Market cap $80.39M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 47.5% of 12,192 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 2105 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%−7.5%−5%−2.5%0%+2.5%+5%+17% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: HOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2105 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to HOT's volatility. 28 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.000439−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.000452−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000467+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−3% to +3%$0.000439 – $0.000467
2,556 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 50.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
HOT price prediction for this week
56%chance HOT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $80.39M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 44% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.1% of 38,104 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 2105 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+17% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 13 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: HOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2105 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to HOT's volatility. 28 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.000408−10%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.000449−1.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000495+9%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.0%
Likely range
−10% to +9%$0.000408 – $0.000495
2,412 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
HOT price prediction for the next 30 days
70%chance HOT is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $80.39M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 30% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 2105 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+17% in 30 days↑ 99% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 19 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: HOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2105 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to HOT's volatility.
Bad case$0.000354−22%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.000424−6.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.000518+14%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−6.3%
Likely range
−22% to +14%$0.000354 – $0.000518
2,105 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.9% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this HOT prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for HOT in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 3× — profitable 69.7% of the time, typical +18.5%, liquidated 8.6% of the time (n=2105).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 407 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 2,105 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own HOT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade HOT · by share of the last day's volume
HOT$0.00045352% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 15× → +2.1%open calculator
HOT$0.00045356% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 6× → +8.4%open calculator
HOT$0.00045370% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 3× → +19%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,556 cases) into 48% higher.
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (138,098 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (174,983 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (94,012 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 17% over 30 days
Up 17% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (41,705 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,412 cases) into 44% higher.
Up 17% over 30 days
Up 17% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (40,654 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($80.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (64,351 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (91,745 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (136,394 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 36% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,105 cases) into 30% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (84,631 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Up 17% over 30 days
Up 17% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (36,874 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($80.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (62,747 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (129,463 cases), vs 36% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 36% higher 30 days later
Our record on HOT
Our last 6 calls on HOT over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on HOT: 53.3% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 64% down · ended +12.6%✗ wrongAug 9 said 64% down · ended +13.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 62% down · ended +11.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 71% down · ended +17.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 63% down · ended +19.7%✗ wrongSep 6 said 75% down · ended +17.4%✗ wrong
white: HOT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 3 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−11.2%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
HOT: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Oct 13, 2025Bybit removed the perpetual for HOT; it rose 2.2% by day 1 and was 11.2% lower 30 days later, 0 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −20.8% in the 7 days before.
2021
all-time high HOT all-time high: $0.0311
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. HOT set an all-time high on Apr 5, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
HOTUSDT perpetual trading. Binance opened perpetual futures for HOT on Mar 30, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How HOT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
HOT median day 30
HOT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
Bybit · perpetual delisting
−11.2%
1
−13.6%
84
31.0%
above
Venue · kind
HOT median day 7
HOT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
Bybit · perpetual delisting
−2.0%
1
−5.9%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
HOT median day 1
HOT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
Bybit · perpetual delisting
+2.2%
1
−2.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on HOT · questions · sources
HOT in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Holo (HOT) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #314 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026 and trades 98.5% below its Apr 5, 2021 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.000453 (+0.4% over 24 hours), market cap $80.4M, fully diluted value $80.4M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; HOT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
This site has 3 past events for Holo: 0 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −11.2%.
From the latest data refresh
Holo (HOT), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #314 by market cap on Oct 6, 2026 and trades 98.5% under its Apr 5, 2021 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −11.2%.
4 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 6, 2026; over that span the rank went from #309 to #314.
1 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for HOT as of Oct 6, 2026, starting with Binance on Mar 30, 2021.
No listing of HOT has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for HOT as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for HOT as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Holo as of Oct 6, 2026.
Holo lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Holo as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Holo as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
Across 84 perpetual delistings on Bybit, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −13.6% by day 30; 31.0% were still up after 30 days; HOT's one sits above that median at −11.2%.
HOT sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 6, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for HOT on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade HOT; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Mar 30, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Delisting of HOTUSDT Perpetual Contract on Oct 13, 2025 (−11.2%), worst Delisting of HOTUSDT Perpetual Contract on Oct 13, 2025 (−11.2%).
