$0.7312−1.3%24hmcap $247.72M · its own chain · rank #168
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
RUNE price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance RUNE is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $247.72M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+67% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.3% over 1 day)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.757−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.796−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.840+5%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−5% to +5%$0.757 – $0.840
2,459 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RUNE price prediction for this week
57%chance RUNE is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $247.72M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+67% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±4.2% over 7 days)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.665−17%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.782−2.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.929+16%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.0%
Likely range
−17% to +16%$0.665 – $0.929
2,326 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
RUNE price prediction for the next 30 days
70%chance RUNE is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $247.72M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 30% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 2088 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+67% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±11% over 30 days)
Bold: RUNE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to RUNE's volatility.
Bad case$0.522−35%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.715−10.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.01+27%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−10.4%
Likely range
−35% to +27%$0.522 – $1.01
2,088 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this RUNE prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for RUNE in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 69.8% of the time, typical +10.3% (n=2088).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 389 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 2,088 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own RUNE trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade RUNE · by share of the last day's volume
RUNE$0.731252% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +4.0%open calculator
RUNE$0.731257% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 3× → +6.3%open calculator
RUNE$0.731270% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +10%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,459 cases) into 48% higher.
92% below its high
92% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 67% over 30 days
Up 67% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,261 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,326 cases) into 43% higher.
Up 67% over 30 days
Up 67% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($247.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+5%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RUNE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,088 cases) into 30% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 67% over 30 days
Up 67% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($247.7M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
92% below its high
92% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on RUNE
Our last 6 calls on RUNE over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on RUNE: 48.9% hit rate, 70.8% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +10.6%✗ wrongAug 2 said 64% down · ended +5.6%✗ wrongAug 9 said 64% down · ended +13.3%✗ wrongAug 16 said 61% down · ended +17.5%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended +34.9%✗ wrongAug 30 said 63% down · ended +64.6%✗ wrong
white: RUNE's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #168on record since 2019-09-25$24.05M lost to hacks
$0.7312
24H−1.3%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−96.6%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 56 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
10
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−24.7%
next up
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Every eventMEASURED10 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
RUNE: 10 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $10.70M
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+4.4%
−25.8%
−28.2%
−33.3%
−14.4%
−27.7%
defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw On May 15, 2026 RUNE was hacked; it fell 25.8% by day 1 and was 33.3% lower 30 days later, 14 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
On Nov 14, 2025Binance removed the perpetual for RUNE; it fell 2.5% by day 1 and was 16.1% lower 30 days later, 5 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.3% in the 7 days before.
Binance listed RUNE on Mar 31, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
hallmark Protocol resumed
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defillama
RUNE saw a hallmark on Sep 16, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $8M
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defillama
Withdrawal Logic Flaw RUNE was hacked on Jul 22, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $5M
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defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw RUNE was hacked on Jul 15, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack THORChain DEX exploited for $350k
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defillama
Bridge Logic Flaw RUNE was hacked on Jun 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high RUNE all-time high: $21.29
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derived
Highest daily close in our price history. RUNE set an all-time high on May 19, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on RUNE · questions · sources
RUNE in short
THORChain (RUNE) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #168 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 96.6% below its May 19, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.7312 (−1.3% over 24 hours), market cap $247.7M, fully diluted value $303.4M, holder count not reported, $74.8M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; RUNE is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 10 past events for THORChain: 3 exchange listings, 0 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 4 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 2 measured events was −24.7%.
From the latest data refresh
THORChain (RUNE), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #168 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 96.6% under its May 19, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $10.7M hack on May 15, 2026 (bridge & cross-chain).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #168 to #168.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for RUNE as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of RUNE has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for RUNE as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for RUNE as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for THORChain as of Oct 4, 2026.
THORChain lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama (Certik); 4 hacks totalling $24.1M are recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for THORChain as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $74.8M TVL and $964,608 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.047 sits at the 70th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 75 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.4% on day 1 and −14.3% by day 30; 30.7% were still up after 30 days; RUNE's one sits below that median at −33.3%.
Across 10 perpetual delistings on Binance, the median move is +1.6% on day 1 and −19.2% by day 30;
0.0% were still up after 30 days;
RUNE's one sits above that median at −16.1%.
RUNE sits above the venue median in 1 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for RUNE on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade RUNE; the check is retried at every rebuild.
10 events since Jul 24, 2020; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M RUNEUSD Perpetual Contract (2025-11-19) on Nov 14, 2025 (−16.1%), worst THORChain DEX exploited for $10.70M on May 15, 2026 (−33.3%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $21.29 on May 19, 2021, 1,964 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
THORChain trades 96.6% below its all-time high of $21.29, set on May 19, 2021, 1,964 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.37).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.3% over 1 hour, −1.3% over 24 hours, −2.2% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 81.6% of fully diluted value ($247.7M of $303.4M), so 18.4% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $6.6M is 2.7% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 338.8M of 415M total (81.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so RUNE sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify THORChain on thorchain; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol RUNE as of Oct 4, 2026.
THORChain shares its ticker with RUNE (RUNE Rune), RUNE (Rune), RUNE (Runebound), RUNE (Runestone) and RUNE (Runeword) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 25, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id rune-thorchain, DefiLlama slug thorchain-dex, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for THORChain as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $3.3M of fees and $964,608 of revenue for THORChain, against $74.8M of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.047, the 70th percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $11.6M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 21.4x at the $247.7M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
TVL moved +6219.7% between Apr 11, 2021 and Oct 4, 2026 (359 daily points).
Thorchain carries 51.2% of TVL across 13 chains (Thorchain $38.3M, Bitcoin $17M, Ethereum $11.2M, Binance$2.1M and Bitcoincash $1.6M).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for THORChain (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for THORChain on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists THORChain under 'Dexs' (slug thorchain-dex).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, THORChain ranks at the 89th percentile for market cap, the 42nd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are dogwifhat (#167), Compound (#169), Floki Inu (#166), Ethereum Name Service (#170) and JasmyCoin (#165).
Market cap: $247.7M (P89 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.68% (P52 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −96.6% (P42 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.047 (P70 of 279; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $74.8M (P72 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
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teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
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2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,552 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.