Market cap $9.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 90 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%+17% in 7 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±1.3% over 1 day)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 90 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility. 27 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.197−8%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.212−1.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.233+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.4%
Likely range
−8% to +8%$0.197 – $0.233
1,049 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
LIGHT price prediction for this week
60%chance LIGHT is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $9.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 90 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+17% in 7 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±4.8% over 7 days)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 90 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility. 18 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.182−16%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.209−2.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.254+18%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.7%
Likely range
−16% to +18%$0.182 – $0.254
1,015 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
LIGHT price prediction for the next 30 days
61%chance LIGHT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $9.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 90 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+17% in 7 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±6.5% over 30 days)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 90 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility.
Bad case$0.153−29%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.204−5.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.279+30%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−5.2%
Likely range
−29% to +30%$0.153 – $0.279
90 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this LIGHT prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for LIGHT in setups like this: short, hold 21 days, 2× — profitable 59.6% of the time, typical +7.2%, liquidated 9.8% of the time (n=90).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±4.6% over 21 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 290 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 90 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own LIGHT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade LIGHT · by share of the last day's volume
LIGHT$0.211461% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 5× → +1.0%open calculator
LIGHT$0.211460% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 4× → +5.2%open calculator
LIGHT$0.211461% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +5.2%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,049 cases) into 39% higher.
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (7.1 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a day later 43% of the time (18,285 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 47% higher a day later
Up 17% over 7 days
Up 17% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (64,875 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($8.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,015 cases) into 40% higher.
Up 17% over 30 days
Up 17% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (72,685 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Volume spike
Trading volume jumped far above its 30-day normal (7.1 standard deviations). After volume spikes like this, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (18,170 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($8.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (90 cases) into 39% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Up 17% over 7 days
Up 17% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (62,055 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Big unlock in 26 days
Big token unlock coming (56.6% of supply in 26 days). Before unlocks like this, price was higher 30 days later 38% of the time (1,377 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
95% below its high
95% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
What moves LIGHT
LIKELYWhen Bitcoin sold at a discount on Coinbase, LIGHT ended higher the next day 67% of the time, against 49% on any day12 cases · on average +8.2% against +0.3% · last Jul 26, 2026
tested coin by coin every night, each cause against LIGHT's own moves on any day (its biggest days capped) · proven: past the cut for testing thousands at once, both halves of its history agree, 12 cases or more · likely: weaker evidence, watch it · what moves every coin
Our record on LIGHT
Our last 6 calls on LIGHT over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on LIGHT: 51.5% hit rate, 90.9% inside the range (33 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 63% down · ended +15.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 63% down · ended +18.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 62% down · ended −7.0%✓ rightAug 23 said 63% down · ended +28.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 63% down · ended +4.0%✗ wrongSep 6 said 61% down · ended +17.2%✗ wrong
white: LIGHT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 76 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-05 event futures_listing → 26.95K2026-10-05 event futures_listing → 26.33K2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
2 of 4
typical 30-day move
+48.0%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
LIGHT: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2025
all-time high LIGHT all-time high: $4.81
—
+290.4%
−77.0%
−86.9%
−89.2%
−89.3%
−94.3%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Dec 21, 2025 LIGHT set an all-time high; it fell 77.0% by day 1 and was 89.2% lower 30 days later, 89 points behind BTC; it had moved +290.4% in the 7 days before.
LIGHT-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Dec 16, 2025OKX opened perpetual futures for LIGHT; it rose 10.2% by day 1 and was 54.3% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC; it had moved +26.0% in the 7 days before.
LIGHTUSDT perpetual trading. On Sep 27, 2025Bybit opened perpetual futures for LIGHT; it rose 19.9% by day 1 and was 150.2% higher 30 days later, 146 points ahead of BTC.
LIGHTUSDT perpetual trading. On Sep 27, 2025Binance opened perpetual futures for LIGHT; it rose 19.9% by day 1 and was 150.2% higher 30 days later, 146 points ahead of BTC.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How LIGHT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 30
LIGHT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−89.2%
1
−38.6%
644
6.2%
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−54.3%
1
−16.9%
251
36.3%
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
+150.2%
1
−16.9%
446
33.4%
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+150.2%
1
−14.7%
497
39.2%
above
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 7
LIGHT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−86.9%
1
−17.1%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−32.4%
1
−6.8%
—
—
below
Bybit · perpetual listing
+5.6%
1
−7.4%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+5.6%
1
−5.2%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 1
LIGHT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−77.0%
1
−3.7%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
+10.2%
1
−0.6%
—
—
above
Bybit · perpetual listing
+19.9%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
Binance · perpetual listing
+19.9%
1
−0.3%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where LIGHT is listedON RECORD3 venues
Where LIGHT is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 3 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on LIGHT · questions · sources
LIGHT in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Bitlight (LIGHT) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #889 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026 and trades 95.6% below its Dec 21, 2025 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.2114 (+6.2% over 24 hours), market cap $9.1M, fully diluted value $88.8M, 9,220 holders, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; LIGHT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
4 events sit on Bitlight's record as of Oct 6, 2026 (0 spot listings, 3 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 4 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was +48.0%.
