Market cap $6.82M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 203 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
0%+20%+40%−20%0%+20%+40%−16% in 7 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±3.4% over 1 day)
Bold: PLAY's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 203 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to PLAY's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0249−12%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0284+0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0319+12%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.1%
Likely range
−12% to +12%$0.0249 – $0.0319
252 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PLAY price prediction for this week
60%chance PLAY is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $6.82M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 203 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
0%+20%+40%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%−16% in 7 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±11% over 7 days)
Bold: PLAY's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 203 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to PLAY's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0199−30%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0274−3.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0365+29%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.6%
Likely range
−30% to +29%$0.0199 – $0.0365
240 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PLAY price prediction for the next 30 days
58%chance PLAY is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $6.82M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 203 matched past setups
next 30 days
0%+20%+40%−100%0%+100%+200%+300%−16% in 7 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 13 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 3 sideways(±19% over 30 days)
Bold: PLAY's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 203 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to PLAY's volatility.
Bad case$0.0141−50%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0261−7.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0533+88%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−7.9%
Likely range
−50% to +88%$0.0141 – $0.0533
203 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this PLAY prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for PLAY was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=203).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 373 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 203 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own PLAY trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade PLAY · by share of the last day's volume
PLAY$0.028450% ▲ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
PLAY$0.028460% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
PLAY$0.028458% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PLAY's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (252 cases) into 50% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.8 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a day later 43% of the time (18,285 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 47% higher a day later
Down 16% over 7 days
Down 16% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 49% of the time (80,421 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($6.9M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PLAY's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (240 cases) into 40% higher.
Down 16% over 7 days
Down 16% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (79,964 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.8 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (18,170 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Down 16% over 30 days
Down 16% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (119,473 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PLAY's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (203 cases) into 42% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (2.8 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (17,534 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Down 16% over 7 days
Down 16% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time (78,250 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 37% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Down 16% over 30 days
Down 16% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (117,871 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Our record on PLAY
Our last 6 calls on PLAY over 30 days: right on 5 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on PLAY: 39.0% hit rate, 70.7% inside the range (41 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 65% down · ended +6.3%✗ wrongAug 9 said 65% down · ended −7.5%✓ rightAug 16 said 61% down · ended −5.4%✓ rightAug 23 said 59% down · ended −18.5%✓ rightAug 30 said 58% down · ended −9.7%✓ rightSep 6 said 63% down · ended −16.3%✓ right
white: PLAY's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
1 of 2
typical 30-day move
+14.3%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
PLAY: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
all-time high PLAY all-time high: $0.2285
—
+10.2%
+15.2%
+16.6%
−1.2%
−7.9%
−66.9%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Apr 15, 2026 PLAY set an all-time high; it rose 15.2% by day 1 and was 1.2% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC; it had moved +10.2% in the 7 days before.
PLAYUSDT perpetual trading. On Jul 31, 2025Binance opened perpetual futures for PLAY; it fell 7.4% by day 1 and was 29.9% higher 30 days later, 38 points ahead of BTC.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on PLAY · questions · sources
PLAY in short
XCAD Network PLAY (PLAY) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #973 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 87.4% below its Apr 15, 2026 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0284 (+0.6% over 24 hours), market cap $6.8M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
This page is about XCAD Network PLAY on its own chain; 1 other token on record use the symbol PLAY: HEROcoin (chain not recorded).
Status on CoinPaprika: active; PLAY is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
This site has 3 past events for XCAD Network PLAY: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 2 measured events was +14.3%.
From the latest data refresh
XCAD Network PLAY (PLAY), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #973 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 87.4% under its Apr 15, 2026 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of +29.9%, 1 of it above the venue median.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #949 to #973.
PLAY is on 0 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Jul 31, 2025.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +29.9%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for XCAD Network PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
XCAD Network PLAY lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for XCAD Network PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for XCAD Network PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30; 6.2% were still up after 30 days; PLAY's one sits above that median at −1.2%.
Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
39.2% were still up after 30 days;
PLAY's one sits above that median at +29.9%.
PLAY sits above the venue median in 2 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for PLAY on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade PLAY; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Apr 13, 2023; 1 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance lists PLAY perpetual on Jul 31, 2025 (+29.9%), worst PLAY all-time high: $0.2285 on Apr 15, 2026 (−1.2%).
433 daily closes from Jul 31, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.2285 on Apr 15, 2026, 174 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
2 changes are logged for this page since Oct 5, 2026; the latest, on Oct 5, 2026, is: New record entry (listing, Apr 13, 2023): Coming Soon: PLAY/USDT — 50,000 USDT Up for Grabs!.
Changed since Oct 5, 2026: event listing → 28,005 (Oct 5) · event futures_listing → 26,405 (Oct 5).
The fields that changed most often were event (2).
Changes logged for this record: 2 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
PLAY is on 0 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was Binance (perp) on Jul 31, 2025 and the latest Binance (perp) on Jul 31, 2025; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Jul 31, 2025.
0 delistings are on record for PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
1086 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no PLAY listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, OKX and WEEX, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The all-time high on record for XCAD Network PLAY is $0.2285 on Apr 15, 2026, 174 days ago as of Oct 6, 2026; the price is 87.4% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.70).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: −1.7% over 1 hour, +0.6% over 24 hours, −7.4% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
24-hour volume of $71,516 is 1.0% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so PLAY sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for XCAD Network PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
1 other record use the symbol PLAY: HEROcoin (chain not recorded); this page is the its own chain token.
XCAD Network PLAY shares its ticker with PLAY (HEROcoin), PLAY (InfinityGaming), PLAY (Metaverse NFT Index), PLAY (PLAY), PLAY (Play Solana Token), PLAY (PlayDoge) and PLAY (PlaysOut) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 23, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id play-play-bsc, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for XCAD Network PLAY as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, XCAD Network PLAY is at the 38th percentile by market cap, 67th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Nomina (#972), PAAL AI (#974), SpaceX Tokenized Stock (Ondo) (#971), Helium Mobile (#975) and Mansory (#970).
Market cap: $6.8M (P38 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.05% (P36 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −87.4% (P67 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,369 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 5, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.