0% +4.9% +1.0% up next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Treehouse (TREE) — −0.4% −3.4% −8.2% sideways next day
Bluefin (BLUE) — +5.6% +2.8% −2.1% up next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — +2.2% −36.5% −18.5% up next day
River (RIVER) — +1.5% −43.7% −25.7% up next day
Unitas (UP) — +11.5% +2.2% +21.2% up next day
GAIB (GAIB) — −2.8% −14.8% +4.2% down next day
Stake DAO (SDT) — — — — not measured yet
Bsquared Network (B2) — −19.6% −13.9% +1.4% down next day
Aquarius (AQUA) — — — — not measured yet
Marinade (MNDE) — −0.7% −8.4% +8.9% sideways next day
MYX Finance (MYX) — −10.7% −17.2% −1.0% down next day
Resolv (RESOLV) — +1.7% −51.9% −30.8% up next day
Renzo (REZ) — +14.0% −46.2% −24.9% up next day
GAIB (GAIB) — +1.2% −9.0% −4.1% up next day
River (RIVER) — +0.1% −1.5% −1.3% sideways next day
Spell Token (SPELL) — +0.2% −3.6% −1.8% sideways next day
Euler (EUL) — +9.7% −1.3% −3.7% up next day
Dolomite (DOLO) — +0.7% −3.6% −5.9% sideways next day
Treehouse (TREE) — +0.9% −1.9% −4.3% sideways next day
TermMax (TMX) — — — — not measured yet
Resolv (RESOLV) — +3.6% −15.5% −27.0% up next day
Dolomite (DOLO) — +1.1% −4.5% −23.7% up next day
Alchemix (ALCX) — +1.4% +7.4% −11.9% up next day
Dogelon Mars (ELON) — +0.2% +6.5% −10.9% sideways next day
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — +15.2% −6.4% −23.8% up next day
Hyperion (RION) — −17.1% −41.6% −56.2% down next day
GRVT Token (GRVT) — — — — not measured yet
River (RIVER) — −8.0% −77.4% −88.1% down next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Thena (THE) — +0.7% −30.5% −36.8% sideways next day
Babylon (BABY) — −12.1% −2.1% −2.4% down next day
Opinion (OPN) — +0.7% −42.9% −46.9% sideways next day
River (RIVER) — −25.0% −27.0% −34.0% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — −1.9% −1.5% −2.6% down next day
Zeus Network (ZEUS) — −6.6% −24.7% −25.8% down next day
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
Opinion (OPN) — +6.2% −61.6% −65.1% up next day
DODO (DODO) — −2.0% −6.8% −8.2% down next day
Power Protocol (POWER) — +4.8% −95.5% −93.3% up next day
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Comtech Gold (CGO) — — — — not measured yet
Superform (UP) — +11.3% +62.3% +61.0% up next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — −4.1% −7.2% −10.9% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — −4.1% +33.8% +28.0% down next day
Wirex Token (WXT) — −1.5% −0.8% −6.6% down next day
Beefy (BIFI) — −1.2% −9.0% −14.9% down next day
Unitas (UP) — — — — not measured yet
RateX (RTX) — — — — not measured yet
Gravity (G) — −3.6% −15.9% −12.8% down next day
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
Wirex Token (WXT) — −0.1% +2.6% +5.6% sideways next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −6.2% −5.1% −2.0% down next day
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — +1.7% +2.2% −2.7% up next day
Gearbox (GEAR) — — — — not measured yet
RateX (RTX) — — — — not measured yet
Zircuit (ZRC) — −1.1% −5.5% +12.8% down next day
Lombard (BARD) — −18.1% +30.1% +52.4% down next day
SaucerSwap (SAUCE) — −12.3% −4.3% +17.9% down next day
Hyperion (RION) — −10.9% −25.4% −3.1% down next day
Badger (BADGER) — — — — not measured yet
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — +16.0% −29.6% −1.7% up next day
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
River (RIVER) — +53.6% −50.1% −21.0% up next day
River (RIVER) — +55.3% +13.4% +33.5% up next day
Ankr (ANKR) — +2.2% −24.0% −11.5% up next day
2025
TermMax (TMX) — — — — not measured yet
River (RIVER) — +12.5% +1679.2% +1677.5% up next day
River (RIVER) — −48.2% +265.2% +255.3% down next day
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — +1.2% −1.8% −11.8% up next day
Solayer (LAYER) — −6.7% −14.3% −20.0% down next day
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — −1.0% +4.1% +4.7% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — +7.5% +22.6% +24.0% up next day
Momentum (MMT) — — — — not measured yet
Zerobase (ZBT) — +0.6% −5.4% −2.5% sideways next day
Opinion (OPN) — — — — not measured yet
River (RIVER) — +1.5% +31.7% +29.4% up next day
Zeus Network (ZEUS) — −8.9% −45.2% −41.7% down next day
LAB (LAB) — −13.6% −5.1% +0.1% down next day
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — −34.9% −49.3% −42.0% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — −7.4% −46.3% −37.7% down next day
AdEx (ADX) — +0.2% −25.0% −13.4% sideways next day
