No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 45.0% of 3,043 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−10%−5%0%+5%+26% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.2% over 1 day)
Bold: AXL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AXL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0521−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0540−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0562+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$0.0521 – $0.0562
1,801 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AXL price prediction for this week
56%chance AXL is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 44% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 57.7% of 11,360 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (59%) so far · drawn from the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+30%+26% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±3.3% over 7 days)
Bold: AXL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AXL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0472−13%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0534−1.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0610+13%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.2%
Likely range
−13% to +13%$0.0472 – $0.0610
1,699 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 58.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AXL price prediction for the next 30 days
69%chance AXL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 31% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1490 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+26% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±6.5% over 30 days)
Bold: AXL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1490 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AXL's volatility.
Bad case$0.0397−27%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0500−7.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0647+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−7.6%
Likely range
−27% to +20%$0.0397 – $0.0647
1,490 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 62.1% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Plan a leveraged trade on AXL
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
replays the cases behind the 30-day prediction
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AXL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for AXL in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 2× — profitable 67.9% of the time, typical +14.8%, liquidated 6.9% of the time (n=1490).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 396 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,490 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AXL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AXL · by share of the last day's volume
AXL$0.054152% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 15× → +4.5%open calculator
AXL$0.054156% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 4× → +6.8%open calculator
AXL$0.054169% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +15%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AXL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,801 cases) into 48% higher.
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (22,250 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
98% below its high
98% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (69,100 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (90,212 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (47,665 cases), vs 47% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 47% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 43% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AXL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,699 cases) into 44% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (46,968 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($51.1M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 43% of the time (44,050 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (21,757 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+1%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (46,238 cases), vs 43% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 43% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AXL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,490 cases) into 31% higher.
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (20,031 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($51.1M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (43,053 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,236 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+1%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (44,829 cases), vs 38% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 38% higher 30 days later
Our record on AXL
Our last 6 calls on AXL over 30 days: right on 1 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on AXL: 75.6% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (41 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 65% down · ended −2.9%✓ rightAug 2 said 57% down · ended +13.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 54% down · ended +20.3%coin flipAug 16 said 71% down · ended +22.6%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +26.5%✗ wrongAug 30 said 61% down · ended +29.7%✗ wrong
white: AXL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 43 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
1 of 2
typical 30-day move
−2.5%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AXL: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2024
all-time high AXL all-time high: $2.68
—
—
+11.7%
+12.0%
−9.5%
−15.1%
−47.5%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Mar 3, 2024AXL set an all-time high; it rose 11.7% by day 1 and was 9.5% lower 30 days later, 15 points behind BTC.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AXL · questions · sources
AXL in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Axelar (AXL) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #404 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026 and trades 98.0% below its Mar 3, 2024 high.
As of Oct 3, 2026 the price is $0.0541 (+5.9% over 24 hours), market cap $51.1M, fully diluted value $64.6M, holder count not reported, $156.9M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AXL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 3, 2026.
2 events sit on Axelar's record as of Oct 3, 2026 (1 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 2 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −2.5%.
From the latest data refresh
Axelar (AXL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #404 by market cap as of Oct 3, 2026, 98.0% below its Mar 3, 2024 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of +4.6%, 1 of it above the venue median.
PatternPlus holds 1 daily snapshot for AXL as of Oct 3, 2026; the rank and holder series begin with the next rebuild.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for AXL as of Oct 3, 2026.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +4.6%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No emission schedule is published on DefiLlama for AXL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for AXL as of Oct 3, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Axelar as of Oct 3, 2026.
Axelar lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 3, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Axelar as of Oct 3, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $156.9M TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 3, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 9th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Across 169 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −5.7% on day 1 and −39.9% by day 30; 5.9% were still up after 30 days; AXL's one sits above that median at −9.5%.
Across 71 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −1.9% on day 1 and −19.0% by day 30;
31.0% were still up after 30 days;
AXL's one sits above that median at +4.6%.
AXL sits above the venue median in 2 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 3, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 3, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for AXL on its own chain as of Oct 3, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade AXL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
2 events since Mar 1, 2024; 1 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance Will List Axelar (AXL) with Seed Tag Applied on Mar 1, 2024 (+4.6%), worst AXL all-time high: $2.68 on Mar 3, 2024 (−9.5%).
947 daily closes from Mar 1, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 1 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $2.68 on Mar 3, 2024, 944 days before Oct 3, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Axelar trades 98.0% below its all-time high of $2.68, set on Mar 3, 2024, 944 days before Oct 3, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.67).
Price change as of Oct 3, 2026: −0.2% over 1 hour, +5.9% over 24 hours, +1.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 79.1% of fully diluted value ($51.1M of $64.6M), so 20.9% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $3.2M is 6.2% of market cap as of Oct 3, 2026.
Circulating supply is 943.8M of 1.19B total (79.1%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1500 tokens, so AXL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 3, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Axelar as of Oct 3, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol AXL as of Oct 3, 2026.
Axelar shares its ticker with AXL (AXL INU), AXL (AXL) and AXL (AXLINU) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 3, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 3, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 2, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 3, 2026: CoinPaprika id ico-axelar, DefiLlama slug axelar-network, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Axelar as of Oct 3, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins, token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 3, 2026.
Axelar reported $4,508 in fees and $0 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $156.9M TVL as of Oct 3, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 9th percentile of 1500 all tokens on record tokens.
TVL moved +180.7% between Oct 29, 2022 and Oct 3, 2026 (279 daily points).
Ethereum carries 86.7% of TVL across 44 chains (Ethereum $136.5M, Binance$16M, Ripple $2.4M, Optimism $1.2M and Base $461,033).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Axelar (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Axelar on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Axelar under 'Bridge' since Oct 29, 2022 (slug axelar-network).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 3, 2026.
Set against 1500 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 3, 2026, Axelar ranks at the 73rd percentile for market cap, the 31st for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $14M, the median distance from ATH −94.8% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Nosana (#404), BIO Protocol (#405), Litecoin Token (#402), Ronin Token (#406) and Notcoin (#401).
Market cap: $51.1M (P73 of 1500; peer median $14M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 6.23% (P69 of 1500; peer median 2.46%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1500; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.0% (P31 of 1500; peer median −94.8%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P9 of 258; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $156.9M (P79 of 417; peer median $4.4M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1500 tokens); as of Oct 3, 2026.
predictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
score
the 0–100 score and its backtest
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
setups
setups re-measured on our own prices
2026-10-03 19:24 UTC
none
—
snapshot
daily snapshots and the change log
2026-10-03 19:48 UTC
none
—
upbit_instruments
359 symbols
2026-10-03 19:06 UTC
none
—
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:51+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:22+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:06:53+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
collector_csv last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-03T19:07:26+00:00 trench_births.csv missing), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,330 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next catalysts and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
