Market cap $10.26M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 52.0% of 7,699 — its chances have not beaten the simple all-coin up-rate so far · drawn from the 4124 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%−20%0%+20%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±2.2% over 1 day)
Bold: ALPH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4124 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ALPH's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0663−10%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0731−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0822+12%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−10% to +12%$0.0663 – $0.0822
5,107 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 52.2% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ALPH price prediction for this week
55%chance ALPH is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $10.26M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 45% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.2% of 26,678 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 4124 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%0%+50%+100%+150%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±7.2% over 7 days)
Bold: ALPH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4124 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ALPH's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0573−22%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0721−1.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.101+38%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.8%
Likely range
−22% to +38%$0.0573 – $0.101
4,982 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.6% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ALPH price prediction for the next 30 days
54%chance ALPH is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $10.26M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 4124 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%0%+100%+200%+300%+13% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±11% over 30 days)
Bold: ALPH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4124 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ALPH's volatility.
Bad case$0.0396−46%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0697−5.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.147+100%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−5.0%
Likely range
−46% to +100%$0.0396 – $0.147
4,124 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 61.5% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ALPH prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for ALPH was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=4124).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 372 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 4,124 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ALPH trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
ALPH$0.074052% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
ALPH$0.074055% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
ALPH$0.074054% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ALPH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (5,107 cases) into 48% higher.
Up 13% over 7 days
Up 13% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (64,875 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (150,860 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($9.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (107,048 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 48% of the time (265,341 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 44% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ALPH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,982 cases) into 45% higher.
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (72,685 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 46% of the time (148,942 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($9.6M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (105,644 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Up 13% over 7 days
Up 13% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (64,518 cases), vs 44% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 44% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ALPH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,124 cases) into 46% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (141,385 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Up 13% over 7 days
Up 13% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 42% of the time (62,055 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
Other coin type
Outside the meme, DeFi and L1/L2 groups. Coins outside those groups were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (255,282 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 39% higher 30 days later
85% below its high
85% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (222,017 cases), vs 39% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 40% higher 30 days later
Our record on ALPH
Our last 6 calls on ALPH over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ALPH: 62.8% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (43 backtested calls)
Aug 2 said 60% down · ended +10.2%✗ wrongAug 9 said 59% down · ended +30.2%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended +73.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 59% down · ended +61.4%✗ wrongAug 30 said 57% down · ended +68.1%✗ wrongSep 6 said 59% down · ended +53.7%✗ wrong
white: ALPH's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 5, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 4, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 26 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
1
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED1 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ALPH: 1 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2024
all-time high ALPH all-time high: $3.85
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ALPH set an all-time high on Feb 27, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ALPH's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ALPH median day 30
ALPH n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Venue · kind
ALPH median day 7
ALPH n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ALPH median day 1
ALPH n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 6, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
644
−3.7%
−17.1%
−38.6%
6.2%
−37.0%
computed 2026-10-06 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to ALPH holders (checked Oct 6, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ALPH · questions · sources
ALPH in short
Alephium (ALPH) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #854 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 98.1% below its Feb 27, 2024 high.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the price is $0.0740 (+9.1% over 24 hours), market cap $10.3M, fully diluted value $15.1M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ALPH is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026 the record for Alephium runs to 1 event, of which 0 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Alephium (ALPH) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #854 by market cap as of Oct 6, 2026, 98.1% below its Feb 27, 2024 high.
1 event are on record as of Oct 6, 2026.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (4 daily snapshots), rank moved from #814 to #854.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for ALPH as of Oct 6, 2026.
No listing of ALPH has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 6, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for ALPH as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for ALPH as of Oct 6, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026.
Alephium lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 6, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 6, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for ALPH on its own chain as of Oct 6, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade ALPH; the check is retried at every rebuild.
Alephium trades 98.1% below its all-time high of $3.85, set on Feb 27, 2024, 952 days before Oct 6, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.68).
Price change as of Oct 6, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, +9.1% over 24 hours, +20.6% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $10.3M market cap against $15.1M fully diluted, 31.9% of ALPH's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 6, 2026.
24-hour volume of $61,786 is 0.6% of market cap as of Oct 6, 2026.
Circulating supply is 138.7M of 203.7M total (68.1%) and a maximum of 1B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1594 tokens, so ALPH sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 6, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol ALPH as of Oct 6, 2026.
Alephium shares its ticker with ALPH (Aleph) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 6, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 6, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 2, 2022, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 6, 2026: CoinPaprika id alph-alephium, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 6, 2026.
Among 1594 all tokens on record tokens, Alephium is at the 46th percentile by market cap, 31st by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 6, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $12.8M, the median distance from ATH −95.0% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Peercoin (#853), Public Meme Token (#855), PDD Holdings Tokenized Stock (Ondo) (#852), zkPass (#856) and Pandora (#851).