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — −26.7% −50.0% −38.8% down next day
Opinion (OPN) — — — — not measured yet
Gearbox (GEAR) — — — — not measured yet
AdEx (ADX) — +4.5% −20.0% −5.9% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — +3.5% −11.8% +2.3% up next day
GoPlus (GPS) — +2.7% +9.2% +21.2% up next day
Aura (AURA) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Smooth Love Potion (SLP) — +1.8% −15.9% +0.7% up next day
Momentum (MMT) — — — — not measured yet
Mitosis (MITO) — +10.1% −31.3% −17.9% up next day
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — +0.6% −24.2% −12.6% sideways next day
Zeus Network (ZEUS) — −11.1% −58.0% −46.5% down next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — +12.2% −19.9% −13.0% up next day
Momentum (MMT) — — — — not measured yet
Teller (DEBIT) — — — — not measured yet
Gravity (G) — +12.4% −16.1% −9.2% up next day
Metis Token (METIS) — +21.6% +3.1% +10.0% up next day
BENQI (QI) — +19.9% −17.7% −10.8% up next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +16.3% −9.3% −2.4% up next day
LFJ (JOE) — +21.4% −4.5% +2.4% up next day
STBL (STBL) — +21.3% −25.5% −18.6% up next day
EVAA Protocol (EVAA) — +23.6% −11.1% −4.2% up next day
Kava Lend (HARD) — — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
Haedal Protocol (HAEDAL) — +17.0% −25.0% −18.2% up next day
Cellframe (CELL) — +12.6% −4.6% +2.2% up next day
LAB (LAB) — — +31.0% +44.9% not measured yet
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — — — — not measured yet
Kava Lend (HARD) — — — — not measured yet
Mitosis (MITO) — +14.7% −30.2% −23.0% up next day
TermMax (TMX) — — — — not measured yet
LFJ (JOE) — +8.9% −21.5% −26.6% up next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Mansory (MNSRY) — −0.3% −5.6% −1.2% sideways next day
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — — — — not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) — +24.4% −27.9% −24.0% up next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
BOB (Build on Bitcoin) (BOB) — — — — not measured yet
Mitosis (MITO) — +46.6% −40.7% −40.0% up next day
Kava Lend (HARD) — — — — not measured yet
Cellframe (CELL) — −4.2% +5.4% −4.1% down next day
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — −6.1% −15.2% −20.0% down next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
SynFutures (F) — −4.9% +82.8% +83.0% down next day
Zircuit (ZRC) — −7.8% −11.0% −10.2% down next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — +5.7% +12.1% +14.7% up next day
SynFutures (F) — −9.8% +178.3% +184.3% down next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — −13.8% +8.8% +12.2% down next day
PumpBTC (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Zest Protocol (ZEST) — — — — not measured yet
Cellframe (CELL) — +1.5% −21.5% −18.0% up next day
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — — — — not measured yet
Puffer (PUFFER) — −7.2% −0.7% +5.8% down next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — +0.9% +6.8% +13.2% sideways next day
River (RIVER) — — — — not measured yet
Turtle (turtle.xyz) (TURTLE) — — — — not measured yet
Avalon (AVL) — −1.9% +2.5% +4.0% down next day
SynFutures (F) — +1.3% −10.3% −10.0% up next day
Spell Token (SPELL) — −0.5% +7.5% +4.7% sideways next day
Thena (THE) — +16.7% +69.1% +62.0% up next day
Biconomy (BICO) — −5.3% +5.4% +1.2% down next day
MCDEX (MCB) — — — — not measured yet
Maverick Token (MAV) — −13.7% −13.7% −17.1% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +5.9% −0.6% −12.3% up next day
Ankr (ANKR) — −4.6% +18.9% +8.0% down next day
StakeStone (STO) — −0.3% +48.3% +36.0% sideways next day
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
DeGate (DG) — — — — not measured yet
Hemi (HEMI) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — −2.3% −1.6% −14.0% down next day
KiloEx (KILO) — — — — not measured yet
Manta Network (MANTA) — +3.1% −18.8% −22.6% up next day
Dogelon Mars (ELON) — −3.8% −10.4% −14.2% down next day
StakeStone (STO) — +1.1% −21.4% −25.2% up next day
River (RIVER) — — — — not measured yet
PumpBTC (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
Hemi (HEMI) — — — — not measured yet
UniCrypt (UNCX) — — — — not measured yet
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Cellframe (CELL) — +8.3% −7.8% −10.8% up next day
SmarDex (SDEX) — — — — not measured yet
Maverick Token (MAV) — −5.2% −33.5% −31.7% down next day
Momentum (MMT) — — — — not measured yet
NAVI Protocol (NAVX) — +3.2% −37.0% −35.1% up next day
