$0.0103+0.3%24hmcap $19.37M · its own chain · rank #659
Next 7 days for NCTOct 7–13: nothing on the calendar this week; our 7-day call is a coin flip (54% chance lower); 1 likely driver in play: after a big stablecoin print (Oct 2), NCT ended higher a week later 50% of the time.
Market cap $19.37M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%−5%0%+5%+10%−7.0% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to NCT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00987−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0103−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0107+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$0.00987 – $0.0107
12,416 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
NCT price prediction for this week
54%chance NCT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $19.37M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%−7.0% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to NCT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00898−13%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0102−0.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0118+15%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.7%
Likely range
−13% to +15%$0.00898 – $0.0118
12,133 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
NCT price prediction for the next 30 days
54%chance NCT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $19.37M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 11048 matched past setups
next 30 days
−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%−7.0% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 11048 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to NCT's volatility.
Bad case$0.00687−33%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0101−2.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0147+43%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.3%
Likely range
−33% to +43%$0.00687 – $0.0147
11,048 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this NCT prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for NCT in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 4× — profitable 53.6% of the time, typical +2.0%, liquidated 2.7% of the time (n=11048).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 401 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 11,048 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own NCT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade NCT · by share of the last day's volume
NCT$0.010352% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 5× → +0.5%open calculator
NCT$0.010354% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
NCT$0.010354% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (12,416 cases) into 48% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($19.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,226 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−0%). After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (138,540 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (12,133 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−0%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (137,344 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($19.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (89,668 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (11,048 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−7%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (87,123 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
What moves NCT
LIKELYWhen a big stablecoin print came, NCT ended higher a week later 50% of the time, against 41% on any dayin play: happened Oct 2, 2026, its window ends Oct 8, 2026 · 50 cases · on average +4.4% against +0.4% · last Sep 22, 2026
LIKELYWhen it rose three times its usual daily move, NCT ended higher a week later 14% of the time, against 41% on any day14 cases · on average -9.2% against +0.4% · last Aug 21, 2026
LIKELYWhen it closed back above its 200-day average, NCT ended higher a week later 22% of the time, against 41% on any day9 cases · on average -10.7% against +0.4% · last Aug 26, 2026
LIKELYWhen it rose three times its usual daily move, NCT ended higher the next day 21% of the time, against 45% on any day14 cases · on average -5.5% against -0.1% · last Aug 21, 2026
LIKELYWhen a big S&P 500 down day came, NCT ended higher the next day 73% of the time, against 45% on any day11 cases · on average +3.8% against -0.1% · last Jun 6, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against NCT's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on NCT
Our last 6 calls on NCT over 30 days: right on 2 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on NCT: 78.0% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (41 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 57% down · ended +161.1%✗ wrongAug 9 said 57% down · ended +134.8%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +120.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 59% down · ended +118.8%✗ wrongAug 30 said 59% down · ended −28.4%✓ rightSep 6 said 67% down · ended −7.0%✓ right
white: NCT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 30 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
1
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED1 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
NCT: 1 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2022
all-time high NCT all-time high: $0.1702
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. NCT set an all-time high on Jan 14, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How NCT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
NCT median day 30
NCT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Venue · kind
NCT median day 7
NCT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
NCT median day 1
NCT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
644
−3.7%
−17.1%
−38.6%
6.2%
−37.0%
computed 2026-10-06 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to NCT holders (checked Oct 6, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on NCT · questions · sources
NCT in short
PolySwarm (NCT), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #659 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 94.0% below its Jan 14, 2022 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0103 (+0.3% over 24 hours), market cap $19.4M, fully diluted value $19.4M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; NCT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
1 events sit on PolySwarm's record as of Oct 6, 2026 (0 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 0 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
PolySwarm (NCT) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #659 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 94.0% below its Jan 14, 2022 high.
1 event are on record as of Oct 6, 2026.
4 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026; over that span the rank went from #663 to #659.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for NCT as of Oct 6, 2026.
No listing of NCT has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for NCT as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for NCT as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026.
PolySwarm lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for NCT on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade NCT; the check is retried at every rebuild.
PolySwarm trades 94.0% below its all-time high of $0.1702, set on Jan 14, 2022, 1,726 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.83).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.6% over 1 hour, +0.3% over 24 hours, −0.2% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($19.4M of $19.4M), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $678,582 is 3.5% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.89B of 1.89B total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so NCT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol NCT as of Oct 6, 2026.
PolySwarm shares its ticker with NCT (Name Change Token), NCT (NewCatCoin) and NCT (Nicolas Cage Token) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Apr 11, 2018, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id nct-polyswarm, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, PolySwarm is at the 58th percentile by market cap, 54th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Zerobase (#658), Lista DAO (#660), Fartboy (#657), DeGate (#657) and Polkadot Token (#661).
Market cap: $19.4M (P58 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 3.50% (P57 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −94.0% (P54 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 52% chance NCT is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −4.2% to +4.2%, from 12,416 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the PolySwarm price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance NCT is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.7%, likely range −12.8% to +14.8%, from 12,133 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the NCT price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance NCT is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −2.3%, likely range −33.3% to +42.7%, from 11,048 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these NCT predictions?
Across 41 backtested 30-day calls on NCT, the call was right 78.0% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 2 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind PolySwarm?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next NCT unlock?
No future unlock is on record for NCT as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is NCT listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 6, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for NCT; it is listed on 2 other exchanges.
How far is NCT from its all-time high?
94.0% below the $0.1702 high of Jan 14, 2022, 1,726 days ago, at $0.0103 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has PolySwarm been hacked?
No hack is on record for PolySwarm as of Oct 6, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 2 exchanges (Coinbase and Upbit) as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 17:24 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,499 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 6, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
