Market cap $3.63M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−10%0%+10%+20%+5.0% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±1.3% over 1 day)
Bold: AVL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AVL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0207−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0220−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0232+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−6% to +6%$0.0207 – $0.0232
12,416 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AVL price prediction for this week
54%chance AVL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $3.63M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+5.0% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±4.5% over 7 days)
Bold: AVL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AVL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0183−17%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0218−1.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0265+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.0%
Likely range
−17% to +20%$0.0183 – $0.0265
12,133 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AVL price prediction for the next 30 days
54%chance AVL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $3.63M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 11048 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%0%+200%+400%+5.0% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: AVL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AVL's volatility.
Bad case$0.0127−42%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0213−3.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0355+61%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.0%
Likely range
−42% to +61%$0.0127 – $0.0355
11,048 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AVL prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for AVL was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=11048).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 389 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 11,048 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AVL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AVL · by share of the last day's volume
AVL$0.022452% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
AVL$0.022454% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
AVL$0.022454% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (12,416 cases) into 48% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($3.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,226 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (138,540 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (12,133 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (137,344 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($3.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (89,668 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (11,048 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (87,123 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
97% below its high
97% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
What moves AVL
LIKELYWhen it traded five times its usual volume, AVL ended higher the next day 43% of the time, against 46% on any day14 cases · on average -4.1% against -0.4% · last Sep 12, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against AVL's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on AVL
Our last 6 calls on AVL over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 4 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on AVL: 75.0% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (40 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 59% down · ended +31.8%✗ wrongAug 9 said 57% down · ended +18.6%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +33.3%✗ wrongAug 23 said 57% down · ended +28.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 59% down · ended −6.2%✓ rightSep 6 said 67% down · ended +5.0%✗ wrong
white: AVL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #1,186on record since 2025-03-08
$0.0224
24H−1.4%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−96.8%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
18
higher 30 days after
6 of 9
typical 30-day move
+4.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED18 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AVL: 18 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 26% during 2026-09-11, from $166M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-09-13, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on Sep 13, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 7 days (day 1: −4.6%).
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 65% during 2026-07-22, from $335M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-07-24, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 24, 2026AVL saw a TVL crash; it fell 2.7% by day 1 and was 8.5% lower 30 days later, 28 points behind BTC; it had moved −9.9% in the 7 days before.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 29% during 2026-06-28, from $437M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2026-06-30, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jun 30, 2026AVL saw a TVL crash; it fell 4.6% by day 1 and was 16.2% lower 30 days later, 24 points behind BTC; it had moved −21.1% in the 7 days before.
On Mar 25, 2026Bybit removed the perpetual for AVL; it rose 1.2% by day 1 and was 6.1% higher 30 days later, 4 points behind BTC; it had moved −14.3% in the 7 days before.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 24% during 2025-07-16, from $1.08bn, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-07-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Jul 18, 2025AVL saw a TVL crash; it fell 1.9% by day 1 and was 2.5% higher 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +11.7% in the 7 days before.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 116% during 2025-04-08, from $558M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-04-10, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 10, 2025AVL saw a TVL surge; it rose 18.2% by day 1 and was 23.6% higher 30 days later, 3 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.8% in the 7 days before.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) fell 55% during 2025-04-05, from $1.33bn, and held at the next reading. Dated 2025-04-07, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. On Apr 7, 2025AVL saw a TVL crash; it fell 5.8% by day 1 and was 4.8% higher 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −40.2% in the 7 days before.
all-time high AVL all-time high: $0.7100
—
+69.4%
−23.1%
−33.6%
−66.7%
−57.9%
−75.1%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Mar 8, 2025AVL set an all-time high; it fell 23.1% by day 1 and was 66.7% lower 30 days later, 58 points behind BTC; it had moved +69.4% in the 7 days before.
On Feb 20, 2025Bybit opened perpetual futures for AVL; it rose 7.9% by day 1 and was 23.5% higher 30 days later, 37 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −27.0% in the 7 days before.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 23% during 2024-12-24, from $1.50bn, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-12-26, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on Dec 26, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 26% during 2024-10-28, from $485M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-10-30, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on Oct 30, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 20% during 2024-10-16, from $412M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-10-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on Oct 18, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Audit link recorded on DefiLlama for AVL. AVL was audited on Jun 11, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 21% during 2024-05-15, from $193M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-05-17, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on May 17, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 32% during 2024-05-02, from $150M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-05-04, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on May 4, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVL's protocol TVL (DefiLlama) rose 26% during 2024-04-16, from $111M, and held at the next reading. Dated 2024-04-18, when that was clear; the move is the coin's from the close before. AVL saw a TVL surge on Apr 18, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AVL · questions · sources
AVL in short
Avalon (AVL), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #1,186 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 96.8% below its Mar 8, 2025 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0224 (−1.4% over 24 hours), market cap $3.6M, fully diluted value $22.4M, holder count not reported, $254.5M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AVL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
This site has 18 past events for Avalon: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 9 measured events was +4.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Avalon (AVL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #1,186 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 96.8% below its Mar 8, 2025 high.