Haedal Protocol (HAEDAL) — −6.2% −11.8% −10.0% down next day
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — −5.6% −51.1% −41.5% down next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Hyperion (RION) — — — — not measured yet
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — −3.7% −33.4% −35.2% down next day
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
StakeStone (STO) — −5.5% −35.6% −39.9% down next day
Dolomite (DOLO) — −2.9% −23.6% −28.8% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
KiloEx (KILO) — — — — not measured yet
Zest Protocol (ZEST) — — — — not measured yet
Canopy (CNPY) — — — — not measured yet
ApeX Token (APEX) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Babylon (BABY) — −2.6% +14.6% −10.7% down next day
KiloEx (KILO) — — — — not measured yet
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Avalon (AVL) — −5.8% +4.8% −18.9% down next day
Zircuit (ZRC) — −17.7% +29.5% +16.6% down next day
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
WOO (WOO) — −9.6% +2.4% −11.4% down next day
Corn (CORN) — — — — not measured yet
Spell Token (SPELL) — −5.1% −4.0% −12.9% down next day
AdEx (ADX) — −0.8% −23.4% −24.5% sideways next day
Lombard (BARD) — — — — not measured yet
Access Protocol (ACS) — −3.1% −23.3% −21.3% down next day
Hemi (HEMI) — — — — not measured yet
NKYC (NKYC) — — — — not measured yet
Comtech Gold (CGO) — — — — not measured yet
Gearbox (GEAR) — — — — not measured yet
SynFutures (F) — — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — — — — not measured yet
GRVT Token (GRVT) — — — — not measured yet
Corn (CORN) — — — — not measured yet
Zircuit (ZRC) — −6.8% −19.6% −16.9% down next day
STBL (STBL) — — — — not measured yet
ApeX Token (APEX) — — — — not measured yet
Zircuit (ZRC) — −9.8% −13.9% −2.7% down next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
RateX (RTX) — — — — not measured yet
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Aquarius (AQUA) — — — — not measured yet
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — +1.7% −37.9% −35.0% up next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Bluefin (BLUE) — — — — not measured yet
2024
Enzyme (MLN) — −5.5% −29.7% −36.0% down next day
Corn (CORN) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
BOB (Build on Bitcoin) (BOB) — — — — not measured yet
BiFi (BIFI) — — — — not measured yet
Metis Token (METIS) — +11.9% −26.3% −24.4% up next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — — — — not measured yet
Sonic SVM (SONIC) — — — — not measured yet
BOB (Build on Bitcoin) (BOB) — — — — not measured yet
UniCrypt (UNCX) — — — — not measured yet
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Puffer (PUFFER) — — — — not measured yet
Resolv (RESOLV) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — −8.4% +39.2% +6.0% down next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
MDEX (HECO) (MDX) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — +7.1% +13.5% −19.7% up next day
Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) — — — — not measured yet
MCDEX (MCB) — — — — not measured yet
PumpBTC (PUMP) — — — — not measured yet
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — −1.6% +3.7% −10.6% down next day
Resolv (RESOLV) — — — — not measured yet
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — −8.2% −13.3% −23.8% down next day
MCDEX (MCB) — — — — not measured yet
Bsquared Network (B2) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
RCH Token (RCH) — — — — not measured yet
Aura (AURA) — — — — not measured yet
HTX (HTX) — — — — not measured yet
Yelay (YLAY) — — — — not measured yet
Dogelon Mars (ELON) — — — — not measured yet
Citrea (CTR) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
SynFutures (F) — — — — not measured yet
Suilend (SEND) — — — — not measured yet
RCH Token (RCH) — — — — not measured yet
LFJ (JOE) — +6.6% +1.5% +3.4% up next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −0.1% −13.7% −19.2% sideways next day
Citrea (CTR) — — — — not measured yet
Orderly Network (ORDER) — — — — not measured yet
Bluefin (BLUE) — — — — not measured yet
Sonic SVM (SONIC) — — — — not measured yet
ALEX Lab (ALEX) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — +3.4% −3.7% −12.3% up next day
Arai (AA) — — — — not measured yet
MYX Finance (MYX) — — — — not measured yet
Yelay (YLAY) — — — — not measured yet
Spell Token (SPELL) — −2.6% +4.6% −0.5% down next day
Taiko (TAIKO) — — — — not measured yet
Core DAO (CORE) — — — — not measured yet
