Market cap $24.27M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 497 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%−20%0%+20%+10% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±3.4% over 1 day)
Bold: RIVER's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 497 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to RIVER's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.08−13%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.23−1.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.44+15%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.3%
Likely range
−13% to +15%$1.08 – $1.44
540 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RIVER price prediction for this week
55%chance RIVER is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $24.27M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 45% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 497 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%0%+100%+200%+10% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±3.4% over 7 days)
Bold: RIVER's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 497 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to RIVER's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.936−25%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.21−2.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.67+35%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.5%
Likely range
−25% to +35%$0.936 – $1.67
538 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RIVER price prediction for the next 30 days
54%chance RIVER is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $24.27M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 497 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−100%0%+100%+200%+10% in 7 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±13% over 30 days)
Bold: RIVER's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 497 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to RIVER's volatility.
Bad case$0.613−51%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.19−4.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.34+88%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.0%
Likely range
−51% to +88%$0.613 – $2.34
497 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this RIVER prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for RIVER was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=497).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 374 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 497 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own RIVER trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade RIVER · by share of the last day's volume
RIVER$1.2454% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
RIVER$1.2455% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
RIVER$1.2454% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RIVER's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (540 cases) into 46% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.7 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a day later 43% of the time (18,285 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 10% over 7 days
Up 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (64,875 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($24M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RIVER's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (538 cases) into 45% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.7 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (18,170 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($24M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Up 10% over 7 days
Up 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (64,518 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RIVER's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (497 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Up 10% over 7 days
Up 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (62,055 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.7 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (17,534 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−3%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (87,123 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
What moves RIVER
LIKELYWhen a big spot ETF outflow day came, RIVER ended higher the next day 31% of the time, against 48% on any day13 cases · on average -6.7% against +0.4% · last Sep 17, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against RIVER's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on RIVER
Our last 6 calls on RIVER over 30 days: right on 5 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on RIVER: 76.7% hit rate, 72.7% inside the range (30 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 59% down · ended −46.3%✓ rightAug 9 said 55% down · ended −51.6%✓ rightAug 16 said 65% down · ended −55.5%✓ rightAug 23 said 59% down · ended −45.6%✓ rightAug 30 said 56% down · ended −22.4%✓ rightSep 6 said 54% down · ended −2.9%coin flip
white: RIVER's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
33
higher 30 days after
7 of 23
typical 30-day move
−31.4%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED33 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
RIVER: 33 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Binance's RIVERUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-09-25 added up to +0.3738% over the day (+136% a year), above 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. RIVER saw a funding extreme high on Sep 26, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 20 days (day 1: −5.4%).
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 32% during 2026-06-21, from $117M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-06-23, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 23, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it fell 16.6% by day 1 and was 34.5% lower 30 days later, 36 points behind BTC; it had moved +1.8% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 51% during 2026-06-11, from $77M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-06-13, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 13, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it fell 4.1% by day 1 and was 33.9% lower 30 days later, 32 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.8% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 30% during 2026-05-28, from $132M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-05-30, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 30, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 1.5% by day 1 and was 43.7% lower 30 days later, 26 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.2% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 36% during 2026-05-20, from $98M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-05-22, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On May 22, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it fell 2.3% by day 1 and was 30.0% lower 30 days later, 12 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.4% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 27% during 2026-04-23, from $135M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-04-25, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 25, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 0.1% by day 1 and was 1.5% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved −15.4% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 39% during 2026-04-21, from $99M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-04-23, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 23, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 0.8% higher 30 days later, 3 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −11.1% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RIVERUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-04-11 added up to +0.5672% over the day (+207% a year), above 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Apr 12, 2026 RIVER saw a funding extreme high; it fell 9.6% by day 1 and was 31.4% lower 30 days later, 42 points behind BTC; it had moved −25.0% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 42% during 2026-03-24, from $89M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-03-26, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Mar 26, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it fell 43.4% by day 1 and was 71.9% lower 30 days later, 81 points behind BTC; it had moved −14.3% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 29% during 2026-03-20, from $125M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-03-22, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Mar 22, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it fell 8.0% by day 1 and was 77.4% lower 30 days later, 88 points behind BTC; it had moved +15.5% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 45% during 2026-03-15, from $86M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-03-17, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Mar 17, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it rose 22.2% by day 1 and was 63.7% lower 30 days later, 64 points behind BTC; it had moved +79.9% in the 7 days before.