1002 daily closes from Jan 9, 2024 to Oct 6, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 4 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.0311 on Apr 5, 2021, 2,010 days before Oct 6, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 6, 2026.
2 changes are logged for this page since Oct 5, 2026; the latest, on Oct 5, 2026, is: New record entry (futures listing, Mar 30, 2021): Binance lists HOT perpetual.
Changed since Oct 5, 2026: event futures_listing → 26,289 (Oct 5) · event futures_delisting → 28,197 (Oct 5).
The fields that changed most often were event (2).
Changes logged for this record: 2 in the last 30 days as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 HOT trades on 1 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from Binance on Mar 30, 2021 to Binance on Mar 30, 2021; the first perpetual opened on Binance on Mar 30, 2021.
0 delistings are on record for HOT as of Oct 6, 2026.
1086 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no HOT listing on record as of Oct 6, 2026 (Pionex, Azbit, Coinbase, Bitget, OKX and WEEX, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 6, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Holo is $0.0311 on Apr 5, 2021, 2,010 days ago as of Oct 6, 2026; the price is 98.5% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.11).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.3% over 1 hour, +0.4% over 24 hours, +2.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($80.4M of $80.4M), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $632,333 is 0.8% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 177.62B of 177.62B total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1541 tokens, so HOT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Holo as of Oct 6, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol HOT as of Oct 6, 2026.
Holo shares its ticker with HOT (Hot), HOT (HotDao), HOT (Hydro Protocol) and HOT (HyperOne) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data May 1, 2018, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id hot-holo, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Holo as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1541 all tokens on record tokens, Holo is at the 80th percentile by market cap, 25th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.7M, the median distance from ATH −94.7% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are ZIGChain (#313), Fren Pet (#315), WEMIX Token (#312), DigiByte (#316) and RSK Infrastructure Framework (#311).
Market cap: $80.4M (P80 of 1541; peer median $13.7M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.79% (P31 of 1541; peer median 2.49%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1541; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.5% (P25 of 1541; peer median −94.7%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1541 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
483 of our coins trade as Binance perpetuals; the 200 biggest read: 197 tonight (open interest, accounts long, top traders, takers), funding caught up on 196 (93889 readings); 75341 coin-days stored; 774 funding extremes as events; the rest comes over the next nights
45,323 coin-driver tests; 23 proven on 20 coins, 1840 likely
2026-10-06 04:21 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for cpi, fees_jump, funding_low, down for delisting, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing
2026-10-06 05:12 UTC
none
—
effects
11829 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
521 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 512 read tonight, 88377 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 23 read up to now tonight (122 pages), 9278 coin-days stored; 153 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
819 of 1541 coins have a logo (coingecko 709, trustwallet 105, jupiter 4, website 1). Tonight 0 asked. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), funding_low after (1d), pump after (1d), pump after (7d), unlock after (1d), vol_spike after (1d); 29 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 04:20 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 04:38 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 0 events new, 0 removed
167 rules tested; 4 survived discovery and the holdout (4 new tonight): max_30:low:1d:q20:all, skew_30:low:14d:q10:all, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:all; 4 in the book
57 of 260 coins due fetched (4 from CoinGecko, 53 from CoinPaprika; 29 with schedule files, 350 of the top 400); no CoinGecko id for 2: STABLE, WTRX; CoinGecko stopped: HTTP 429
10 of 169 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 03:35 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 42 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
2 of 5 feeds read, 2 series kept, 158 points written tonight; failed: gdelt:ethereum: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traf; gdelt:regulation: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-tr; gdelt:hack: HTTP 429: Please limit requests to one every 5 seconds or contact [email protected] for larger queries. All high-traffic
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 03:31 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:31:11+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0xabd4c), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T03:35:01+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
x_coinpaprika_g last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T04:11:08+00:00 coinpaprika_g:global: HTTP 402: { "type":"payment_requ), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,393 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 5, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