Frankencoin (ZCHF) — — — — not measured yet
Aura (AURA) — — — — not measured yet
Badger (BADGER) — −5.8% −13.6% −11.8% down next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — +2.6% −18.5% −16.5% up next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
LFJ (JOE) — −6.2% −22.8% −9.5% down next day
Loopring (LRC) — −0.9% −32.0% −14.5% sideways next day
Synapse (SYN) — −6.9% −24.4% −7.2% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — −7.3% −38.6% −20.5% down next day
UniCrypt (UNCX) — — — — not measured yet
MDEX (HECO) (MDX) — +2.5% −32.0% −21.2% up next day
EVAA Protocol (EVAA) — — — — not measured yet
Marinade (MNDE) — +9.0% −9.4% −20.7% up next day
Stake DAO (SDT) — — — — not measured yet
LATOKEN (LA) — — — — not measured yet
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Ankr (ANKR) — −0.6% +2.0% −0.9% sideways next day
WOO (WOO) — −4.3% −32.1% −20.0% down next day
AUSD (AUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
WOO (WOO) — +9.0% −33.0% −24.5% up next day
LAB (LAB) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −2.9% −39.8% −35.6% down next day
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Sonic SVM (SONIC) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Manta Network (MANTA) — +23.4% −3.6% −10.0% up next day
Blast Token (BLAST) — — — — not measured yet
Moss Coin (MOC) — — — — not measured yet
Sonic SVM (SONIC) — — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — — — — not measured yet
UniCrypt (UNCX) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — −12.6% −10.1% not measured yet
2023
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +0.7% −2.8% −18.0% sideways next day
Bancor (BNT) — −1.7% −11.0% −29.0% down next day
Echelon Prime (PRIME) — — — — not measured yet
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — +2.2% +31.7% +21.1% up next day
Bella Protocol (BEL) — +2.9% +5.9% −19.8% up next day
ALEX Lab (ALEX) — — — — not measured yet
Polkadot Token (DOT) — −3.6% +24.2% +14.6% down next day
DODO (DODO) — −2.8% +21.7% −7.2% down next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −3.8% +80.4% +53.9% down next day
LFJ (JOE) — −6.8% +5.8% −20.7% down next day
ALEX Lab (ALEX) — — — — not measured yet
Chromia (CHR) — +4.7% +8.4% +7.7% up next day
Aura (AURA) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — −3.5% −13.2% −13.7% down next day
Spark (SPK) — — — — not measured yet
Multichain (MULTI) — +1.2% −19.5% −8.2% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — −3.4% −18.5% −7.5% down next day
Perpetual Protocol (PERP) — −1.3% −19.6% −6.5% down next day
Citrea (CTR) — — — — not measured yet
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +1.5% −28.0% −16.7% up next day
Alchemix (ALCX) — −4.0% −11.2% +0.1% down next day
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Lista DAO (LISTA) — — — — not measured yet
Multichain (MULTI) — −10.3% −22.7% −15.9% down next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Verse World (VERSE) — — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — — — — not measured yet
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −2.9% −22.5% −26.9% down next day
MDEX (HECO) (MDX) — +1.8% −11.8% −7.9% up next day
Delysium (AGI) — — — — not measured yet
Cetus Protocol (CETUS) — — — — not measured yet
Access Protocol (ACS) — — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
Marinade (MNDE) — — — — not measured yet
Delysium (AGI) — — — — not measured yet
Yelay (YLAY) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −10.6% −21.0% −9.5% down next day
SmarDex (SDEX) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Kava Lend (HARD) — +2.7% −23.1% −11.8% up next day
BabySwap (BABY) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Gearbox (GEAR) — — — — not measured yet
Echelon Prime (PRIME) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — +12.7% +15.1% −20.8% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — — — — not measured yet
Thena (THE) — — — — not measured yet
Hashflow (HFT) — +6.2% −12.8% −48.7% up next day
AUSD (AUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +13.6% +23.7% −23.9% up next day
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
Stader (SD) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
XMAQUINA (DEUS) — — — — not measured yet
Keep Network (KEEP) — — — — not measured yet
Multichain (MULTI) — +23.2% +48.1% +33.0% up next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Lista DAO (LISTA) — — — — not measured yet
2022