Binance's RIVERUSDT perpetual: funding on 2026-03-12 added up to +0.3623% over the day (+132% a year), above 95% of its past year. The move is the coin's from that day's close, when the day's funding was known. On Mar 13, 2026 RIVER saw a funding extreme high; it rose 17.5% by day 1 and was 54.2% lower 30 days later, 54 points behind BTC; it had moved +11.8% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 32% during 2026-03-06, from $123M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-03-08, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Mar 8, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it fell 25.0% by day 1 and was 27.0% lower 30 days later, 34 points behind BTC; it had moved +24.4% in the 7 days before.
unlock RIVER unlock: 0.11M tokens (0.58% of circulating)
—
−70.9%
+0.3%
+44.9%
+13.9%
+9.0%
−52.0%
sablier
Released by on-chain vesting on Sablier. On Feb 6, 2026 RIVER unlocked supply; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 13.9% higher 30 days later, 9 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −70.9% in the 7 days before.
all-time high RIVER all-time high: $88.17
—
+159.0%
−8.0%
−74.8%
−86.7%
−65.1%
−90.8%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 26, 2026 RIVER set an all-time high; it fell 8.0% by day 1 and was 86.7% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC; it had moved +159.0% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 27% during 2026-01-16, from $162M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-01-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jan 18, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 53.6% by day 1 and was 50.1% lower 30 days later, 21 points behind BTC; it had moved +40.9% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 39% during 2026-01-14, from $118M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-01-16, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jan 16, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL surge; it fell 22.4% by day 1 and was 49.8% lower 30 days later, 22 points behind BTC; it had moved +67.7% in the 7 days before.
RIVER-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 9, 2026OKX opened perpetual futures for RIVER; it fell 7.7% by day 1 and was 16.2% lower 30 days later, 7 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.2% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 28% during 2026-01-03, from $156M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-01-05, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jan 5, 2026 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 55.3% by day 1 and was 13.4% higher 30 days later, 33 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +171.7% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 29% during 2025-12-23, from $155M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-12-25, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Dec 25, 2025 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 12.5% by day 1 and was 1679.2% higher 30 days later, 1677 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +24.1% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 28% during 2025-12-13, from $157M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-12-15, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Dec 15, 2025 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it fell 48.2% by day 1 and was 265.2% higher 30 days later, 255 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +40.7% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 39% during 2025-11-19, from $357M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-11-21, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Nov 21, 2025 RIVER saw a TVL crash; it rose 1.5% by day 1 and was 31.7% higher 30 days later, 29 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −52.1% in the 7 days before.
RIVERUSDT perpetual trading. On Oct 22, 2025Bybit opened perpetual futures for RIVER; it rose 75.1% by day 1 and was 37.5% lower 30 days later, 16 points behind BTC; it had moved +113.2% in the 7 days before.