Market cap: $10.3M (P46 of 1594; peer median $12.8M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.60% (P30 of 1594; peer median 2.42%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1594; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.1% (P31 of 1594; peer median −95.0%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1594 tokens); as of Oct 6, 2026.
As of Oct 6, 2026: 52% chance ALPH is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.3%, likely range −9.6% to +12.1%, from 5,107 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Alephium price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 55% chance ALPH is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −1.8%, likely range −21.9% to +37.9%, from 4,982 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ALPH price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 6, 2026: 54% chance ALPH is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −5.0%, likely range −46.0% to +100.5%, from 4,124 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these ALPH predictions?
Across 43 backtested 30-day calls on ALPH, the call was right 62.8% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 77.1% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Alephium?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next ALPH unlock?
No future unlock is on record for ALPH as of Oct 6, 2026.
Is ALPH listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 6, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for ALPH; it is listed on 0 other exchanges.
How far is ALPH from its all-time high?
98.1% below the $3.85 high of Feb 27, 2024, 952 days ago, at $0.0740 on Oct 6, 2026.
Has Alephium been hacked?
No hack is on record for Alephium as of Oct 6, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below as of Oct 6, 2026.
293,063 older closes on 652 coins, back to 2017-08-17; 404 reached their first Binance day, 8 stopped at a 10x day or a gap, 1 older tickers of another coin left out, 239 with nothing older; 0 for later nights
313,593 coin-days stored tonight (314,256 held, the oldest 2020-08-05); 300 of 300 coins finished (each back to its contract's first day), 0 left for later nights; 3 days left out by the price check (the contract was another coin then); 0 errors; 104,391 days stored with no close of ours to check against
144 coins whose protocols took $100k+ in fees over 30 days; 134 read tonight, 144,935 coin-days stored; 1446 fee jumps and slumps; the rest comes over the next nights
55,006 coin-driver tests; 220 proven on 137 coins, 2874 likely; 47,817 more by the trimmed mean in the same cut, which found 68 proven and 167 likely more that earn with the tails in, and 565 more that did not on their newer half (dropped)
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
edge
35 kinds of event against their coins' ordinary days, by day; a clear edge (95% range, both halves agree) up for fees_jump, funding_low, futures_listing, spx_drop, down for delisting, fear, futures_listing, hack, kr_discount, listing, tvl_jump
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
effects
12005 effects, 51 stats rows
2026-10-06 16:26 UTC
none
—
etherscan
skipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment
522 of our coins trade as Gate USDT perpetuals; 522 read tonight, 89878 coin-days stored; 4 liquidation spikes as events; the rest is read on the next nights
176 of our coins trade as Hyperliquid perps; 29 read up to now tonight (121 pages), 11234 coin-days stored; 179 funding extremes; the rest of the history comes over the next nights
827 of 1594 coins have a logo (coingecko 713, trustwallet 108, jupiter 5, website 1). Tonight 40 asked: 4 from coingecko, 3 from trustwallet, 1 from jupiter; 32 with none yet; coinpaprika refused us (HTTP 403) and was not asked again after 30. Without one, by rank: RAIN, CC, WETH, JITOSOL, RETH, KHYPE, RSETH, WBNB, SUSDE, SYRUPUSDC, METH, JLP (drop a file in data/curated/logos/<slug>.png)
703 collected series, 343 with enough history; 5,857 tests; 1 proven, 273 likely; 1 series tested from a later day (their values hold that day's move)
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-06 16:28 UTC
none
—
signals
7 proven signals: ath after (30d), ath after (7d), cb_discount after (7d), pump after (30d), pump after (7d), vol_spike after (30d), vol_spike after (7d); 32 of tonight's predictions moved
2026-10-06 16:27 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-06 16:47 UTC
none
—
snapshot_org
1423 governance votes on 40 coins from 40 Snapshot spaces; tonight 0 proposals read (to 2026-09-10), 0 big closed ones kept, 3 open or pending; 1 events new, 1 removed
3144 rules tested; 6 survived discovery and the holdout (5 new tonight): funding_7:high:3d:q10:all:clean, ret_1:low:1d:q20:bear, volume_trend:low:1d:q10:bear; 1788 distinct rules, each pool by each detector in one false-discovery cut; the trimmed-mean test found 32 more past discovery, 4 of them earning with the tails back in; 11 in the book
10 of 224 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 39 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6), ETHFI (quarterly, day 17), GRASS (monthly, day 29), IO (monthly, day 1), KCS (quarterly, day 1), MOVE (monthly, day 9), STRK (quarterly, day 16), WLD (quarterly, day 21)
2026-10-06 15:34 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
1 of 47 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 6, 2026 15:30 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:30:28+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x66fd8), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
fred last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-06T15:34:09+00:00 no FRED_API_KEY: the jobs, PPI, PCE, GDP and retail sa), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,489 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 6, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.