Gains Network (GNS) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −0.3% −21.2% −20.7% sideways next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −0.3% −21.2% −20.7% sideways next day
Lista DAO (LISTA) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −2.1% −25.8% −22.1% down next day
Loopring (LRC) — +5.1% −9.5% −16.1% up next day
VVS Finance (VVS) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — +3.5% +10.8% +1.8% up next day
Badger (BADGER) — −1.2% +3.2% −2.6% down next day
Yelay (YLAY) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — −8.2% +10.9% +13.9% down next day
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Spell Token (SPELL) — +13.2% +3.6% −3.9% up next day
Marinade (MNDE) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — +12.9% +16.3% +8.7% up next day
Serum (SRM) — +18.5% — — up next day
TrueFi (TRU) — +12.9% +16.3% +8.7% up next day
Euler (EUL) — — — — not measured yet
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −5.0% −30.7% −11.0% down next day
Hashflow (HFT) — — — — not measured yet
LFJ (JOE) — −5.0% −12.7% −8.2% down next day
DAO Maker Token (DAO) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Stake DAO (SDT) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −9.2% −15.9% −10.2% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −9.2% −15.9% −10.2% down next day
Serum (SRM) — +0.3% −14.9% −2.9% sideways next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — +13.7% −10.0% −8.0% up next day
Alchemix (ALCX) — −0.4% −15.4% −10.6% sideways next day
Truth (TRU) — +2.1% −14.7% −4.0% up next day
TrueFi (TRU) — +2.1% −14.7% −4.0% up next day
AUSD (AUSD) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — +5.4% −15.2% −5.5% up next day
Moonwell (WELL) — — — — not measured yet
Stake DAO (SDT) — — — — not measured yet
Moonwell (WELL) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −5.1% −17.9% −13.8% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −5.1% −17.9% −13.8% down next day
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Perpetual Protocol (PERP) — −5.6% −17.4% −6.4% down next day
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −2.9% +28.0% +7.3% down next day
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — −1.9% −2.5% −15.1% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Spell Token (SPELL) — +6.7% +43.5% +30.6% up next day
Serum (SRM) — −2.6% +21.0% +19.0% down next day
Harvest Finance (FARM) — +4.1% +42.1% +48.2% up next day
Truth (TRU) — −8.6% +36.0% +42.1% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −8.6% +36.0% +42.1% down next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Keep Network (KEEP) — — — — not measured yet
Loopring (LRC) — −4.2% −0.8% +5.1% down next day
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) — — — — not measured yet
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — −12.5% +7.1% +13.0% down next day
Tarot (TAROT) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — −12.3% −27.9% −4.0% down next day
Enzyme (MLN) — −14.8% −7.0% +25.0% down next day
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Harvest Finance (FARM) — −11.5% −17.2% +20.0% down next day
Keep Network (KEEP) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — +1.2% −19.4% +10.2% up next day
Ren (REN) — +3.2% −25.3% +8.7% up next day
Badger (BADGER) — +6.6% −40.5% −7.7% up next day
Truth (TRU) — −4.6% −40.6% −7.8% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −4.6% −40.6% −7.8% down next day
Clearpool (CPOOL) — — — — not measured yet
Access Protocol (ACS) — — — — not measured yet
Kava Lend (HARD) — +100.0% +15.9% +39.1% up next day
Bancor (BNT) — +5.9% −25.7% −17.3% up next day
BENQI (QI) — +14.0% +44.9% +53.3% up next day
Spell Token (SPELL) — +9.8% −33.3% −24.9% up next day
Origin Protocol (OGN) — +20.9% +7.4% +15.8% up next day
LFJ (JOE) — +19.7% −47.9% −39.5% up next day
Marinade (MNDE) — — — — not measured yet
Drift Protocol (DRIFT) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +14.0% +85.1% +93.5% up next day
BabySwap (BABY) — — — — not measured yet
Solv Protocol (SOLV) — — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
Beefy (BIFI) — +12.8% +35.2% +43.6% up next day
XMAQUINA (DEUS) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Tarot (TAROT) — — — — not measured yet
pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) — — — — not measured yet
DAO Maker Token (DAO) — — — — not measured yet
Folks Finance (FOLKS) — — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) — — — — not measured yet
Pangolin (PNG) — — — — not measured yet