RIVERUSDT perpetual trading. On Oct 17, 2025Binance opened perpetual futures for RIVER; it rose 31.9% by day 1 and was 23.6% higher 30 days later, 36 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +27.6% in the 7 days before.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 58% during 2025-08-20, from $162M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-08-22, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Aug 22, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 35% during 2025-07-23, from $298M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-07-25, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL crash on Jul 25, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 24% during 2025-07-18, from $237M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-07-20, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Jul 20, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 40% during 2025-07-10, from $167M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-07-12, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Jul 12, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 68% during 2025-06-27, from $23M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-06-29, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Jun 29, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 83% during 2025-06-03, from $127M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-06-05, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL crash on Jun 5, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 101% during 2025-05-06, from $49M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-05-08, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on May 8, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 47% during 2025-04-25, from $20M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-04-27, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Apr 27, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
RIVER's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 77% during 2024-12-05, from $12M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-12-07, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. RIVER saw a TVL surge on Dec 7, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How RIVER's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
RIVER median day 30
RIVER n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · TVL crash
−14.2%
10
−9.1%
411
32.6%
below
all venues · TVL surge
−41.8%
6
−10.0%
414
37.0%
below
all venues · funding extreme high
−42.8%
2
−1.1%
121
48.8%
below
all venues · unlock
+13.9%
1
−6.2%
146
39.0%
above
all venues · all-time high
−86.7%
1
−38.6%
644
6.2%
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−16.2%
1
−16.9%
251
36.3%
above
Bybit · perpetual listing
−37.5%
1
−16.9%
446
33.4%
below
Binance · perpetual listing
+23.6%
1
−14.7%
497
39.2%
above
Venue · kind
RIVER median day 7
RIVER n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · funding extreme high
−5.1%
3
−1.5%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL crash
+7.7%
10
−1.3%
—
—
above
all venues · TVL surge
−3.9%
6
−2.6%
—
—
below
all venues · unlock
+44.9%
1
−3.6%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−74.8%
1
−17.1%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
+57.8%
1
−6.8%
—
—
above
Bybit · perpetual listing
+48.7%
1
−7.4%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+103.4%
1
−5.2%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
RIVER median day 1
RIVER n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · funding extreme high
−5.4%
3
−1.4%
—
—
below
all venues · TVL crash
+0.8%
10
0.0%
—
—
above
all venues · TVL surge
−3.2%
6
−0.9%
—
—
below
all venues · unlock
+0.3%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−8.0%
1
−3.7%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−7.7%
1
−0.6%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
+75.1%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+31.9%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where RIVER is listedON RECORD3 venues
Where RIVER is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 3 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on RIVER · questions · sources
RIVER in short
River (RIVER) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #595 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 98.6% below its Jan 26, 2026 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $1.24 (+0.8% over 24 hours), market cap $24.3M, fully diluted value $123.8M, 3,717 holders, $107.7M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; RIVER is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the record for River runs to 33 events, of which 0 are spot listings, 3 perpetual listings, 1 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 23 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −31.4%.
From the latest data refresh
River (RIVER), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #595 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 98.6% under its Jan 26, 2026 high.
Its 3 measured listings show a median day-30 move of −16.2%, 2 of them above the venue median.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #607 to #595.
RIVER is on 0 spot and 3 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Oct 17, 2025.
3 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −16.2%); 2 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026 and no further unlock is scheduled in the on-chain vesting contracts we read.
The issuer holds 1 of 1 checked powers (admin keys); 12 were not checked.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for River as of Oct 6, 2026.
River lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for River as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $107.7M TVL and $23.39 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 22nd percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 411 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is 0.0% on day 1 and −9.1% by day 30; 32.6% were still up after 30 days; RIVER's 10 sit below that median at −14.2%.
Across 414 TVL surges across every token on record, the median move is −0.9% on day 1 and −10.0% by day 30;
37.0% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's 6 sit below that median at −41.8%.
Across 121 funding extreme highs across every token on record, the median move is −1.4% on day 1 and −1.1% by day 30;
48.8% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's 2 sit below that median at −42.8%.
Across 146 unlocks across every token on record, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −6.2% by day 30;
39.0% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's one sits above that median at +13.9%.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
6.2% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's one sits below that median at −86.7%.
Across 251 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −0.6% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
36.3% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's one sits above that median at −16.2%.
Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
33.4% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's one sits below that median at −37.5%.
Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
39.2% were still up after 30 days;
RIVER's one sits above that median at +23.6%.