From the latest data refresh
Bitlight (LIGHT), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #889 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 95.6% under its Dec 21, 2025 high.
The next unlock, 56.6% of circulating supply, is scheduled for Nov 1, 2026.
4 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026; over that span the rank went from #916 to #889.
LIGHT is on 0 spot and 3 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was Binance (perp) on Sep 27, 2025.
3 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +150.2%); 2 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026;
the next scheduled unlock is Nov 1, 2026, 56.6% of circulating ($5.1M at today's price) under 'Streamflow vesting, linear'.
The issuer holds none of the 3 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 10 were not checked.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Bitlight as of Oct 6, 2026.
Bitlight lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Bitlight as of Oct 6, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 10th percentile of 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 644 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −3.7% on day 1 and −38.6% by day 30; 6.2% were still up after 30 days; LIGHT's one sits below that median at −89.2%.
Across 251 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −0.6% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
36.3% were still up after 30 days;
LIGHT's one sits below that median at −54.3%.
Across 446 perpetual listings on Bybit, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −16.9% by day 30;
33.4% were still up after 30 days;
LIGHT's one sits above that median at +150.2%.
Across 497 perpetual listings on Binance, the median move is −0.3% on day 1 and −14.7% by day 30;
39.2% were still up after 30 days;
LIGHT's one sits above that median at +150.2%.
LIGHT sits above the venue median in 2 of 4 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 3 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 10 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
3 of the checked powers are revoked or absent on Solana (mint more tokens, freeze accounts and admin keys);
the panel row for each states what that means for a holder.
Whether the issuer can upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale and hide the contract source was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for those fields on Solana as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026, an unstated share of LIGHT's total supply is unlocked; on Nov 1, 2026 a further 24.4M LIGHT (56.6% of circulating, $5.1M at today's price) is scheduled under 'Streamflow vesting, linear'.
3 unlocks fall in the 90 days to Jan 4, 2027, releasing 170.6% of circulating supply ($15.5M at today's price).
No past unlock has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
The unlock schedule from the on-chain vesting contracts we read holds 25 rows from Aug 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2027: 25 linear; 15 rows are in the past.
No allocation breakdown is on record for LIGHT as of Oct 6, 2026.
On-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock), effects from our price series; as of Oct 6, 2026.
4 events since Sep 27, 2025; 2 of the 4 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Bybit lists LIGHT perpetual on Sep 27, 2025 (+150.2%), worst LIGHT all-time high: $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025 (−89.2%).
375 daily closes from Sep 27, 2025 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025, 289 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
3 changes are logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 5, 2026, is: New record entry (futures listing, Sep 27, 2025): Bybit lists LIGHT perpetual.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: event futures_listing → 26,950 (Oct 5) · event futures_listing → 26,328 (Oct 5) · powers set to mint_authority=revoked freeze_authority=revoked upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=revoked honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were event (2) and powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 3 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 LIGHT trades on 0 spot venues and 3 perpetual venues with dated listings, from Binance on Sep 27, 2025 to OKX on Dec 16, 2025; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Sep 27, 2025.
0 delistings are on record for LIGHT as of Oct 6, 2026.
1084 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no LIGHT listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Bitget, Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, WEEX and Lbank, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Bitlight is $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025, 289 days ago as of Oct 6, 2026; the price is 95.6% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.65).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +1.5% over 1 hour, +6.2% over 24 hours, +12.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $9.1M market cap against $88.8M fully diluted, 89.7% of LIGHT's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 6, 2026.
24-hour volume of $1.4M is 15.8% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 43.1M of 420M total (10.3%) and a maximum of 420M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so LIGHT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Bitlight has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (solana); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol LIGHT as of Oct 6, 2026.
Bitlight shares its ticker with LIGHT (Arcturian AI by Virtuals), LIGHT (LUMINOUS AI), LIGHT (Light DeFi), LIGHT (Lightbringer), LIGHT (Lightning Protocol) and LIGHT (Lightning) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 27, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id light-bitlight, DefiLlama slug heaven, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Bitlight as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 6, 2026 DefiLlama records $0 of fees and $0 of revenue for Bitlight, against not reported of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.000, the 10th percentile among 1594 all tokens on record tokens.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Bitlight (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Bitlight on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Bitlight under 'Dexs' (slug heaven).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Set against 1594 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 6, 2026, Bitlight ranks at the 43rd percentile for market cap, the 47th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders LIGHT sits at P36 (9,220 against a median of 16,936); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are Bitcoin Vault (#888), Mango Network (#890), MEET48 (#887), IdleMine (#891) and Bella Protocol (#886).
Market cap: $9.1M (P43 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 15.81% (P84 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −95.6% (P47 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P10 of 288; peer median 0.006).
Holders: 9,220 (P36 of 288; peer median 16,936).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 17:24 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
none
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teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,318 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