Stader (SD) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −28.8% −35.3% −29.1% down next day
Darkweb Metaverse (DARK) — — — — not measured yet
Ren (REN) — −8.7% −46.6% −33.7% down next day
Truth (TRU) — −4.6% −48.0% −26.7% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −4.6% −48.0% −26.7% down next day
Darkweb Metaverse (DARK) — — — — not measured yet
Tarot (TAROT) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −4.8% −46.3% −23.8% down next day
XMAQUINA (DEUS) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
WOO (WOO) — +1.0% −54.9% −30.1% sideways next day
Bone ShibaSwap (BONE) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −3.8% −47.3% −17.7% down next day
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
TrueFi (TRU) — −3.8% −47.3% −17.7% down next day
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Badger (BADGER) — +2.4% −52.4% −25.5% up next day
XMAQUINA (DEUS) — — — — not measured yet
Agora by Virtuals (AGORA) — — — — not measured yet
Origin Protocol (OGN) — −9.7% −21.1% −6.6% down next day
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
MyShell (SHELL) — — — — not measured yet
WOO (WOO) — +0.5% −22.7% −14.7% sideways next day
Serum (SRM) — −1.2% −25.3% −17.3% down next day
DODO (DODO) — +8.1% −2.6% −1.4% up next day
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −3.8% +12.3% +0.6% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −3.8% +12.3% +0.6% down next day
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Synapse (SYN) — — — — not measured yet
Celer Network (CELR) — −4.3% −28.9% −31.6% down next day
Tribe (TRIBE) — −5.1% −19.8% −22.6% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Beefy (BIFI) — — — — not measured yet
Tarot (TAROT) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −22.5% −24.0% −20.2% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −22.5% −24.0% −20.2% down next day
Aladdin DAO (ALD) — — — — not measured yet
SpaceChain (SPC) — — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
Aladdin DAO (ALD) — — — — not measured yet
2021
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +0.3% −30.8% −12.9% sideways next day
Wilder World (WILD) — — — — not measured yet
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +7.2% −13.3% −2.0% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Perpetual Protocol (PERP) — −2.0% −6.7% +5.2% down next day
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
DEAPcoin (DEP) — — — — not measured yet
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — +4.9% −16.1% −4.0% up next day
Celer Network (CELR) — −13.2% −3.3% +3.5% down next day
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +2.4% −22.9% −11.2% up next day
Alethea Artificial Liquid Intelligence Token (ALI) — — — — not measured yet
ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) — +88.7% −4.0% +15.2% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
DEAPcoin (DEP) — — — — not measured yet
Wilder World (WILD) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — +7.1% −27.7% −16.8% up next day
TrueFi (TRU) — +7.1% −27.7% −16.8% up next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −4.1% −7.8% −11.0% down next day
Aladdin DAO (ALD) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −3.3% −4.3% −15.4% down next day
BENQI (QI) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — +2.5% +19.7% −5.1% up next day
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Alethea Artificial Liquid Intelligence Token (ALI) — — — — not measured yet
BarnBridge (BOND) — +9.2% +19.5% −24.3% up next day
MAGIC (MAGIC) — — — — not measured yet
MyShell (SHELL) — — — — not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
Osmosis (OSMO) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — +4.8% −29.9% −58.8% up next day
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Iron Fish (IRON) — — — — not measured yet
Pangolin (PNG) — — — — not measured yet
Goldfinch (GFI) — — — — not measured yet
Iron Fish (IRON) — — — — not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
BarnBridge (BOND) — +0.3% −3.6% −3.7% sideways next day
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +14.5% +20.6% +17.0% up next day
Illuvium (ILV) — — — — not measured yet
Tokemak (TOKE) — — — — not measured yet
Perpetual Protocol (PERP) — +0.2% +24.6% −2.1% sideways next day
Iron Fish (IRON) — — — — not measured yet
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — +2.8% +310.1% +285.8% up next day
TrueFi (TRU) — +2.8% +310.1% +285.8% up next day