RIVER sits above the venue median in 3 of 8 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 5, 2026, 1 of the 1 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 12 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
Admin keys are held (ethplorer+dexscreener, checked Oct 5, 2026): admin keys exist that can change protocol parameters without a holder vote.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale and hide the contract source was not checked: no ethplorer+dexscreener response for those fields on Ethereum as of Oct 5, 2026.
The owner address on Ethereum is 0xe7fb85455158bbd3a9f024105852341a0cdde019 (ethplorer+dexscreener, checked Oct 5, 2026).
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 5, 2026.
33 events since Dec 7, 2024; 16 of the 23 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best TVL fell 29% in a day on Dec 25, 2025 (+1679.2%), worst RIVER all-time high: $88.17 on Jan 26, 2026 (−86.7%).
380 daily closes from Sep 22, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $88.17 on Jan 26, 2026, 253 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
23 changes are logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 6, 2026, is: New record entry (funding high, Mar 13, 2026): Funding +132% a year: longs paying shorts.
As of Oct 6, 2026 RIVER trades on 0 spot venues and 3 perpetual venues with dated listings, from Binance on Oct 17, 2025 to OKX on Jan 9, 2026; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Oct 17, 2025.
0 delistings are on record for RIVER as of Oct 6, 2026.
1084 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no RIVER listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, WEEX and Lbank, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
River trades 98.6% below its all-time high of $88.17, set on Jan 26, 2026, 253 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.97).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.4% over 1 hour, +0.8% over 24 hours, +9.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $24.3M market cap against $123.8M fully diluted, 80.4% of RIVER's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 6, 2026.
24-hour volume of $552,410 is 2.3% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 19.6M of 100M total (19.6%) and a maximum of 100M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so RIVER sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify River on ethereum; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol RIVER as of Oct 6, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for River as of Oct 6, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Oct 11, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id river-river, DefiLlama slug river-inc, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for River as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
River reported $25.46 in fees and $23.39 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $107.7M TVL as of Oct 6, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 22nd percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $280.68 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 86451.9x at the $24.3M market cap of Oct 6, 2026.
TVL moved +364627.4% between Mar 31, 2024 and Oct 4, 2026 (209 daily points).
Binance carries 52.4% of TVL across 10 chains (Binance$56.5M, Base $29.3M, BSquared $21.3M, Ethereum $471,314 and BOB $52,029).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for River (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for River on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists River under 'CeDeFi' since Mar 31, 2024 (slug river-inc).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, River is at the 62nd percentile by market cap, 25th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders RIVER sits at P24 (3,717 against a median of 16,936); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are AltLayer (#594), ankrETH (#596), Audius (#593), Liquity (#593) and Advertise Coin (#597).
Market cap: $24.3M (P62 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.28% (P49 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.6% (P25 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P22 of 288; peer median 0.006).
Holders: 3,717 (P24 of 288; peer median 16,936).
TVL: $107.7M (P76 of 429; peer median $5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance RIVER is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −1.3%, likely range −13.1% to +15.5%, from 540 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the River price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 55% chance RIVER is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −2.5%, likely range −24.7% to +34.6%, from 538 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the RIVER price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance RIVER is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −4.0%, likely range −50.7% to +87.9%, from 497 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these RIVER predictions?
Across 30 backtested 30-day calls on RIVER, the call was right 76.7% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.7% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 5 of 5 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind River?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for River as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next RIVER unlock?
No future unlock is on record for RIVER as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is RIVER listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed RIVER and perpetual futures on Oct 17, 2025.
Can the issuer mint more RIVER?
Not checked: no ethplorer+dexscreener response for RIVER as of Oct 6, 2026.
How far is RIVER from its all-time high?
98.6% below the $88.17 high of Jan 26, 2026, 253 days ago, at $1.24 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has River been hacked?
No hack is on record for River as of Oct 6, 2026; 1 audit link is listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 3 exchanges (Binance, Bybit and OKX) as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
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edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
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effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
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etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
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signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
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snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
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teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,548 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.