What moves AB · PROVEN · measured Oct 6, 2026
When Bitcoin fell 3% or more in a day, AB ended lower the next day 82% of the time
Against 63% on any day, from 28 cases (it ended higher in 18% of them); the latest was Sep 15, 2026. On average AB moved −1.9% the next day, against −0.5% on any day. Past patterns, not financial advice.
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After it
82%
ended lower the next day
On any day
63%
the same coin, from any day
Cases
28
the latest Sep 15, 2026
Average move
−1.9%
against −0.5% on any day
How it is proven
AB is tested on its own history every night: each cause against AB's own moves from any day, its biggest days capped, so one giant pump cannot make a driver. Proven means past the cut for testing thousands of causes at once, both halves of its history leaning the same way, AB ending lower more often than on any day by a clear margin, and 12 cases or more.
Source: AB's own daily closes, its events and the market-wide releases on record · measured · the method in full