Bone ShibaSwap (BONE) — — — — not measured yet
Tokenlon (LON) — — — — not measured yet
Iron Fish (IRON) — — — — not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Illuvium (ILV) — — — — not measured yet
Loopring (LRC) — −1.1% +20.1% −16.7% down next day
Truth (TRU) — +2.0% +223.0% +186.2% up next day
TrueFi (TRU) — +2.0% +223.0% +186.2% up next day
Spell Token (SPELL) — — — — not measured yet
Flamingo Finance (FLM) — +3.4% −0.8% −3.0% up next day
Beefy (BIFI) — — — — not measured yet
BabySwap (BABY) — — — — not measured yet
DEAPcoin (DEP) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — +5.2% −19.6% −17.9% up next day
Loopring (LRC) — +14.7% −13.3% −17.1% up next day
Channels (CAN) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −26.8% −44.4% −32.2% down next day
Tornado Cash (TORN) — — — — not measured yet
MDEX (HECO) (MDX) — — −0.1% +12.0% not measured yet
Liquity (LQTY) — — — — not measured yet
Loopring (LRC) — −22.5% −33.3% −21.2% down next day
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Enzyme (MLN) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — — — — not measured yet
Ankr (ANKR) — +12.0% −33.9% −30.6% up next day
Bancor (BNT) — −4.4% −27.7% −24.4% down next day
Perle (PRL) — — — — not measured yet
Keep Network (KEEP) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −9.7% −10.9% −7.6% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −2.4% −44.1% −40.8% down next day
Pangolin (PNG) — — — — not measured yet
Access Protocol (ACS) — — — — not measured yet
Stake DAO (SDT) — — — — not measured yet
StakeWise (SWISE) — — — — not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
Cryptex (CTX) — — — — not measured yet
Serum (SRM) — −41.0% −55.8% −43.3% down next day
Badger (BADGER) — −8.0% −54.6% −33.1% down next day
Core DAO (CORE) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — — — — not measured yet
Cryptex (CTX) — — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
Core DAO (CORE) — — — — not measured yet
Tribe (TRIBE) — — — — not measured yet
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −3.0% −4.1% −2.3% down next day
Siren (SIREN) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — −2.9% −17.9% −27.6% down next day
Kava Lend (HARD) — −6.7% +48.0% +27.7% down next day
Pangolin (PNG) — — — — not measured yet
Truth (TRU) — −11.2% +28.4% +16.0% down next day
TrueFi (TRU) — −11.2% +28.4% +16.0% down next day
BarnBridge (BOND) — — — — not measured yet
BarnBridge (BOND) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −3.4% +66.1% +25.4% down next day
Truth (TRU) — — +68.0% +37.6% not measured yet
TrueFi (TRU) — — +68.0% +37.6% not measured yet
HEGIC (HEGIC) — — — — not measured yet
BarnBridge (BOND) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — — — — not measured yet
Harvest Finance (FARM) — — — — not measured yet
2020
IdleMine (IDLE) — — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) — −8.2% +52.9% +14.6% down next day
INV (INV) — — — — not measured yet
MyShell (SHELL) — — — — not measured yet
DODO (DODO) — — — — not measured yet
Loopring (LRC) — +0.3% −15.1% −68.3% sideways next day
Truth (TRU) — — — — not measured yet
TrueFi (TRU) — — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) — −19.9% +69.5% +40.3% down next day
BarnBridge (BOND) — — — — not measured yet
BarnBridge (BOND) — — — — not measured yet
Harvest Finance (FARM) — — — — not measured yet
Balancer (BAL) — +6.1% −31.0% −70.0% up next day
Sushi (SUSHI) — −24.6% −69.1% −79.6% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — −3.4% −27.8% −31.1% down next day
Balancer (BAL) — — — — not measured yet

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 319 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group and market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose side flips (its share crosses 50%) is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answered from this count

What does the 45% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 144 of the 319 measured past cases of tVL crashes of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 24, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 41% to 50% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 319.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 42% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 50% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 693 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every TVL crash with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.