Its 2 measured listings show a median day-30 move of +43.7%, 2 of them above the venue median.
4 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026; over that span the rank went from #1,180 to #1,186.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for AVL as of Oct 6, 2026.
2 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +43.7%); 2 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for AVL as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for AVL as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Avalon as of Oct 6, 2026.
Avalon lists 2 audit links on DefiLlama (Salus); no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Avalon as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $254.5M TVL and $13,485 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.045 sits at the 70th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 411 TVL crashes across every token on record, the median move is 0.0% on day 1 and −9.1% by day 30; 32.6% were still up after 30 days; AVL's 4 sit above that median at −3.0%.
Across 85 perpetual delistings on Bybit, the median move is −2.7% on day 1 and −13.1% by day 30;
31.8% were still up after 30 days;
AVL's one sits above that median at +6.1%.
Across 414 TVL surges across every token on record, the median move is −0.9% on day 1 and −10.0% by day 30;
37.0% were still up after 30 days;
AVL's one sits above that median at +23.6%.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30;
6.2% were still up after 30 days;
AVL's one sits below that median at −66.7%.
Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
33.4% were still up after 30 days;
AVL's one sits above that median at +23.5%.
Across 180 spot listings on Bybit, the median move is −3.8% on day 1 and −22.8% by day 30;
27.2% were still up after 30 days;
AVL's one sits above that median at +63.8%.
AVL sits above the venue median in 5 of 6 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for AVL on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade AVL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
18 events since Apr 9, 2024; 3 of the 9 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best New Listing: AVL/USDT — Grab a Share of the 1,800,000 AVL Prize Pool on Feb 6, 2025 (+63.8%), worst AVL all-time high: $0.7100 on Mar 8, 2025 (−66.7%).
602 daily closes from Feb 12, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.7100 on Mar 8, 2025, 577 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The change log holds 17 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 5, 2026; the newest reads: New record entry (listing, Feb 6, 2025): New Listing: AVL/USDT — Grab a Share of the 1,800,000 AVL Prize Pool.
Avalon trades 96.8% below its all-time high of $0.7100, set on Mar 8, 2025, 577 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.11).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.9% over 1 hour, −1.4% over 24 hours, −1.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 16.2% of fully diluted value ($3.6M of $22.4M), so 83.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $606,502 is 16.7% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 161.7M of 1B total (16.2%) and a maximum of 1B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so AVL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Avalon has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (ethereum); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol AVL as of Oct 6, 2026.
Avalon shares its ticker with AVL (AL-Virland) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Mar 8, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id avl-avalon, DefiLlama slug avalon-labs, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Avalon as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Avalon reported $60,261 in fees and $13,485 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $254.5M TVL as of Oct 6, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.045 is at the 70th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $161,820 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 22.4x at the $3.6M market cap of Oct 6, 2026.
TVL moved +374.9% between Apr 12, 2024 and Oct 5, 2026 (209 daily points).
Ethereum carries 87.3% of TVL across 26 chains (Ethereum $221.6M, Move $30.8M, IoTeX $728,968,Binance$243,542 and Merlin $151,755).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Avalon (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Avalon on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Avalon under 'Yield' since Apr 12, 2024 (slug avalon-labs).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, Avalon is at the 24th percentile by market cap, 41st by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are BugsCoin (#1,185), Grok (ETH) (#1,185), Goldfinch (#1,184), PIBBLE (#1,188) and Nimiq (#1,183).
Market cap: $3.6M (P24 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 16.73% (P85 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −96.8% (P41 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.045 (P70 of 288; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $254.5M (P81 of 429; peer median $5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 52% chance AVL is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −5.6% to +5.7%, from 12,416 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Avalon price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance AVL is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −1.0%, likely range −16.9% to +20.4%, from 12,133 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the AVL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance AVL is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −3.0%, likely range −42.0% to +61.3%, from 11,048 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these AVL predictions?
Across 40 backtested 30-day calls on AVL, the call was right 75.0% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 75.0% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 1 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Avalon?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Avalon as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next AVL unlock?
No future unlock is on record for AVL as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is AVL listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 6, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for AVL; it is listed on 1 other exchange.
How far is AVL from its all-time high?
96.8% below the $0.7100 high of Mar 8, 2025, 577 days ago, at $0.0224 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has Avalon been hacked?
No hack is on record for Avalon as of Oct 6, 2026; 2 audit links are listed.
What happened when Bybit listed AVL?
On Feb 6, 2025AVL was not measured by day 1 and was 63.8% higher 30 days later, 75 points ahead of BTC.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 1 exchange (Bybit) as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
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etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
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setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
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signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
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snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
none
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snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
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teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,951 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.